01HDM-4Introduction2008-10-22dd1.ppt

8/9/2019 01HDM-4Introduction2008-10-22dd1.ppt

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HDM-4 Introduction


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Transport and Development

• Transport sector is vital for economic & socialdevelopment

• Roads constitute largest component oftransport

• Roads require a balance of: Maintenance (or Preservation) Improvement (or Development)

• b!ective of Road Management "onsistent and Rational Polic# b!ectives $ufficient and Reliable %unding ffective Procedures & Management Tools (e'g'

DM*)


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Road Management Functions

• Planning $etting standards and policies

.ong term estimates of e3penditure

• ProgrammingMedium term ,or- programmes

• Preparation Detailed pro!ect design and ,or- pac-aging

• perations Implementation of ,or-s in field


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HDM-4 Objectives (1

!lignments

"avement standards

Road standards

#conomic basis $or selecting investment alternatives


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HDM-4 Objectives (%

Tra$$ic congestion

&e'icle emissions

Travel times

on-motori)edtransport $acilities

Transport costs

Road accidents

Minimi)e Road !genc* and Road +ser ,osts


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HDM-4 ,oncept

• Predicts road net,or- performance as a functionof

Traffic volumes and loading

Road pavement t#pe and strengt+

Maintenance standardsnvironment 4 "limate

• 5uantifies benefits to road users from:$avings in ve+icle operating costs (2")

Reduced road user travel times

Decrease in number of accidents


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Role o$ HDM-4

Management Function HDM-4 !pplication

"lanning trateg* !nal*sis

"rogramming "rogramme !nal*sis

"reparation "roject !nal*sis


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HDM-4 !pplications

• Road sector polic# studies• $trategic planning of road net,or- development6improvement & maintenance

•Determination of funding requirements

• Preparation of multi#ear road ,or- programmes

• conomic appraisal of individual road pro!ects

• Researc+ studies Road pricing 2e+icle regulations

Pavement design standards


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• 7nal#tical tool for engineering andeconomic assessment of

road investments and maintenance

transport pricing and regulation

• P+#sical and economic relations+ips derivedfrom e3tensive researc+ on roaddeterioration6t+e effects of maintenance activities6 andve+icle operation and user costs

HDM-4 Tool


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Discount !nnual,osts . ,ompare

"redict RoadDeterioration

"redict Road

/or0 #$$ects

&O, !ccident. Time costs

Output"& IRR22

InputData

Repeat

$or all*ears

HDM-4 3i$e ,*cle !nal*sis


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,omparison o$ "roject !lternatives

/it'Overla*

/it'outOverla*

Discounted R7"(Road or0s 5 R+,

Pro!ect .ife (#ears) nd of 7nal#sis


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,omparison o$ "roject !lternatives

,ost o$ "aving

/it'out"aving

Discounted R7"

Pro!ect .ife (#ears) nd of 7nal#sis

8P2

R+,


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de 9eille:;


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• ;en#a6 0raBil6 "aribbean6

India GAH million data collection in * field studies• ;;?AHH? DM* version 'H to 'C

International sponsors6 PI7R"

Redesign of functions and soft,are %ocus on road agenc# usage• AHH


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;en#a

T+e 9orld 0an-;==;@A "aribbean $tud# 2" $tud# TRR.

"aribbean "ountries;==;@C India $tud# 2" $tud#

"RRI 8e, Del+i

;=?;@A 0raBil $tud# 2" $tud# FIPT 0raBil Road Deterioration $tud# Enited 8ations

T+e 9orld 0an-

Te3as Researc+;@;@= %inal P+ase Modeling T+e 9orld 0an-

;@= DMIII Publications Researc+ Documentation T+e 9orld 0an-

;@; DMIII $oft,are P" "omputer soft,are T+e 9orld 0an-

;;? DM $#stem "ongestion6 DM Manager T+e 9orld 0an-

HDM-III Development


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Other

Contributors

SNRASweRoad

VTI

Technical

Advisors

ODAThe University

of Birin!ha

ADBN D "ea Int#

I$RA%

&IC'%IC( )Chile*

Catholic Univ#

Overseas Develo+ent Adinistration )ODA,D&ID*

Asian Develo+ent Ban- )ADB*Swedish National Road Adinistration )SNRA*

Inter.Aerican &ederation on Ceent /roducers )&IC'%*

The 0orld Ban- )IBRD*

The 0orld Road Association )/IARC*

Steerin! Coittee)0orld Ban-*

SecretariatThe University

of Birin!ha

HDM-4 ponsors


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HDM-4 &ersion %26 ,oordination

•In AHH? PI7R" a,arded a five #ear concessionto DMFlobal for t+e future management ofDM* ,it+ e3clusive rig+ts for its distribution'

• DM*Flobal is an international consortium ofacademic and consultanc# companies t+at +aveformed a partners+ip'

• 7t t+e center of consortium is t+e ig+,a#Management Researc+ Froup a E> basedassociation of t+e Eniversit# of 0irming+am6

7t-ins and $cott 9ilson in partners+ip ,it+L TR..td also of t+e E>6 7RR0 Transport Researc+.td from 7ustralia6 8P" and $cetauroute from%rance6 and I" of "+ile'


