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1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

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Page 1: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

1

Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group

By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG)

April 19, 2006

Page 2: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 2Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

AGENDA

3:00 5 minutes INTRODUCTION: Mike Meyer3:00 10 minutes SUMMARY AND BOUNDS TO THE

PROBLEM: Karen Buxbaum3:15 20 minutes MICROBIOLOGY: Mary Voytek3:35 20 minutes MARS, WHERE WATER IS IN

EQUILIBRIUM: Bill Boynton3:55 20 minutes POSSIBLE LONG-TERM DISEQUILIBRIUM

ENVIRONMENTS: Hort Newsom3:15 15 minutes CONCLUSIONS: Dave Beaty3:30 30 minutes PANEL DISCUSSION

Page 3: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 3Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Introductory Remarks

Michael Meyer

Page 4: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 4Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

What is the Problem?

• The existing definition of ‘special region’ – includes several critical terms that are ambiguous, and

mean different things to different people

– the short list of practical implementation guidelines is incomplete, and possibly in error

• MEPAG was asked to propose a clarification of the definition that is acceptable to the science community.– No presumption that what is acceptable to science will be

equally acceptable to other stakeholders

Page 5: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 5Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

DEFINITION #1

Existing definition of “special region” (from COSPAR 2002 & 2005, NASA, 2005):

“… a region within which terrestrial organisms are likely to propagate, or a region which is interpreted to have a high potential for the existence of extant Martian life forms. Given current understanding, this applies to regions where liquid water is present or may occur. Specific examples include but are not limited to:

• Subsurface access in an area and to a depth where the presence of liquid water is probable

• Penetration into the polar caps• Areas of hydrothermal activity”

Page 6: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 6Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Team Roster

Mike Hecht JPL

Vicky Hipkin Canadian Space Agency

Thomas Kieft NM Inst. Mining & Tech

Rocco Mancinelli SETI Institute, ARC

Eric McDonald

Desert Research Inst.

Chris McKay ARC

Mike Mellon Univ. Colorado

Horton Newsom Univ. New Mexico

Gian Ori IRSPS, Italy

Dave Paige UCLA

Andy Schuerger Univ. Florida

Mitch Sogin Marine Biological Laboratory

Andrew Steele Carnegie Inst. of Wash.

Ken Tanaka USGS, Flagstaff

Mary Voytek USGS, Reston

Name Affiliation

Dave Beaty, co-chair

Mars Program Office, JPL

Karen Buxbaum, co-chair

Mars Program Office, JPL

Michael Meyer, co-chair

Mars Program Office, NASA HQ

Andy Spry JPL

Nadine Barlow Northern Ariz. Univ.

Bill Boynton Univ. Arizona

Ben Clark LMA

Jody Deming Univ. Washington

Peter Doran Univ. Illinois

Ken Edgett Malin Space Sci. Syst.

Steve Hancock Foils Engineering

Jim Head Brown Univ.

Page 7: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 7Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Change Speakers to

Karen Buxbaum

Page 8: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 8Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Clarification of Terms

Special Region“A region within which terrestrial organisms are likely to propagate, or a region which is interpreted to have a high potential for the existence of extant martian life forms.”

Accepted meaning here is “reproduce,” NOT grow,

survive, or disperse

“likely” is misleading; intent is “could possibly”

SECOND CLAUSE: No data; deferred to future workers

Page 9: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 9Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Summary of this Presentation

Bounds to the Problem: 1. Proposed time scale: 100 years. 2. Depth of relevance for most missions: 5m.Key Findings:1. Threshold parameters for propagation of terrestrial organisms:

T and aw. Other known limits to life are not practically useful for this analysis.

2. Where Mars is in thermodynamic equilibrium, T and aw in the near-surface environment are well below the propagation thresholds.

3. Some geologic environments on Mars are, or could be, in long-term disequilibrium. Such environments may exceed the propagation threshold values.

