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010503LN(M)ZXF575GKAT-P1
Driving pro-active growth at the IBO
United World College meeting23 June 2003
2
The first iteration of a strategic plan to be presented to the Council of Foundation in November 2003 should address the following themes:
– planned growth in order to maximise the impact of the IBO mission
– the prioritisation of work using an ‘impact function’
– the development of additional delivery models that will enable the IBO to fulfill its mission in a wider range of circumstances
– the use of fundraising as an essential tool to achieving impact in places that would otherwise be financially unable to work with us
– a plan to ensure that the PYP and MYP become self-financing
3
Agenda
Measured by the standards of our mission, in force during the past decade, the IBO has done very well.
We now can – and must – decide how we want to develop in the mid to long term:
– How should we prioritise our growth opportunities?
– What delivery models do we need to meet our clients’ needs?
– Do we need to fund our growth?
– How do we make the MYP and PYP self-sustaining?
Summary: the IBO in the period of influence – a paradigm shift
4
The IBO mission
The International Baccalaureate Organization aims to develop inquiring, knowledgeable and caring young people who help to create a better and more peaceful world through intercultural understanding and respect.
To this end the IBO works with schools, governments and international organizations to develop challenging programmes of international education and rigorous assessment.
These programmes encourage students across the world to become active, compassionate and lifelong learners who understand that other people, with their differences, can also be right.
5
Number of students receiving an IB education*
*Calculated by the average of students of schools in the PYP**Diploma students is the sum of Diploma and Certificate students in first and second year of study***CAGR – Compound Average Growth Rate (average year-on-year growth)
Source: Internal data; McKinsey analysis
1997–2002E, 000 PYPMYPDiploma**
0
40
80
120
160
200
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002E
CAGR***
PYP: 50% p.a. (2000)
MYP: 26% p.a.
DP: 10 % p.a.
+18.8%
6
New students, 1997–2002E*
No. of students receiving an IB education
*Diploma only, 54% growth in NA from Diploma and 46% from CertificateSource: Internal data; McKinsey analysis
5,131
15,544
3,440
48,227
78,757
2,634 2,045 1,140 596
1997 NA public school
Europe NA privateschool
Asia Pacific
LatinAmerica
Middle East
Africa 2002E
North America and Europe
represent 80% of growth
12.0 8.5 13.8 9.6 5.0 17.8 7.8 10.3Relative growth, %
7
IBO presence in the world
Depth
Developed
Public System
PrivateSystem
Breadth InternationalRich in poorand
developing
PrivatePublic
“Rigour and independent marking makes IB a popular choice for ambitious pupils at top schools”
Economist, 25 Jan 03
“There is a definite trend towards the IB. It (IB) has the advantage of being widely recognised… but it is significantly more challenging and is thus not for everyone”
International Herald Tribune, 25 Jan 03
8
Agenda
Measured by the standards of our mission, in force during the past decade, the IBO has done very well.
We now can – and must – decide how we want to develop in the mid to long term:
– How should we prioritise our growth opportunities?
– What delivery models do we need to meet our clients’ needs?
– Do we need to fund our growth?
– How do we make the MYP and PYP self-sustaining?
Summary: the IBO in the period of influence – a paradigm shift
9
IBO in 2010E*
% of total number of students
*Assuming historic growth patterns. Diploma only
Depth
Developed world
Developed
Public System103k
PrivateSystem36k
59%(from 55% actual)
20%
80%
From . . .
“One IB school in every country”
. . . to?
