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1
The Application of Genomic Dose-Response Data in Risk Assessment
Harvey Clewell and Rusty ThomasCIIT Centers for Health Research
RISKRISK
2
Overview
• Background• Alternative Cancer Risk Assessment Approaches
• Applications of Genomics in Risk Assessment
• Examples• Arsenic
• Issue: location of key dose-dependent transition(s) below observed tumor range
• Formaldehyde
• Issue: relative contribution of genotoxicity vs. cytotoxicity/proliferation
• Genomic Dose-Response Methodology
3
Alternative Dose-Response Approaches under the New EPA Cancer Guidelines
• Linear (default)– Assumes linear relationship of cancer risk to dose
from ED10 (dose associated with 10% increase in tumor incidence) to zero
– Regulation typically based on 1/10,000 to 1/1,000,000 risk
– Most appropriate for directly mutagenic carcinogens with no effect on cell proliferation
– Can greatly overestimate risks for chemicals with a mode of action dominated by cytotoxicity and increased cell proliferation
4
Alternative Dose-Response Approaches under the New EPA Cancer Guidelines
• Biologically Based Dose-Response (BBDR) Model
– Preferred approach in EPA guidelines
– Supports risk estimates below range of observation of tumors
– Requires quantitative data on dose-response for key elements in the mode of action
– Complexity of detailed BBDR description (e.g. formaldehyde) leads to agency concerns about potential uncertainties
5
N I M 1 2
1
A Biologically Motivated Model for Cancer
Biologically Based Cancer Dose Response Model
Goal: capture dose-dependence of critical, rate-limiting processes -- despite a lack of information on the specific biological details
Key Capability:Describes the Interaction of Mutation and Cell Division
- requires data on D/R for- cytotoxicity/apoptosis- cell proliferation- DNA damage
- supports investigation of interactions between key processes
- DNA damage/repair- cell cycle control- cytotoxicity/apoptosis- proliferative pressure
6
Alternative Dose-Response Approaches under the New EPA Cancer Guidelines
• Margin of Exposure (MoE)
– Point of departure can based on LED10 for tumors or obligatory precursor events
– MoE selected to address human inter-individual variability and uncertainties in the underlying data
– Does not provide quantitative risk estimate
– Requires evidence of nonlinear mode of action (the hard part)
• Issues:– Alternative / Multiple modes of action– “Lurking” Genotoxicity
7
Proposed Approach: Biologically Based Dose-Response Modeling of Genomic
Data
• MoE Approach Using Genomic Dose-Response
– It may be a very long time before a fully-developed BBDR model gains acceptance
– Simplified dose-response descriptions that maintain a biological basis may be useful in the near term to inform both mode of action and dose-response
– Basis of simplified approach: nonlinear dose-response analysis of data on genomic alterations in key cell signal pathways
– Combined with quantitative modeling of cell signal pathways, may pave the way to a more detailed BBDR model
8
ConclusionsConclusions• The conduct of quantitative cancer risk assessment that
has minimal reliance on default factors requires knowledge of the key events leading to tumor induction.
• The same sorts of information can lead to the development of informative bioindicators of tumor response.
• Whole-genome approaches appear to offer the best chance for success.
• Computational approaches have to be developed in parallel with the experimental methods.
• These key events can be used for the purpose of extrapolations thereby reducing much of the uncertainty currently handicapping the process.
