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1
AN IMPACT EVALUATION OF PERFORMANCE BASED CONTRACTING FOR GENERAL HEALTH SERVICES IN RWANDA
Evaluation team:Paulin BasingaPaul GertlerJennifer Sturdy Christel VermeerschDamien de Walque
Project teamAgnes Soucat
Miriam Schneidman+ team
2
04/20/23
Presentation plan
Country and program information
Impact evaluation design
Descriptive results from the baseline study
3
SECTION 1: COUNTRY AND PROGRAM INFORMATION
4
04/20/23
RWANDA general & health sector
Total population : 9,038,001 (2005) 30 Administrative districts GDP per capita of $230 33 District Hosp. and 369 Health centers HDI: ranked 158th (2004) MMR: 750 per 100,000 (DHS 2005) IMR: 86 per 1,000 (DHS 2005) HIV: 3.1% (DHS 2005)
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04/20/23
Relevance and Severity of the Health Issue Addressed Diagnostic
Shortage of human resources for health services Low levels of productivity and motivation High levels of absenteeism Low user satisfaction & poor quality of service lead
to low use. Increase morbidity and mortality
Goal Increase number of trained medical personnel Increase motivation Improve quality of services Increase personnel income
Policy Response Performance Based Contracting & Financing
6
National PBC model for Health Centers
16 Primary Health Care indicators, eg: New Curative Consultation = $0.27 Delivery at the HC = $3.63 Completely vaccinated child = $ 1.82
14 HIV/AIDS indicators, eg: One Pregnant woman tested (PMTCT) =
$1.10 HIV+ women treated with NVP = $1.10
Separation of Functions between stakeholders
7
04/20/23
Fig: Implementing organizations
Ministry of Health (CAAC) Ministry of Finance
Stakeholders Administrative districts Steering committee Purchasers District hospital
Purchase contract Provider: Health facilities
Head of the Health center ---- Management Committee Motivation contract Employee
8
SECTION 2 : IMPACT EVALUATION DESIGN
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04/20/23
Evaluation Design
Make use of expansion of PBC schemes over time The rollout takes place at the District level Treatment and control facilities were allocated as
follow: Identify districts without PBC in health centers
in 2005 Group the districts based on characteristics:
rainfall population density livelihoods
Flip a coin to assign districts to treatment and control groups.
11
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04/20/23
Roll-out plan
Phase 0 districts (white) are those districts in which PBF was piloted NOT part of the impact evaluation
Phase 1 districts (yellow) are districts in which PBF is being implemented in 2006, following the ‘roll-out plan’
Phase 2 districts (green) are districts in which PBF is phased in later; these are the so-called ‘Phase 2’ or ‘control districts’ following the roll-out plan. PBF is being introduced in these districts in 2008.
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04/20/23
Program Implementation Timeline
Jan-06 Mar 06 Jun-06 – Sept 06 2007 Feb-08-Apr 08 Apr-08
Phase I Start of intervention
Program Implementation
Phase II
Start of intervention
Impact Evaluation
SURVEYS Baseline
(General Health) Baseline
(HIV/AIDS)
Follow-up
14
Quality assurance in comparisons
Law of large numbers does not apply here… Proposed solution:
Propensity scores matching of communities in treatment and comparison based on observable characteristics
Over-sample “similar” communities in Phase I & Phase II
It turned out Couldn’t find enough characteristics to predict
assignment to Phase I Took a leap of faith and did simple stratified
sampling
15
More money vs. More incentives
Incentive based payments increase the total amount of money available for health center, which can also affect services
Phase II area receive equivalent amounts of transfers average of what Phase I receives Not linked to production of services Money to be allocated by the health center Preliminary finding: most of it goes to
salaries
16
Surveys
General Health facility survey (168 centers)
General Health household survey
HIV/AIDS facility survey (64 centers) HIV/AIDS household survey
Note: HIV/AIDS study is for another presentation
17
Design and sample
04/20/23
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04/20/23
Socio-economic information Anemia finger prick test: children 12-71
months old Malaria dip stick test: children under age 6 Anthropometrics: <6 years old Mental health: mothers, pregnant women,
adults over age 20 Sexual history and preventative behavior
knowledge Pre-natal care utilization and results Parents or caretakers were asked for
information regarding child (<5 years) health status
General Health Household Survey: content
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04/20/23
Health Centers Survey
All 168 centers in General Health; 64 in HIV/AIDS
General characteristics Human resources module: Skills, experience
and motivations of the staff Services and pricing Equipment and resources Vignettes: Pre-natal care, child care, adult
care VCT, PMTCT, AIDS detection services Exit interviews: Pre-natal care, child care,
adult care, VCT, PMTCT
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04/20/23
Analysis Plan
All analyses will be clustered at the district level Compare the average outcomes of facilities and
individuals in the treatment group to those in the control group 24 months after the intervention began.
