ParticipantsParticipantspp• EASA

• CANSO• Airbus

EmbraerCANSO

• IFALPA

FAA

• Embraer

• ACI• FAA

• LVNL• IATA

• ERA• Boeing

• DGAC France• Eurocontrol

AAPA• DGAC France

• Flight Safety Foundation• AAPA

• US NTSB• IFATCA

• NLR• AEA

D fi itiDefinition:

A Runway safety issue is any safety issue that deals with the runway environment (or anydeals with the runway environment (or any surface being used as a runway) and the areas immediately adjacent to it (e.g. overruns, highimmediately adjacent to it (e.g. overruns, high speed taxiways). Runway Safety issues include runway incursions, runway excursions, and inappropriate use of runways.

Runway Incursionsy

• Part of the new breed of safety• Part of the new breed of safety challenge

l f id- Not a lot of accidents- Numerous Incidents

• Basic Risk Management:Basic Risk Management:Risk = (Probability) X (Severity)

1977 - KLM / Pan Am

Los Rodeos Airport -TenerifeLos Rodeos Airport -Tenerife Canary Islands

SASO b 2001

SASO b 2001October 2001October 2001

Milan, ItalyMilan, Italy

Runway Safety IssuesRunway Safety Issues

• Runway Incursions

Runway Excursions• Runway Excursions

• Runway Confusiony

RunwayConfusion

Safety Data

Incursion

Excursion

Accident Data1995 20071995 – 2007

C i l i fCommercial Aircraft(Substantial and Major Damage, Western and Eastern built

Turbojets and Turboprops)

Jets TurbopropsJets TurbopropsMajor Substantial Major Substantial

267 347 499 219267 347 499 219Total 614 718

1,332 Total Accidents

Fatal and Non-Fatal Runway id bAccidents by Type

Runway ConfusionFatal

Non-Fatal

Runway Incursion

Runway Excursion

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

Number of Accidents

Runway Safety Data1995 – 2007

Runway Excursion Datay

• 35% of Jet accidents

• 23% of Turboprop accidents

• Turboprops have a higher risk of veer-offs J t h hi h i k fJets have a higher risk of overruns

Business Jet Accidents 1991 20021991 - 2002

Total Accidents: 251Total Accidents: 251

Excursions: 63

Excursion %: 25.1%

Runway Safety Observations• Data shows we are being effective in

preventing runway incursion accidents, butthe number of incidents and severity still indicates a very high risk

• Data shows runway excursions are the mostcommon type of runway safety accident (96%) and the most common type of fatal runway safety accident (80%)

• Severity of runway excursions dependent on:- Energy of aircraft when departing the runwaygy p g y- Airport layout, geography, and rescue capability

Runway Safety Observations

• New procedures (e.g. Auckland, NZ) may be helpful in reducing the risk in some runwayhelpful in reducing the risk in some runway incursion and runway confusion situations –but not all

• In the case of runway confusion, many runwayincursion interventions may be useful (e gincursion interventions may be useful (e.g. moving map)

• In the case of runway excursions, a majorrisk reduction factor is flying a stabilizedrisk reduction factor is flying a stabilized approach with landing in the touchdown zone

Basics - Stabilized approach with landing in

touch down zone- Energy = Mass X V2

touch down zone

- Effect of reverse thrust significantly greater on a contaminated runwaygreater on a contaminated runway

- Calculations and rules are important, b i dh i h di ibut so is adhering to the conditions used to calculate them:

* b V1* e.g. abort past V1* Land long, land fast

The Way Forward

RSI Steering Team

Runway RunwayyIncursions

Runway Excursions

Support and Promote Lead the effort to reduceSupport and Promote the many current efforts

* ICAO definition

Lead the effort to reducethe risk of excursions

* Establish data team to determine* ICAO definition* Global Data Base

highest risk areas and develop interventions

* Publish interventions and best practices, e.g.practices, e.g. - Stabilized approaches- No-fault go around policy- Contaminated runway data