4. Proposed guidelines for possible naturally-occurring and spacecraft-induced “special regions.”

Page 10: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 10Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Summary of this Presentation

Bounds to the Problem: 1. Proposed time scale: 100 years 2. Depth of relevance for most missions: 5mKey Findings:1. Threshold parameters for propagation of terrestrial organisms:

T and aw. Other known limits to life are not practically useful for this analysis.

2. Where Mars is in thermodynamic equilibrium, T and aw in the near-surface environment are well below the propagation thresholds.

3. Some geologic environments on Mars are, or could be, in long-term disequilibrium. Such environments may exceed the propagation threshold values.

4. Proposed guidelines for possible naturally-occurring and spacecraft-induced “special regions.”

Page 11: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 11Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

How Far into the Future?

• Timeframe: 100 Years– Suggested by the NASA PPO, acceptable to the SR-

SAG after significant discussion.– This is a MAJOR difference compared to PREVCOM

study, which considered protection of Mars forever.– Primary implication: Don’t need to consider future

climate change as a result of the obliquity cycle (order of 104 years). For practical purposes, it is thought the climate will be the same 100 years from today as it is today.

PREMISE. A 100-year time span may be used to assess the potential for special regions that may be encountered by any given mission.

Page 12: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 12Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

A Practical Depth Consideration

Although all of Mars (in 3-D) is protected, the part that has practical relevance is that which can be reached by spacecraft contamination.

Page 13: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 13Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Spacecraft Contamination

FINDING. Although naturally occurring special regions anywhere in the 3-D volume of Mars need protection, only those in the outermost ~5 m of the martian crust can be inadvertently contaminated by a spacecraft crash—special regions deeper than that are not of practical relevance for missions with a mass up to about 2400 kg.

• >5 m. The SR-SAG proposes that missions involving deliberate subsurface access deeper than 5 m be required to present a specific analysis of the possibility of special conditions, natural or induced, at their proposed landing site, down to their designed access depth.

Page 14: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 14Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Change Speakers to

Mary Voytek

Page 15: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 15Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Summary of this Presentation

Bounds to the Problem: 1. Proposed time scale: 100 years 2. Depth of relevance for most missions: 5mKey Findings:1. Threshold parameters for propagation of terrestrial organisms:

T and aw. Other known limits to life are not practically useful for this analysis.

2. Where Mars is in thermodynamic equilibrium, T and aw in the near-surface environment are well below the propagation thresholds.

3. Some geologic environments on Mars are, or could be, in long-term disequilibrium. Such environments may exceed the propagation threshold values.

4. Proposed guidelines for possible naturally-occurring and spacecraft-induced “special regions.”

Page 16: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 16Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Possible Microbial Propagation Factors

• Water availability and activity– Presence and timing of liquid water– Past/future liquid (ice) inventories– Salinity, pH, and Eh of available water

• Chemical environment– Nutrients

• C, H, N, O, P, S, essential metals, essential micronutrients• Fixed nitrogen (the biggest unknown)• Availability/mineralogy

– Toxin abundances and lethality• Heavy metals (e.g., Zn, Ni, Cu, Cr, As, Cd, etc., some essential, but toxic at high levels)• Oxidants (identification and stability)

• Energy for metabolism– Solar [surface and near-surface only]– Geochemical [subsurface]

• Oxidants• Reductants• Redox gradients

• Conducive physical conditions– Temperature (temperature minima for spacecraft contaminants)– Pressure (a low-pressure threshold for terrestrial anaerobes?)– Radiation (UV, ionizing)– Climate/variability (geography, seasons, diurnal, and eventually, obliquity variations)– Substrate (soil processes, rock microenvironments, dust composition, shielding)– Transport (aeolian, ground water flow, surface water, glacial)

Page 17: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 17Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Limits to Terrestrial Life

• After considerable discussion, the SR-SAG found that given today’s state of knowledge, only two of the factors are of practical use in setting implementation guidelines for ‘special regions.’ Temperature

