1 Normal Distribution

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    HYPOTHESIS

    TESTING- NORMALDISTRIBUTION

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    is symmetrical about the mean.

    is asymptotic. That is the curve gets closer and

    closer to theX-axis but never actually touches it.Has its mean, , to determine its location and itsstandard deviation, , to determine its dispersion.

    The Normal probability distribution

    is bell-shaped and has a single peak at the

    center of the distribution.

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    -

    5

    0

    .

    4

    0

    .

    3

    0

    .

    2

    0

    .

    1

    .

    0

    x

    f

    (

    x

    r

    a l

    i

    t

    r b u i

    o n :

    m = 0 ,

    s2 = 1

    Mean, median, and

    mode are equal

    Theoretically, curve

    extends to

    infinity

    a

    Characteristics of a Normal Distribution

    Normal curve issymmetrical

    7-10

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    Standard Normal (Z) Table

    There are infinite number of combination of and exist, an infinite number of normal

    distributions exist and an infinite number of

    tables would be required.

    However, by standardizing the data, we need

    only one table- Z table

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    The Standard NormalProbability Distribution

    Xz

    It is also called the

    z distribution.

    The standardnormal distributionis a normal distribution

    with a mean of 0 and astandard deviation of 1.

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    Uses of normal distribution

    Finding probabilities corresponding to knownvalue of X or Z

    Given X or Z value: find the probability of its

    occurrence Finding values of X or Z corresponding to

    known probabilities

    Given the probability of occurrence: find the X orZ that would occur

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    Finding probability corresponding toknown values of X or Z

    Example: An engineering firms contracts receivedper year follows a normal distribution with = 50and = 5

    Area under a normal bell shaped curve for this firmrelate to the entire history of the firm representing thepopulation

    The probabilities or proportion of the area under the

    curve must add up to 1

    Q) Firm wants to know what is the probability that itwill receive between 50 - 55 contracts next year?

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    Finding probability correspondingto known values of X or Z

    Converting to standard normal value

    From the Z table for Z=1.00 the associatedprobability = 0.3413

    Az-value of 1 indicates that the value of 55 isone standard deviation above the mean of 50.

    00.1

    5

    5055

    Z

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    Finding Probabilities Corresponding to KnownValues

    -3 -2 -1 +1 +2 +3

    35

    -3

    40

    -2

    45

    -1

    50

    0

    55

    +1

    60

    +2

    65

    +3

    Area is 0.3413

    Z Scale

    Z Scale

    (=50, =5)

    Area between and + 1= 0.3431

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    Finding probability correspondingto known values of X or Z

    If the firm wants to find out what is theprobability that it will get between 45 to 50contracts next year?

    Z = -1.00

    Area between and - 1 = -0.3431

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    Finding probability correspondingto known values of X or Z

    What is the probability for the firm to getcontracts between 45 and 55 next year?

    Area between 1 = (2 x 0.3431) = 0.6826

    Similarly area between 2 = 0.9544

    Area between 3 = 0.9973

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    Areas Under the Normal

    Curve

    Practically all is within three standard

    deviations of the mean.

    + 3

    About 68 percent of

    the area under the

    normal curve is withinone standard deviation

    of the mean.

    + 1

    About 95 percent is within two standard

    deviations of the mean.

    + 2