11

Cooperative Institute for Research in the AtmosphereCIRA

Colorado State University

Overview for the 4th Annual NESDIS Cooperative Institute Directors Meeting

New York City, New York

June 2-3, 2005

Professor Thomas H. Vonder Haar, Director

www.cira.colostate.edu vonderhaar@cira.colostate.edu

22

CIRA HIGHLIGHTS, 2004-05

• CIRA Today

• New Research Results and Applications

• Response to NOAA SAB Review of CIRA

• Some Future Plans

33

CIRA in 04/05 – the 25th Year• Operates under a 5-year, renewable Cooperative Agreement (CA) with

NOAA• NOAA CI co-sponsored by NESDIS and ORA with good NWS

interaction• Complementary CAs with DOI/NPS and DoD/ARL• 180 scientists, staff and students (144 FTE)• Including 6 NESDIS, RAMM Team scientists on site• Including 12 postdocs, 25 graduate students, 16 undergraduates

supported by NOAA• Including 15 academic faculty (part time)

• $12M/year in research and outreach funding• $8M/year from NOAA

44

FY 03/04 NOAA Final Report NOAA Expenditure by Task 2 Themes (Dollars)

219,310

310,194

833,908

95,719

855,540

1,019,402

1,262,737

2,927,460

Applications of Satellite Observations Global and Regional Climate Studies

Local and Mesoscale Area Weather Forecasting and Evaluation Air Quality and Visibility

Cloud Physics Numerical Modeling

Education, Training, Outreach Societal and Economic Impacts

CIRA’s 8 Theme Areas

55

CIRA Publications

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2001 2002 2003

Peer Review edPublications

Non-Peerreview edPublications

Total

FY01 FY02 FY03 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY01 FY02 FY03

Peer-Reviewed ~~~ ~~~ 29 20 21 20 77 78 40

Non Peer-Reviewed ~~~ ~~~ 82 73 32 48 108 44 53

CI Lead Author NOAA Lead Author Other Lead Author

66

AMSU Data Products

MSPPS data from NESDIS are reformatted, mapped, and made available to researchers at CIRA, NESDIS, and elsewhere: http://amsu.cira.colostate.edu

(Kidder et al., 2005)

77

GOES Products

1-km resolution GOES products to match NWS radar coverage: http://amsu.cira.colostate.edu/GOES

88

Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP)

Two papers in press:

• Kidder, S. Q., S. J. Kusselson, J. A. Knaff, R. R. Ferraro, R. J. Kuligowski, and M. Turk, 2005: The Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP) Technique. Part 1: Description and Examples. Weather and Forecasting, in press.

• Ferraro, R., P. Pellegrino, M. Turk, W. Chen, S. Qiu, R. Kuligowski, S. Kusselson, A. Irving, S. Kidder, and J. Knaff, 2005: The Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP) Technique. Part 2: Validation. Weather and Forecasting, in press.

99

New Wind Probability Product for the National Hurricane Center

• Track, intensity and wind radii forecasts have uncertainty

• Monte Carlo model estimates probabilities of 34, 50 and 64 kt wind– Random sampling from observed

error distributions• Will replace old probability

products that only accounted for track errors

• Versions developed for NHC, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and Joint Typhoon Warning Center

• Funding from NOAA Joint Hurricane Testbed 5-day Cumulative Probability of 50 kt Winds

For Hurricane Charley (2004)

(DeMaria et al.)

1010

CIRA contribution to• Mission: Accelerate the transfer of research results into NWS operations via

teletraining• Participants from NOAA (NWS, NESDIS), DOD, international

• Since April 1999:– 57 courses offered– 966 teletraining sessions administered– 15,037 certificates of completion awarded

• 19 of 57 teletraining courses developed at CIRA• Collaborative effort with CIMSS

rammb.cira.colostate.edu/visit• Topics include severe weather, tropical cyclones, winter weather, with a focus on satellite applications

IST/VISIT Cumulative Training Certificates Issued

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

Apr-9

9

Jul-9

9

Oct-99

Jan-

00

Apr-0

0

Jul-0

0

Oct-00

Jan-

01

Apr-0

1

Jul-0

1

Oct-01

Jan-

02

Apr-0

2

Jul-0

2

Oct-02

Jan-

03

Apr-0

3

Jul-0

3

Oct-03

Jan-

04

Apr-0

4

Jul-0

4

Oct-04

Jan-

05

Apr-0

5

Date

Cer

tifi

cate

s

1111

NOAA’S 5-YEAR REVIEW OF CIRA

NOVEMBER 2003

•Final report approved March 16th 2004 by the Science Advisory Board of NOAA

•CIRA was judged to be a successful Joint Institute based on:the quality of its research

the strength of CSU’s commitment to CIRA

the vision and leadership of the CSU administrators

strong relationships between CIRA and collaborating departments at CSU, particularly Atmospheric Science

strong partnership with the partnering NOAA labs

the value of the RAMM Team with its cadre of NOAA/NESDIS employees

4 Challenges:

•Review science themes

•Improve strategic planning and self-assessment

•Increase education, diversity, outreach

•Leadership transition

1212

Progress on NOAA’s Nov. 2003 Peer Review Challenge for CIRA

1) All Science Themes under review vis-à-vis NOAA’s Goals and Objectives and CSU Capabilities and Infrastructure

2) New focal point for CIRA/NOAA Strategic Planning and Self-Assessment Metrics (Ken Eis, Deputy Director)

3) New Education and Outreach Coordinator (David Cismoski) and New Activities; New Diversity Coordinator (Mary McInnis-Efaw) and New Activities

4) Strong University and Faculty Support for a New CIRA Director in 2008-09; Developing Candidate Pool

1313

Launch Sept ‘05

Funding from CSA and NASA

First multi-satellite mission

First cloud radar

1414

Established New Center for Accelerating Research Results into Operations (CARRO)

• With ORA and other CI’s (other CARRO’s?)

• Lessons learned; best practices; new mechanisms

• CARRO Algorithm Incubator Program (CAIP) for local CI and joint CI research activities interface to Satellite Products Testbed (SPT) at NESDIS

(Contacts: Andy Jones and Stan Kidder)

SPT

CARRO

Project 1

OtherCARROs

Experimental Users

Project 2Project 3

Satellite Products Testbed

OSDPD ORA

Experimental Users

CIOSS CREST

CIRACICS CIMSS

1515

Back-ups

1616

Data Processing Center at CIRA

• Provide 7 CloudSat data products to science community

• Developed prototype small mission satellite processing center (generic)

• Flexible – Allows new data/satellite sources to be included in

days, not years.

– Provides standard system for operations, prototyping, and scientific R&D (no porting science-to-ops code)

1717

Blended TPW

TPW data, acquired from NESDIS, for three NOAA satellites and three DMSP satellites are blended every hour and made available to SAB forecasters and researchers.

http://amsu.cira.colostate.edu/TPW

1818

The Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Team at CIRA

• Established Aug 1980 to foster research on satellite applications to short-term forecasting

• 5 original federal employees– J. Purdom, B. Green, R. Phillips, J. Weaver, R. Zehr

• 5 current federal employees– M. DeMaria, D. Hillger, D. Molenar, J. Weaver, R. Zehr

• Two team leaders since 1980– J. Purdom 1980-1997, M. DeMaria 1998-present

• Current emphasis:– Applied research and training on satellite applications to severe

weather, tropical cyclones and mesoscale aspects of mid-latitude cyclones