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1 Eugene Demchuk Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry Frederick, MD - 08/25/2011 Chemical Toxicity Databases at NCEH/ATSDR

1 Eugene Demchuk Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry Frederick, MD - 08/25/2011 Chemical Toxicity Databases at NCEH/ATSDR

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1

Eugene DemchukAgency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry

Frederick, MD - 08/25/2011

Chemical Toxicity Databases at NCEH/ATSDR

2

Topics

• EH Portfolio external dose

• NHANES internal dose

• Doch/QSAR: the QSAR Database Of Consistent Health guidance values

~ 60,000,00

0syntheticchemicals

3

Environmental Pollutants

3,000 – 4,000

Information about a Chemical200,000

records inEH Portfolio

Chemicals

4

EH PortfolioATSDR’s Integrated Knowledge Base

Former

5

Hazardous Waste Sites

6

EH Portfolio System Interfaces

EH Portfolio

MISB Personnel (MS SQL Server)

MISB UFMS(MS SQL server)

UFMS (unix)

GIS

EPA

TopHat

GIS Mapping

CERCLISLOAD

Mapping Interface(proposed)

Data out via WebService(requested)

Demographics batch

sftp

UFMS process

Data downloadData download

7

Site / Event

Comparison Values

Health Studies

SubstancePublications

Cost Recovery

ASA

Abstracts

Toll Free

Health Education

Contaminants

EH Portfolio Relationships Diagram

8

9

10

11

ATSDR Functions Supported

EH Portfolio was deemed Critical or Significant to the following ATSDR Functions:

• Liaison Function (Washington Office)• Budget Development and Justification (Washington Office)• State Cooperative Agreement Project Management (DHAC)• ATSDR Internal and External Technical Support (DHAC)• Development of CERCLA Hazardous Substances Priority List• Development of Toxicological Profiles• Development of Research Data Needs• Mixtures Research• Dissemination of Information

* Indicates Congressionally Mandated Function

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log LOAELs Categorized by Source

oral data from Doch/QSAR

-8.0

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0lo

g(L

OA

EL

)

IRIS OPP ATSDR Others

Count 85 13 70 12

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National Health and Nutrition Examination

Survey (NHANES)

• NHANES IV survey conducted during 1981-2008 by NCHS • Cross-sectional survey designed by NCHS• Multi-stage probability sampling design that includes 49 pseudo geographic

strata and two Primary Sampling Unit (PSU)

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MEC of the NCHS

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CDC measures more than 300 environmental chemicals

in blood and urine (biomonitoring)

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Doch/QSARthe QSAR Database of

consistent health guidance values (HGVs)

Need: because of large uncertainty error bar on empirical tox data, the data for CQDB have to be carefully selected and classified to avoid possible internal contradictions

• Components

• Intended for cross-chemical extrapolation

Oral Ingestion

Inhalation

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Is it possible to extrapolate

from a small number of chemicals?

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Power Analysis

Number of Points in the Training Set

R2 ALL data

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Criteria and Data Evaluation

• Eliminate developmental toxicity• Select most recent assessment• Chronic studies preferred over intermediate studies

Primary Data SourcesATSDR and IRIS

Multiple HGVs

RfD, Chronic MRL, Intermediate MRL

No HGV

EPA-OPP, IPCS-CICADS, Health Canada, RIVM,

U.S. Army

Consistent HGV

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What impacts power?

• Quantity• Uniformity/quality

of the data

Target Organ

Critical effect

Mode of action

Mechanism of action

Gene/enzyme

Binding site

N

0.0

21

LOAEL ~ Species

Decreasing of LOAELs with increasing body weight of tested species.

22

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

362

157

6219 26

Other species

Human

Mouse

Dog

Rat

Nu

mb

er

of

ch

em

icals

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

308

159

8551

19LEL

BMDL

LOAEL

NOEL

NOAEL

Nu

mb

er

of

ch

em

icals

Oral data in Doch/QSAR

POD SpeciesData source

627 data records for 499 unique chemicals

329 Chronic 186 Intermediate 112 Others(289 unique chem.) (178 unique chem.)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

315

127

160

22Other Source

ATSDR

OPP

IRIS

Nu

mb

er

of

ch

em

icals

23

Rat oral chronic LOAELs

All oral chronic LOAELs

300400200456

24

Rat oral chronic LOAELs

All oral chronic LOAELs

300400200456

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Current ATSDR oral LOAEL modelMethod used: Partial Least Squares Regression

Number of compounds: 100Response variable: log LOAEL [mmol/kg]Final predictors used: 53Number of PLS factors: 10Cross-validation: 20-fold

Cross-validated Q-Square

RSS PRESS

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0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 400

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

Estimated Rat Chronic LOAEL (mg/kg)

Polynomial (Es-timated Rat Chronic LOAEL (mg/kg) )

TOPKAT Est. Rat Chronic LOAEL (mg/kg)

Linear (TOPKAT Est. Rat Chronic LOAEL (mg/kg))

Number of Carbon Atoms

Esti

mate

d R

at

Ora

l C

hro

nic

LO

AEL

(mg/k

g)

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Validationby bioavailability of ingested aliphatic hydrocarbons

“Studies in rats show that absorption of ingested aliphatic hydrocarbons is inversely related to molecular weight, ranging from complete absorption at the lower end of the molecular weight range to about 60% for C14 hydrocarbons, 5% for C28 hydrocarbons, and essentially no absorption for aliphatic hydrocarbons with >32 carbons”

Toxicological Profile for Total Petroleum Hydrocarbons, ATSDR, 1999

ATSDR HGV/ LOAEL model shaped similar to mouse LDlo/LD50 experimental data

2814

60% for C14 5% for C28 absorption for no>32

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Comparison to MRDD modelfrom ACD/Labs

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 500

50

100

150

200

250

No. of Carbon

MR

DD

(m

g/K

g/d

ay)

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Current ATSDR Inhalation model

(AEGL-1, 8 Hour) Apply the

model to: training data

(blue) external data

(red)

The model was trained with 121 compounds and processed 12 of 13 compounds in the external validation set

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Current ATSDR Inhalation model

(AEGL-2, 8 Hour) Apply the

model to: training data

(blue) external data

(red)

The model was trained with 176 compounds and processed 18 of 19 compounds in the external validation set

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Current ATSDR Inhalation model

(AEGL-3, 8 Hour) Apply the

model to: training data

(blue) external data

(red)

The model was trained with 175 compounds and processed 14 of 19 compounds in the external validation set

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Message

• You were shown several databases that are developed at CDC/NCEH/ATSDR

• One of them, Doch/QSAR consists of carefully selected high-quality toxicity data

• These data can be used for toxicological cross-chemical extrapolations

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DisclaimerThe findings and conclusions in this presentation have not been formally disseminated by the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry and should not be construed to representany agency determination or policy.