Use of multivariate regression (or non-parametric matching) : control confounding factors
Test for differential individual impacts by: Gender, poverty level Parental background (If infant : maternal
education, HH wealth)
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SECTION 3: DESCRIPTIVE RESULTS FROM BASELINE SURVEY
22
HEALTH FACILITIES BASELINE SURVEY
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Classification of facilities
04/20/23
24
Financial Capital Resources
Main Sources of Funding at Facility Level Average Annual Funding at Facility Level
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
User Fees Drug Sales Religious Other Donor GovernmentOther
Major Source
Second Source
Third Source
RWF
2,416,597.00
RWF 727,169.90
RWF
2,069,715.00
RWF 297.47
RWF 295,745.90
Health
District
Religious Consultation
Fees
Drug
FeesLab Fees
Main Sources of Funding
04/20/23
25
Human resources
On average:
• 1 doctor for every 31,190 individuals,
• 1 nurse for every 4,835 individuals
Staff Obsv Mean Std dev. Min Max
Nurses A1 165 0.24 0.66 0 5
Nurses A2 164 5.32 2.74 0 18
Social Ass A2 165 0.16 0.93 0 11
Lab tech 166 0.80 1.02 0 10
Total staff 165 15.05 7.28 3 43
04/20/23
Availability of laboratory tests
04/20/23
Availability of equipment
04/20/23
Availability of drugs
04/20/23
29
Prenatal Care procedures:Comparison between health provider & patient responses
92%
86%
80%
21%
18%
13%
64%
85%
85%
21%
17%
8%
Number of previous miscarriages
Number of previous pregnancies
Late menstrual dates
Lost/gain of weight, nausea, vomiting
Medicaments that is taking right now
Family history of genetic problems
HealthProvider Patient
04/20/23
30
Prenatal care Physical ExaminationComparison between health provider and patient responses
52%
58%
72%
81%
81%
86%
83%
19%
17%
97%
61%
93%
Weight measured
Pelvic examination
Height measured
Abdomen examination
Blood presure measured
Listen featal heatbeat
Health Provider Patient
04/20/23
31
Quality index: Descriptive statistics
INDEX Mean SE Min Max
Process quality
Prenata care_Vignette 0.48 0.002 0.17 0.83
Child care_Vignette 0.44 0.002 0.20 0.71
Exit interv satisfaction 0.80 0.004 0.00 1.00
Structural quality
HF Infrastructure 0.76 0.004 0.17 1.00
HF Equipment 0.74 0.003 0.32 1.00
HF: Laboratory 0.52 0.005 0.00 1.0004/20/23 31
32
PATIENT SATISFACTION
Negative significant correlation between satisfaction and:
• The length of wait time • Total time spent attending the facility, • The cost of the visit • The cost of the medications.