Activity of water

Page 18: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 18Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Temperature Threshold

Biological activity studies:Citation Measurement Temp. min. Metabolic Category

Bakermans et al. (2003)

Cell counts of bacteria isolated from Siberian permafrost

-10°CCell replication Doubling time (DT) 39 days

Breezee et al., (2004)

Cell counts Psychromonas ingrahamii, from sea ice from off Point Barrow, Alaska

-12°CCell replicationDT 10 Days

Jakosky et al. (2003)

Cell counts of bacteria isolated from Siberian permafrost

-10°CCell replicationDT 40 days

Christner (2002)

DNA and protein synthesis by uptake [3H]thymidine and [3H]Leu respectively in psychrotrophs from

polar ice cores

-15°C Maintenance

Gilichinsky et al. (2003)

Assimilation of [14C]glucose by bacteria in cryopegs (brine lenses) found in Siberian permafrost

-15°C Maintenance

Junge et al. (2004)Respiration observed in brine channel

prokaryotes in Arctic sea ice communities by CTC

-20°C Survival

Junge et al. (2006) Protein Synthesis, [3H]Leu incorporation -20°C Maintenance

Page 19: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 19Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Temperature Threshold (cont.)

Kappen et al. (1996)

CO2 exchange both uptake and loss by

polar lichens-12°C to

-18°CSurvival/Maintenance?

Rivkina et al. (2000)

Incorporation of 14C-labeled acetate into glycolipids by bacterial community from Siberian permafrost

-20°CMaintenance/Replication?DT=160 days at -10°C?

Rivkina et al. (2002)

Measured evolution of methane by a community of permafrost methanogenic archaea

-16.5°C Survival?

Wells and Demming (2006)

Viral infectivity and productionin natural winter sea-ice brines in the

Arctic-12°C

Microbial evolution (lateral gene transfer) and community succession

Carpenter et al (2000)

DNA and protein synthesis by uptake [3H]thymidine and [3H]Leu respectively in psychrotrophs from

polar snow

-12°C to -17°C

Maintenance

FINDING. Terrestrial microorganisms are not known to be able to reproduce at a temperature below -15°C. With margin added, a temperature threshold of -20°C is proposed for use when considering special regions.

Page 20: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 20Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Water Activity Threshold

Water activity (aw) Condition or response

1.0 Pure water

Solute-induced effects

0.98 Seawater

0.75 Saturated NaCl solution

0.29 Saturated CaCl2 solution

0.98 to 0.91 Lower solute-induced aw limit for growth of various plant pathogenic fungi

0.69 Lower solute-induced aw limit for growth of Rhizopus, Chaetomium, Aspergillus,

Penicillium (filamentous fungi)

0.62 Lower solute-induced aw limit for growth of Xeromyces (Ascomycete fungus) and

Saccharomyces (Ascomycete yeast) (growth in 83% sucrose solution)

Matric-induced effects

0.999 Average water film thickness = 4 µm

0.999 Average water film thickness = 1.5 µm

0.996 Average water film thickness = 0.5 µm matric effects are those induced by the adhesive and cohesive properties of water in contact with a solid surface

Page 21: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 21Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Water Activity Threshold

0.99 Average water film thickness = 3 nm

0.97 Average water film thickness < 3 nm (< 10 H2O molecules thick)

0.93 Average water film thickness < 1.5 nm (< 5 H2O molecules thick)

0.75 Average water film thickness < 0.9 nm (< 3 H2O molecules thick)

0.999 Matric-induced aw at which microbial motility ceases in a porous medium

0.97 to 0.95 Lower matric-induced aw limit for growth of Bacillus spp.

0.88 Lower matric-induced aw limit for growth of Arthrobacter spp.

0.93 to 0.86 Matric-induced aw at which microbial respiration becomes negligible in soil• It is difficult if not impossible to establish a threshold value (i.e., a

lower limit) for water activity for microbial survival.