Excerpt from SOT RASS Tele- Seminar Presented by Julian Preston (EPA/NHEERL)
9
Mode of Action from a Systems Biology Perspective:Mode of Action from a Systems Biology Perspective:Chemical Perturbation of Biological ProcessesChemical Perturbation of Biological Processes
SystemsInputs
BiologicalFunction
ImpairedFunction
Adaptation DiseaseMorbidity &
Mortality
Exposure
Tissue Dose
Biological Interaction
Perturbation
Molecular Target(s) (Chemical Mode of Action Link)
10
Uses of Genomic Data (1):
Hazard Identification – Use of pattern recognition analysis to identify similarity of gene changes from uncharacterized compound with changes produced by compounds with known effects - can provide insights into key elements in mode of action
- essentially qualitative
- typically, little consideration given to tissue dosimetry
11
Uses of Genomic Data (2):
Functional Genomics – Characterize interactions of compound with gene regulatory network using temporal analysis and iterative gene over-expression / inhibition
- can elucidate key elements of cellular dose-response (e.g., switch-like behaviors)
- time-consuming, requires sophisticated analyses
- modeling of gene regulation is in its infancy
Growth factor
MAPKKK
MAPKK
MAPKPLA2
AA
PKC
PLA2
AA
PKC
MKPMKPIncreasingStimulus
Input Pulse (Conolly 2004)
12
Uses of Genomic Data (3):
Dose-Response – Collection of data on genomic responses to a compound over a range of cell/tissue exposure concentrations to identify dose-response for key genomic bio-indicators of response
- provides support for mode of action hypothesis
- requires characterization of tissue dosimetry or phenotypic anchoring A
ctiv
ity
/ Am
oun
t (%
con
trol
)
µM AsµM AsIIIIII
(Snow et al. 2002)
0
100
200
300
400
0 5 10 15 20 25
Trx mRNAAPE/Ref-1 mRNA
Pol
Ligase I
13
Heirarchical Model for Cellular Responses Heirarchical Model for Cellular Responses to Stressors (A. Nel)to Stressors (A. Nel)
Normal Epithelia
l Cell
Adaptive
State
StressedState
Pathology
Necrosis
Atrophy
Biochemical effectsGSH/GSSG ratio
Interactions with MM
Stressors (heat, pH change, reactive compounds, etc.)
Genomic alterations
HSP proteinsAnti-Apoptotic
InflammationToxicity
DNA-RepairProliferative
Apoptotic
Goal of Genomic Dose-Response Modeling:To identify Goal of Genomic Dose-Response Modeling:To identify key elements of each state and the points of transitionkey elements of each state and the points of transition
14
Example of Heirarchical Response:Effects of Diesel Exhaust Particles on
Cells:
(Gilmour et al., 2006, EHP)
15
Example 1: Inorganic Arsenic
AsOH
OHOH
O
As
OH
OH OH
AsCH3 OH
OH
O
AsCH3
OH
O
CH3
ARSENATE
ARSENITE
METHYL ARSONIC ACID
DIMETHYL ARSINIC ACID
As
OH
OHCH3
As
CH3
CH3 OH
DIMETHYL ARSINOUS ACID
METHYL ARSONOUS ACID
TRIVALENTSPECIES:
PENTAVALENT SPECIES:
MMA(III)
Metabolism of Inorganic Arsenic
16
Evidence for the Carcinogenicity of Inorganic Arsenic
• Epidemiology: cancer in multiple tissues
• Most common: bladder and lung
• Animal bioassays: equivocal
• Co-carcinogenic
• Mutagenicity:
• Arsenite: clastogenic, co-mutagenic
• MMA(III): genotoxic(?)
• Noncancer toxicity: dermal, vascular
• Proliferation
• Chemical activity: binding to vicinal dithiols
• arsenite, MMA(III)
17
Key Considerations for the Mode of Action of Inorganic Arsenic
• Tumors from inorganic arsenic observed in human populations at around 500 ppb, but animal bioassays at much higher concentrations have been negative
• Increased tumor risk from inorganic arsenic in drinking water correlates with MMA/DMA ratio
• Suggests role for MMA(III)
• Humans exposed to inorganic arsenic in drinking water have higher concentrations of MMA in urine than rodents
• Rodents: higher DMA
• No evidence of endocrine related tumors in chronically exposed human populations
18
Inorganic Arsenic
Exposures
Target TissueConcentrations
of Arsenite(and Trivalent
MMA)
BiochemicalTargets ofArsenic
Increased Mutation Frequencyand Tumors
Dosimetry Modeling Tissue Response Modeling
Biologically Based Dose-Response Modeling of Inorganic Arsenic
Carcinogenicity
Putative Mode of Action: As III / MMA III interactions with key cellular proteins
19
Carcinomain situ
Papillary High-Grade Non-Invasive
Papillary Low-Grade Non-Invasive
Normal Urothelium
Lamina Propria Invasive
Muscle Invasive
Metastases
p53-
9-
p53-
9-
Proposed Model for Bladder Cancer Progression
TCCs CIS
Primary Target Tissue for Arsenic Carcinogenicity: Urinary
Bladder
20
ROSROS
DNA
damage
OxidativeStress
Response
Co-exposure to Mutagens
Apoptosis
Checkpoint
stasis
DNA
damage
DNA repair
Proteotoxicity
OxidativeStress
Arsenite Cell cyclecontrol
Apoptosis
Checkpoint
stasis
Transition
thru cycleCancer
(+)
(+/-)
(+)(-)
(+)
Proliferative signaling
(+/-)
(+)
Arsenite Effects and Biological Responses Arsenite Effects and Biological Responses
21
Review of the Literature on the Dose-Response for the Genomic Effects of
Inorganic Arsenic
• PUBMED literature search concentrating on genomic response in in vitro and in vivo studies
• Prioritization and review of over 300 articles identified
• Population and development of inorganic arsenic genomic database
22
Results of Literature Search
• The database contains information from 161 unique studies evaluating 354 specific genes or proteins.