Basic PlanBasic Plan

• 3 Critical Items for success:

1 Id tif hi h i k ( ith d t )1. Identify high risk areas (with data)

2. Develop Interventions to reduce the prisk in the highest risk areas

3 G t i f ti t i t ti ll3. Get information out internationally* On a regionally tailored basis* I f i dl f t* In a user friendly format

Flight Safety Foundation

Shortage of Qualified PersonnelPersonnel

Shortage of Qualified PersonnelShortage of Qualified PersonnelFSF will work in partnership with IATA ICAO, and others on this issue under the umbrella of the IATA Training andthe umbrella of the IATA Training and

Qualification Initiative (ITQI)

The Need for PilotsAirline demand for more than 360,000

pilots over next 20 yearsThe Need for Pilotspilots over next 20 years

73 400111 10013,000

9 400

73,400

15,200

111,100

49,300 20,100

13 400

Europe

Africa

9,400

23,800China

27,10013,400

Middle EastCISNorth America

Central AmericaSouth America

NE AsiaSE AsiaOceaniaSW Asia

7,300

Numbers represent the total pilots needed toNumbers represent the total pilots needed to support fleet growth & pilot retirements between 2006-2026

These estimates do not includeThese estimates do not include• Corporate aviationCo po ate a at o• Air Charter• Flight instructionFlight instruction• Turboprop operators• Associated industry requirements• Associated industry requirements

– e.g. aircraft and equipment manufacturers, regulatory agencies, government public use aircraft, news

i tagencies, etc.

•Industry delivered 1 138 business•Industry delivered 1,138 businessjets in 2007 valued at ~$20B

•Airbus estimates 22,663 airliners will be delivered over 20 yearsbe delivered over 20 years •Embraer estimates 11,115 executive j t ill b d li d i t 10jets will be delivered in next 10 years

Some Significant Missing PiecesSome Significant Missing Pieces

• Turboprops - ATR had a backlog of 195 p p gaircraft at the end of 2007, an increase of some 120% compared to 2005

• Air Charter - 3,000 on-demand air taxi operators in the U.S. operating 11,000 i f * ( l b l b k )aircraft* (global number unknown)

• 3,200 U.S.- based flying schools* (global b k )number unknown)

Other StakeholdersOther Stakeholders• 190 State Regulatory Agencies 90 State egu ato y ge c es

“With respect to aircraft operations, approximately half of the audited States have pp yan insufficient number of flight operations inspectors to adequately perform safety oversight of civil aviation activities.”

ICAO

*S N ti l Ai T t A i ti*Source National Air Transport Association

IATA Training and Qualification I iti ti Mi i St t tInitiative Mission Statement

SAFETYSafety is paramount and remains our priority number oneSafety is paramount and remains our priority number oneThe shortage of qualified pilots and technicians could have a negative impact on safety

GROWTHGROWTHThe shortage of qualified licensed personnel could affect sustainable growth hence have a severe commercial impact on all sectors of the aviation industry.y

QUALITY & STANDARDSIn times of high demand there is a potential risk for a drop in training - and quality standardstraining and quality standards

DEMAND & SUPPLYIt is important to quantify and to balance the demand and the supply of licensed personnel on a regional as well as on a globalsupply of licensed personnel on a regional as well as on a global level in all segments of the aviation industry, with sustained quality and no compromise to safety and quality.

FSF Goal:Make Aviation Safer by reducing theMake Aviation Safer by reducing the Risk of an Accident

B k Slid f I f tiBackup Slides for Information

Hull Loss Accidents Business Jets

1 J t 31 D b 20051 January to 31 December 2005

Date Operator Aircraft Location Phase Fatal1 January Jet Services Citation II Ainsworth NE USA Approach 01 January Jet Services Citation II Ainsworth, NE, USA Approach 0

