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1
Energy and the Environmental Energy and the Environmental ChallengeChallenge
Annual General Meeting & SymposiumVancouver, June 2011
Eddy Isaacs, FCAECEO, Energy & Environment Solutions
22
OutlineOutline• Trends in global CO2 emissions
• Introduce Alberta Innovates - Energy and Environment Solutions (EES) Climate Change & Emissions Management Corporation
(CCEMC)
• Oil Sands – GHG reduction strategy• Potential for renewable energy (Alberta case)
Waste biomass conversion
• Energy Modelling• Final Comment
3
IEA Sounding the Alarm on Global GHG IEA Sounding the Alarm on Global GHG EmissionsEmissions• IEA Estimates* (May 29th 2011, Guardian Article)
2008: 29.3 gigatonnes of CO2
2009: 29.0 “ 2010: 30.6 “ (highest ever)
• Small effect of the recession on emissions• 80% of current power stations will still be in use in
2020 locking in 11.2 Gt • Gap in scaling back on nuclear cannot be filled by
renewables increase reliance on fossil fuels • Continued shift to unconventional resources
*Upcoming World Energy Outlook (2011)
4
The Unconventional RealityThe Unconventional Reality
Conventional 0il & Gas
Oil Shale
Bitumen
Tight Gas
CBM
Shale Gas
Gas Hydrate
Gas-to-liquids
Heavy Oil
Deep GasBiofuels
CostsEnergy IntensityGHG Emissions
Tight Oil
5
The Global Energy The Global Energy Intensity of Intensity of Producing and Producing and Refining Crude Oil Refining Crude Oil will Continue to will Continue to IncreaseIncrease
6
• Resource between 10 to 20 BB 2010 Prod. ~ 400 kBbl/d
• Resource estimates likely low
• Prospective plays could add more resource Tuscaloosa - central
Louisiana and southern Mississippi may hold resource of 7 BB
Significant Tight Oil ResourcesSignificant Tight Oil Resources
Unconventional Oil Sub-Group, National Petroleum Council –Dec. 2010 Draft
77
OutlineOutline• Trends in global CO2 emissions
• Introduce Alberta Innovates - Energy and Environment Solutions (EES) Climate Change & Emissions Management Corporation
(CCEMC)
• Oil Sands – GHG reduction strategy• Potential for renewable energy (Alberta case)
Waste biomass conversion
• Energy Modelling• Final Comment
88
8
Energy & Environment Solutions (EES)Energy & Environment Solutions (EES)
Who we are? Who we are?
Technology arm of the Alberta Government in energy and
environment
Technology arm of the Alberta Government in energy and
environment
One of four new corporations launched in January 2010 under
the Alberta Innovates banner
What we do?What we do?Position Alberta for the future in
energy and environmentPosition Alberta for the future in
energy and environment
Identify, evaluate, select technologies and partnersIdentify, evaluate, select
technologies and partners
Invest in research & technology with industry & international
collaborators
Invest in research & technology with industry & international
collaborators
From To
9
EES Strategic Priorities – Expanded Mandate and EES Strategic Priorities – Expanded Mandate and More Balanced ProgramsMore Balanced Programs
Energy Technologies• Recovery & Processing• Clean Carbon• UnconventionalGas
Renewable & Emerging Resources
• Renewable Energy• Alternate fuels
Environmental Management
• Oil Sands tailings• Enhanced Ecology• Carbon Capture & Storage
Water Resources
• Water - People, Nature & Economy
• Research & Knowledge Transfer
10
EES Technical Arm of CCEMC*EES Technical Arm of CCEMC*A new approach for advancing transformative technology•16 projects approved in Round #1 and #2
Energy Efficiency : 12 projects - $33 M
Renewables: 5 projects - $38 M
Cleaner Energy Production and CCS: 5 projects - $28 M
•Round 3 – announcement shortly•Round 4 - underway
*Climate Change & EmissionsManagement Corporation
1111
OutlineOutline• Trends in global CO2 emissions
• Introduce Alberta Innovates - Energy and Environment Solutions (EES) Climate Change & Emissions Management Corporation
(CCEMC)
• Oil Sands – GHG reduction strategy• Potential for renewable energy (Alberta case)
Waste biomass conversion
• Energy Modelling• Final Comment
12
EES’ Oil Sands Technology Framework - Room to EES’ Oil Sands Technology Framework - Room to Improve LCA* Emissions Improve LCA* Emissions
• Efficiency improvements – thermal recovery, mining, upgrading Energy intensity of water treatment for
steam
• New wave - efficient oil sands production technologies
• Next generation upgrading technologies - integration with gasification and CCS Partial upgrading
• Integration of renewables and nuclear
Research & technology adaptation costsLarge scale deploymentTime horizonCapacity – human, infrastructure
*Life Cycle Analysis
13
Impact of Increased Water Recycle on GHG Emissions Impact of Increased Water Recycle on GHG Emissions
