1027343[1] Group Decision Making [Compatibility Mode]

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    PowerPoint Presentation by Charlie CookPowerPoint Presentation by Charlie Cook

    The University o f West AlabamaThe University o f West Alabama

    ManagerialManagerialDecision MakingDecision MakingAdapted byAdapted byDr. Ajay Kr. SinghDr. Ajay Kr. Singh

    ChapterChapter

    66

    Part 2 Planning Challenges in the 21st CenturyPart 2 Planning Challenges in the 21st Century 2007 Thoms on/South 2007 Thoms on/South--Western. All rights r eserved.Western. All rights reserved.

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    Sources of Organizational andSources of Organizational andEntrepreneurial DecisionsEntrepreneurial Decisions

    Decision makingDecision making

    The process through which managers and leadersThe process through which managers and leaders

    identify and resolve problems and capitalize onidentify and resolve problems and capitalize on

    opportunities.opportunities.

    ProblemProblem

    A condition that occurs when some aspect ofA condition that occurs when some aspect of

    organizational performance is less than desirable.organizational performance is less than desirable.

    OpportunityOpportunity

    Any situation that has the potential to provideAny situation that has the potential to provide

    additional beneficial outcomes.additional beneficial outcomes.

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    Figure 6.1Figure 6.1 Seven Steps in the DecisionSeven Steps in the Decision--Making ProcessMaking Process

    Identifying opportunities

    and diagnosing problems

    Identifying objectives

    Generating alternatives

    Evaluating alternatives

    Choosing implementation strategies

    Monitoring and evaluating

    Reaching decisions

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    Figure 6.Figure 6.33 Two Contrasting Decision ModelsTwo Contrasting Decision Models

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    Ethics and Decision MakingEthics and Decision Making

    Ethical DilemmaEthical Dilemma A situation in which a person must decide whether or not to doA situation in which a person must decide whether or not to do

    something that, although benefiting oneself or the organization,something that, although benefiting oneself or the organization,

    may be considered unethical and perhaps illegal.may be considered unethical and perhaps illegal.

    Have you accurately assessed the problem?Have you accurately assessed the problem?

    Do you have all the necessary information?Do you have all the necessary information?

    Where are your loyalties?Where are your loyalties?

    Have you generated a list of possible alternatives and consideredHave you generated a list of possible alternatives and consideredhow each will affect the other parties involved?how each will affect the other parties involved?

    Have you tested each alternative by asking whether it is legal, fair,Have you tested each alternative by asking whether it is legal, fair,and just to all parties involved?and just to all parties involved?

    Would your decision change if you were to disclose it to your family,Would your decision change if you were to disclose it to your family,

    your boss, or society as a whole?your boss, or society as a whole? Does your decision have any symbolic potential?Does your decision have any symbolic potential?

    Could it be misunderstood?Could it be misunderstood?

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    Behavioral Decision ModelBehavioral Decision Model

    Acknowledges the human limitations that makeAcknowledges the human limitations that makerational decisions difficult to achieve.rational decisions difficult to achieve.

    A managers cognitive ability to process information isA managers cognitive ability to process information is

    limited.limited.

    Managers usually attempt to behave rationally withinManagers usually attempt to behave rationally within

    their limited perception of a situation.their limited perception of a situation.

    The complexity of most organizational situationsThe complexity of most organizational situations

    forces managers to view problems within sharplyforces managers to view problems within sharply

    restricted bounds.restricted bounds.

    The behavior of managers can be consideredThe behavior of managers can be consideredrational, but only in terms of their simplified view ofrational, but only in terms of their simplified view of

    the problem.the problem.

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    Concepts Important to the BehavioralConcepts Important to the BehavioralDecision ModelDecision Model

    Bounded RationalityBounded Rationality

    Recognizes that people are limited by organizationalRecognizes that people are limited by organizational

    constraints such as time, information, resources, andconstraints such as time, information, resources, and

    their own mental capabilities.their own mental capabilities.

    IntuitionIntuition

    An unconscious analysis based on past experience.An unconscious analysis based on past experience.

    SatisficingSatisficing

    The search and acceptance of something that isThe search and acceptance of something that is

    satisfactory rather than perfect or optimal.satisfactory rather than perfect or optimal.

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    Concepts Important to the Decision ModelConcepts Important to the Decision Model(contd)(contd)

    Escalation of CommitmentEscalation of Commitment

    The tendency to increase commitment to a previouslyThe tendency to increase commitment to a previously

    selected course of action beyond the level that wouldselected course of action beyond the level that would

    be expected if the manager followed an effectivebe expected if the manager followed an effective

    decisiondecision--making process.making process.

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    Fostering Quality in the DecisionFostering Quality in the Decision--MakingMakingProcessProcess

    VigilanceVigilance

    Being concerned for and attentiveBeing concerned for and attentive

    to the correct decisionto the correct decision--makingmaking

    procedures can make a goodprocedures can make a good

    decision more likely.decision more likely.

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    Group Considerations in Decision MakingGroup Considerations in Decision Making

    Group decision making is becoming moreGroup decision making is becoming morecommon as organizations focus on improvingcommon as organizations focus on improvingcustomer service and push decision making tocustomer service and push decision making tolower levels.lower levels.

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    Participative ModelsParticipative Models

    Vroom and Yetton ModelVroom and Yetton ModelHelps managers determine when group decisionHelps managers determine when group decision

    making is appropriate.making is appropriate.

