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From efficacy to safety concerns: A STEP forward or a
step back for clinical research and intercessory
prayer?: The Study of Therapeutic Effects ofIntercessory Prayer (STEP)Mitchell W. Krucoff, MD, FACC, Suzanne W. Crater, RN, ANP-C, and Kerry L. Lee, PhD Durham, NC
bHistorically one is inclined to look upon science
and religion as irreconcilable antagonists. . .
I maintain that cosmic religious feeling is the
strongest and noblest incitement to scientific
research . . . Q Einstein, A. The World as I See It
Systematic study of intangible bnoetic1 Q or bfrontier 2 Q
healing methods such as intercessory prayer, defined as
b widely practiced therapeutics with no plausible mech-
anism,2 Q is an area of great public and scientific interest,
as well as of great controversy.3,4 Although prayer is one
of the most ancient of healing practices, the scientific
literature studying prayer is still quite young. In this issue
of the journal, Benson et al report the sixth and largest
prospective, randomized, placebo-controlled study of
distant prayer cardiovascular patients1,5-8 in the STEP.
It is not surprising that so much of the study of healing
effects of prayer would be pursued in the bhigh tech Q
world of cardiovascular car e,9
as heart disease invariably faces patients, families, and loved ones with the
immediate prospect of death, myocardial infarction, and
stroke, either from the disease or from the procedures
associated with its treatment. In this setting, the cultural
practices of patients, families, and medical staff fre-
quently include the personal use of prayer or solicitation
of prayer with therapeutic intention from other devo-
tees. Previous trials include 3 studies in coronary care
unit populations5-7 and 2 in percutaneous coronary
intervention populations.1,8 STEP is the first report of
distant intercessory prayer in patients undergoing
coronary artery bypass surgery.
In the absence of mechanistic insight, attention to thequality of clinical trials science used for the study of an
emotionally and culturally charged btherapy Q such as
intercessory pray er 10 becomes critical to the interpret-
ability of study findings and to the utility of such findings
to the practice of medicine. In this regard, the STEP
investigators are to be congratulated for reporting a
large, prospective multicenter study using classic clinical
end points (as defined by the Society of Thoracic
Surgeons database), with rigorous quality control in the
study’s conduct and a thoughtful and rigorous statistical
analysis plan including sensitivity analyses for missing
data. The STEP study is unequivocally a landmark in the
peer review literature on this topic.
A few study design questions can, nonetheless, be
raised. bConstraints on how intercessory prayer was
provided Q excluded all but a handful of prayer groups
and may have affected the actual prayers performed by
those groups. As the authors point out, although on
the one hand this gave rigor to the prayer method
used, it may also have impacted the quality of the
prayer itself and leaves open questions about thegeneralizability of the STEP findings relative to other
intercessory prayer approaches.
The primary analytic plan also represents some
fundamental trade-offs, as is almost always the case in
clinical trial planning. As the authors carefully explain,
their prospective plan compared Group 1 (prayer but
uncertain) versus Group 2 (no prayer but uncertain)
and independently compared Group 1 (prayer but
uncertain) with Group 3 (prayer and certain). This
structure allows a single feature to be assessed for
efficacy in each comparison: the effect of adding prayer
in a double-blind (Group 1 vs Group 2) and the effect of
certainty versus uncertainty in patients receiving inter-cessory prayer (Group 1 vs Group 3). The trade-offs of
adopting this analytic plan, however, especially in light
of the data, are relatively unexplored in discussion by
the authors, and although rethinking the analysis plan
after the data have been examined may be fatally biased,
some discussion of the absence of even secondary
analyses of all exposure to prayer versus placebo or a
3-way comparison model across the studied groups
might have been helpful to readers.
Defining other features of the study cohort might also
have been revealing. Patients enrolled in the double-
blinded arms might still be inclined to guess or even
From the Duke University Medical Center, Duke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC.
Submitted June 27, 2005; accepted June 28, 2005.
Reprint request: Mitchell W. Krucoff, MD, Duke University Medical Center, VAMC, 508
Fulton Street, Room A3012, Durham, NC 27705.
E-mail: [email protected]
Am Heart J 2006;151:762-4.
0002-8703/$ - see front matter
n 2006, Published by Mosby, Inc.
doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2005.06.031
Editorial
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believe they know what their treatment assignment
actually was. In elective percutaneous coronary inter-
vention patients enrolled in a double-blinded prayer
study, about two thirds of patients not actually assigned
prayer believed that they were.8 In STEP, documentation
of what patients were actually assigned versus what they believed they were assigned in Groups 1 and 2 (uncertain
prayer and uncertain no prayer, respectively) might have
provided insight into the possible role of a placebo effect.
With excellent clinical science, overall, and a handful
of design criticisms inevitable in clinical studies, the
most striking element of the STEP report is in the
interpretation of the study results showing significantly
worsened outcomes in one of the experimental arms.
While presenting these results clearly and noting them
in discussion, the investigators take an almost casual
approach toward any explanation, stating only that it
bmay have been a chance finding. Q It is rather unusual to
attribute a statistically significant result in the primary
end point of a prospective, multicenter randomized trial
to bchance. Q In fact, such attribution is antithetical to the
very definition of what a error and statistical certainty
imply: that the worse outcomes are almost certainly
related to the therapy and not the play of chance. If the
results had shown benefit rather than harm, would we
have read the investigators’ conclusion that this effect
bmay have been a chance finding, Q with absolutely no
other comments, insight, or even speculation?