• Low matric-induced water activities are generally more inhibitory to microbial growth than an equivalent low solute-induced water activity (true for fungi as well as bacteria).

Page 22: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 22Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Adsorbed (hygroscopic) water adheres tightly to soil particles.

Capillary water coheres to adsorbed water and to itself. Surface tension produces the curved water-air interface.

Thin Films, Solutes

We can assume that thin films and salts are both present on Mars. However, effects of both are implicit in the water activity, which can be calculated without knowing the details of either.

The presence of solutes reduces aw

aw Note

1.0     Pure water0.98    seawater0.75    sat. NaCl solution0.29    sat. CaCl solution

THIN FILMS SOLUTES

Page 23: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 23Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

• UV inactivation kinetics of fully exposed microbes on sun-exposed surfaces are very fast with greater than 6 orders of magnitude reduction possible within several hours on equatorial Mars, at an optical depth of 0.5, and at the mean orbital distance from the sun.

• Thin layers of dust particles may not afford any long-term protection from UV; but thick contiguous layers of dust can.

• Landing scenarios that deposit large amounts of dust into air-bags or onto upper surfaces of soft-landed vehicles may afford significant protection from UV to viable microbes.

• UV inactivation of embedded microbes is possible, if not covered by UV absorbing materials.

• Production of volatile oxidants by UV may impart a significant biocidal factor on Mars (diffusion into spacecraft surfaces and components).

• Due to the limitations discussed above, Mars UV irradiation probably should not be relied upon as a primary means of sterilizing spacecraft components. But UV irradiation places an extremely harsh selective pressure on the dispersal, survival, growth, and adaptation of terrestrial microorganisms on Mars.

UV Effects

Page 24: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 24Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Microbiology Findings

FINDING. Despite knowledge that UV irradiation at the surface of Mars is significantly higher than on Earth, UV effects have not been adequately modeled for the martian surface or near-subsurface to allow us to set thresholds about their effects on growth and proliferation of microorganisms on Mars. However, UV may be considered as a factor that limits the spread of viable Earth organisms.

FINDING. Based on current knowledge, terrestrial organisms are not known to be able to reproduce at a water activity below 0.62; with margin, an activity threshold of 0.5 is proposed for use when considering special regions.

Page 25: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 25Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Change Speakers to

Bill Boynton

Page 26: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 26Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Summary of this Presentation

Bounds to the Problem: 1. Proposed time scale: 100 years 2. Depth of relevance for most missions: 5mKey Findings:1. Threshold parameters for propagation of terrestrial organisms:

T and aw. Other known limits to life are not practically useful for this analysis.

2. Where Mars is in thermodynamic equilibrium, T and aw in the near-surface environment are well below the propagation thresholds.

3. Some geologic environments on Mars are, or could be, in long-term disequilibrium. Such environments may exceed the propagation threshold values.

4. Proposed guidelines for possible naturally-occurring and spacecraft-induced “special regions.”

Page 27: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 27Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Equilibrium Thermodynamics

Water activity (aw) is related to relative humidity (rh) as follows:   

aw = rh/100

The relative humidity is defined as the ratio of the partial pressure of water [p(H2O)] and the vapor pressure of ice [Pv(H2O)].

rh = p(H2O)/Pv(H2O)*100.

Ice

Regolith

Atmosphere p(H2O) varies with time and location on Mars, but averages about 0.8 microbar.

at equilibrium, Pv(H2O) equals p(H2O), referred to as the frost point.

Calculated T = 195-200K, AGREES WITH TES OBSERVATIONS

Page 28: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 28Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Theoretical Ice Table Depth Today

No shallow ice

Continuous permafrost

Discontinuous, episodic permafrost

Continuous permafrost

Discontinuous, episodic permafrost

Ice will be buried to a depth such that the average temperature at that depth is at the frostpoint, ~196 K today.