• 960 specific entries pertaining to specific genes or proteins
• 167 entries pertain to miscellaneous endpoints such as apoptosis, cytotoxicity, or changes in mitotic indexes.
• 1127 total database entries.
23
Summary of the Types of Data Describing Changes in Gene/Protein Levels Following Arsenic Exposure
Type of Data Total Number Percentage of Total
Information for specific genes and/or proteins
354 31%
In vitro data entries 700 62% In vitro gene/protein specific
information measured in immortalized/cancer cell lines
230 33%
In vitro gene/protein specific information measured in normal cells
470 67%
In vivo data entries 427 38% In vivo gene/protein specific
information measured in immortalized/cancer cell lines
44 10%
In vivo gene/protein specific information measured in normal cells
383 90%
24
0.01 uM 0.1 uM 1.0 uM 10 uM 100 uM
Oxidative Stress Trx
Trx Reductase
SOD1
AP-1
HO-1
GSR
TPX-11
MT-1
MT-2
NRF-2
Inflammation COX-2 IL-8
Proteotoxicity HSP-32 HSP-70 HSP-60
HSP-27
Proliferation FGFR4 Fos
Jun
VEGF
Myc
p70
Erk
ERK-1
ERK-2
EGFR
DNA Repair DDB2 Pol beta
Ligase I
PARP-1 Ligase I GADD153
Cell Cycle Control P53 CDC25A p21
CDC25B
CDC25C
Apoptosis p53
EGR-1
p105
p65
NF-kB Casp3
Casp8
Casp9
SRC
JNK
JNK3p53
Gene Expression: Increase Decrease Acute increase, chronic decrease
Dose-Response for the In-Vitro Effects of Arsenic in Normal Cells
25
High-Concentration (1-100 uM) Arsenic Effects on Cells:“Apoptosis” (Anti-Neoplastic Agent)
Arsenite
Non-specific Bindingto Thiols
Specific Binding to Vicinal Di-thiols
Depletion of NPSH
Oxidative StressResponse
Inhibition of DNA Repair Enzymes
(Ligase I)
UbiquitizationOf key proteins
Proteotoxicity Response
Inflammatory ResponseProliferative Signaling
Cell Cycle StasisInduction of Apoptosis
26
Mid-Concentration (0.1-10 uM) Arsenic Effects on Cells:“Toxicity” (Cancer, Blackfoot Disease)
Arsenite
Non-specific Bindingto Thiols
Specific Binding to Vicinal Di-thiols
Depletion of NPSH
Oxidative StressResponse
Inhibition of DNA Repair Enzymes
(Ligase I)
UbiquitizationOf key proteins
Proteotoxicity Response
Inflammatory ResponseProliferative Signaling
Cell Cycle DelayInduction of Apoptosis
27
Low Concentration (0.01-1 uM) Arsenic Effects on Cells:“Adaptive Response”
Arsenite
Non-specific Bindingto Thiols
Specific Binding to Vicinal Di-thiols
Depletion of NPSH
Oxidative StressResponse
Inhibition of DNA Repair Enzymes
(PARP-1)
UbiquitizationOf key proteins
Proteotoxicity Response
Delay of ApoptosisPre-Inflammatory ResponseGrowth Factor Elaboration
28
EPA / CIIT / EPRI studies on Genomic Dose-Response for Arsenite in Bladder
• In vivo: Drinking water exposures– Female C57Bl/J mouse (bioassay strain)
– 4 concentrations arsenate plus controls (0.05-50 ppm As)
– Genomic analysis of bladder tissues at 1 and 12 weeks
– Concentrations of all relevant arsenic species
• In vitro: Bladder epithelial cell incubations– Primary bladder epithelial cells
– Multiple concentrations, time-points
– Concentrations of all relevant arsenic species
– Compare mouse and human cells
29
Gene Ontology - Biological Process
30
Biological Process Categories Up-regulated by 50 ppm ArseniteFunction Name Unique Gene Total
positive regulation of apoptosis 6
anterior/posterior pattern formation 5
regulation of transcription, DNA-dependent 47
nuclear mRNA splicing, via spliceosome 13
cell cycle 14
intracellular protein transport 11
protein folding 10
mRNA processing 14
ubiquitin cycle 13
transcription 34
mitosis 6
carbohydrate metabolism 7
protein modification 7
cytokinesis 7
response to DNA damage stimulus 6
Preliminary Results of Pilot Study
31
Biological Process CategoriesDown-Regulated by 50 ppm Arsenite
Function NameUnique Input Total
cell-substrate junction assembly 5
collagen catabolism 5
proteolysis and peptidolysis 13
cell-matrix adhesion 5
cell adhesion 11
regulation of cell growth 5
integrin-mediated signaling pathway 5
