04.1 Inflation[1]

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    Tutor2u & Mrs G

    By the end of this unit well cover

    Today well lookat.

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    Key Issues

    The meaning of inflation

    Measuring the general price level

    Deflation and hyperinflation

    Current trends in UK Inflation

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    Defining inflation

    Inflation is a sustained increase in the average pricelevel of a country.

    The rate of inflation is measured by the annualpercentage change in the level of prices asmeasured by the consumer price index.

    A sustained fall in the general price level is calleddeflation in this situation, the rate of inflation becomesnegative.

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    BBC clip on 2009 inflation

    http://www.tutor2u.net/http://www.tutor2u.net/http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/7895819.stmhttp://www.tutor2u.net/
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    What has happenedto the CPI over the

    5 years?

    Any evidence of

    DEFLATION overthis period?

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    Dec 2009 Inflation data What effects do youthink these changes

    had on the economy?

    http://www.tutor2u.net/http://www.tutor2u.net/http://www.statistics.gov.uk/pdfdir/cpi0110.pdfhttp://www.tutor2u.net/
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    Annual percentage change in consumer prices

    Consumer Price Inflation in Selected Countries

    Source: OECD World Economic Outlook

    00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08

    -5

    -4

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    Percen

    t

    -5

    -4

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    UK

    Japan

    China

    United States

    Describe the changes in inflation for the 4countries.

    What has happened to prices in Japan?

    What implications are there for consumers

    and then for businesses?

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    Key Concepts

    The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Measures changes in the cost of living of a typical

    household.

    The CPI is a weighted price index.

    It is compiled using a representative selection of morethan 600 separate goods and services for which pricemovements are regularly measured in 146 areas

    throughout the UK

    Some 130,000 separate price quotations are used eachmonth in compiling the index, which is published eachmonth

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    Whats

    in thebasket

    ?

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    Whats in the basket?

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    Whats in the basket?

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    AS Economics

    Tutor2u &

    Mrs G

    Typical exam Q

    How is the RPI or CPI measured.?

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    Key Concepts

    The Cost of Living Is the quantity of goods and services that a given

    amount of money (e.g. 1000 a month) will buy for atypical household.

    The Inflation Rate

    The annual percentage in the consumer price index.

    This is calculated relative to an arbitrary base yearset equal to 100.

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    The consumer price index

    The consumer price index is the mainmeasure of inflation for the UK

    The government has set the Bank of England atarget for inflation (using the CPI) of 2%

    The aim of this target is to achieve a sustainedperiod of low and stable inflation

    Low stable inflation is also known as pricestability

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    CPI

    RPI

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    Hyper inflation

    A Bank of England employeepictured in the 1920s with a20 million deutschmark note

    whose purchasing powerequated to a box of matches

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    Hyper inflation

    A Bank of England employeepictured in the 1920s with a20 million deutschmark note

    whose purchasing powerequated to a box of matches

    The hyperinflation in Weimar Germany led toemployees taking their wages home in largerwicker baskets

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    Hyperinflation Yugoslavia in 1993

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    Yugoslaviathe true impact

    Between January 1, 1991 and April 1, 1998, the dinarwas officially devalued 18 times (three of whichexceeded 99%), and 22 zeros were lopped off that unitof account.

    For a sense of the impact on the local population,imagine the value of your bank accounts in dollars and

    then move the decimal point 22 places to the left. Thentry to buy something!

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    Hyperinflation

    With hyperinflation - inflation goes out ofcontrol

    Huge amounts of money has to be printed to meetpeoples demand for cash

    Money effectively becomes worthless

    The effect is nearly always to lead to a collapse in

    business and consumer confidence and a recession

    In most cases a new monetary system may have tobe created

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    Zimbabwe Hyperinflation in 2007

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    And in 2008.

    Originally worth $2.but only worth 4 centin Jan 2009 before devaluation.

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    Most current data

    Zi b b f

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    Zimbabwe removes 12 zeros fromcurrency Jan 2009

    One trillion in Zimbabwe dollars now will be equivalentto one Zimbabwe dollar

    Zimbabwe's inflation rate officially at 231 millionpercent as of last July 2008.

    Many Zimbabwean traders have stopped accepting

    local currency

    Acting finance minister recently allowed allZimbabweans to use foreign currency

    Zimbabwe switchesinto official monthlydeflationDec 18 2009

    http://www.tutor2u.net/http://www.tutor2u.net/http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/africa/7859703.stmhttp://www.tutor2u.net/
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    Consumer Price Inflation in RussiaRussia, Consumer Prices (Annual Percentage Change)

    Source: Reuters EcoWin

    92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06

    Percent

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    a result of thecollapse in the

    external value of therouble in 1998

    What effects do youthink this had on the

    economy?

    Think abouteach sector

    of the economy

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    Costs and Consequences of Inflation

    Money loses its value and people lose confidence inmoney as the value of savings is reduced

    Inflation can get out of control - price increases lead to

    higher wage demands as people try to maintain theirliving standards. This is known as a wage-price spiral.

    Consumers and businesses on fixed incomes lose outbecause the their real incomes falls - employees in poor

    bargaining positions lose out

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    An interactive link for Inflation

    http://www.tutor2u.net/http://www.tutor2u.net/http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/interactive/2009/mar/24/rpi-inflationhttp://www.tutor2u.net/
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    Homework

    Revision

    You have an assessment NEXT WEEKon Tuesday.

    Revise

    Macro Economic objectives

    Circular flow of income

    Measuring National Income HDI issues

    ReminderYou have the textbook

    exercise to finish for Nextlesson

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    Plenary

    What is inflation?

    How does the govt measure the general

    price level? What is deflation?

    What is hyperinflation?

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