• As climate warms or frostpoint falls, ice sublimates• As climate cools or frostpoint rises, ice condenses from atmosphere

Source: Mellon and Feldman (2005)

6 counts/second isopleth from GRS instrument (summer data only)

Page 29: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 29Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Example Geothermal Gradient

Ice stable w.r.t. atmosphere. Operates like a cold trap.

T = 196 K

Addition of heat (from any source) would cause ice to sublime. Environments warmer than this will become progressively dessiccated.

Page 30: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 30Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Biology-Geology Relationship

Current Mars shallow

subsurface equilibrium

conditions

Water A

ctivity

Propagation Possible

Proposed Threshold

Pro

po

sed

T

hre

sho

ld

0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

-90 -80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0

Temperature (deg. C)

Page 31: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 31Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Semi-permeable Crusts

• Some types of desert crust on Earth have formed by processes that could have operated on Mars, and duricrust has been observed on Mars.

• Could crust create conditions that exceed the threshold values?

Ice

Regolith

Atmosphere

Page 32: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 32Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Desert Crusts as Vapor Barriers

• Desert crusts are semi-permeable, not impermeable– Unfractured hydraulic conductivity typically ranges from 0.5 to 0.75 cm/hr.

Permeability to gas is typically higher than permeability to liquid.

– In natural settings, a wide range of processes result in the formation of voids, pores, and fractures that prevent continuous sealing.

• At T = -20C, the water vapor pressure is relatively high, and the water will slowly be driven out unless the recharge rate exceeds the loss rate. 

• Recharge:– Atmospheric. Will approach vapor-diffusive equilibrium, not concentrate

the water.

– Subsurface. Would require major shallow thermal anomaly, which has not been discovered. It is very difficult to get the subsurface warmer than -20°C, barring an active heat source. Even then, the temperature in the upper 5 meters will cool to -20°C in a few decades.

Page 33: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 33Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Water on Mars: The Bottom Line

1. Mars today is a desert Plenty of places warm enough for transient water to exist Plenty of water in the form of ice in cold places No way to get the ice from the cold places to the warm places!

2. Mars in the past was likely slightly wetter (104-107 years – outside our time horizons) Orbital forcing drives climate change Gullies are primary indication of occasional transient water Snow was a likely transport mechanism

3. Speculative areas where water has survived in disequilibrium would be obvious special regions today Vestigial water sources from past epochs (e.g. snowpacks on crater walls)? Recent impacts or volcanism? There is no evidence for any of these phenomena producing liquid water today (+ 100

years).

4. The only other plausible way to make water today would be through the influence of the spacecraft itself.

Page 34: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 34Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Selected Literature Related to Modern Mars Water

Possible liquid water on Mars at earlier geologic times

Wallace, D. and C. Sagan (1979)Carr, M. H. (1983) Clow G. D. (1987) McKay C.P. and Davis W.L. (1991)Grotzinger, J.P. et al. (2005)

Orbital configuration consistent with liquid water in modern times if a source were present

Haberle R. M., McKay C.P., Schaeffer J.,  Cabrol N.A., Grin E.A., Zent A.P., Quinn R (2001),

Zent A.P., Fanale F.P., Salvail J.R., Postawko S.E. (1986),

Richardson & Mischna 2005

Mechanisms for producing modern transient liquid in certain geological environments

Farmer C. B. (1976)Mellon M. T. and Phillips R. J. (2001)Hecht M. H. (2002)Costard F., Forget F., Mangold N. , Peulvast

J. P. (2002)Christensen, Phil (2003)

The SR-SAG conclusions are consistent with all of the above.

Page 35: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 35Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

FINDING. Where the surface and shallow subsurface of Mars are at or close to thermodynamic equilibrium with the atmosphere (using time-averaged, rather than instantaneous, equilibrium), temperature and water activity in the martian shallow subsurface are considerably below the threshold conditions for propagation of terrestrial life. The effects of thin films and solute freezing point depression are included within the water activity.