signal transduction 13
cell differentiation 6
G-protein coupled receptor protein signaling pathway 7
development 7
transcription 11
regulation of transcription, DNA-dependent 13
Preliminary Results of Pilot Study
32
Dose-Response Characterization
• Develop and test dose-response approach with animal data– PK: predict or measure tissue concentrations of active
moieties in both short-term exposures and bioassays
– PD: link tissue concentration to cellular responses using in vitro and iv vivo genomic data
• Apply dose-response approach in human– PK: predict or measure tissue concentrations of active
moieties in exposed populations
– PD: link tissue concentrations to signal pathway alterations using in vitro genomic data from human cells
33
Human in vivo
Mouse in vivo
BladderUrothelial cells
Human in vitro
Bladder cells
Mouse in vitro
Bladder cells
Predict
Compare to understanddifference in response
Validate ability to predict in vivo
Extend dose-response
34
Application of Genomic Dose-Response Data to Refine a
Human Risk Estimate for Arsenic
• Validate in vitro genomic assays by comparison with data from exposed population in Mongolia (study being conducted by Judy Mumford, EPA)
• Apply human genomic dose response to extend tumor dose-response below the region of observation
• Proposed approach:
– Point of departure based on lowest LED10 for genomic response associated with non-adaptive response
– MoE selected to consider uncertainty in genomic data and human interindividual variability
Anchor in vitro dose-response to in vivo tumor incidence:
35
Hypothetical Impact of Population Variability on Cancer Dose-Response for Arsenic in Drinking Water
0.10.010.001 1.0
Concentration in Drinking Water (mg/L)
Ris
k
0.01
0.001
0.0001
0.00001
SusceptibilityFactors:
- Dietary intake- Nutritional status- Other exposures - selenium - mutagens- Genetic factors - metabolism (GST) - cell control (P53)
Linear
Extrapolation
Average Individual Dose-Response
Population Dose-ResponseSensitive / Resistant Individual Dose-Response
36
Example 2: Formaldehyde
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
T
um
or R
espo
nse
(%)
0 0.7 2 6 10 15
Exposure Concentration (ppm)
Kerns et al., 1983
Monticello et al., 1990
Formaldehyde bioassay results: rat nasal tumors
37
Cancer Risk Assessment Considerations
for Formaldehyde
Increased cell proliferation- Secondary to Cytotoxicity
DNA interactions- DNA-protein cross-links - Adduct formation
Tumor
Modes of actionDosimetry Effects
38
Predict decrease in risk at low concentrations using J-shaped dose-response of cell
replication
2.00E-04
3.00E-04
4.00E-04
5.00E-04
6.00E-04
7.00E-04
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 710
-4
10-3
10-2
10-1
PPM
DP
X (p
mol
/mm
3 )DPX dose-response for Rhesus monkey
Vmax: 91.02. pmol/mm3/min
Km: 6.69 pmol/mm3 kf: 1.0878 1/min Tissue thickness ALWS: 0.5401 mm MT: 0.3120 mm NP: 0.2719 mm
95% UCL on KMU
39
Final risk assessment model: Hockey stick and 95% upper confidence limit on
mutagenicity
2.0000E-04
2.5000E-04
3.0000E-04
3.5000E-04
4.0000E-04
4.5000E-04
5.0000E-04
5.5000E-04
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 710
-4
10-3
10-2
10-1
PPM
DP
X (p
mol
/mm
3 )
DPX dose-response for Rhesus monkey
Vmax: 91.02. pmol/mm3/min
Km: 6.69 pmol/mm3 kf: 1.0878 1/min Tissue thickness ALWS: 0.5401 mm MT: 0.3120 mm NP: 0.2719 mm
95% UCL on KMU
40
Use specific in vivo studies to develop a dose response model for activation of proteotoxic response pathways following formaldehyde exposure and differentiate dose regionsdifferentiate dose regions that activate cell homeostasis pathways vs. DNA-repair delays and proliferative pressure
Tissue Phase ReactionsCl2 HOCl + HCl
Normal Epithelia
l Cell
Adaptive
State
StressedState
Pathology
Necrosis
Atrophy
DosimetryDosimetryInhaled Formaldehyde
(1) (2) (3)
Mechanistic Dose Response Model with Genomic DataMechanistic Dose Response Model with Genomic Data