A more straightforward interpretation might have
been that patients who were asked to hide a clinical
study treatment assignment from their bedside staff and b who were certain that intercessors would pray for them
had a higher rate of complications, Q that is, that this
construct appears to do harm. Literally, from the analysis
plan, this bharm Q is measured relative to the double-
blinded prayer cohort (Group 3, prayer and certain vs
Group 1, prayer and uncertain), although Group 1 itself
had worse absolute rates of complications than the
standard care, Group 2 (no prayer, uncertain). Second-
ary analyses of the data that might help try to understand
whether the stress on the patient in the preoperative
period was the key detrimental factor or whether it was
the intercessory prayer per se that may be unsafe in this
patient population were not performed. If spaceconstraints limited the opportunity to present secondary
analyses, at least some indication of their potential might
have been commented upon.
Compared with the very high level of study design,
conduct, and analysis, the STEP investigators’ interpre-
tation of the study results appears to reflect more the
cultural bias that healing prayer could only seriously be
explored for effectiveness, not for safety issues. Cultur-
ally, bharm Q resulting from prayer is generally ascribed to
overtly bnegative Q prayer, such as h ateful prayer,
voodoo, spells, or other black magic.11 Positively
intended intercessory prayer is considered a priori to be
only capable of doing good, if it does anything at all. But
this cultural dichotomy is medically problematic and
ethically unacceptable in the setting of a clinical trial
performing structured experimentation on human sub-
jects. Particularly in the absence of mechanistic insight,
outcome researchers must be vigilant in asking thequestion of whether a well-intentioned, loving, heartfelt
healing prayer might inadvertently harm or kill vulner-
able patients in certain circumstances. Although the
STEP data do not actually prove that prayer had an
untoward effect on coronary artery bypass graft patients,
to simply write off significantly worse outcomes in one
of the experimental arms as the play of chance is in
striking contrast to all the other measures the STEP
coordinating center and investigators took to ensure the
safety of participating patients and quality of the study
data. Thus, although the STEP investigators used every
appropriate means of protection of the human subjects
who participated in their study, the casual approach to
the question of safety in the final data interpretation
promotes a dangerously ambiguous message to inves-
tigators who might be inclined to do research in this area
in the future.
In the study of noetic therapies and, perhaps most
particularly, in the study of intercessory prayer, unique
issues of personal sensitivity, underlying assumptions on
the part of the investigators, and ethical obligations
abound.9 A pproaching a patient to participate in a
prayer study before a procedure could inadvertently
alarm a patient, b You mean I’m so sick that I might need
prayer? Q
Even the assumption that standard clinicaloutcome measures are appropriate end points for
studies of prayer must be carefully examined; for
instance, many prayers for the sick contain the implicit
objective of easing the passage of the spirit out of the
body, an outcome which, by Society of Thoracic
Surgeons definition, would be coded as death.
In a randomized single-center study of prayer in
coronary care unit patients, Harris et al6 w ere supported
by the hospital institutional review board (IRB) to
conduct the study without obtaining informed consent
from patients. The concern leading to this design
element was a deep and thoughtful one: patient
awareness that a study of prayer was ongoing mightprofoundly change the spiritual landscape being studied.
The IRB was duly consulted, and the study design was
approved based on the IRB’s conclusion that this therapy
bcould not possibly do harm. Q Although for personal or
cultural practices assumptions of Divine benevolence
may be both relevant and satisfactory, for clinical
research, such an assumption could only be considered
scientifically naive as in the history of medicine there has
never been a healing remedy that was actually effective
without having potential side effects or toxicities.
Rigorous thinking is not an indictment of prayer or
prayer’s potential healing power. Rather, it is respect
American Heart Journal
Volume 151, Number 4Krucoff, Crater, and Lee 763
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for the complex, redundant, and relatively frail aspects
of human physiology in the setting of coronary
revascularization. In medical school, almost 30 years
ago, we were taught to define health as a state of
equilibrium and to understand disease as a fundamental
disequilibrium. Protocol addition of an influence we donot mechanistically understand into a physiologic or even
bmind-body-spirit Q disequilibrium such as heart disease
obliges open minded clarity in interpreting the results,
even if the results are not what we intend or expect. Both
ethically and scientifically, this approach should be no
different for the clinical study of intercessory prayer than
for any other novel therapeutic.
In STEP, the safety of patients and related ethical
obligations to study subjects were conducted, like so
much of the study methodology, at the very highest
level. Informed consent was required, and data and
safety monitoring board oversight was provided. The
data, on the other hand, proved to be counterintuitive.
The assumption imbedded in the analysis plan was that
blinded prayer would be effective and unblinded prayer
even more effective, with expected complication rates
of 50% in the standard care group, 40% in the blinded
prayer group, and 30% in the unblinded prayer group—
exactly the opposite of what was actually observed. In
the interpretation of obviously counterintuitive findings
as b what may have been chance, Q the STEP investigators
have allowed cultural presumption to undermine
scientific objectivity. Leading researchers such as the
STEP team should be underlining the imperative that
mechanistically undefinedb
frontier Q
therapy research—even well intentioned intercessory prayer—must be
scrutinized for safety issues at an equal or even higher
level than efficacy measures if medically important and
useful knowledge in this arena is to truly step forward.
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American Heart Journal
April 2006764 Krucoff, Crater, and Lee