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1 Overview of Comparative Economics Chapter I How do we compare economies?

1 Overview of Comparative Economics Chapter I How do we compare economies?

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Page 1: 1 Overview of Comparative Economics Chapter I How do we compare economies?

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Overview of Comparative Economics

Chapter I

How do we compare economies?

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Criteria for Classifying Economies

How do we classify economies?

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Institutional Mechanisms

Allocation Mechanisms Forms of Ownership Role of Planning Types of Incentives The method of Income Redistribution and

Social Safety Nets Role of Politics and Ideology

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I. Allocation Mechanisms

What good and services are produced? How goods and services are produced? For whom goods and services are produced?

Production → allocating factor inputs Distribution → allocating produced goods and service

Three basic kinds of allocation mechanisms:

1. Traditional Economy

2. Market Economy

3. Command Economy

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II. Forms of Ownership

Who owns the means of production? In capitalist economies, land and produced

means of production (capital stock) are owned by private individuals or private firms (Market Capitalism)

In socialist economies the state owns the land and the capital stock (Command Socialism)

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II. Other Forms of Ownership

Intermediate forms of ownership (like cooperatives or worker ownership)

Under socialism: central government vs local government ownership

Religious groups’ ownership

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II. Forms of Ownership

Market Capitalism vs Command Socialism United States vs Soviet Union

ALSO Market Socialism vs Command Capitalism Yugoslavia and China vs Nazi Germany

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III. Role of Planning

Centrally planned economy → planners’ preferences dominate allocative decision-making

Market economy → consumers’ sovereignty dominates allocative decision-making

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III. Role of Planning

Centrally planned economy is usually correlated with command socialism (Soviet Union, there are exceptions –command without planning → Soviet Russia during 1910s and 1920s)

Market economy is usually correlated with market capitalism (there are exceptions—indicative planning → France and Japan)

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IV. Types of Incentives

Material Incentives → paying people according to their productivity (their marginal product that maximizes profits for competitive firms hiring labor in such a system) Under capitalism → takes the form of rewards for

entrepreneurship and capital investment as economic profits

Moral Incentives → trying to motivate workers by appealing to some higher collective goal

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V. Income Redistribution and Social Safety Nets Social Market Economies (or some advanced

capitalist countries) → do their income redistribution through social safety nets

Command Socialist Economies → did not have to redistribute income → their governments controlled the distribution of income by setting wages and forbidding capital or land income

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VI. Role of Politics and IdeologyCentral controversy Is democracy linked with market

capitalism??? Is authoritarian regime linked with command

economy???

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VI. Role of Politics and Ideology Friedman “libertarian” laissez-faire → lack of

individual freedom In democracies, social democrat parties exist

(like Sweden) They support income redistribution and extensive

social safety nets They support nationalization and central planning They do not support dictatorship

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VI. Role of Politics and Ideology Authoritarian political regimes pursued market

capitalism (East Asia and Latin America)

Market capitalism is not a guarantee of political democracy

Islamic Fundamentalism Imposition of an Islamic code-Shari’a It is not a liberal democracy → individual rights and

freedoms are subordinated to a Shari’a and the religious authorities

Economically it does not follow neither capitalism nor socialism

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Overview of Comparative Economics

Chapter II

Market Capitalism

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Market Capitalism

Form of Ownership → Most of the time land and produced means of production (capital stock) are owned by private individuals or private firms

Role of Planning → Market capitalism is usually planned by the market (with demand and supply)

Material Incentives → In market capitalism material incentives exist in forms of rewards for entrepreneurship and capital investment as economic profits

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Market Capitalism

Income Redistribution → is usually done through social safety nets in market capitalism

Role of politics and ideology → Are market capitalist countries mostly democratic? Social democrat parties exist in market capitalist

countries supporting income redistribution, extensive social safety nets, nationalization and central planning

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Why market capitalism popular? End of communism →most former

communist countries are concentrating on market capitalist economic systems

Predominantly market capitalist economies are making efforts to move toward a purer version of this system

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Advantages and Disadvantages of Market Capitalist Economies Experienced enormous technological

advances and growth as they underwent the Industrial Revolution in the late 18th century “ability to revolutionize the means of production”

Experienced large macroeconomic fluctuations with serious downturns in the 19th century (unequal distribution of income and increasing concentrations of industrial monopoly power)

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Pure version of market capitalist system Pure version of market capitalist system does

not exist Closest to the ideal of pure laissez-faire

market capitalism are: Hong Kong Singapore New Zealand

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Efficiency

Static efficiency → no one in society can be made better off without making someone else worse off resources are being utilized to their best potential

given the existing technology Dynamic efficiency → allocation of resources

over time to maximize long-run sustainable growth technological dynamism destabilizing process of “creative destruction”

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Theoretical Efficiency of Market Capitalism Efficiency Theorem

The general ability of markets to allocate goods and resources efficiently through the law of supply and demand A complete competitive full-information general equilibrium is efficient

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Theoretical Efficiency of Market Capitalism Complete

For any good or service that affects someone’s utility, there is a market

Competition There are many buyers and sellers with free entry

and exit There are well-defined homogenous goods and

services No individual supplier has any control over the

price in his or her market

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Theoretical Efficiency of Market Capitalism Full information

All agents in the economy know everything about consumer preferences, production technologies, and prices

General equilibrium Every single market is in equilibrium in the sense that the

quantity supplied equals the quantity demanded of the good or service

If that does not happen: Surplus Shortage

Partial equilibrium with a few markets being in equilibrium

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Theoretical Efficiency of Market Capitalism Efficiency

Pareto optimality→ no one in the economy can be made better off without making someone else worse off

If someone can be made better off without making someone else worse off, then the economy is not producing as much as possible of what people want

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Why is a complete, competitive, full-information, general equilibrium efficient? Adam Smith’s invocation of invisible hand of the

market working across all sectors to allocate goods in a way that maximizes the “wealth of the nations”

He founded classic laissez faire economics He argued that the government should get out of the

economy (minimal government intervention) It is at the equilibrium price that the maximum amount

will be both produced and sold and thus actually consumed by public

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Invisible Hand

In the free marketplace an “invisible hand” regulates and self-corrects the economy

The market itself will regulate the economy Efficient producers will prosper and the

inefficient producers will lose The public will get the best product for the

lowest price Supply and demand will determine prices

better than any government official can

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Limits to the Efficiency of Laissez-Faire Market Capitalism Monopoly Power Externalities Collective Consumption Goods Imperfect Information

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Source of Inefficiency:Monopoly Power Monopoly power prohibits competition Monopolist will maximize profits by setting marginal

cost equal to marginal revenueExceptions: Natural monopoly

Characterizing an industry with economies of scale (declining LRAC) even at level of output equal to total market demand

Technological dynamism More competitive industries will be more technologically

progressive

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Source of Inefficiency:Monopoly Power Intermediate market forms

Monopolistic competition Many firms, each having some price setting power as a

result of product differentiation Excess capacity theorem

Oligopoly Small number of firms in industry with reaction to any

action taken by others Perfect collusion

Joint-maximizing cartel (OPEC in oil crisis) Longest surviving cartel?