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HDM-4 &ersion %26 Distribution

T+e DMFlobal distributor role is to:

• sell t+e soft,are license and deliver DM* on "DRM• deliver updates on dis- or b# internet do,nload• provide first contact support

9ebsite: +ttp:44+dmglobal'com4

mail: presses'pontsJmail'enpc'fr orsalesJ+dmglobal'com'


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T'e HDM-4 "roducts on ,D ROM

• DM* soft,are• "ase stud# data

sets

• DM $eriesdocuments


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2olume


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HDM-4 &ersion %26 "rices (+7

•$ingle .icense C6*?H A6CHH

• %our Pac-or more A6;CH• %ive Pac- or more A6=


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Minimum *stem Re8uirements

•Pentium P100 processor (orequivalent)•32MB of RAM•30MB of har is! space (for

pro"ram an ocumentation)•#0MB of har is! space (for stora"e

of run$ata)

•%ino&s 'P #+ or ,- . &ith/ervice Pac! a installe•es!top soft&are ,o server version

availale


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• 2e+icle and tire tec+nolog# in t+e 2" studiesbears little resemblance to t+ose of modernve+icles

• DMIII does not consider:

Traffic congestion (prior to ;;?)Rigid pavementsMan# t#pes of fle3ible pavementsPavement te3ture and s-id resistance%reeBet+a, conditionsTraffic safet#nvironmental impacts

• $oft,are for D$ environment

3imitations o$ HDM-III


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• Pavements Rigid pavements

More maintenance t#pes

Drainage effects

%reeBing climates effects• Road Esers

8e, ve+icle t#pes

"+aracteristics of Modern 2e+icles

8onmotoriBed traffic

"ongestion effects

7ccidents

missions & nerg# consumption

HDM-4 Tec'nical Improvements


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• 9indo,s ;?4;@48T nvironmentas# to use

Different levels of input data

• T+ree 7pplication ModulesPro!ect valuation

8et,or- Programme valuation

8et,or- $trategic Planning valuation

• 0etter interface ,it+ PavementManagement $#stems

HDM-4 o$tare Improvements


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"M;=H

DMII;=?

DMIII;@?

%ortran

DM Manager 'H;;

"lipper 4 D$

DM Manager A'H;;C

DM Manager C'H;;?

DM Manager C'A;;;

DMIIIP" ;@;

DM5P" ;;?

M a i n f r a m e

.imited Distribution

DM* 'HAHHH

9indo,s

NP4;?4;@48T

DM* 'CAHHA

DM* A'HAHH?

DM* A'H*

AHH=

99

uu

ggss

99

uu

gg

ss

HDM o$tare &ersions


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• HHO same input data• ;;';O same results ,it+ same inputs• HHO same output reports• verall same structure• DM* version A'H* ne, features:$ensitivit# anal#sis

7sset value calculation

$torage of different budget scenarios results

$ome input data rearranged (e'g' trafficcomposition entered toget+er ,it+ dail# traffic)

3ports4Import data to 7ccess files

HDM &ersion 12: and %264


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,omparison o$ !lternatives

• $tandards 4 7lternatives Policies 4 $trategies 8orms 4 ptions

• Paved road alternatives6 e'g': overla# at specified condition or time

reseal first and overla# later reconstruct at specified condition or time do not+ing or do minimum (patc+ing) ,iden pavement at specified time or 24" improve alignment or add lane

• Enpaved road alternatives6 e'g': grading ever# @H da#s upgrade to paved standard at time or condition

SynonymsSynonyms


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#valuation o$ !lternatives

•conomic evaluation

• Tec+nical evaluation

• Institutional evaluation

• %inancial evaluation

• $ocial evaluation

• nvironmental evaluation

• Political evaluation

HDM-4MainFocus


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Transport 9ene$its

•Reduce ve+icle operating cost•$avings in time of passengers andcargo

•Reduction of accidents

•$timulate regional development

• Increase t+e comfort and convenience

•0etter national integration•8ational securit#•Freater selfsufficienc#•qual distribution of income

•Prestige of t+e countr#

HDM-4Benefts


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T'e 9eginning 1;


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"avement Management !pproac'es

• "risisoriented approac++ig+,a# facilities are operated ,it+ little or no maintenanceuntil obstructive failure occurs t+at needs e3tensiverestoration and reconstruction ,or-

•"onditionresponsive4financial approac+p+#sical standards are set in relation to:a) perceived tec+nical requirements6 b) acceptable servicelevels6 and c) received budget

• Tec+nicaleconomic efficienc# approac+functional and tec+nical standards are selected tominimiBe total road transport costs to societ#'

HDM-4Approach


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=ear

6 % 4 < > 16 1% 14 1< 1>6

%

4

<

>

16

1%

=ear

6 % 4 < > 16 1% 14 1< 1>6

%

4

<

>

16

1%

=ear

6 % 4 < > 16 1% 14 1< 1>6

%

4

<

>

16

1%

!genc* ,osts (at 1%?

et present &alue (at 1%?

