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1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

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Page 1: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

1© TNS 2011

Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

Page 2: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

2© TNS 2011

Exponential growth in internet penetration

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

16,000,000

1,971,000,000

>1,000,000,000

Source: Internetworldstats

Page 3: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

3© TNS 2011

Netherlands

Russia

China

Ghana

69

79

62

51

51

32

40

75

36

18

14

65

22

8

30

15

Becoming a dominant form of media wherever penetration allows

Source: M1; Media Usage Frequency

Internet for leisureTVRadioNewspapers

Daily users (%)

Page 4: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

4© TNS 2011

Tanza

nia

India

Kenya

South

Afr

ica

Egypt

Nig

eri

a

Peru

Mexic

o

Rom

ania

Bra

zil

Moro

cco

Saudi A

rabia

Arg

enti

na

Port

ugal

Chile

Mala

ysi

a

Spain

Cze

ch R

epublic

UA

E

Taiw

an

Slo

vakia

Est

onia

Belg

ium

Aust

ralia

Canada

Sw

itze

rland

UK

Luxem

bourg

Denm

ark

Sw

eden

% describing TV as an important source of information at any stage in the consumer journey

Taking share of influence from traditional sources

Russia

Internet Penetration

Source: P1a-P3; Touchpoint usage throughout Consumer Journey

Page 5: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

5© TNS 2011

And only outpaced by the even faster growth of mobile

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

738,193,138

5,370,467,196

2,206,796,646

Source: Internetworldstats, ITU World Telecommunication / ICT Indicators Database

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6© TNS 2011

And only outpaced by the even faster growth of mobile

No. mobiles 2000738,193,138

No. mobiles 20105,370,467,196

No. mobiles 20052,206,796,646

Source: Internetworldstats, ITU World Telecommunication / ICT Indicators Database

Page 7: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

7© TNS 2011

Putting it in context

Number of mobile phones in Russia:

238,000,000

Number of people in Russia:

138,739,892

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8© TNS 2011

In bed whenI wake up

During the night

Earlymorning

Commuting

Latemorning

Midday

Earlyafternoon

Earlyevening

Lateafternoon

In bed beforeI go to sleep

Lateevening

Mobile provides a constant connection

70% of mobile and tablet users feel they are “always connected to the Internet”

Access by day part and device (all consumers)

PCMobileTablet

Source: H2, H4; Occasion use; Mobility attitudes

Page 9: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

9© TNS 2011

Fuelling the growth in socialTa

nzan

iaGh

ana

Indi

aUg

anda

Keny

aPa

kist

anSo

uth

Afric

aIn

done

siaEg

ypt

Thai

land

Nige

riaPh

ilipp

ines

Peru

Viet

nam

Mex

icoUk

rain

eRo

man

iaCh

ina

Braz

ilCo

lom

bia

Mor

occo

Russ

iaSa

udi A

rabi

aTu

rkey

Arge

ntina

Gree

cePo

rtug

alIta

lyCh

ilePo

land

Mal

aysia

Hung

ary

Spai

nIre

land

Cz. R

epub

licHo

ng K

ong

UAE

Fran

ceTa

iwan

Israe

lSl

ovak

iaAu

stria

Esto

nia

Sing

apor

eBe

lgiu

mUS

AAu

stra

liaJa

pan

Cana

daGe

rman

ySw

itzer

land

Sout

h Ko

rea

UKNe

w Z

eala

ndLu

xem

bour

gFi

nlan

dDe

nmar

kNe

ther

land

sSw

eden

Norw

ay

% using social media daily within total population (16-65)

Russia

Source: Internetworldstats, B1, I1; Frequency of digital activities, Links to brands on social networks

Internet Penetration

Page 10: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

10© TNS 2011

Page 11: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

11© TNS 2011

What is Digital Life?