28 January Million Air Learjet 35 Kansas City, MO, USA Landing 0

2 February Platinum Jet Challenger 600 Teteroboro, NJ, USA Takeoff 0

21 February Scott Aviation HS 125 Bromont, Canada Approach 021 February Scott Aviation HS 125 Bromont, Canada Approach 0

16 February Circuit City Stores Citation V Pueblo, CO, USA Approach 8

24 February Colima State Gov Westwind Morelia, Mexico Enroute 7

8 March Air Global Citation I Caracas, Venezeula Approach 2

9 May Compas Acquisitions Sabeliner Brownwood, TX, USA Takeoff 0

15 May Weibel Scientific Citation I Atlantic City, NJ, USA Landing 0

20 May Jet 2000 Falcon 20 Moscow, Russia Descent 0

15 July Aspen Aviation Learjet 35 Vail, CO, USA Landing 0

1 September USA Jet Falcon 20 Elyria, OH, USA Takeoff 0

16 September Viacao Cometa Citation 525 Rio de Janerio, Brazil Climb 2

5 November Houston Cardiac Assoc Citation I Houston, TX, USA Takeoff 2

28 December Skyward Aviation Lear 35 Truckee, CA USA Landing 2

Source: Airclaims, Aviation Safety Network, News Reports

Major Accidents Business Jets

1 January to 31 December 2006

Date Operator Aircraft Location Phase Fatall

2 January Avcom Hawker 700 Kharkov, Ukraine Approach 3

24 January Goship Air Citation V Carlsbad, CA, USA Landing 4

15 February Jet 2000 Falcon 20 Kiel Germany Landing 015 February Jet 2000 Falcon 20 Kiel, Germany Landing 0

16 February Lech Air Citation I Busckin, Iraq Descent 6

2 June International Jet Charter Lear 35 Groton, CT, USA Approach 2

26 June Great Ideas Corp Hawker F3 Barcelona Venezuela Landing 026 June Great Ideas Corp Hawker F3 Barcelona, Venezuela Landing 0

5 July Vigojet Saberliner Mexico City, Mexico Landing 0

19 July Tomco II Citation Encore Cresco, IA, USA Landing 2

28 August Netjets Hawker 800 Carson City, NV, USA Descent 028 August Netjets Hawker 800 Carson City, NV, USA Descent 0

Source: Ascend

Major Accidents Business Jets

1 January 2007 to 31 December 2007

Date Operator Aircraft Location Phase Fatal7 J Ah ki l C lti P i 1A St T F L di 07 January Ahrenkiel Consulting Premier 1A St. Tropez, France Landing 0

9 January Ameristar Jet Charter Lear 24 Guadalajara, Mexico Approach 2

12 January SunQuest Air Charter Citation I Van Nuys, CA, USA Takeoff 2

24 January Air Trek Air Ambulence Citation II Butler PA USA Landing 024 January Air Trek Air Ambulence Citation II Butler, PA, USA Landing 0

3 May Hamilton Ranches Citation II Dillon, MT, USA Approach 2

4 June Toy Air Citation II Milwaukee, WI USA Climb 6

30 June IHR Admin Services Citation I Conway Field AK USA Landing 130 June IHR Admin Services Citation I Conway Field, AK, USA Landing 1

5 July Jett Paqueteria Saberliner Culiacan, Mexico Takeoff 3

7 October Private Gulfstream II Santo Domingo, Venezuela Landing 2

4 November Reali Taxi Aero Lear 35 Sao Paulo, Brazil Takeoff 2

11 November Jetport Inc Global 5000 Fox Harbor, Canada Landing 0

26 December Jet Connection Business CL-604 Almaty, Kazakhstan Takeoff 1

Source: Ascend and Aviation Safety Network

Major Accidents Business Jets1 January 2008

Date Operator Aircraft Location Phase Fatal1 F b P i t Cit ti I A t M i USA Cli b 21 February Private Citation I Agusta, Maine, USA Climb 2

18 February Private Citation III Valencia, Venezuela Enroute 3

4 March Southwest Sports Clinic Citation I Oklahoma City, USA Takeoff 5

30 March Private Citation I London UK Climb 530 March Private Citation I London, UK Climb 5

Source: Ascend