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Source of Inefficiency:Externalities These are either costs or benefits that are

born by or accrue to an agent other than the agent generating them External costs negative externalities External benefits positive externalities

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Source of Inefficiency:Externalities External costs are negative externalities,

such as environmental pollution If the firm that generates pollution damages

another industry but does not reduce that damage → the private marginal cost to the firm does not equal the social marginal cost and too much pollution is produced, resulting in inefficiency

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Source of Inefficiency:Externalities External benefits are positive externalities,

such as technological invention without patent protection for inventors If an inventor has no patent protection, then other firms can

steal her invention and she may make no money even if her invention generates great social benefits

Private marginal benefit to the inventor does not equal marginal social benefit of the invention and too little inventing will occur, resulting in inefficiency

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Source of Inefficiency:Collective Consumption Goods Consumption goods=public goods → such as

national defense Because of the nature of such goods, it is difficult for

private markets to organize themselves to provide these goods in optimal quantities

The characteristics of pure public good: Nonexcludability of consumption: It is not possible to

exclude this kind of consumption Nondepletability of consumption: Everyone consumes it

simultaneously, and no individual’s consumption reduces any other individual’s consumption Free-rider problem

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Source of Inefficiency:Imperfect Information Unrealistic to have perfect information When one party in a transaction knows more

than another, special problems arise causing asymmetric information Akerlof “The market for Lemons” Principal agent problem Sub-optimizing behavior

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Macroeconomic Instability of Market Capitalism The General picture

The major market capitalist economies have been less than perfectly stable over time

There was a general increase in unemployment rates after the early1970s in many countries, associated with a general stagnation of economic growth, that appears to have been reduced recently

The considerable variation in capital investment can be explained by factors Exogenous fluctuations in new technologies that can serve as

the basis for the investment Fluctuations in government monetary policies affecting

interest rates Psychological fluctuations due to the “animal spirits” of those

making investments

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Macroeconomic Instability of Market Capitalism QUESTION

Why do these variables lead to fluctuations in the unemployment rate, since in a perfectly labor market, wage rates should fall when the demand for labor falls, thereby preventing the emergence of any involuntary unemployment?

TWO DIFFERENT ANSWERS Keynesian School Classical School

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Macroeconomic Instability of Market Capitalism Keynesian School

Rigidities of various sorts exist in labor markets and that capital investment can collapse and stay down for extended periods of time, as in the Great Depression

The implication is that government intervention through fiscal or monetary policies is advisable to stimulate the economy and to stabilize and smooth out business cycles

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Macroeconomic Instability of Market Capitalism The Classical School

Deriving from 19th century classical political economists such as David Ricardo

Market capitalist economies are powerfully self-stabilizing

Conscious government intervention merely generates inflation and intensifies fluctuations

To minimize unemployment, unions should be broken up and a stable fiscal and monetary environment should be maintained within a laissez-faire environment

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Laissez-faire Economic Policies Shift toward supporting more laissez-faire

economic policies There is a tension between asserting the

efficiency of competitive equilibria and recognizing the limits of the applicability of that theorem Chicago School’s (Milton Friedman) argument

draws directly from the efficiency theorem and follows by asserting the irrelevance or unimportance of the various exceptions and limits

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Chicago School

Markets are almost always efficient, so government should keep its hands off

The most externalities will be resolved by private markets if property rights are properly defined and enforced “free market”

Many of the goods provided by the public sector are not really collective consumption goods and could be more efficiently provided privately

Information costs are inevitable and cannot be avoided The Chicago School supports the Classical School approach in

macroeconomics Friedman is the most prominent advocate of monetarism in the

US With respect to distribution of income, people should be allowed to

keep what they earn from the free market Inequalities are the necessary outcome of providing sufficient

incentives for production, investment and growth

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Austrian School

They reject equilibrium analysis and emphasize dynamic market processes

Entrepreneurs are the most important agents in the economy They must be allowed to function freely, without

government restriction, so that they can lead the market to evolve in conjunction with the evolution of consumer preferences through process of innovation

Static efficiency is relatively unimportant It is the dynamic success of market capitalism that is its

most important economic feature

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Overview of Comparative Economics

Chapter III

The Theory and History of Marxism and Socialism

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Command Socialism

Form of Ownership → Most of the time the state owns the land and produced means of production (capital stock)

Role of Planning → Economy is planned centrally and the planners’ preferences dominate allocative decision-making

Incentive Structure → Moral Incentives-trying to motivate workers by appealing to some higher collective goal

Income Redistribution → The governments control the distribution of income by setting wages and forbidding capital or land income

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Command Socialism

Role of politics and ideology → Are command socialist economies usually linked with authoritarian regimes? Authoritarian political regimes also pursue market

capitalism Command socialism can also support democracy

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Socialism

An economic system characterized by state or collective ownership of the means of product, land and capital

Not actually exists as a system until the early 12th century

Its emergence based on criticism of feudal and capitalist systems that existed prior to its modern appearance

Criticism originated from religious sources favoring egalitarian income distributions and collective sharing

Became a secular theory of history and society in the writings of Karl Marx

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Is Socialism still popular?

With the collapse of Soviet Union and end of communism, nowadays many countries that have identified themselves socialist are attempting to move toward market capitalism

Why examine the socialist economic system? Many are still socialist in actual practice Frustration with efforts to move toward some form of

capitalism have led to a revival of socialist ideology in some of the countries

Difficulties experienced in the market capitalist world have stimulated reconsideration of limited elements of socialist model as reformist devices

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Development of Socialist Ideology:Religious and Philosophical Precursors It is originated in religious and philosophical criticism

of inequalities in existing societies and the formulation of ideal alternatives in which collective sharing and equality reign supreme

In ancient Greece → philosopher Plato described an ideal society of in his Republic

Christianity provided opportunity for socialism expecting the second coming of Christ → when all would be judged and there would be heaven on earth for the saved (millennium)

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Development of Socialist Ideology Thomas More “Utopia” described an island

where everyone shared and was equal Enlightenment of 1700 Secularized version of egalitarianism in

French philosophy by Jean-Jacques Rousseau led to French Revolution in 1789 The revolution was against feudal aristocracy and

inequality

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Development of Socialist Ideology In 1796 Francois Gracchus Babeuf is often

identified as the founder of modern Communism “Conspiracy of Equals” → abolition of private

property and the holding in common land Communism → local units of government in

France are called communes The term socialism originated in the early

1830s with the British utopian socialist Robert Owen

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The Marxian Worldview

Marxian → refers to the writings and views of Marx himself Marxist → refers to any view or idea strongly influenced by Marx