Page 12: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

12© TNS 2011

The most comprehensive view of consumer attitudes and behaviour online

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13© TNS 2011

Digital presents four clear opportunities for brands to access different consumer behaviours

Reach1,938,059,098 people online in the 60 markets we covered

Engage1,627,969,642 people on social networks with 767,471,403 building relationships with brands

Activate846,931,826 write about brands whilst 1,391,526,432 read and are influenced by these comments

Convert1,577,580,106 people use Digital to research products and services they go on to purchase

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14© TNS 2011

Delivering a need to summarise the opportunity across these four areas into a single indicator score - the Digital Growth Index

ReachFrequency, behaviours, motivations

EngageStrengthen brand connection

ActivateAmplify positive buzz

ConvertInfluence decision-making

The Digital Growth IndexA single KPI

Page 15: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

15© TNS 2011

The Digital Growth IndexA precise view by geography and category

Russia China

Malaysia

IndiaPakistan

Thailand

South Korea

Singapore

Netherlands

UAE

USA

Indonesia

CzechRepublic

Low Growth Index

High Growth Index

Low Internet Penetration

High Internet Penetration

Source: Digital Growth Index; Internetworldstats

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16© TNS 2011

87

29

59

94

Internet Penetration

Global30%

Russia43%

68

40

47

72

Go online daily

Are brand fans on SN

Write about brands online

Research brands online

The size and nature of the opportunity will differ by audience, category, or market

% of Internet users that:

Source: M1, I2, I5, E9; Users, Consumers, Advocates, Customers

Page 17: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

17

Global Webcast

© TNS 2011

Global Webcast

© TNS 2011 17

Making friends with Russian social users – creating Digital Waste?

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18

“Social media is like a puppy.Everyone wants to start a community. What they forget is the 24/7/365 reality TV show. You have to provide the content, engage the community and focus on what’s important rather than just let it fall.”

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19© TNS 2011

Digital lives comprise many activitiesShare of hours in an average week online

23 hours /week

8.5

3.0

3.5 3.8

2.6

1.6

2.7 1.8

0.7

0.8Communication

Social networking & connectingEmail

EntertainmentMulti-media & entertainmentOnline gamingPersonal interestShopping

InformationPre-purchase & browsingKnowledge & educationNews, sport & weather

ManagementPersonal adminPlanning & organising

0.8

Source: S7; Time spent online

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20© TNS 2011

78

75

55

50

32

30

33

69

% agree

Meeting many needsThe Internet helps me to…

61

52

51

49

34

34

55

42

Global

Have fun

Better express my feelings

Explore my personality

Improve my self-confidence

Pass on news / events to others

Connect closely to others

Keep in touch with others

Expand my network

Russia

Source: A1, A2; Attitudes to internet

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21© TNS 2011

Upload photos

Upload videos

Write a blog

Microblog17

18

21

29

Leading to an explosion in consumer content generationEvery week I...

32

29

26

30

Global% agree Russia

Source: B12, activities done online

Page 22: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

22© TNS 2011

Which they share with wide networks…with massive potential reach for opinions and ideas...

RussiaGlobal

Total number of friends on SNFriends interact with regularly

186

48%54%

161

Source: B7, I1; number of online friends, online brand friends

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23© TNS 2011

And this environment doesn’t always welcome brandsConsumers don’t want to be bothered by brands...

Total number of brand friends% who do not want to be bothered by companies or organisations in social networks

6

5653

2

Source: B7, B18; number of online friends, attitudes to social networks

RussiaGlobal

Page 24: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

24© TNS 2011

46

52Consumer opinion on social networks

Expert review or opinion on a website

Brands must learn to join, rather than start a conversation.

As markets reach digital maturity, consumers are increasingly influenced by each other, rather than brands.

Social media offers vast potential audiences, but brands must understand that these spaces belong to the consumer and their presence needs to be proportionate and relevant. Tracking comments and understanding the motivations behind each conversation is a first step before taking part.

Brands need to earn influence by investing in social media outreach to participate effectively in these conversations.

Influential sources of information in Consumer Journey (global %)

Source: P1a-P3; Touchpoint usage throughout Consumer Journey Base: Buyers in last 12 months answering section P; 70441

Rising levels of online consumer conversation are competing with brands, who are struggling to be heard