Page 36: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 36Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Change Speakers to

Horton Newsom

Page 37: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 37Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Summary of this Presentation

Bounds to the Problem: 1. Proposed time scale: 100 years2. Depth of relevance for most missions: 5mKey Findings:1. Threshold parameters for propagation of terrestrial organisms:

T and aw. Other known limits to life are not practically useful for this analysis.

2. Where Mars is in thermodynamic equilibrium, T and aw in the near-surface environment are well below the propagation thresholds.

3. Some geologic environments on Mars are, or could be, in long-term disequilibrium. Such environments may exceed the propagation threshold values.

4. Proposed guidelines for possible naturally-occurring and spacecraft-induced “special regions.”

Page 38: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 38Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Disequilibrium Environments

Certain geological processes can result in local conditions that are out of equilibrium with respect to their planetary setting on timescales from about 102 to 105 years. For such environments the potential for modern liquid water could be significant.

Note: For this purpose, it is necessary to use a time-averaged (e.g. annual), rather than instantaneous, equilibrium.

Page 39: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 40Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Map of Gully Locations (through Sept. 2005)

MER-B

MPFV-1

MER-A

V-2

0

30

60

90

30

90

60

0 330 300 270 240 210 1803090150 60120180

FINDING. Some—although, certainly, not all—gullies might be sites at which liquid water comes to the surface within the next 100 years.

Page 40: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 42Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Possible Glaciers

• The topic of glaciation—even at equatorial latitudes—has been discussed and debated for more than 3 decades.

• Huge possible glacial deposits on Tharsis volcanoes.• Eskers, drumlins, and other indications of classic wet-based

glaciation are absent. This suggests that cold-based glaciation (typical of polar latitudes on Earth) is a more appropriate analog.

• Although we cannot rule out that there may be some residual ice at depth in equatorial deposits, because of their age it would certainly be below a thick sublimation till—residual shallow ice is highly unlikely.

Promethei Terra at the eastern rim of the Hellas Basin, 38º S, 104º, ESA/DLR/FU Berlin

Deuteronilus Mensae region (40N, 25E, THEMIS v12057009).

Page 41: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 43Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Map of Possible Equatorial Glaciers

MER-B

MPFV-1

MER-A

V-2

0

30

60

90

30

90

60

0 330 300 270 240 210 1803090150 60120180

Source: Head (various)

FINDING. Although glacial deposits may be present at different latitudes, there is no evidence for melting.

Possible glacial deposits shown in yellow.

Page 42: 1 Findings of the Special Regions Science Analysis Group By the MEPAG Special Regions Science Analysis Group (SR-SAG) April 19, 2006

04/19/06 44Draft Findings, MEPAG Special Regions SAG

Craters with Residual Heat

Crater Size (diameter)

Time for which crater environment has potential to retain enough heat to exceed threshold condition

3km 100 years

10km 1,000 years

30km 100,000 years

• A crater could retain heat to the present if:– Very young (heat lost with time)– Big (more energy with bigger impacts)

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Large, Fresh Craters

LATITUDE (N) LONGITUDE (E) DIAMETER (KM) CENTRAL STRUCTURE EJECTA*

7.03 117.19 18.0 Central Peak MLERSRd

7.16 174.41 9.6 Floor Pit MLERS

8.93 43.82 10.9 Summit Pit MLERS

12.10 169.24 5.9 Summit Pit SLERS

13.70 29.52 11.5 Central Peak MLERS

16.95 141.70 13.6 Floor Pit MLERSRd

19.51 141.18 9.2 Floor Pit MLERS

20.01 246.68 7.9 None SLERSRd

23.19 207.76 28.3 Central Peak MLERSRd

Identification of the most recent large craters. 1. Sharp rim, depth approximates that expected for a pristine crater.2. No superposed features on either crater or ejecta blanket (dunes, floor

deposits, tectonic/fluvial features, or small impact craters).3. Ejecta blanket and interior morphologies are sharp and well preserved.4. Crater and ejecta blanket display thermally distinct signatures in

daytime and/or nighttime infrared views.