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The Marxian Worldview

Karl Marx (1818-1883) was born in Trier in the German Rhineland

Studied philosophy in Berlin Became a radical journalist Participated the uprising of Rhineland Spent most of his life in exile in London Supported financially by his collaborator, Friedrich

Engels, who owned a textile mill Together Marx and Engels developed Marxian worldview in

writings which influenced socialist thought

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The Marxian Worldview

Marx’s worldview constitutes a holistic system by seeking to explain virtually everything in a unified whole

His holistic theory is his integration of three major strands of 19th century European thought: German political philosophy French political sociology British political economy

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The Marxian Worldview: The Hegelian DialecticGerman Political Philosophy Hegel developed the idea of dialectic

All phenomena reflect a conflict between pairs of unified opposites whose joint opposition evolves over time to critical breakpoints where reality qualitatively changes

These opposites are labeled as thesis and antithesis

At the critical breakpoint their opposition generates something brand new, the synthesis

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The Marxian Worldview: The Hegelian Dialectic The ultimate Hegelian thesis is the Universal

Idea → God The antithesis is the individual person The synthesis is the state

The idea of emergent powerful and nationalist German state

These ideas influenced the movement for German unification that accelerated toward its culmination under Bismarck in 1871 and influenced the ultranationalist Nazi movement in the 20th century

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The Marxian Worldview: Historical Materialism Marx “materialized” Hegel’s dialectic by using the

idea of French Revolution The key to historical materialism → the idea that the

driving force of history is the dialectic between conflicting socioeconomic classes

The class conflict of the emerging industrial society between the bourgeoisie (capitalists) and the proletariat (worker)

The Communist Manifesto starts as “The history of all existing societies has been the

history of class struggles”

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The Marxian Worldview: Historical Materialism The struggle concerns

ownership controls of means of production

One class owns and controls the means of production and exploits the other class, which does not own and control the means of production

The technology of society → forces of production Combines with the structure of classes → relations of

production To determine the mode of production → the substructure or

base of the society that determines everything else, the superstructure, that is religion, politics, culture and so forth

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The Marxian Worldview: Historical Materialism The mode of production of ancient Greece and

Rome was slavery, characterized by the struggle between master and slave

The fall of the Roman Empire was a result of this contradiction → resulting in the mode production transforming from slavery to feudalism

In turn, feudalism was driven by the struggle between lord and serf and was transformed into capitalism

In capitalism, the struggle is between the capitalist who owns the means of production and the workers who does not

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The Marxian Worldview: Historical Materialism As this struggle reaches its peak in the most

advanced capitalist countries such as England and Germany, there would be a revolutionary transformation into socialism with state ownership of the means of production direction of a production by a common plan,

income inequalities and wage payments control by a dictatorship of the proletariat

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The Marxian Worldview: Historical Materialism Marx claims

Once socialism is accomplished, communism would eventually develop

All classes and property ownership would disappear

The state would wither away

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The Marxian Worldview: The Labor Theory of Value and the Breakdown of Capitalism Ricardo’s labor theory of value

The value of a commodity is determined by the amount of socially necessary labor time it takes to produce it

Contradicts the neoclassical economic theory that value is determined by supply and demand, with capital contributing to the supply side

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The Marxian Worldview: The Labor Theory of Value and the Breakdown of Capitalism Land and capital as productive but not as

contributing to value Capital goods as being the product of past labor,

indirect labor

Core of Marxian doctrine The true reality of capital was not the capital

good itself but the social relation of exploitation between the capitalist and the worker

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The Marxian Worldview: The Labor Theory of Value and the Breakdown of Capitalism The value of commodity (W) = c+v+s

Constant capital (c) fixed capital stock as measured in the labor time required to produce it

Variable capital (v) the value of labor power used in production that is the amount of socially necessary labor time it takes to reproduce labor, equal to subsistence wage

Surplus value (s) value created by the worker but taken by the capitalist, leading to exploitation “Marx’s modification of the labor theory” Marx concentrated on the “surplus value”- profit

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The Marxian Worldview: The Labor Theory of Value and the Breakdown of Capitalism Capitalist → capital investment → raising the organic

composition of capital c rises while s and v are constant → the rate of profit

declines The fundamental tendency of capitalism

Increase the rate of exploitation → by lowering wages or by working longer

The class struggle and the commercial crisis Concentration of capital in fewer hands and proletariat

becomes more miserable Eventually the contradiction between the forces of

production and the relations of production becomes so intense that the system is overthrown by the revolutionary working class

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Controversies in Socialism: Theory of Imperialism Capitalism had succeeded in transforming itself into

imperialism, expanding overseas into colonies to exploit their raw materials, cheap labor and new markets

The domestic market could not absorb what the capitalists produced, so they found overseas markets

With the enormous profits capitalist made from their colonies, they started paying off their working class → this changed this class into reformists rather than revolutionaries

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Controversies in Socialism: Marxism-Leninism Vladimir Illich Ulyanov known as Lenin developed

the Imperialism thesis Lenin noted that imperialism was expanding

unevenly The revolution would come in capitalism’s weakest

link, Russia Industrialized too late to participate in the conquest of

Africa Dominated by foreign investment from the leading capitalist

powers like Great Britain, France and Germany

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Controversies in Socialism: Marxism-Leninism Refocusing revolutionary expectations on

less developed countries became Marxism-Leninism, the official Soviet doctrine after 1917

It also became the guiding light of Marxist revolution in the 20th century in less developed countries from China to Cuba and to Vietnam

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Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917 Trotskyism Titoism Maoism

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Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917: Trotskyism Leon Trotsky, founder of the Red Army in the

Soviet Union, was Stalin’s chief rival for power after Lenin’s death in 1924

He was exiled in 1927 and founded the Fourth International, which fragmented into factions after his assassination in Mexico in 1940

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Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917: Trotskyism Trotsky and Stalin agreed about the need for

rapid industrialization, but they disagreed whether this should be done in isolation or in an international context

Trotsky supported the idea of an international permanent revolution, believing that true socialism could not be achieved in the Soviet Union without an international revolution

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Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917:Titoism Marshall Tito led Communist partisans in

throwing the Nazis out of Yugoslavia during the Second World War, with little assistance from Soviet Red Army

A strong Stalinist Tito broke with Stalin in 1948 and declared political independence of Yugoslavia from Soviet influence

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Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917: Titoism Tito developed a distinctive economic system

for Yugoslavia → worker-managed market socialism

State-owned enterprises in a one-party state operating with little central planning and with managements appointed by worker selected boards

After Tito’s death in 1981, the economic system in Yugoslavia deteriorated and eventually collapsed

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Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917: Maoism In 1949 a Communist insurgency led by Mao

