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Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1• Establish the drivers to land management changes.

• Establish drivers for land management decisions at different scales down to the individual, up to government levels.

• Characterize different drivers between initial land use changes and subsequent land use changes.

• Incorporate stochastic events into modeling (ie hurricanes)• Integrate land use model that takes into account direct and indirect

effects of climate change on ecosystems. • Nest processes at various spatial scales.

• Ecosystem specific land management strategies need to be captured and shared across a variety of models.• Data availability and management• Model integration

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Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1• Prioritize the primary land management decisions facing each type of land

use so that you constrain yourself to a workable set of pathways.

• Develop economic models linked to land use/land cover change models, including markets (Carbon), as it will impact decision making. • Realize value chains in land use systems because they are universal to all land

systems.

• Include livelihood systems and land use implications (especially developing countries)

• Understand global level drivers like national debt, commodities, trade, agricultural subsidies, etc.

• Understand variations in land use intensity gradients (land extensive as in expansion in the Amazon and land intensive such as land use in the US)

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Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1• Understand the importance of new technology and new advances, such as

genetics in agriculture.• Understand importance of fertilizer management• Understand importance of enhancing agricultural yields in a sustainable manner.

• Develop a strong theoretical foundation on how people in different places respond differently based on resource potential, settlement histories, etc. Understanding socio-political context under which land use and land change occur. • Requires understanding of historical data.

• Often means using data sets not collected for purpose to which you would like to apply them.

• Integrating historical data sets important work that needs to be done.

• Ensure the validation (verification, evaluation?) of models. • Back casting for example

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Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1• What are the logical linkages between the planning process and the

research that takes place in the land use community and the broader carbon cycle science community?

• Link modeling to the broader carbon cycle science community.

• Incorporate human component of carbon cycle.

• Look more directly at ecosystem responses to c-cycle changes

• Develop decision support at all scales. • Deploy support at point of decision making in land use, land management context.• Include information for policy makers, industry, NGOs, individuals, etc.

• Develop and link geographically explicit (at a regional scale) human population/population change and resource (energy, food, fiber, etc) use models to land use patterns.

• Develop a monitoring and early warning system to recognize if carbon is on the move, or if an ecosystem is in danger of collapse.

• Integrate the range of proximate and global drivers.

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Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1• Evaluate and enhance the state of land use modeling.

• Generational opportunity with administrations desire to focus on climate change. • Organize across federal agencies, integrate data sets to allow use together.

• Propose direct effort to integrate appropriate data sources from various agencies that address carbon opportunities and various issues.

• Need to support agency/organization charged with doing this, but difficult to define who should do it.

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Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1• Need to secure funding that will support a land use modeling assessment

that is independent of or truly supported by the agencies. • Create a wonderful proposal that allows agencies to work out arrangement where

different agencies cover different portions. This will lead to a more formalized effort.

• What are the disadvantages of having a national land or carbon administration? • Currently NOAA poised to do climate services.

• One disadvantage: centralized to one agencies makes it easy to eliminate.

• Create national agency or coordinated effort (national land or carbon administration) between carbon climate, and ecosystem services • Will need central entity to manage carbon cap and trade.

• Greenhouse Gas Information System tracks greenhouses gases in a cap and trade system.

• Interagency commitment is needed.

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Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1• Through congress, arrange to get appropriation language that charges

agencies to take care of this issue, give them six months to come up with a plan, then they would elect to create and interagency working group. Realistic objective/alternative to new agency.

• Develop decision support, extension model outside of agencies to get the science in the community.

• Develop demonstration watersheds for carbon management. • Show modeling, data integration towards decision making. • Encompass wetlands, ag-lands, built up lands, etc. • Good way to hash out maintaining socio-economic systems while instituting carbon

conservation measures.

• How do we get this (demonstration watersheds, etc) done? • Start with voluntary interagency working group, push through the hill that way. • Present not as plea for funding, but as pressing questions that need to be addressed, THEN

ask for the money

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Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1• Clear opportunities for closer coordination between land use and carbon

cycle communities exist and need to be developed! How can we ensure there are no gaps and minimal overlaps. • Important to understand how existing interagency groups will be organized in the

future in order to move forward as a community.

• This meeting is the beginning of an ongoing dialogue and interaction between land-use and carbon cycling communities. Better coordination may be the single best outcome of this workshop.

• Form an inter SSG group that meets specifically to ensure that activities and advice of SSGs (Carbon Cycle and Land-Use Land Cover, ecosystem and global water) are being coordinated. Perhaps a seed for a new ecosystem services SSG. Be sure program managers and scientists are working side by side.

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Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1• Define the socio economic, environmental and livelihood effects of carbon

management/markets on communities and integrate fully into models. • Farm size/socio-economic status will impact whether or not people are interested in

participating in carbon market. Sometimes individual land owners not interested, but interested as a community or a village.

• How will carbon offsets/management of carbon as a resource interact with other resource management activities?

• Will/How will Federal lands be included in a carbon market and carbon budgets? May be included indirectly as Carbon storage, but not directly.

• FWS service has land involved in market with carbon storage. Partnered with utilities. Companies fund land added to or trees planted in preserves in bottom lands in lower Mississippi valley. Only in OTC markets

• No legal authority for companies to use federal lands in carbon markets, but gotten around b/c fws permission

• FWS wouldn’t be getting additional lands or trees w/o the company. Win/Win arrangement.

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Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1Breakout Notes- Session 3 Group 1• Understand how humans and society will respond to

unexpected and serious consequences of climate change• Pathogens• Insect invasions• Invasive species• Extinctions• Migratory Pathways