This point links the presentation more

effectively

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25

Global Webcast

© TNS 2011 25

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26© TNS 2011

And, consumers are getting louder40,000 times louder than in 2007

Tweets per day as of June 2011:200,000,000

Tweets per day in 2009:2,500,000

Tweets per day in 2007:5,000

Page 27: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

27© TNS 2011

Tanz

ania

Ghan

aIn

dia

Ugan

daKe

nya

Paki

stan

Sout

h Af

rica

Indo

nesia

Egyp

tTh

aila

ndNi

geria

Phili

ppin

esM

exico

Peru

Viet

nam

Ukra

ine

Rom

ania

Chin

aBr

azil

Colo

mbi

aM

oroc

coRu

ssia

Saud

i Ara

bia

Turk

eyAr

genti

naGr

eece

Port

ugal

Italy

Chile

Pola

ndM

alay

siaHu

ngar

ySp

ain

Irela

ndCz

ech

Repu

...Ho

ng K

ong

UAE

Fran

ceTa

iwan

Israe

lSl

ovak

iaAu

stria

Esto

nia

Sing

apor

eBe

lgiu

m USAu

stra

liaJa

pan

Cana

daGe

rman

ySw

itzer

land

Sout

h Ko

rea

UKNe

w Z

eala

ndLu

xem

bour

gFi

nlan

dDe

nmar

kNe

ther

land

sSw

eden

Norw

ay

Brand content is firmly in the hands of the massesAnd there is an audience for it...

Source: Internetworldstats, I5; Number of online comment readers, Number of comment writers

% of total market population reading about brands online% of total market population writing about brands online

Internet Penetration

Page 28: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

28© TNS 2011

Tanz

ania

Ghan

aIn

dia

Ugan

daKe

nya

Paki

stan

Sout

h Af

rica

Indo

nesia

Egyp

tTh

aila

ndNi

geria

Phili

ppin

esM

exico

Peru

Viet

nam

Ukra

ine

Rom

ania

Chin

aBr

azil

Colo

mbi

aM

oroc

coRu

ssia

Saud

i Ara

bia

Turk

eyAr

genti

naGr

eece

Port

ugal

Italy

Chile

Pola

ndM

alay

siaHu

ngar

ySp

ain

Irela

ndCz

ech

Repu

...Ho

ng K

ong

UAE

Fran

ceTa

iwan

Israe

lSl

ovak

iaAu

stria

Esto

nia

Sing

apor

eBe

lgiu

m USAu

stra

liaJa

pan

Cana

daGe

rman

ySw

itzer

land

Sout

h Ko

rea

UKNe

w Z

eala

ndLu

xem

bour

gFi

nlan

dDe

nmar

kNe

ther

land

sSw

eden

Norw

ay

Brand content is firmly in the hands of the massesAnd there is an audience for it...

Source: Internetworldstats, I5; Number of online comment readers, Number of comment writers

% of total market population reading about brands online% of total market population writing about brands online

Russia

Internet Penetration

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29© TNS 2011

Messages are not in the control of brands Even a stranger on the other side of the world is trusted more…

“What other people say about brands can be trusted more than what the brand says themselves”

Disagree

11 62

“I trust the comments my friends write about brands”

“I trust the comments people I don’t know write about brands”

9 55

28 36

Agree

Source: I11, attitudes towards comments

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30© TNS 2011

Affinity comes at a priceApps represent a specific opportunity for connection...

Promotion/special offer

Access content

To use specific appsor games provided by the brand

61

45

43

GlobalSpecific market

To show that a brand is important to me 44

Source: I3, reasons to befriend / follow brands

Page 31: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

31© TNS 2011

“I’ve termed it ‘Open-source Creativeware’ to encapsulate the idea that much like open source software, we’re looking to create a blueprint or DNA of a creative campaign and then invite others to take it and adapt it and build it and grow it.”

Hugh Chambers, Chief Commercial OfficerBritish Olympic Association

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32

Global Webcast

© TNS 2011

3. Paths to purchase: Integration across the marketing and business cycle

Global Webcast

© TNS 2011 32

Page 33: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

33© TNS 2011

Tanza

nia

India

Kenya

South

Afr

ica

Egypt

Nig

eri

a

Peru

Mexic

o

Rom

ania

Bra

zil

Moro

cco

Saudi A

rabia

Arg

enti

na

Port

ugal

Chile

Mala

ysi

a

Spain

Cze

ch R

epublic

UA

E

Taiw

an

Slo

vakia

Est

onia

Belg

ium

Aust

ralia

Canada

Sw

itze

rland

UK

Luxem

bourg

Denm

ark

Sw

eden

% describing TV as an important source of information at any stage in the consumer journey