Zedong took power in mainland China Rural guerilla movement that encouraged

egalitarian economic development in zones of revolutionary control

Imitated the centrally planned command industrialization model of Stalin

More emphasis upon rural agricultural development, egalitarianism, the use of moral incentives

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Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917: Maoism In the Great Proletarian Cultural

Revolution (1966-1969), Mao emphasized industrial decentralization complete communalization of agriculture total egalitarianism moral incentives

After Mao’s death in 1976, a decline of support in his ideas

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The Theory of Economic Socialism The Socialist Planning Controversy The Theory of Command Socialist Central

Planning The Participatory or Cooperative Alternative

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Theory of Economic Socialism:Theory of Command Socialist Central Planning Central planning first appeared in Soviet

Russia with the 1920 electrification plan Indicative planning instituted for heavy

industrial sectors under state ownership such as electricity, steel and cement

Long-term planning was on a five-year time horizon

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Theory of Economic Socialism:Theory of Command Socialist Central Planning Five year plans were broken down into one-year

plans from which monthly quotas for individual firms were derived

Each firm had a technical-production-financial plan that specified output quantities and prices input quantities and prices including wages levels and kinds of capital investment

One year’s overall general plan generally involved minor modifications of the previous year’s plan based in the outcome of that plan

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Theory of Economic Socialism:Theory of Command Socialist Central Planning For the first five-year plan, the material balances

were based on the inherited structure of production Figure out

how much of which final goods were to be produced the amounts of all the inputs required to produce those

outputs the inputs to produce those inputs

If a commodity was in “deficit” then either one of the three previous mechanisms would be drawn on or greater efficiency in its production would be induced or demand for it had been cut back

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Theory of Economic Socialism:Participatory or Cooperative Alternative Also known as the labor-managed

economy-Yugoslavia is the example Market Socialist System → state owns the

means of production Characterized by workers’ ownership or

workers’ management Combination of capitalism and socialism,

constituting a Third Way

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Theory of Economic Socialism:Participatory or Cooperative Alternative Workers will manage the firms There will be income sharing Productive resources are not owned by the

workers → workers enjoy usufruct rights to the fruits of the operation

Market economy → Any kind of planning is indicative planning rather than of the command sort

Workers can freely choose where to work

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Transition from Socialism to Capitalism Transition from command socialism to market

capitalism requires replacement of command economy with market

mechanisms in decision-making privatization of state-owned enterprises to move

from socialism to capitalism liberalization of the political system

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Transition from Socialism to Capitalism In adopting markets rather than command

Freeing prices from central control was the easiest thing Macroeconomic stabilization was more difficult to achieve

as sudden freeing of prices led to inflationary outburst Total output declined sharply with unemployment rising Establishment of the institutional framework that allows for

the open and stable functioning of markets is difficult Developing banking, financial and accounting systems A proper competition policy Laws of corporate governance and bankruptcy Opening to trade and investment Foreign currency convertibility

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Transition from Socialism to Capitalism Problems of privatization

Restructuring of enterprise management is more important than privatization

Countries that privatized quickly ran into serious problems (Russia and Czech Republic) compared to those that privatized more gradually (Poland and Slovenia)

Privatized firms in transition countries exhibit greater productivity that state-owned ones

The emergence of social problems as countries fell into deep recessions with high inflation and institutional instability

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Varieties of Advanced Market Capitalism

Chapter V

The United States of America:

The Market Capitalist Leader

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World’s Largest Economy

Not only the prime example of market capitalist economy but is technological leader of the world with very high per capita income

Its important role in developing distinctive institutions of market capitalism, such as modern corporation

From a nearly pure laissez-faire economy in the mid-19th century has become a mixed economy, but still laissez-faire oriented

The “darker side” of market capitalism, with relatively high levels of income inequality and poverty

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World’s Largest Economy

Oldest constitution of any nation on earth 1787

Well established private property allowed the market capitalist economy to function flexibly

Greatest crisis and conflict was over the slavery system that divided the industrial North from the cotton-growing South

Civil War of 1861-1865

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World’s Largest Economy

Leading in technology with the emergence of the American system of interchangeable parts and standardization during the early 1800s

Innovator in economic institutional structures and organizational forms

The key organization of the modern world economy → industrial corporation whose standard form emerged in the railroads

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World’s Largest Economy

Fordist assembly line production US automobile industry → modern multidivisional

corporation → General Motors Corporation

Mass production with rapidly rising productivity

Institutional foundation of modern American macroeconomic policy established in 1913 Federal income tax and the establishment of the Federal

Reserve System

Development of a strong financial system

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World’s Largest Economy

After WW I displaced Great Britain as the world’s leading financial power but avoiding a global role

Isolationist attitude → refusal to join the League of Nations in 1920

The Great Depression of the 1930s and the presidency of Franklin Roosevelt → expansion of the federal government’s role in economy moving away from pure laissez-faire

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World’s Largest Economy

Change in attitudes with WW II

Took the lead at the Bretton Woods Conference (1944) Washington D.C became the headquarters for the new

postwar global economic institutions → IMF, World Bank New York City → UN (successor to League of Nations)

The General Agreement on Trade and Tariffs (GATT) in 1948 → tariff-reducing negotiations and moves to expand international trade

Establishment of World Trade Organization (WTO)

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World’s Largest Economy

1980s → a period of deregulation of the US economy

US leadership of the word economy challenged by other countries, especially Japan

The stagnation of Japanese economy after 1990

New Economy high technology development in US in late 1990s, led by the information technology sector → reasserted its primacy position

A speculative bubble in the US stock market that peaked in early 2000 and high-tech sector has been in slowdown since

Recession of 2001 → terrorist attacks

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Historical Development of the US Economy: Growth and Reform By the end of the 19th century → the world’s largest

aggregate economy with rapid growth and industrialization Expansion of railroads Development of the new corporate industrial organizational

form

Major technological innovations Light bulb by Thomas Edison → General Electric

Corporation Telephone by Alexander Graham Bell → AT&T

Establishment of a strong patent system

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Historical Development of the US Economy: Changing Trends Rapid economic growth in the 1960s and early 1970s

dramatically slowed down after the first oil price shock in 1973

US economy only managed to recover in the late 1990s with high-technology boom after inflation was brought under control

The Soviet Union, America’s greatest postwar ideological and military rival, ceased to exist in 1991

Japan, America’s greatest economic rival, went into severe economic stagnation after 1990

America’s high-tech sector emerged in the 1990s

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Basic Ingredients of the American Economy: Natural Resources Labor Manufacturing and Investment

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Basic Ingredients of the American Economy: Natural Resources Rich in mineral resources

Fertile farm soil

Fortunate to have a moderate climate

Has extensive coastlines on both the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans and Gulf of Mexico