41
Formaldehyde Genomics Study DesignFormaldehyde Genomics Study Design
• Expose F344 rats to 0, 0.7, 2.0, and 6.00 ppm Expose F344 rats to 0, 0.7, 2.0, and 6.00 ppm formaldehyde for 3 weeksformaldehyde for 3 weeks
• Assess dose- and time-dependent genomic Assess dose- and time-dependent genomic changes using rat gene chips from Affymetrixchanges using rat gene chips from Affymetrix
• Evaluate gene family changes for heat shock Evaluate gene family changes for heat shock response (proteotoxic), oxidative stress, DNA-response (proteotoxic), oxidative stress, DNA-repair, cell cycling, apoptosis, etc.repair, cell cycling, apoptosis, etc.
• Develop qualitative and quantitative models to Develop qualitative and quantitative models to link genomic changes with cell behaviorslink genomic changes with cell behaviors• account for J-shaped cell-proliferation responseaccount for J-shaped cell-proliferation response• incorporate dose response of DNA-damage incorporate dose response of DNA-damage sensors sensors
42
Features of Genomics Study
Hybridized to a Affymetrix Rat Genome 230 2.0 array with over 30,000 probe sets
43
Time Point
Controls 0.7 ppm 2 ppm 6 ppm
6 hours no pathologyno gene changes
at levels 2 to 3
no pathologyno gene changes
at levels 2 to 3
Inflammation (minimal)at level 1
some gene changes at levels 2 to 3
Inflammation (mild)at level 1
Some epithelial hyperplasia of lateral
wall at level 2many gene changes
at levels 2 to 3
1 day Inflammation (minimal)at level 1
no gene changes at levels 2 to 3
Inflammation (minimal)at level 1
no gene changes at levels 2 to 3
Epithelial hyperplasia at level 1
no gene changes at levels 2 to 3
Inflammation at level 1Widespread epithelial hyperplasia of lateral
wall at level 2no gene changes
at levels 2 to 3
5 days no pathologyno increase in
ULLI for any sites at levels 2 or 3
no gene changes at levels 2 to 3
no pathologyno increase in ULLI
for any sites at levels 2 or 3
no gene changes at levels 2 to 3
Inflammation and epithelial hyperplasia at
level 1Increased ULLI on
lateral wall at level 3many gene changes
at levels 2 to 3
Inflammation, hyperplasia, and
squamous metaplasia at level 1
Widespread epithelial hyperplasia of lateral
wall at level 2Increased ULLI for all sites at levels 2 and 3some gene changes
at levels 2 to 3
Results of Formaldehyde Genomics Studyblue: pathology, red: cell proliferation, green: genomics
44
Time Point
Controls 0.7 ppm 2 ppm 6 ppm
8 days Inflammation (minimal)at level 1
Inflammation (minimal)at level 1
Inflammation (minimal)at level 1
Inflammation at level 1Widespread epithelial hyperplasia of lateral
wall at level 2
9 days Inflammation (minimal)at level 1
no pathology Some inflammation and epithelial hyperplasia of
lateral wall at level 2
Inflammation at level 1Widespread epithelial hyperplasia of lateral
wall at level 2
19 days Inflammation (minimal)at level 1
no increase in ULLI for any sites
at levels 2 or 3no gene changesat levels 2 to 3
no pathologyno increase in ULLI for any sites at levels
2 or 3no gene changesat levels 2 to 3
Some epithelial hyperplasia of lateral
wall at level 2no increase in ULLI for any sites at levels 2 or 3
no gene changes at levels 2 to 3
Inflammation at level 1Widespread epithelial hyperplasia of lateral
wall at level 2no increase in ULLI for any sites at levels 2 or 3
many gene changes at levels 2 to 3
Results of Formaldehyde Genomics Studyblue: pathology, red: cell proliferation, green:
genomics
45
-0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
Comp1
Comp2
Principal Components Analysis: 0, 0.7, 2 and 6 ppm
Conclusion: essentially no effect of formaldehyde exposure at 0.7 ppm
46
General ObservationsGeneral Observations
• No genes were significantly altered at 0.7 ppm in any of the exposures, nor were there any differences in pathology in the noses of the 0.7 ppm exposed rats.