“We have the responsibility to widen access to IBO’s programme, rejecting its restrictions to an economic elite”
Strategic intent
Breadth
100% = 175k
International 8k 4% (from 9% actual)Rich in poorand
developing
Private 26k 15%Public 1%
10
Impact definition
IBO presence in the region Special relations with schools, gov’t, etc. Segment’s readiness and attitude towards
IBO Sustainability of specific initiative
Impact = ƒ(Educational , ease of implementation, size of potential student pool)
Assessed as a function of improvement in the educational experience and relevant utility of programme for the individual student. Three levels could be considered: National education School level Individual level
No. of students it reaches in each segment (e.g country, in public and private schools)
Country purchasing power
11
Discernable groupings of potential IBO target segments
Universe of K-12 education
Band 4 Rest of K-12 universe: purely international school reach or no reach at all
Characteristics IB solidly present in private and public schools Strong networks with schools and authorities Strong sub-regional organisation
Band 1 Where IB programmes are already well established
Universe of K-12 education
Band 2Where the IBO has the strongest potential to grow its impact2a. Traditionalists2b Pioneer models
Characteristics First public school reached or within reach Good relations with educational authorities Recognition of IB values in local
educational context
Band 3 Where the IBO has low presence with no signs of reaching critical mass
Characteristics Low, purely private presence beyond int’l
schools No key relationships in sight Lacking infrastructure or desire to fully use
IB programmes
12
Segment strategies
Universe of K-12 education
Band 4 As a rule of thumb, do not engage
STRATEGYLet development happen at natural paceSupport local/sub-regional IB initiativesPull back from extensive direct school support
BAND 1 Where IB programmes are already well establishedE.g., U.S. (FL), Australia, International Schools
Universe of K-12 education
BAND 2Where the IBO has the strongest potential to grow its impact2a. Egypt, Russia, US (LA), Singapore2b. Germany, Lithuania, Texas (PYP)
STRATEGYBuild actively in 2a with IBO world schools, in 2b with customised models
Set proactive targetsPromote the creation of local networksTarget-specific projects
BAND 3 Where the IBO has low presence with no signs of reaching critical massEx. Portugal, Ghana, Vietnam
STRATEGYDo not pursue unless special circumstances signal potential to reach critical mass
Put more responsibility on counterpart before investing energy
13
Agenda
Measured by the standards of our mission, in force during the past decade, the IBO has done very well.
We now can – and must – decide how we want to develop in the mid to long term:
– How should we prioritise our growth opportunities?
– What delivery models do we need to meet our clients’ needs?
– Do we need to fund our growth?
– How do we make the MYP and PYP self-sustaining?
Summary: the IBO in the period of influence – a paradigm shift
14
Weak Strong
Stand alone study
All stand-alone consultancy exercises
– Lectures
– Private organisations
– Advisory board
* Clear end
IBO enabled
IBO transfers its expertise on curriculum, assessment and development activities; but does not monitor the quality of the outcome
IBO brand not used
IBO endorsed
The IBO act as a provider and monitors programme quality
IBO provides the curriculum and supports assessment and teacher development
IBO’s secondary brand
IBO world schools
IBO has tight control on the whole education process: curriculum, assessment, teacher development
IBO brand name in use
IBO consulting Team formed by pulling the best knowledge within the IBO Clear scope, time frame and objectives ‘Per diem’ rate
IBO control, branding,
responsibilityMore consultative More transactional
PRELIMINARY
15
IBO consulting evolution
Impact
Time
Formation
Structuring
Maturity
Establish a formal consultancy structure without full-time team (use resources available today)
Establish a ‘per diem’
Establish a full-time consulting team
Start building ‘knowledge’ database
Clear set of product offerings
Significant ‘knowledge’ database
Professional structure bringing together the best of IB for every client
16
Agenda
Measured by the standards of our mission, in force during the past decade, the IBO has done very well.
We now can – and must – decide how we want to develop in the mid to long term:
– How should we prioritise our growth opportunities?
– What delivery models do we need to meet our clients’ needs?
– Do we need to fund our growth?
– How do we make the MYP and PYP self-sustaining?