Rivers flow from far within the continent

Has Great Lakes → provide additional shipping access

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Basic Ingredients of the American Economy: Labor Steady growth in the labor force → led to constant

economic expansion

Until shortly after World War I, most workers were immigrants from Europe, or African Americans

Beginning in the early 20th century, many Latin Americans immigrated

They were followed by large numbers of Asians

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Basic Ingredients of the American Economy: Manufacturing and Investment In US, the corporation has emerged as an

association of owners, known as stockholders, who form a business enterprise governed by a complex set of rules and customs

Through the stock market, American banks and investors have grown their economy by investing and withdrawing capital from profitable corporations

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The American Corporation:Nature of the American Corporate Form America’s most important contribution to the world economy has

been its development of the organizational form of the modern corporation

Anglo-American Corporate Form that is different from those found in Japan, Germany and other nations Distinct internal hierarchies and divisions Led by strong and highly paid chief executive officers (CEOs) With relatively little control by banks, other firms, workers, and

government Ownership is by stockholders Tendency in recent years to make CEOs or other top managers part

owners by giving them stock options as part of their compensation Reduces the principal-agent problem arising from the separation of

ownership and control in large

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The American Corporation:Nature of the American Corporate Form In 1819 the doctrine of the juridical identity of

the corporation as effectively a legal person distinct from its owners

The emergence of the limited liability corporation, whose finances were legally distinct from those of the owners of the corporation

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The American Corporation:Regulation and Deregulation The rise of American corporations generated a broad movement to

restrain their power and perceived excesses

This began in 1887 with the establishment of Interstate Commerce Commission (ICC) to regulate the rates charged by railroads

Anti-trust regulations started after the passage of Sherman Act of 1890

Federal Reserve System regulated the banking system after 1913

Civil Aeronautics Board regulated airfares and airline routes

Federal Communications Commission regulate allocation and the use of the radio spectrum

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The American Corporation:Regulation and Deregulation Monopolies are allowed in certain industries

that were subject to rate regulation AT&T in telephone industry Electric utility industry

During 1960s focused on safety and environmental concerns Monitoring food and drug safety Consumer product safety

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The American Corporation:Regulation and Deregulation As the 1970s proceeded, movements to reduce regulations arose:

The first deregulation is to deregulate the airline fares and routes (The CAB was eliminated in 1983)

The ICC was eliminated in 1996

In the early 1990s the FCC moved to auctioning of spectrum rights

EPA moved to the use of marketable pollution emission permits, notably for sulfur dioxide

Long distance telephone industry AT&T

The deregulation of the electricity supply industry

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Prospects and Problems of the American Economy

The Problem of Poverty and Inequality The overall time trend of inequality

There was a gradual trend toward greater equality from the late 1920s

Increased dramatically during WW II Continued until the mid-1970s After the trend reversed and inequality has since tended to

increase

The role of government in these trends Transfer payments rising Social security for elderly Transfer payments to low income groups have raised

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Prospects and Problems of the American Economy

The Rise of the New Economy Second half of the 1990s

A steady decline of the unemployment rate Low inflation Decline in poverty Acceleration in the economic growth rate Increase in rate of productivity

The accumulated impact of computerization and the spread of new technologies as the internet

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Prospects and Problems of the American Economy

The Mass Consumption Society and Its Sustainability

High levels of consumption

Luxury fever “never ending pursuit of more and more expensive luxury goods”

Low savings rate and high personal debt/income ratio

US become its largest net debtor by the mid-1990s

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Back and forth: From laissez-faire economy to government’s intervention in economy and back to laissez-faire During much of the 19th century, US was almost a

purely laissez-faire economy In the 20th century, role of federal government

increased on various stages: Progressive Era Reforms of 1901-1909 New Deal of 1930s Great Society initiatives of the 1960s

Since 1960s US economy has experienced deregulation and other moves back to laissez-faire (although 1/3 of the economy is directed by some level of government)

US definitely has a mixed economy despite its strong orientation to market capitalism

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Conclusion: The United States of America: The Market

Capitalist Leader The world’s most dynamic and flexible society and

economy Immigrants from an increasingly diverse array of nations Established institutions of contract and property Evolving corporate forms, patterns of standardization

and mass production A tradition of entrepreneurship Technologically leadership based upon basic science

and solid R&D within a financial and institutional framework

The darker side of market capitalism with high levels of income and wealth inequality

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Varieties of Advanced Market Capitalism

Chapter VI

Japan: A Planned Market Economy

with Traditional Elements

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Japan As a New Traditional Economy? Experienced the most rapid rate of sustained

economic growth in the world

Maintained low unemployment and inflation rates and a greater degree of income equality

Leading many areas of technology

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Japan As a New Traditional Economy? Have large trade surpluses resulting in the

largest accumulation of foreign reserves

Number One? → stagflation in 1990s

Its conflicts with other nations on trade issues threatened to push the world economy into a trade war and depression

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Japan As a New Traditional Economy? Debates about the basis of Japanese

success Advocates of government economic intervention

argue that bureaucratic guidance through indicative planning and industrial policy has been key to its success

Advocates of laissez-faire argue that these have been more a hindrance than a help, with the most dynamic sectors ignoring the government bureaucrats

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Japan As a New Traditional Economy? A mixture of structures and systems unique in the

world

A market capitalist economy

The government engages in indicative planning and exerts significant influence

The first society of non-European origin to carry out industrialization and modern economic growth

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Japan As a New Traditional Economy? Succeeded in adopting foreign technologies and

practices without giving up its indigenous culture

Late 19th century slogan “Japanese spirit and Western ability”

Familistic groupism of Japanese society → a feudalistic holdover

Harmonious labor-management relations and government-business relations

Planned market capitalism with strong traditional elements

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The Microeconomic Foundations of The Japanese Economy The “Three Sacred Treasures” of Labor-

Management Relations

The Japanese Firm and the Keiretsu System

Managerial Decision Making

Industrial Policy by Government

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The “Three Sacred Treasures” of Labor-Management Relations Highly educated and well-motivated labor force

Many quality-and productivity-improving innovations suggested by workers on site

Three sacred treasures: Lifetime employment Seniority-based wages Enterprise unions

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The “Three Sacred Treasures” of Labor-Management Relations Japanese labor

Intra-enterprise job rotation by multifunctional workers On-the-job firm-specific training Bonus payments Compensation flexible Contracts negotiated annually Employment stable Large severance payments at retirement but few

pensions Dualism

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The “Three Sacred Treasures” of Labor-Management Relations: Lifetime Employment The key to stimulating loyalty and drawing forth

innovative, productivity-improving suggestions

Limited to about 30 % of the labor force, mostly educated men in large firms that must retire at age 55 with large severance payments and assisted in getting other jobs in smaller firms

Japanese workers more likely to stay with a single firm for a longer period of time, even in small firms

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The “Three Sacred Treasures” of Labor-Management Relations: Lifetime Employment Depending on