    Postulates that there are five decisionPostulates that there are five decision--making stylesmaking styles

    arranged along a continuum.arranged along a continuum.

    The decision methods become progressively moreThe decision methods become progressively moreparticipative as one moves from the highlyparticipative as one moves from the highlyautocratic style (AI) to the group style (GII), whereautocratic style (AI) to the group style (GII), wherethe manager allows the group to decide.the manager allows the group to decide.

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    Situational Contingencies Affecting DecisionSituational Contingencies Affecting DecisionMaking ParticipationMaking Participation

    Decision significanceDecision significance

    Importance of commitmentImportance of commitment

    Leader expertiseLeader expertise

    Likelihood of commitmentLikelihood of commitment

    Team supportTeam support

    Team expertiseTeam expertise

    Team competenceTeam competence

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    Participative Models (contd)Participative Models (contd)

    Vroom and J ago ModelVroom and J ago Model The nature of the decision itself determines theThe nature of the decision itself determines the

    appropriate degree of participationappropriate degree of participationdiagnosticdiagnostic

    questions help managers select the appropriate level.questions help managers select the appropriate level.

    A participative decision style is desirable when:A participative decision style is desirable when:

    Subordinates have useful information and share theSubordinates have useful information and share the

    organizations goals.organizations goals.

    Subordinates commitment to the decision is essential.Subordinates commitment to the decision is essential.

    Timeliness is not crucial.Timeliness is not crucial.

    Conflict is unlikely.Conflict is unlikely.

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    What is Groupthink?What is Groupthink?

    An agreementAn agreement--atat--anyany--cost mentality that resultscost mentality that resultsin ineffective group decision making.in ineffective group decision making.

    Characteristics of GroupthinkCharacteristics of Groupthink

    Illusions of invulnerabilityIllusions of invulnerability

    Collective rationalizationCollective rationalization

    Belief in the morality of group decisionsBelief in the morality of group decisions

    SelfSelf--censorshipcensorship

    Illusion of unanimity in decision makingIllusion of unanimity in decision making Pressure on members who express argumentsPressure on members who express arguments

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    Group Decision Making

    StrengthsMore complete

    information

    Increased diversity of

    views

    Higher quality of

    decisions

    Increased acceptance

    of solutions

    WeaknessesMore time consuming

    Increased pressure to

    conform

    Domination by one or a

    few members

    Ambiguous

    responsibility

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    Techniques for Quality in Group DecisionTechniques for Quality in Group DecisionMakingMaking

    BrainstormingBrainstorming

    Nominal Group TechniqueNominal Group Technique

    Delphi TechniqueDelphi Technique

    Devils Advocacy ApproachDevils Advocacy Approach

    Dialectical InquiryDialectical Inquiry

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    BrainstormingBrainstorming

    BrainstormingBrainstormingA technique to enhance creativity by encouragingA technique to enhance creativity by encouraging

    group members to generate as many novel ideas asgroup members to generate as many novel ideas as

    possible on a given topic without evaluating them.possible on a given topic without evaluating them.

    Rules of BrainstormingRules of Brainstorming

    Freewheeling is encouraged.Freewheeling is encouraged.

    Ideas are not criticized as they are being generated.Ideas are not criticized as they are being generated.

    Quality is encouraged.Quality is encouraged.

    The wilder the ideas, the better.The wilder the ideas, the better.

    Piggyback on previously stated ideas.Piggyback on previously stated ideas.

    Ideas are evaluated after alternatives are generated.Ideas are evaluated after alternatives are generated.

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    Other DecisionOther Decision--Making TechniquesMaking Techniques

    Nominal Group Technique (NGT)Nominal Group Technique (NGT)A structured process designed to stimulate creativeA structured process designed to stimulate creative

    group decision making where agreement is lacking orgroup decision making where agreement is lacking or

    the members have incomplete knowledge concerningthe members have incomplete knowledge concerning

    the nature of the problem.the nature of the problem.

    Delphi TechniqueDelphi TechniqueUses experts to make predictions and forecasts aboutUses experts to make predictions and forecasts about

    future events without meeting facefuture events without meeting face--toto--face.face.

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    Delphi Technique

    The Delphi technique was developed at the RANDcorporation in 1948 to gain expert consensus withoutintroducing the adverse side effects of groupmeetings.

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    Other DecisionOther Decision--Making TechniquesMaking Techniques (contd)(contd)

    Devils AdvocacyDevils AdvocacyAn individual or subgroup appointed to critique aAn individual or subgroup appointed to critique a

    proposed course of action and identify problems toproposed course of action and identify problems to

    consider before the decision is final.consider before the decision is final.

    Dialectical InquiryDialectical Inquiry

    Approaches a decision from two opposite points andApproaches a decision from two opposite points and

    structures a debate between conflicting views.structures a debate between conflicting views.

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    Classifying Decision SituationsClassifying Decision Situations

    Programmed decisionProgrammed decisionA decision made in response to a situation that isA decision made in response to a situation that is

    routine or recurring.routine or recurring.

    Example: starting your automobileExample: starting your automobile

    Nonprogrammed decisionNonprogrammed decisionA decision made in response to a situation that isA decision made in response to a situation that is

    unique, unstructured, or poorly defined.unique, unstructured, or poorly defined.

    Example: deciding to get a tattooExample: deciding to get a tattoo