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 Advancing NOAA’s HWRF prediction system through enhanced physics of the air-sea coupling and ocean model initialization Isaac Ginis B. Thomas, R. Yablonsky, T. Hara, B. Reichl, C. Hughes University of Rhode Island V. Tallapragada, H. Tolman (NOAA/NCEP) J.-W. Bao, C. Fairall, L. Bianco (NOAA/ESRL) R. Tuleya (ODU) Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference, March 2012

03-Ginis IHC 2012

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Advancing NOAA’s HWRF prediction systemthrough enhanced physics of the air-sea coupling

and ocean model initialization

Isaac Ginis

B. Thomas, R. Yablonsky, T. Hara, B. Reichl, C. Hughes

University of Rhode IslandV. Tallapragada, H. Tolman (NOAA/NCEP)

J.-W. Bao, C. Fairall, L. Bianco (NOAA/ESRL)R. Tuleya (ODU)

Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference, March 2012

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 • HWRF fully coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Wave

system will include:

 – a triple-nested (27/9/3km) HWRF atmospheric model,

 – POM or HYCOM ocean model, and

 – a multi-grid WAVEWATCH III wave model.

HWRF Coupled Model Structure

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Air-Sea Interface Module

Image courtesy of Fabrice Veron

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• Sea state (wave) dependent drag coefficient

• Wave-induced Stokes drift and upper ocean

mixing

• Wave-induced Coriolis-Stokes effect

• Princeton Ocean Model initialization upgrade

Discussion Outline

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• In the air-sea interface module, the momentum flux(drag coefficient) is calculated using the wave modeloutput and a wave-boundary layer model.

• We have examined two momentum flux models,developed at University of Rhode Island (URI) and

University of Miami (UM) as potential candidates forthe air-sea interface module.

Sea State Dependent

Drag Coefficient

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Evaluation of Wave Spectrum in WW3 and itsImpact on Drag Coefficient in the URI flux model

resolvedparameterized

New tail

H i I (2004) Si l i i h

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Hurricane Ivan (2004) Simulation with

WAVEWATCH and H*Wind Forcing

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Sea-State Dependent Drag Coefficient

WW3 Tail

New Tail

Only data for U10 > 20 m/s are shown

D C ffi i t d

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Drag Coefficient and

Wind Stress - Wind Misalignment

Only data for U10 > 20 m/s are shown

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Stokes Drift Due to Surface WavesUnder Hurricane Conditions

• Surface wave motions introduce net masstransport, “Stokes drift”, which has the effect oftilting and organizing the upper ocean turbulenteddies. The resulting turbulence is called

“Langmuir turbulence”.

• In hurricanes, of particular interest is the

conditions in which wind is misaligned with wavesat angles greater than 90o. In such cases theStokes drift may suppress Langmuir turbulenceand consequent sea surface cooling.

Mi d L Ki ti E

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Mixed Layer Kinetic EnergyMeasurements in Hurricanes

Courtesy of Eric D’Asaro

Lagrangian floats deployed ahead of Hurricane Gustav (2008)found reduced vertical kinetic energy in the mixed layer behindthe storm.

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Stokes Drift Calculations in IdealizedHurricane

• We examine the vertical profile of Stokes driftunder idealized hurricanes.

• WAVEWATCH is used to calculate directional

wavenumber spectra under stationary andtranslating hurricanes (at 5 ms-1 and 10 ms-1),with a Rm=70 km and Vm=45 ms-1.

• Stokes drift is calculated from the surface downto 240 m depth.

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Angle difference between wind direction

and Stokes drift direction at z=k peak-1 

Angle exceeds90o behind atranslatinghurricane.

UT=0 UT=5 m/s

UT=10 m/s

km km

km

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Coriolis–Stokes Effect

Figure from Polton et al. (2005)

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surface boundary condition is modified:

Ocean Momentum Equations and

Coriolis–Stokes Forcing

Coriolis-StokesForcing

Wave effect onmomentum flux (Fanet al., 2010) already

included in ASIM

Momentum fluxinto the ocean ≠

wind stress!

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UT=5 m/s UT=10 m/s

Coriolis–Stokes Forcing UnderIdealized Moving Hurricane

Only data for U10 > 20 m/s are shown

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UT=5 m/s UT=10 m/s

Coriolis–Stokes/Wind Stress RatioUnder Idealized Moving Hurricane

Only data for U10 > 20 m/s are shown

P i t O M d l

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Princeton Ocean ModelInitialization Upgrade

• POM is the ocean component of the GFDL,GFDN, HWRF operational models

• It is initialized differently in different oceanbasins:

 – Atlantic: GDEM climatology, feature-basedinitialization

 – Eastern Pacific: GDEM monthly climatology in GFDLand HWRF, but NCODA in GFDN

 – Western Pacific and other ocean basins: NCODA inGFDN

NCEP’ RTOFS ( ti l i 10 25 2011)

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http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/global/ 

NCEP’s RTOFS (operational since 10.25.2011)based on 1/12o Global HYCOM

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2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2011atlan.shtml

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10/25/11: RTOFS-Global vs. Feature-based

SST

75-m T

RTOFS-Global Feature-based w/GFS SST

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10/25/11: RTOFS-Global vs. Feature-based

Cross-section

SSH

RTOFS-Global Feature-based w/ GFS SST

S

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Summary

• In the process of developing of the Air-Sea

Interface Module for HWRF we examined – 1) sea state dependent momentum flux,

 – 2) Stokes drift effect on upper-ocean mixing, and

 – 3) Coriolis-Stokes forcing

• Modeling results suggest that behind thehurricane the Stokes drift may suppress

Langmuir turbulence and consequent seasurface cooling.

S

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Summary

• Coriolis-Stokes forcing may reduce momentum

flux into the ocean by 15% of the wind stressnear the radius of maximum wind and to theright of the hurricane center.

• Plans for 2012:

 – Implement the air-sea interface module (ASIM) intothe coupled HWRF-WAVEWATCH-POM/HYCOMsystem. Insure that all components of ASIM aremodular and can be transitioned to other TC coupledmodels, including COAMPS-TC.

 – Test the ocean model initialization in GFDL/POM andHWRF/POM based Global RTOFS.

Ocean Observations Needed for

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Ocean Observations Needed forCoupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean

Model Evaluations

• Directional wave spectra (to be available fromWSRA measurements)

• Temperature and current measurements withinthe hurricane core regions. Only a few available

in the Atlantic.