Stability of employment

Rapid growth of the economy between 1945 and 1990

Synchronized annual negotiating system

Bonus system → a form of profit sharing

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The “Three Sacred Treasures” of Labor-Management Relations: Lifetime Employment Development of firm-specific human capital by

rotating workers from job to job within the firm

Workers know all about the firm but lack skills that are transferable to other firms

On-the-job training of blue-collar workers → but white collarization in larger firms

Greater loyalty to firm → Confucian code Firms more willing to engage in firm-specific training if they

believe workers will remain for a long time

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The “Three Sacred Treasures” of Labor-Management Relations: Seniority Wages Confucian view of respect for elders

Steeper age-wage profile for blue-collar

Seniority wages reinforcing loyalty to the firm among lifetime employees

Expectations of performance-based pay

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The “Three Sacred Treasures” of Labor-Management Relations: Enterprise Unions If one is committed for life to a specific company One has been working at several different jobs with the

company, thus not being tied to a particular skill or craft → it is logical to belong to a union that negotiates directly

with that company and only that company

Stability of labor-management relations

“Happy family of the firm”

Critics “Inefficiency”

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The Japanese Firm and the Keiretsu System The existence of interlocked associations of firms →

keiretsu

Horizontal keiretsu Revivals of the prewar zaibatsus (single holding

companies) Firms in different industries all linked to a common bank

and trading company maintaining their formal independence

Vertical keiretsu A set of suppliers and distributors linked to a major

industrial producer by long-term contracts

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The Japanese Firm and the Keiretsu System Toshiba Corporation

At the center of a vertical keiretsu including distributors, suppliers and suppliers of direct suppliers

A member in Mitsui horizontal keiretsu

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The Japanese Firm and the Keiretsu System Horizontal keiretsus practice three sacred

treasures of labor-management relations

Peripheral firms in vertical keiretsus tend not to do so

Keiretsus → cross-holding of stocks In horizontal form → much stock ownership by the

bank and a large proportion of loans from the bank

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The Japanese Firm and the Keiretsu System Network externalities

Group membership may have a negative impact on profitability relative to independents run by founder-entrepreneurs

Vertical keiretsus may achieve efficiencies because their stable long-term contracts allow for just-in-time delivery, kanban system that minimize inventory costs and encourage superior quality control

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Managerial Decision Making

J-mode depends on both long-term relationships between workers and firms and long-term relationships between banks and firms which tend to hold for keiretsu members with lifetime employment systems

Top managers risen from within the firm increase the loyalty Management as the representative of the employees Labor-managed firms

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Managerial Decision Making

Horizontal coordination through processes of consensual decision making

Dependence upon workers for suggestions for improving the firm’s performance

Seniority-based rank hierarchies

Given long-term nature of employee-firm relations and of bank-firm relations, managers use longer time horizon for strategic planning

Emphasis upon maximizing market share subject to minimum profit constraint, rather than maximizing short-run profits

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Industrial Policy by Government Government-business relations labeled industrial

policy

Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI)

The state being the driving force of the Japanese economy → supremacy of government bureaucrats

High-level bureaucrats to high-level employment in top firms

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Industrial Policy by Government MITI intervention in markets → product

cycles Beginning stage of an industry

Infant industry tariffs Subsidies for special capital investments Rationalization cartels that carry out MITI-financed

R&D At the end of product cycle

To reduce closeout using depression cartels

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Industrial Policy by Government Overall rapid growth Export success of targeted industries

Shipbuilding, steel and computers MITI failed in the late 1950s to cartelize the

automobile industry down to two firms Honda → the most technically innovative of the

automobile companies and a great export success

Sony → rejected to produce transistor radios Both founded and led by strong-willed entrepreneurs

operating outside of the planning and keiretsu system

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Why Japan Failed to Become Number One

Macroeconomic Performance High rate of growth

High capital investment rate backed by a high savings rate

After bursting of the Japanese stock market bubble in 1990 Growth rate fell below those of other leading market

capitalist economies with unemployment rate increasing

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Why Japan Failed to Become Number One High savings rate

Confucian ideals High growth rates as consumption increases lag behind

income increases Individuals save to make down payments on homes Workers save for old age because of the combination of

early retirement with low pensions and low social security payments

The lumpiness of large bonuses No capital gains tax except on land Most of the postwar period, a relatively young population

But rapidly aging population

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Why Japan Failed to Become Number One

Macroeconomic Planning Policy Market capitalist economy with elements of a traditional economy

and indicative planning Sectoral and technological planning → MITI Macroeconomic plans → Economic Planning Agency (EPA)

Relatively low levels of government spending and taxation

Low level of social transfer payments

Low defense spending, due to US demilitarization

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Why Japan Failed to Become Number One

Quality of Life The highest quality of life

Top in life expectancy

Gender empowerment, (31st)

High per capita income and consumption

Low crime rate

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Why Japan Failed to Become Number One One of the more equal income distributions in the

world Egalitarian wage structure arising from the labor-

management system Workaholics in rabbit hutches

Environmental pollution

Problems of discrimination (against women and foreigners)

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Why Japan Failed to Become Number One

The End of the “Economic Miracle” Rising dependency ratios that reduce savings

Opening of financial markets caused by deregulation, leading to outflows of capital

Technological stagnation

Weakness of the non-tradeable goods sector

The failure of government spending to stimulate the economy

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Why Japan Failed to Become Number One Hollowing out of the industrial base as large

corporations invest in other countries

The emergence of a liquidity trap in financial markets

A decline in the rate of return to capital investment owing to overinvestment in the past

A credit crunch caused by the accumulation of bad loans in the banking sector

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Why Japan Failed to Become Number One A general disruption of the financial sector in the

aftermath of the collapse of the stock market

Deeper cultural arguments involving a breakdown of Confucian values

Saving-investment nexus Rapidly aging society, experience rising dependency ratios

that tend to depress the savings rate A victim of its own success as a society able to support

long life

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Why Japan Failed to Become Number One In early 1990s, a low rate of return for large

corporations resulting from overinvestment

After 1997 Asian financial crisis, credit problem

The collapse of the bubble economy

Technological leadership?