TH

E T

OP

NIN

E

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Young Volcanics

Distribution of the youngest volcanic rocks on Mars (map unit AEC3 from Tanaka et al. 2005). 

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Young Volcanics (cont.)

• Since volcanic heat is lost with time, only extremely young volcanics have the potential to exceed the temperature threshold for propagation.

• Simple calculations show that the temperature at the surface drops to less than -20°C within about 1000 y.

• Age can be estimated from albedo and crater density—none are thought to be as young as 1000 years.

• Estimates of the volcanic recurrence interval in the youngest volcanic provinces suggest that the probability of an eruption within a future 100 year period is <10-5.

FINDING. We do not have evidence for volcanic rocks on Mars of an age young enough to retain enough heat to qualify as a modern special region.

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The Non-discovery of Geothermal Vents

• An important objective of the THEMIS infrared investigation has been the search for temperature anomalies produced by – evaporative cooling associated with near-surface water

– heating due to near-surface liquid water or ice, or hydrothermal or volcanic activity.

• THEMIS has mapped virtually all of Mars at night in the infrared at 100-m per pixel resolution, and has observed portions of the surface a second time up to one Mars’ years later.

FINDING. Despite a deliberate and systematic search spanning several years, no evidence for the existence of near-surface liquid water close enough to the surface to be capable of producing measurable thermal anomalies has been found.

Source: Phil Christensen

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Polar Ice Caps

South PoleNorth Pole

FINDING. The martian polar caps are too cold to be naturally occurring special regions.

• Mentioned in current COSPAR definition, HOWEVER:

– Maximum summer temperatures typically reach about 200K at the north pole

– The south polar cap, despite receiving more summer sunlight, is protected by a layer of highly reflective CO2 ice, which holds the surface temperature at a constant 145K.

– Contributing to the perpetual low temperature is not only the latitude (hence low sun angle) but also the high conductivity of solid ice.

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Source: Milliken and Mustard (2003)

• Localized removal (yellow). • Knobby/wavy texture (cyan).• Scalloped texture and total

mantle cover (red).

Map of the Mid-latitude Mantle

FINDING. The mid-latitude mantle is thought to be desiccated, with low potential for the possibility of modern transient liquid water.

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Dark Slope Streaks

• Some water-related hypotheses are in the literature, HOWEVER:– At these equatorial

latitudes very near-surface ice is unstable, and

– There is evidence that wind is a controlling factor in the streak occurrence in some cases.

Source: Phillips, Aharonson

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Change Speakers to

David Beaty

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Summary of this Presentation

Bounds to the Problem: 1. Proposed time scale: 100 years 2. Depth of relevance for most missions: 5mKey Findings:1. Threshold parameters for propagation of terrestrial organisms:

T and aw. Other known limits to life are not practically useful for this analysis.

2. Where Mars is in thermodynamic equilibrium, T and aw in the near-surface environment are well below the propagation thresholds.

3. Some geologic environments on Mars are, or could be, in long-term disequilibrium. Such environments may exceed the propagation threshold values.

4. Proposed guidelines for possible naturally-occurring and spacecraft-induced “special regions.”

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DEFINITION #2

Existing definition of “special region” with proposed implementation guidelines:

A special region is defined as a region within which terrestrial organisms are likely to propagate, or a region that is interpreted to have a high potential for the existence of extant martian life forms.

Proposed implementation guidelines:1. Definitions. For the purpose of this definition, propagate means to

reproduce. Other kinds of activity, including cell maintenance, thickening of cell walls (as aspect of growth), and mechanical dispersal by aeolian processes are not sufficient.

2. Period of applicability. The time period over which these guidelines are to be applied is defined as from the present until 100 years after spacecraft arrival on Mars.

3. ‘Non-special’ regions. A martian region may be categorized non-special if the temperature will remain below -20°C or the water activity will remain below 0.5 for a period of 100 years after spacecraft arrival. All other regions on Mars are designated as either special or uncertain.