Summary: the IBO in the period of influence – a paradigm shift
17
IBO financial results
$000,000
Source: Finance department 1997-2002; McKinsey analysis
Surplus/deficit
Expenses
Revenues
-0.8
26.7
34.8
0.91.32.70.2
-0.1
29.0
24.022.2
19.2
15.4
33.9
18.415.3
22.4
30.3
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
18
1.5
22.3
52.3
22.8
Share comparison*
%
* Diploma onlySource: UNESCO–EFA report; Finance department; McKinsey analysis
‘potential student pool’, 2000 IBO student distribution, 2002E
47.3
16.5
6.7
31.3
Developing public
Developing private
(0.2)Poor
Developedprivate
Developedpublic
Developing public (1.5)
Developing private
Poor (0.9)
Developedprivate
Developedpublic
100% = 99m 100% = 78,000
19
Potential fundraising targets
$
*Assuming return on capital of 6%/year, an endowment of this size would provide funds for described activity for infinity
Objective Endowments* Goal Total
Support one Diploma student in a full functioning school in the developing world for the whole duration of the course (2 years)
16,500 1,000 students 16.5million
Sponsor 75% of the authorisation and maintenance (IB-related costs only) of 1 MYP/PYP school in the developing world
143,500 5 schools(one network)
717,500
Sponsor 75% of the authorisation and maintenance (IB related costs only) of a medium sized school for the Diploma in the developing world. No student included
186,500 5 schools 932,500
ILLUSTRATIVE
20
Agenda
Measured by the standards of our mission, in force during the past decade, the IBO has done very well.
We now can – and must – decide how we want to develop in the mid to long term:
– How should we prioritise our growth opportunities?
– What delivery models do we need to meet our clients’ needs?
– Do we need to fund our growth?
– How do we make the MYP and PYP self-sustaining?
Summary: the IBO in the period of influence – a paradigm shift
21
Programme contribution to surplus**
$000,000
-0.5
0.9
1.8
-0.3
DP Surplus
MYP deficit
PYP deficit
Consolidatedsurplus
*Based on 2002 P&L (Deloitte&Touche revised, May 2003)
**Contributions rounded
22
Agenda
Measured by the standards of our mission, in force during the past decade, the IBO has done very well.
We now can – and must – decide how we want to develop in the mid to long term:
– How should we prioritise our growth opportunities?
– What delivery models do we need to meet our clients’ needs?
– Do we need to fund our growth?
– How do we make the MYP and PYP self-sustaining?
Summary: the IBO in the period of influence – a paradigm shift
23
The development of the IBO . . .
Voluntary work and passion were the main drivers of success
Several financial crises and mostly informal business processes
A renowned and well regarded international curriculum is built
Niche player (“The heroic years”)
Significant penetration gained in the developed world
Professional management processes introduced
Incipient work with international organisations (e.g., National Education Organisation, UN, etc.)
Developed world player(“The professional years”)
1968 90s 21st centuryTime
ImpactGlobal player(“The period of influence”)
24
We have begun a paradigm shift
Passive reaction to others’ initiative Active development of target segments
From ‘The Professional Years’… To ‘The Period of Influence’
IBO centric Networked/delegated One full-service model–IBO world schools
4 models–IBO world schools, enabled, endorsed, consulting
Quality ensured by complete IBO control
Quality ensured by accreditation
IBO staff as creators and executors:–Assessment: Cardiff-centered
–Prof dev’t: Regional offices–Authorisation & reviews: in-house
IBO staff as enablers and trainers:–Assessment: scalable models (regionalisation/accreditation of ext. assmt centers)–Prof dev’t: external partnerships for workshop delivery–Authorisation & reviews by networks of trusted ‘IB experts’ Straight fee Funded fees from endowments
Blocks of funds raised sporadically from few donors
Systematic development of fundraising portfolio across donor types
Active alumni organisation No continued contact with students
25
The first iteration of a strategic plan to be presented to the Council of Foundation in November 2003 should address the following themes:
– planned growth in order to maximise the impact of the IBO mission
– the prioritisation of work using an ‘impact function’
– the development of additional delivery models that will enable the IBO to fulfill its mission in a wider range of circumstances
– the use of fundraising as an essential tool to achieving impact in places that would otherwise be financially unable to work with us
– a plan to ensure that the PYP and MYP become self-financing
26
ENDThank you for listening