• Transient gene changes at 2 ppm (at 5 days of exposure only)•Most not altered at the higher concentrations – including circadian rhythm related genes;
• A consistent pattern of genes changed at 6 ppm over time•Most of these genes were part of the group of genes altered immediately after the first 15 ppm, 6 hour exposure.
• Although only a small number genes were affected by the 6 ppm exposure, the GO categories for the longer exposure 6 ppm include gene families related to apoptosis.
47
Next Step: 90 day inhalation Next Step: 90 day inhalation studystudy
• Exposures: 6 hours/day, 5 days/week, 13 weeks
• Concentrations: 0, 0.7, 2, 6, 10, and 15 ppm (Same as in cancer bioassay)
• Endpoints for which dose-responses will be determined:• Genomics• Pathology• Cell proliferation rates • P53 mutation frequency (NCTR)
• Goal: determination of dominant factors in mode of action for carcinogenicity• genomic alterations• cytotoxicity• proliferative pressure• mutagenicity
48
Formaldehyde Genomics StudyFormaldehyde Genomics Study
Applications of ResultsApplications of Results
• Differentiate dose regions for adaptive (survival) Differentiate dose regions for adaptive (survival) responses and overt DNA damage responsesresponses and overt DNA damage responses
• Evaluate hypothesis of enhanced mutagenic potency Evaluate hypothesis of enhanced mutagenic potency at toxic concentrations as compared to lower at toxic concentrations as compared to lower concentrationsconcentrations
• Provide mechanistic basis for U-shaped proliferation Provide mechanistic basis for U-shaped proliferation dose-response noted in bioassay studiesdose-response noted in bioassay studies
• Consider possible implications for low concentration Consider possible implications for low concentration ‘hormesis’ with formaldehyde and other irritants‘hormesis’ with formaldehyde and other irritants
49CIITCenters For Health Research
Experimental Methods: Integrating Genomic Data with Dose-Response Analysis
Gene Expression Dose Response Data
One-Way Analysis of Variance to Identify Genes Changing
with Dose
Power Model
Linear Model
Polynomial Model (2°)
Polynomial Model (3°)
Select Best Model
Remove Genes with BMD > Highest Dose
Group Genes by Gene Ontology Category
Estimate BMD and BMDL for each Gene Ontology Category
Nested test to Select Best Polynomial Model
50
Experimental Results: Benchmark Models Goodness-of-Fit to Transcriptomic Data
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1
Probability Value of Model Fit
Fre
qu
ency
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
120.00%
Cum
ula
tive P
erce
nta
ge (%
)
Frequency
Cumulative %
p > 0.05 for 85% of genes
51
Examples of Individual Gene Dose-Responses
ID: 1383471_atModel: LinearFit p-value: 0.0102
ID: 1368215_atModel: Polynomial 3°Fit p-value: 0.0502
ID: 1370317_atModel: Polynomial 2°Fit p-value: 0.1002
ID: 1371736_atModel: PowerFit p-value: 0.4804
7.4
7.5
7.6
7.7
7.8
7.9
8
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Lo
g2
Gen
e E
xpre
ssio
n
Formaldehyde Dose (ppm)
BMDBMDL7.4
7.5
7.6
7.7
7.8
7.9
8
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Lo
g2
Gen
e E
xpre
ssio
n
Formaldehyde Dose (ppm)
BMDBMDL
9
9.2
9.4
9.6
9.8
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Lo
g2
Gen
e E
xpre
ssio
n
Formaldehyde Dose (ppm)
BMDBMDL
9
9.2
9.4
9.6
9.8
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Lo
g2
Gen
e E
xpre
ssio
n
Formaldehyde Dose (ppm)
BMDBMDL
7.2
7.4
7.6
7.8
8
8.2
8.4
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Lo
g2
Gen
e E
xpre
ssio
n
Formaldehyde Dose (ppm)