90 92 94 96 98 100
Ener
gy (G
HG
)
Produced Water Recycle Rate (%)
High TDS
Low TDS
*zero liquid discharge
EES Study:• Assess Impact of ZLD* on energy
use
o Capital & operating costs
• New technology opportunities
• 9 Companies , ADOE, AENV, ERCB
EES Study:• Assess Impact of ZLD* on energy
use
o Capital & operating costs
• New technology opportunities
• 9 Companies , ADOE, AENV, ERCB
14
Our Focus - Advanced Technologies to Decrease GHG Our Focus - Advanced Technologies to Decrease GHG Emissions and Water UseEmissions and Water Use
Decrease Fresh water Use
Dec
reas
ing
GH
G E
mis
sion
s
SAGD, CSS
Best-in-class SAGD
Energy EfficiencySAGD, CSS
Steam-solvent
Electrical heating
Combustion
Non-aqueousExtraction
Surface Minning
Energy Efficiencyrefining, mining
Current
5 - 10 years
10 - 20 years
CCS
In situ and Mining
15
Potential for Oil Sands to be as GHG Clean Potential for Oil Sands to be as GHG Clean as Conventional?as Conventional?
#3 in 2018
432
range of conventional oil range of conventional oil
1616
OutlineOutline• Trends in global CO2 emissions
• Introduce Alberta Innovates - Energy and Environment Solutions (EES) Climate Change & Emissions Management Corporation
(CCEMC)
• Oil Sands – GHG reduction strategy• Potential for renewable energy (Alberta case)
Waste biomass conversion
• Energy Modelling• Final Comment
17
Alberta’s Renewable Energy ResourcesAlberta’s Renewable Energy Resources
Bioenergy:
In 2009, Alberta produced 40+ million tonnes of grain and biomass from crops. The forest industry harvested 24 million cubic meters of wood.
Geothermal:
Solar:
Alberta sunny enough?
Wind:600 MW + current10,000 MW proposed
Harvest heat from 400,000+oil & gas wells
18
Bioenergy Drivers and ChallengesBioenergy Drivers and Challenges
Drivers• Large resource for decentralized power and heat
generation• C-Neutral Fuel status• Incentives for a wide variety
of bioenergy products Renewable Fuel Standards Biofuels Credit Program Greening Energy production CCEMC*
Drivers• Large resource for decentralized power and heat
generation• C-Neutral Fuel status• Incentives for a wide variety
of bioenergy products Renewable Fuel Standards Biofuels Credit Program Greening Energy production CCEMC*
Challenges• Sustainable supply• Low energy density• Energy efficiency• Cost• Life Cycle Analysis
challenges C-Neutral designation
Challenges• Sustainable supply• Low energy density• Energy efficiency• Cost• Life Cycle Analysis
challenges C-Neutral designation
* Climate Change and Emission Management Corporation
19
Edmonton Waste Management Centre with MSW Edmonton Waste Management Centre with MSW Biofuels FacilityBiofuels Facility
BiofuelsFacilityBiofuelsFacility
AdvancedEnergy ResearchFacility
AdvancedEnergy ResearchFacility
Courtesy: City of Edmonton
20
MSW 100 million t/yr
Ethanol 35 million litres/year
Biofuel Plant
• 90% reduction of landfill • GHG reduction of more than • 3 t of CO2 per tonne of waste
Eliminates methane emissions from land sites Replacement of fossil fuel/coal CO2 removal and recovery
• Meets renewable fuel mandates
Advantages of Biofuel Plant Advantages of Biofuel Plant
21
Advanced Energy Research Facility (AERF) Advanced Energy Research Facility (AERF) December, 2010 December, 2010
Research Building Pilot Plant
AERF Management StructureJoint EES/City Steering Comm. • Technical CommitteeSchedule• Commissioning July 2011• Issue prospectus • Invite expressions of interest from process developers and R&D organizations
AERF Management StructureJoint EES/City Steering Comm. • Technical CommitteeSchedule• Commissioning July 2011• Issue prospectus • Invite expressions of interest from process developers and R&D organizations
Courtesy: City of Edmonton
22
Advanced Gasification & Syngas Plug-and-Play Advanced Gasification & Syngas Plug-and-Play Pilot & Bench Scale R&D Facility Pilot & Bench Scale R&D Facility
• R&D for Biofuels Industry, universities & other initiatives• Test biofuels, coal, coke and fossil-biomass blends• Evaluate advanced membrane processes- O2, CO2, H2 • R&D on advanced syngas conversion processes• Unique facilities can attract global players
• R&D for Biofuels Industry, universities & other initiatives• Test biofuels, coal, coke and fossil-biomass blends• Evaluate advanced membrane processes- O2, CO2, H2 • R&D on advanced syngas conversion processes• Unique facilities can attract global players
Gasifier
FeedSystem
SyngasCleanup
Syngas Reformer
Acid gasremoval
CO2
RecoveryMethanolSynthesis
Bench-scaleResearch Facility
2323
OutlineOutline• Trends in global CO2 emissions
• Introduce Alberta Innovates - Energy and Environment Solutions (EES) Climate Change & Emissions Management Corporation
(CCEMC)
