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1
Nepal’s Export Potential
International Trade Center(ITC), Geneva
Researcher: Andreas Lendle
2
Nepal’s
Examined 18 products and services
Great Export Potential:
• Large cardamom
• Lentil
• Tea
• Instant Noodles
• Medicinal herbs and oil
3
Nepal’s
Tourism and Labor: Services found to
show much promise
Labor: Largest export worth US $ 2.4 billion
and will remain in future too.
Tourism: US $ 352 million in 2008.
Lentil: US $ 22 million followed by
pashmina products and large cardamom
4
Nepal’s
Potential was determined on the basis of:• Existing level of export• Size of the world market and conditions of • market access (tariff structure)• Domestic supply condition.Medium-level export potential (Other sectors)Ginger, honey, silver jewellery, pashmina products, wool products, information technology and business process outsourcing(BPO) services and engineering services
5
Nepal’s
Low Potential
Handmade paper, health services and
educational services
Examined 18 sectors: 12 goods and 06
service sector
Comparative Advantage
9 products in terms of tariffs being imposed on
Nepal against its top five competitors
6
Nepal’s
Advantages in (Tariffs)
Ginger, honey, tea, Instant Noodle,
Medicinal herbs, silver Jewellery,
Transformer, Pashmina and Wool products
in terms of tariffs.
Disadvantage Against Other Competitors
Handmade paper, Lentil
7
Nepal’s
SuggestionsReduce high dependency on India for export of:• Cardamom, ginger, Lentil and Tea.• Brand these products including NoodlesOffshore Business • Significant potential but hardly utilized• Some sectors needed government support despite
their low potentials as they can have a significant impact on poverty reduction
8
Nepal’s
Socio-Economic Impact
1. Instant Noodle
2. Handmade Paper
3. Medicinal Herbs and wool products and
4. Services like tourism and labor
9
Business Environment: Nepal
Environment Scaring Away Investors• Security• Law and Order• Load Shedding• Credit Difficulties and continuous poor
performance environment in the World Bank Ranking
• No Loan, high interest rate(14-15%) not feasible
• Labor problem
10
BE: Nepal
World Bank(2010). Logistic PerformanceIndex(LPI)
• Nepal: One of the top poorest performers in the world in terms of:
• Logistical support while exporting and importing goods
• Worse than other South Asian Countries• Stands at 147th position out of 155 countries rated• Somalia: Worst Performer• Germany: Best Performer
11
BE: Nepal
Reasons• Freight cost due to landlocked nature• No easy access to sea port like Switzerland• No railway• No fast track road• Existing road infrastructure is also poor and
frequently obstructed• Syndicate system and increase in transportation
cost
12
BE: Nepal
World Bank: Doing Business 2010Nepal’s Position 123 from 121 in 2009Deteriorating Areas:• Starting business• Dealing with construction permits• Paying taxes• Level of Labor Rigidity• Getting Credit• Trading Across boarder• Protection of investors
13
BE: Nepal
• Nepal’s position is the worst in South Asia
regarding labor rigidity, one step ahead of
Afghanistan in trading across boarder
• Remained same in the areas of enforcing contracts and closing business
• Did better in Ease of registering property in which Nepal performed the best in South Asia
14
BE: NEPAL
CONCLUSION
‘One after another report about the worsening situation in Nepal to do business scares away the potential investors from within the country and outside.’