BMDBMDL7.2
7.4
7.6
7.8
8
8.2
8.4
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Lo
g2
Gen
e E
xpre
ssio
n
Formaldehyde Dose (ppm)
BMDBMDL9.4
9.6
9.8
10
10.2
10.4
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Lo
g2
Gen
e E
xpre
ssio
n
Formaldehyde Dose (ppm)
BMDBMDL9.4
9.6
9.8
10
10.2
10.4
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Lo
g2
Gen
e E
xpre
ssio
n
Formaldehyde Dose (ppm)
BMDBMDL
52
Experimental Methods: Integrating Genomic Data with Dose-Response Analysis
Gene Expression Dose Response Data
One-Way Analysis of Variance to Identify Genes Changing
with Dose
Power Model
Linear Model
Polynomial Model (2°)
Polynomial Model (3°)
Select Best Model
Remove Genes with BMD > Highest Dose
Group Genes by Gene Ontology Category
Estimate BMD and BMDL for each Gene Ontology Category
Nested test to Select Best Polynomial Model
53
Defining the Benchmark Response for Gene Expression Changes
Dose (ppm)
Lo
g2
Gen
e E
xpre
ssio
n
0 BMD
μ
0.5%11%
> BMD
1.349*σ μ
0.5%
54
Experimental Results: Benchmark Doses by Gene Ontology Category
Biological process GO Categories with the lowest mean BMD and other selected categories Gene Standard Biological Process GO Category Count Mean BMD Deviation BMD Mean BMDL Regulation of cell size 15 4.12 2.64 2.78 Cell growth 14 4.38 2.52 2.95 Cell division 10 4.46 4.51 3.02 Taxis 12 4.54 1.84 3.23 Chemotaxis 12 4.54 1.84 3.23 Sensory perception 12 4.71 3.53 3.36 Locomotory behavior 15 4.78 3.20 3.26 Pattern specification 11 4.89 4.26 3.46 Wound healing 10 5.05 4.84 3.50 Chromatin modification 10 5.07 2.90 3.39 M phase 11 5.08 5.53 3.68 Monovalent inorganic cation transport 11 5.15 3.41 3.43 Protein import 12 5.22 2.89 3.72 Neurophysiological process 28 5.27 3.15 3.67 Cellular morphogenesis 35 5.29 3.28 3.72 Negative regulation of transcription,
DNA-dependent 19 5.33 4.59 4.02 Cell migration 34 5.33 3.45 3.66 Cellular macromolecule catabolism 22 5.38 3.54 3.60 Establishment and/or maintenance of
chromatin architecture 13 5.43 3.53 3.78 DNA packaging 13 5.43 3.53 3.78 Other Selected GO Categories DNA repair 12 6.81 4.21 5.22 Response to DNA damage stimulus 24 5.99 4.17 4.54 Cell proliferation 73 7.12 4.39 4.96 Apoptosis 71 7.21 4.29 5.12 Inflammatory response 16 7.47 3.75 4.97 Response to unfolded protein 10 7.67 3.56 5.75
BMD for tumors: 6.4 ppm (Schlosser, Risk Anal., 2003)BMD for cell labeling index: 4.9 ppm (Schlosser, Risk Anal., 2003)
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• Merging genomic tools with BMD analysis allows BMDs to be estimated for individual functional categories.
• Preliminary analysis suggests that the BMD estimates for the genomic effects are similar to those observed for cell labeling and tumor incidence.
• The use of genomic data together with BMD analysis may reduce the need for expensive animal bioassays.
• Challenges will be determining which functional categories represent adverse versus adaptive effects.
• Future and ongoing analyses are being performed on arsenic, chloroform, and a receptor-mediated toxicant.
Conclusions: Genomic Dose-Response Analysis
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Acknowledgements
Cecilia Tan
Tom Halsey
Todd Page
Linda Pluta
Dana Stanley
Longlong Yang
Ed Bermudez
Jan Yager (EPRI)
Robinan Gentry
Bruce AllenAndy Nong
Tom O’Connell (UNC)
Chris Learn
Frank Boellmann
Annette Shipp
CIIT ENVIRON
Other Collaborators
Mel Andersen
EPA
Mike Hughes
RISKHappy Holidays!
EPRI Formaldehyde Council, Inc.American Chemistry Council
Funding
Rory Conolly
Mike Devito
Russ Wolfinger (SAS)
Jeff Gift
Elaina Kenyon