• Oil Sands – GHG reduction strategy• Potential for renewable energy (Alberta case)
Waste biomass conversion
• Energy Modelling• Final Comment
24
24
Models to Develop and Evaluate Energy and GHG Models to Develop and Evaluate Energy and GHG EmissionEmission
• The objective is to critically understand the energy, GHG emission and water flows
• To assess the impacts of potential policy measures or targets related to GHG mitigation, water management and energy demand and supply
• Forecasting tool
• Overall aim is to develop a substantive modeling capacity
Dr. Amit Kumar – University of Alberta
Energy Demand
Energy Transformation
Energy Resources
Environmental Database(EDB)
The model was the “Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) System”
LEAP MODULES
25
25
Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) SystemLong-Range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) System
• Evaluation tool for integrated resource planning and assessing GHG mitigation impact based on set assessments/scenarios
Demand
House hold
Commercial
Industrial
Agricultural
Single detached
Single attached
Apartment
Mobile home
construction
Smelting and Refining
Petroleum refining
Cement
Chemical
Iron and Steel
Other Manufacturing
Forestry
Mining
Paper and pulp
Space heating
Water heating
Lighting-Electricity
Space cooling
Appliances
Space heating
Water heating
Lighting
Space cooling
Appliances
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Transportation
Passenger
Freight
Pipeline
Demand
House hold
Commercial
Industrial
Agricultural
Single detached
Single attached
Apartment
Mobile home
construction
Smelting and Refining
Petroleum refining
Cement
Chemical
Iron and Steel
Other Manufacturing
Forestry
Mining
Paper and pulp
Space heating
Water heating
Lighting-Electricity
Space cooling
Appliances
Space heating
Water heating
Lighting
Space cooling
Appliances
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Transportation
Passenger
Freight
Pipeline
26
Example – Household SectorExample – Household Sector
Space heatingWater heatingLightingAppliances
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnace
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electricity
ElectricityNG
House hold
Single Detached
Single attached
Apartment
Mobile
Space heatingWater heatingLightingAppliances
Space heatingWater heatingLighting-ElectricitySpace cooling-Electricity
Appliances
Space heatingWater heatingLighting
Appliances RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnaceSteam
Electricity
Electricity
ElectricityNG
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnace
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnace
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electricity
ElectricityNG
Space heatingWater heatingLightingAppliances
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnace
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electricity
ElectricityNG
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnace
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnace
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electricity
ElectricityNG
Electricity
ElectricityNG
House holdHouse hold
Single Detached
Single attached
Apartment
Mobile
Space heatingWater heatingLightingAppliances
Space heatingWater heatingLightingAppliances
Space heatingWater heatingLighting-ElectricitySpace cooling-Electricity
Appliances
Space heatingWater heatingLighting-ElectricitySpace cooling-Electricity
Appliances
Space heatingWater heatingLighting
Appliances
Space heatingWater heatingLighting
Appliances RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnaceSteam
Electricity
Electricity
ElectricityNG
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnaceSteam
Electricity
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnaceSteam
Electricity
Electricity
ElectricityNG
Electricity
ElectricityNG
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnace
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnace
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electricity
ElectricityNG
Electric furnaceNG furnaceHeating oil furnaceOthersWood furnace
RefrigeratorFreezerDishwasherWasherDryerRangeothers
Electricity
ElectricityNG
ElectricityElectricity
ElectricityNGElectricityNG
27
Final CommentFinal Comment• Canada has the resources and the capacity to become
a “Sustainable Energy Superpower”• Persistent visionary leadership is vital
Innovation and technology development - a key part of the strategy
• Cost barriers remain a major challenge technology is key
• Balanced portfolio to focus on the key technical, environmental and economic challenges Significant technology advances are being made through
Industry-Government partnerships