No difference between satisfaction of mutuelle members and non-members
• But mutuelle membership is significantly positively correlated with cost
Prenatal visit: positive correlation with the cleanliness of the facility
Child care: lower levels of satisfaction in
• Waiting time, • Total time spent for visit, • Cleanliness of the facility, • Privacy during the exam, • Attitude of the staff, • Explanation of the child’s condition
during the exam
04/20/23
33
HOUSEHOLD BASELINE SURVEY
34
Sample description
2159 HH, 10,880 individuals Gender balance (49,3% male and 50,7
female) Average HH size is 5.71 individuals, Age range of <12 months to 96 years
old. Half of the sample is below 12 years old 75% of the sample is under the age of 30
years old. (Sampling strategy)04/20/23
35
HH Education by phase
Phase I (Intervention district)
Phase II (Control districts)
Variable obs % std obs % std. tstat
Ever_attended_school 3258 79.6 0.402 4172 80.6 0.395 1.048
No_schooling 2588 10.5 0.307 3356 11.5 0.319 1.208
Primary 2588 82.1 0.383 3356 79.8 0.401 -2.227
Secondary_above 2588 6.9 0.255 3356 7.9 0.270 1.309
04/20/23
36
Household assets Phase I (Intervention district) Phase II (Controldistricts) Variable Obs Std Obs std tstat Number of rooms in dwelling 960 3.59 1.09 1173 3.39 1.16 -4.12 Complete sofa set 960 1.88% 0.14 1173 2.90% 0.17 1.53 Radio 960 49.90% 0.50 1173 50.04% 0.50 0.07 Radio-cassette or music system 960 3.65% 0.19 1173 5.80% 0.23 2.31 Telephone – 960 1.04% 0.10 1173 3.32% 0.18 3.51 Mosquito nets 960 22.50% 0.42 1173 28.73% 0.45 3.27 Sewing machine 960 0.83% 0.09 1173 1.19% 0.11 0.82 A bed 960 63.23% 0.48 1173 58.14% 0.49 -2.39 Wardrobe 960 4.38% 0.20 1173 5.54% 0.23 1.23 Metallic library 960 0.63% 0.08 1173 1.36% 0.12 1.68 Table 960 63.02% 0.48 1173 62.49% 0.48 -0.25 Chair 960 85.31% 0.35 1173 83.89% 0.37 -0.91 Car 960 0.63% 0.08 1173 0.43% 0.07 -0.64 Motorcycle 960 0.42% 0.06 1173 0.51% 0.07 0.32 A bicycle 960 17.92% 0.38 1173 16.88% 0.37 -0.63 Dwelling - High Quality Materials 960 0.21% 0.05 1173 0.17% 0.04 -0.20 Dwelling – Low Quality Materials 960 44.17% 0.50 1173 38.45% 0.49 -2.67 Uses Electrogaz for Cooking (No) 960 99.38% 0.08 1173 99.57% 0.07 0.64 Main source of lighting is electricity 956 0.84% 0.09 1170 1.37% 0.12 1.15 Well water 954 71.91% 0.45 1172 62.97% 0.48 -4.38 Other source of water 954 19.81% 0.40 1172 25.26% 0.43 2.98 Open source of water 954 8.07% 0.27 1172 11.35% 0.32 2.52 Owns flush toilet 960 0.10% 0.03 1173 0.26% 0.05 0.80 Owns latrine 960 80.63% 0.40 1173 76.47% 0.42 -2.32
36
37
Maternal health service utilization
Age PNC provide with the last child
Preventive injection for Tetanus
Assisted delivery
Delivery at the health facility
<20 28 (98.86%) 27 (77.78%) 13 (43.33) 15 (50%)
20-34 1154 (96.7%) 1117 (84.15%) 595 (29.04) 664 (31.91)
35+ 515 (94.95%) 489 (46.01%) 153 (20.45) 162 (21.34)
Overall 1,681 (95.84)
1,227 (72.86)
837 (26.01) 929 ( 28.47)
04/20/23
38
Maternal health service utilization
Phase I (Intervention district) Phase II (Control districts)
obs Perc Std e obs Perc Std e tstat
Assisted delivery 1492 24.66 0.01 1726 27.17 0.01 1.61
Delivery at the health facility 1508 27.4 0.01 1755 29.3 0.01 1.19Times received PNC 752 2.781 1.138 927 2.709 1.159 -1.274
Preventative injection for Tetanus 757 73.45% 0.442 927 72.38% 0.447 -0.488
04/20/23
39
Immunization
Phase I (Intervention district)
Phase II (Control districts)
Obs Perc Std Obs Perc Std tstat
Fully immunized (12-23 months old) 272 73.53% 0.442 302 76.49% 0.425 -0.818
Fully immunized (12-71 months old) 1225 61.14% 0.488 1459 64.08% 0.480 1.570
04/20/23
40
Conclusion
HH Results comparables to the recent DHS
Validity of treatment – control groups Of 110 key characteristics and output variables of
HF, the sample is balanced on 104 of the indicators.
Of 80 key HH output variables, the sample is
balanced on 73 of the variables.
Majority of the indicators which differ between
Phase I and Phase II are results from patient exit
interview 04/20/23