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Variants of Transition among Former

Socialist EconomiesChapter X

The Former Soviet Union:

The Myth and Reality of the Command Economy and Russia’s Economic Transition

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Transformation of Russian economy in 1990s Centrally planned economy was replaced by

an economy operating on the basis of market forces and private property

Some of the former communist states of Central Europe began their process of economic transition earlier

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Historical Background of The Soviet Economy: Until December 25, 1991 USSR was the largest country in the world

Occupied 1/6th of the earth’s inhabited land

293 million population (third largest in the world)

128 ethnic groups

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Historical Background of The Soviet Economy: Russian Empire before 1917 Intermediate case compared to underdeveloped

Asia and to industrially developed Western and Central Europe

Duality between traditional agriculture and military-driven industrial development

This duality produced undecided attitudes toward change and reforms: Change is seen as industrialization at the expense of agriculture

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Command Economy:Launching the Model Several economic subsystems coexist that ranged

from Self sufficient communes with mostly barter exchange

Individual small-scale proprietorships

Medium-sized businesses that produced for markets with the use of hired labor

Also publicly owned large-scale enterprises (mostly in heavy industries) that by nature were socialist prototypes using direct administrative allocation of resources and assigned labor

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Command Economy:Launching the Model This economic pluralism produced political break in

the ruling Communist Party

Leon Trotsky, founder of the Red Army in the Soviet Union, was Stalin’s chief rival for power

Advocated super-industrialization in the Soviet Union that would lead to a worldwide permanent communist revolution

Call for liberalization of domestic and international markets

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Command Economy:Launching the Model

Divisions between Trotsky and Stalin Trotsky and Stalin agreed about the need for

rapid industrialization, but they disagreed whether this should be done in isolation or in an international context

Trotsky supported the idea of an international permanent revolution, believing that true socialism could not be achieved in the Soviet Union without an international revolution

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Command Economy:Launching the Model Stalin supported an autarkic model of socialism in

one country

Exterminated his opponents (Trotsky) in the party

Established his own cult

Reasserted economic traditionalism in the guise of revolutionary socialism

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Command Economy:Launching the Model Implementing socialism in one country

required speedy industrialization For self-sufficiency

Military Buildup

Social transformation from a relatively backward agro-industrial economy into an urban industrial one ordered by the political center

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Command Economy:Launching the Model Disallowed market allocation of resources

State monopolized foreign relations

Closed the economy through restrictions on foreign trade, currency inconvertibility, and limited trade specialization

Accelerated industrialization, which favored producer and military goods at the expense of agriculture, assumed unbalanced economic growth

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Command Economy:Launching the Model Super-industrialization favored the teleologists

that asserted the need for long-run plans and opposed market forces

First Five-Year Plan in 1928 Central comprehensive planning Ensured political control over the diverse republics Grouping them into economic regions to meet

nation-wide production needs

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Command Economy:Launching the Model Prioritize industry over agriculture for sociopolitical

reasons

Emphasize on regional specialization

Deemphasize republic-level diversification

Establish state monopolies in key industries

Eliminate the entrepreneurial subsystems alien to socialism

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Command Economy:Launching the Model Agricultural collectivization

Forced collective ownership on peasants as a stepping stone to comprehensive public ownership

Success of industrialization program turned out to be a disaster for agriculture

An over-industrialized and over-urbanized economy with an inadequate and no longer self-sufficient agricultural sector

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Command Economy:Soviet Central Planning: The Beginning The goal of First Five-Year Plan was to catch up

with capitalist industrial countries

Success of the initial industrialization push attributed to central planning accomplished at cost of forced collectivization and a major decline in living standards The share of private consumption declined

Concentrated investment in growth-supporting sectors based on domestic savings

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Soviet Central Planning:Implementation Planning versus market

Planning is concerned with expanded reproduction and particular investment, with consumption deemphasized Soviet planning → Prioritized investment to catch

up with the West industrially and militarily Ignored static efficiency in favor of high rates of economic

growth

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Soviet Central Planning:Implementation Prices were used by planners to ensure compliance with

plans and continuous control over plan implementation

Domestic prices were distorted because they reflected planners’ priorities in distribution and production rather than relative scarcities

Pricing disabled rational decision making by producers

The planners used wholesale prices to balance inter-sectoral outputs and to provide for comparison of alternative production mixes based on different technologies

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Soviet Central Planning:Implementation In agriculture, government procurement prices

designated quotas promoted specific crops, individual regions and financially controlled collective farms

Retail prices produced inequality in income distribution

Two policies to solve: Free provision of public goods (health care and education) Low prices for mass consumption goods (food, housing,

transportation) while raising prices for luxury goods

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Soviet Central Planning:Implementation The gap between sticky prices and scarcity values

increased over time and lowered the effectiveness of planning

The planned creation of a socialist market where efficiency of production rose with diminishing inequality in income distribution failed Success in creating a second economy where market

forces partially corrected artificial shortages

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Soviet Central Planning:Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model Surviving agricultural producers:

State Collective Private farm

Stalin’s industrialization was dependent on the mass collectivization of peasants and the elimination of the well-off peasants (kulaks)

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Soviet Central Planning:Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model The collective farm (kolkhoz)

A pseudo-cooperative, with elected management ensuring a supply of agricultural goods to the state at minimum cost

The income of peasants at subsistence level maintained by household plots and individually owned livestock

Exploited by paying low procurement prices and by overcharging for state-owned tractors and machinery

Not have guaranteed wages and were paid in labor days Payments were arbitrary and variable depending on

regions, seasons and specific farms Consumer goods sold to kolkhozes at high prices

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Soviet Central Planning:Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model The state farm (sovkhoz)

Factories in the fields and were run under more favorable policies

If underpaid, compensated by subsidies State employees and got a guaranteed wage Have access to better inputs at wholesale prices

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Soviet Central Planning:Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model The individual farmer

Found in private sector Land in auxiliary household plots not privately

owned and cultivated only by peasants and state employees

Livestock was privately owned but usually pastured on collective or state land

Individuals worked on these plots for themselves and owned their produce but also worked for collective or state enterprises

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Soviet Central Planning:Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model The collective farm (kolkhoz) versus the

state farm (sovkhoz) Their coexistence served the sociopolitical goal of

crowding out entrepreneurship A decline in productivity and in absolute

production On collective farms because of price discrimination and

compulsory deliveries On state farms because of subsidization

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Soviet Central Planning:Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model Agriculture deprioritized resulting in

dependence on grain imports

The increasing role of imports of agricultural products and other goods inspired reforms in export sector and the overall economy

Raising questions about maintaining itself as a closed economy?