Taking share of influence from traditional sources

Source: P1a-P3; Touchpoint usage throughout Consumer Journey

Internet Penetration

Page 34: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

34© TNS 2011

Tanza

nia

India

Kenya

South

Afr

ica

Egypt

Nig

eri

a

Peru

Mexic

o

Rom

ania

Bra

zil

Moro

cco

Saudi A

rabia

Arg

enti

na

Port

ugal

Chile

Mala

ysi

a

Spain

Cze

ch R

epublic

UA

E

Taiw

an

Slo

vakia

Est

onia

Belg

ium

Aust

ralia

Canada

Sw

itze

rland

UK

Luxem

bourg

Denm

ark

Sw

eden

% describing TV as an important source of information at any stage in the consumer journey

Taking share of influence from traditional sources

Internet Penetration

Russia

Source: P1a-P3; Touchpoint usage throughout Consumer Journey

Page 35: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

35© TNS 2011

It’s not a straight substitution of one for anotherThe many are replacing the few

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36© TNS 2011

Mobile

CosmeticsCredit Cards

Personal Hygiene

Organic conversation varies across categories and participatory campaigns fuel conversation...

Low Levels of Category WoM

High Levels of Category WoM

Lightly Researched

Highly Researched

Source: I5, E9; Number of online comment writers, Product research platform

Page 37: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

37© TNS 2011

Creating differing opportunities for brandsThat must be bought, owned or earned...

Low Levels of Category WoM

High Levels of Category WoM

Lightly Researched

Highly Researched

BOUGHT

Buy media or produce a campaign that is engaging in its own right

EARNED

Earn media and invest in offline communication

OWNED

Ensure information-hungry consumers are kept up-to-date with information

EARNED & OWNED

Engage customers through multiple channels and

touchpoints

Source: I5, E9; Number of online comment writers, Product research platform

Page 38: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

38© TNS 2011

Unpacking the path to purchaseHow do we decide what to buy

Number of touchpoints used to research all categories – Russia

6.8 6.27.7

1. Become aware 2. Choose a product 3. Decide where to buy

Source: P1a-c; Touchpoint usage throughout Consumer Journey

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39© TNS 2011

Consumers are also empowered post-purchaseBrands can play an expanded role

Number of touchpoints used to research all categories – Russia

6.8 6.27.7

1. Become aware 2. Choose a product

5.55.9

5. Keep in touch3. Decide where to buy 4. Customer service

Source: P1a-P3; Touchpoint usage throughout Consumer Journey

Page 40: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

40© TNS 2011

Expert reviews (credit cards)

TV ads (credit cards)

Meeting expectations means delivering consistently on and offline…Touchpoint is important to me to…

1. Become aware 2. Choose a product 5. Keep in touch3. Decide where to buy 4. Customer service

21 20

24 23

51

453038 32

51

Source: P1a-P3; Touchpoint usage throughout Consumer Journey (credit cards)

Page 41: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

41© TNS 2011

Manufacturer’s website (credit cards)

Sales person in-store (credit cards)

And across bought and earned sources in-line with their overall role and level of importanceTouchpoint is important to me to…

1. Become aware 2. Choose a product 5. Keep in touch3. Decide where to buy 4. Customer service

27 2223 2340

35 3143

2942

Source: P1a-P3; Touchpoint usage throughout Consumer Journey (credit cards)

Page 42: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

42

Global Webcast

© TNS 2011

Wrap up

42

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43© TNS 2011

Marketing in a Digital Age

Content is the currency of community, shaped and consumed by the masses Understand attitudes and motivations Within the “new noise”, quality, rather than share, of voice counts

Brand as subject matter is alive and well, but brand voices lack trust Add value by facilitating content Add value by providing services to consumers beyond the core product

Touchpoints along the path to purchase are varied and fragmented Build connections earlier in the customer journey to minimise

the impact of negative buzz Online has reduced the dominance of TV; value is delivered when these

touchpoints complement rather than compete

Page 44: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

44© TNS 2011

“Digital is a business enabler, not just a marketing enabler”

Larry Bruck, Senior Vice President Global Media & Marketing OperationsKellogg Company

Page 45: 1 © TNS 2011 Shifting Paradigms: Insights for a changing world

45© TNS 2011