6 % 4 < > 16 1% 14 1< 1> %6 %% %4 %< %> :66

%6

46

6

166

1%6

Terminal 3i$e

R232

,urrent,ondition

,ondition

Ride m@0mDistress ?Rut mmtructural Aa$et* A

IndeB

;6

Rating

"oor

/orst FirstC

OverallIndeB

- ,urrent ,ondition- Deterioration "rediction

Remainingervice 3i$e

- ,urrent ,ondition- Deterioration "rediction- Maintenance #$$ects- &e'icle Operating ,osts

9ene$its to ociet*C

,ondition

,ondition

,ondition

Terminal 3i$e or ,ondition 3imitC

HDM-4HDM-4ApproaApproa

Tec+nicaleconomic fficienc#


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Total ociet* ,osts

o "onstruction

o Maintenance

o 2e+icle operation

o Passenger and cargotime

o 7ccidents

R7D 7F8"/ "$T$

R7D E$R "$T$

5


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"8$TRE"TI8

Pavement $tructures %urniture %ormation .and

M7I8T878"

Routine Pavement $tructures

$/$TMPR7TI8 Traffic mgt' $afet# Management

NTR87. 7ccidents Pollution 7ccess Production

R7D E$R$ %uel6 lubricants Maintenance Depreciation Time 7ccidents

Total ociet* ,osts ,omposition


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Minimi)ing Total ociet* ,osts

Optimum

Total

Road User

Road Works

Cost

Design Standards


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Infrastructure

Road Esers

Road 7genc#

"onsumption of Resources

litersmC

+ours

NEnit "osts

Total $ociet# "osts

Minimi)ing Resource ,onsumption


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• %inancial Prices Mar-et Prices

• conomic Prices $+ado, Prices $ocial Prices

Do not reflect t+ereal scarcit# valueof t+e inputs

Developing "ountries Fovernment "ontrols Ta3es

$ubsidies Regulations

Rapid Inflation vervaluation of Domestic

"urrenc#

Financial . #conomic +nit ,osts


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"rimar* Features o$ HDM-4

• $imulates deterioration and maintenance

of paved and unpaved roads6 in p+#sicalcondition and quantities6 for strategiesdefined b# t+e user

• $imulates road user costs (speeds

and consumption of p+#sical resources)

• Determines timestreams of road agenc#6road user costs6 and net benefits

•"omputes economic indicators

" d R d D i i M d l


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Moisture6Temperature 7ging

Traffic6

.oading

Pavement

Materials6T+ic-ness

"rac-ing

Ravelling

Pot+olingRutting

Roug+ness

"aved Road Deterioration Model

R d + #$$ t


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Road +ser #$$ects

R d + , t M d l


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RoadFeometr#6"ondition

Driver6Traffic%lo,

2e+icle

"+aracteristics

%uel & .ubricants

TireMaintenance Parts & .abor "re, TimeDepreciation & InterestPassenger & cargo time

$PD

" M P $ E M P T I

8

Road +ser ,osts Model

R d + , t


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Road +ser ,osts

Road "ondition (IRI)

R o a

d E s e r " o s t s ( G

4 v e + - m )

Eood "oor

,ar

"ic0up@utilit*

Heav* Truc0

9us

Ric0s'a

O ti l M i t , t '


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?H ve+4da# CHH ve+4da# ?HHH ve+4da#

7genc# "osts 7genc# "osts

7genc# "osts

Eser "osts

Eser "osts

Eser "osts

Optimal Maintenance ,osts-s'ares

HDM 4 3i it ti


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HDM-4 3imitations

• T+e model accepts but does not performnet,or- traffic assignment

• .imited estimation of environmental impacts6suc+ as air pollution6 and not costed internall#

• nl# partiall# applicable to urban trafficconditions t+roug+ acceleration variance

•ption for evaluating cement bloc-s andcobblestone pavements not #et implemented

I t t + $ HDM 4


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Important +ses o$ HDM-4

Q 7nal#tical support to !ustif# funding

Q %orecasting financial and p+#sical needs

for preserving road net,or-

Q ptimal maintenance strategies

Q conomic t+res+olds for roadimprovements

Q Tradeoffs bet,een design andmaintenance

standards or optionsQ $imulating t#pe and e3tent of

deterioration

Q Road use cost and damage attribution6 inroad transport pricing and ta3ation(user c+arges6 fuel ta36 etc')

Q ptimal a3le loading and configuration

Q %leet moderniBation

Planning and Programming

Tec+nical 7pplications

conomic 7pplications

"l i


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• Medium & longterm evaluation of options & strategies:*6 ?6


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• 7nnual or AC#r rolling program prepared foreac+ net,or-6 ,it+in imposed budgetallocations

• utput: individual pro!ects identified in eac+ program6

net,or- & region

cost and benefit estimates

• Network-Level Analysis

"rogramming

" j t " ti


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• "omparison of pro!ectalternatives6 economic !ustification:

• prefeasibilit# stud#

• feasibilit# stud#

Tec'nical tandards

•Definition of road agenc# norms and policies:

• .evels of service

• Recommended ,or-s

• Trigger points

"roject "reparation

Documents

01HDM-4Introduction2008-10-22dd1.ppt