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Soviet Central Planning:Closed Economy: Command Trade Isolationism Its ideological underpinning is an autarkic

socialist country encircled by hostile imperialist countries

The anarchy of world markets could undermine the effectiveness of central planning

Domestic firms were protected from foreign competition and world prices

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Soviet Central Planning:Closed Economy: Command Trade Isolationism State authority over foreign trade and foreign currency

transactions through state monopolies

Planners determined imports and exports by balancing domestic inputs with projected outputs and making up for potential discrepancies

Export production derived from the need to pay for imports

Producers of exportable goods did not have direct relationships with foreign buyers but dealt with foreign trade bureaucracies organized at the industrial level

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Soviet Central Planning:Closed Economy: Command Trade Isolationism Foreign trade relations bilateral and highly politicized

The use of trade for greater integration with the socialist satellites through Council of Mutual Economic Assistance (CMEA or Comecon) founded in 1949

As a multilateral body to persuade these countries to adopt a uniform strategy of communist industrialization with the USSR

CMEA membership → USSR, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Poland, East Germany, Romania, Bulgaria, Albania (withdrew in 1961), Mongolia, Cuba and Vietnam joined later, Yugoslavia as an associate member

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Soviet Central Planning:Closed Economy: Command Trade Isolationism Two principles:

Extensive development that prioritized capital goods at the expense of consumer goods

An autarkic focus on import substitution and minimal dependence on western markets

CMEA countries dependent on soviet energy resources and raw materials

The idea of socialist international division of labor suggested intra-industrial rather than inter-industrial specialization

A collective isolationism from world markets and a tendency to create a socialist alternative to international capitalist trade

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Soviet Central Planning:Closed Economy: Command Trade Isolationism Intra-CMEA specialization acknowledged the benefits of trade

for economic development

The international socialist division of labor was shaped by concentrated planning rather than markets

The problems of inefficiency and non-competitiveness of individual national industries increased in the mid-1960s, leading to declining intra-bloc trade

Liberalization of trade with the West brought about by technological backwardness in the course of the arms race

Decade of trade promotion ended in 1979 with the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan

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The Reform Cycle:Reluctant Reform Thinking Soviet economy characterize pervasive protectionism

Enterprises were shielded against bankruptcy through centralized subsidies

No financial discipline and managers’ performance assessed on basis of compliance with the government’s plans

People were protected against economic fluctuations and the possibility of unemployment

The state monopoly of foreign trade protected domestic firms from external shocks and from competition with foreign goods

The network of commodity flows with preset prices and quotas created a sense of certainty in domestic trade

THIS ECONOMIC STABILITY LACKED ANY IMPETUS TO CHANGE

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The Reform Cycle:Reluctant Reform Thinking Reform and reformism unacceptable and interpreted as

dangerous Western imports

The strengths of Stalin’s economic model → Mobilization of resources for industrial catch-up Development of a military-industrial complex The postwar recovery through extensive growth

The weaknesses of Stalin’s economic model → Undervaluation of the opportunity cost of planned priorities

absent appropriate criteria to assess economic performance Protectionism downplaying economic incentives Vertical institutional structure producing shortsighted

bureaucracies and compartmentalism

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Legacies of Soviet Economy

State-planning for state-owned industries and demand structuring by the state budget

State-determined monetary policy with a one-tier banking system

State-run monopolistic firms, producing a narrow range of goods at state-administered prices and facing monopolistic suppliers

Risk-aversion by managers who were reluctant to innovate

Full-employment guarantee and as a consequence, the systemic impossibility of firms going bankrupt- a soft-budget constraint policy

State monopoly in foreign trade, administered prices and exchange rates reflecting the inconvertibility of the domestic currency

Fiscal revenues generated by turnover taxes and mandatory transfers of profits used to subsidize firms

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Problems with Legacies of Soviet Economy Monopolistic producers and risk-averse managers

lacked the motive to innovate

Full-employment guarantees hidden unemployment and favor labor-intensive production processes

Domestic production is not exposed to international trade and therefore, becomes non-competitive

State provision caused the creation of poor quality of public goods

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Slowdowns and Stagnations

Slowdown in growth rates from the mid 1970s

Economic stagnation in 1980s

Central planners’ inability to deal with a complex, over-industrialized economy’s need for constant adjustment

A succession of reforms failed to improve central planning, was unsuccessful in questioning state ownership

Late 1980s → legal recognition of private enterprise ranging from introduction of cooperatives to individual proprietorships

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Collapse of the USSREstablishment of Russian Federation After the collapse of the USSR in December

1991, the Russian Federation faced the demanding need for moving away from Centrally Planned Economy

Boris Yeltsin, the first democratically elected president of Russia, launched the sixth reform to undo the legacies of Soviet model

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Transition in Post-Soviet Russia:Boris Yeltsin (1991-1999) Destroyed of Communist Party’s monopoly

politically and economically

Failed to build a new pluralist society

Finished off the remnants of command economy system

Yeltsin took great steps toward developing a market economy: Price liberalization Mass privatization of state enterprises Foreign trade liberalization Introduction of full convertibility of ruble

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Transition in Post-Soviet Russia:Problems with Yeltsin’s Reforms Price and foreign trade liberalization created high inflation and

decline in domestic production

Mass privatization was accompanied by political rhetoric, contrary to the West’s economic emphasis on the fundamental importance of private property for the institution of a market economy

Voucher privatization forced negotiations in the regional implementation of privatization

Several local elites succeeded in seizing formerly state-owned enterprises

Local established elites continued to exercise their power

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Transition in Post-Soviet Russia:Problems with Mass Privatization By the end of 1995, Russia had completed the privatization of

over 120,000 enterprises

55 percent of the large and medium-sized enterprises sold could be classified as non-competitive worker-management buyouts

Labeled as destatization officially and grabitization informally

This mass privatization failed to improve economic efficiency and induce normal market behavior

Instead generated effects of persistent arrears (non-payment of outstanding liabilities) and sliding into a barter (non-money) economy

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Transition in Post-Soviet Russia:Problems with Barter Economy and Persistent Arrears The emergence of arrears due to the enterprises’ failure to keep

pace with collapse of demand in the short-run and to continue to produce

The underdevelopment of banking system played an additional role

Emergence of risk-free tax arrears and reliance on state subsidies

Resurfacing of barter economy 1960-mid 1980s → inefficient planned distribution Late 1980s-early 1990s → general shortages 1992-1994 → enterprises’ financial deficits Starting in 1997 → institutionally built into system and accounted

for 90 percent of industrial output

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Transition in Post-Soviet Russia:Problems with Barter Economy and Persistent Arrears Barter economy and persistent arrears (amount overdue)

locked regions into local transactions, hindered competition and corrupted the effectiveness of property rights

Privatization and price liberalization created income inequality

State revenues, which consisted mostly of profits from state-owned enterprises during the Soviet era dropped as a result of the recession and mass privatization

Issuance of short-term state bonds that offered high interest rates crowded out private investment

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Transition in Post-Soviet Russia:Deep Recession Russian industrial production fell by 55 %

Consequently, tax rates were raised creating a shadow economy

Budget debt increased

The rate of export dropped

The fall in oil prices magnified the current account deficit, causing a financial crisis that resulted in the devaluation of ruble in 1998

Severe economic instability and hyperinflation

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Conclusion: The Soviet Model of a Command Economy Created by a combination of internal economic

underdevelopment and international political discontinuity in the aftermath of WW I, when workers’ revolutions threatened many nations

Designed to produce a transition from a relatively backward nation to a modern industrial society

Central planning that is a superior tool for balancing economic proportions and maximizing the use of resources, produced disproportionate and inflexible economic outcomes

Producing many problems, agriculture being a prominent example