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DEFINITION #2 (cont.)

4. Uncertain regions. If a martian environment can simultaneously exceed the threshold conditions of -20°C and water activity over 0.5, propagation may be possible. It may not be possible to show that such environments are capable of supporting microbial growth, but such areas will be treated in the same manner as “special regions” until they are shown to be otherwise.

5. Induced special regions. Even in an otherwise “non-special” region, a spacecraft may create an environment that meets the definition of a “special” or “uncertain” region, as described above. Because of the many dependencies related to spacecraft design, planned or accidental operations, or landing site, the possibility of a mission causing a spacecraft-induced special region should be analyzed on a case-by-case basis.

6. Impact scenarios. As a practical consideration, for evaluating accidental impact scenarios involving both naturally occurring and induced special regions, it is considered sufficient to consider maximum crater depth to be <5 meters for impacting hardware of <2400kg.

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Naturally-Occurring Special Regions

Classification of martian environments by their potential to exceed the threshold conditions in temperature and water activity for microbial propagation (within the boundary conditions of the analysis).

A. Observed features for which there is a significant (but still unknown) probability of association with modern liquid water

B. Observed features for which there is a low, but non-zero, probability of a relationship to modern liquid water

C. Not known to exist, but if examples could be found, would have a high probability of association with modern liquid water.

Recent gullies and gully-forming regions

Mid-latitude “pasted-on” terrain

Low-latitude slope streaks

Low-latitude features hypothesized to be glaciers

Volcanic environments young enough to retain heat.

Impact environments young enough and large enough to retain heat

Modern outflow channels

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Map Boundaries of Relevance to Interpreting Special Regions on Mars

MER-B

MPFV-1

MER-A

V-2

MAP BOUNDARY A. 6 counts/second isopleth from GRS instrument (summer data only)

0

30

60

90

30

90

60

0 330 300 270 240 210 1803090150 60120180

MAP BOUNDARY A

MAP BOUNDARY B. Modeled equatorward limit of stability of ice at depth of 5 m.

MAP BOUNDARY C. Observed equatorward extent of either gullies or mantled terrain.

MAP BOUNDARY B

MAP BOUNDARY C

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• It is possible for spacecraft to induce environments on a time scale of seconds to years that may satisfy the threshold conditions for propagation.– Short-term spacecraft considerations

• Rocket plumes• On surface activities (e.g., sampling – scoop, drill,

melt probes)• Burn-up, break up, and surface impact

– Long-term spacecraft considerations• Perennial heat sources, i.e., RTGs

Best evaluated on a case-by-case basis.

Spacecraft-Induced Special Regions

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Duration of Spacecraft Heating

• It is known that the replication rate for terrestrial organisms is T-dependent and there is latency period before replication can occur.

• It is possible to allow for short duration excursions above the threshold T.

• Limits chosen as before based on data from most extreme case of any documented from terrestrial biology.

Maximum temperature of spacecraft-induced

environment

Minimum time before replication of terrestrial organism could occur

-5°C 22 hours

0°C 3 hours

5°C 1 hour

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• Using the SR-SAG's boundary parameters and key findings, Most of the martian surface/shallow subsurface can be

shown to be either too cold (<–20oC) or too dry (aw<0.5) for terrestrial microbial reproduction (i.e., non-special).

Using the SR-SAG’s criteria, some martian geologic environments are uncertain for planetary protection purposes. Such environments must be treated as special regions.

Spacecraft may induce conditions that would qualify as a special region, even when one was not present before the spacecraft arrived. These are best evaluated on a case-by-case basis.

Summary

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Backup Slides

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Mars Duricrust

Crust on right; coating on left?(MER-A, Sol 71)

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New Dune GulliesGully Regions

Because of the possibility that new gullies could form within the specified future time period (100 years), we need to think in terms of gully regions, not just specific, already-formed gullies.