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    Introduction to

    Critical appraisals of the

    medical literature

    Partini Pudjiastuti, Sudigdo Sastroasmoro

    Department of Child HealthMedical School University of Indonesia

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    Evidence based medicine 5 steps

    Formulate question

    Efficiently track

    down bestavailable

    evidence

    Critically review thevalidity and usefulness

    of the evidence

    Implement

    changes in

    clinical practice

    Evaluate

    performance

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    >25,000 journals worldwide

    >2 million published articles per year

    Many published articles have methodological(including statistical) flawseven in mostrespected journals

    Not all results can be applied due to many

    reasons, a.o. dissimilarities of study subjectswith our patients

    Limited time of physicians: focus on articlesrelevant to your clinical practice

    Rationale

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    Errors and inappropriateness may occur

    in any part of medical research:

    in choosing appropriate design

    in choosing population

    in selecting study subjects

    in the details of the design

    in intervention and measurements

    in use of statistical methods in analysis

    in interpreting statistical analysis

    and in writing research report

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    The effect of dietary habit on

    calcium level in pediatric patientswith nephrotic syndrome

    J Agric Soc Sci 2006;2

    r = - 0.1213, p = 0.015

    There was a significant inverse relationshipbetween the age and the total calcium level

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    IMPORTANT!!!

    Statistical significance vs.clinical

    importance

    Negligible clinical difference may bestatistically very significant if the number of

    subjects >>>. e.g., difference in reduction of

    cholesterol level of 3 mg/dl, n1=n

    2= 10,000; p

    = 0.00002

    Large clinical difference may be statistically

    non- significant if the no of subjects

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    R

    300

    mg/dl

    300

    mg/dl

    Standard

    treatment

    New

    treatment

    Cholesterol level,mg/dl

    t = df = 9998 p = 0.00002

    200

    197

    Clinical

    Statistical

    Clinical importance vs. statistical significan

    n=10000

    n=10000

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    Cured Died

    Standard Rx 0 10 (100%)

    New Rx 3 7 (70%)

    Fischer exact test: p = 0.211

    Clinical importance vs. statistical significan

    Absolute risk reduction = 30% Clinical

    Statistical

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    Critical appraisal

    (Making Reading More Worthwhile)

    What is Critical Appraisal?

    1. Critical appraisal = quality assessment

    2. .process of weighing up evidence to see

    how useful it is in decision making

    3. .a process of assessing the validity,

    reliability and usefulness of evidence4. ..is about considering, evaluating and

    interpreting information in a systematic and

    objective way

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    Critically Appraise What You Read.

    Separating the wheat from the chaff.

    Time is limitedyou should aim to quicklystop reading the dross.

    Others contain useful information mixed

    with rubbish. Simple checklists enable the useful

    information to be identified.

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    Critical AppraisalCritical Thinking

    Appraising the available evidence to

    construct clinical reasoning and to make

    decisions

    Finding strengths and limitations of

    written evidence Deciding what evidence to pay attention

    to versus what to ignore

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    Why critically appraise?

    Supports sound decision making based

    on best available evidence

    Helps us determine (three Rs):

    How rigorousa piece of research is -

    Validity What the resultsare telling us -

    Importance

    How relevantit is to our patient -A licabilit

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    Value =

    Mortality

    Morbidity

    QoLPatientSatisfaction HealthStatus

    Resources used

    Quality

    Cost

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    What is Evidence?

    People disagree on what constitutes

    evidence

    Evidencegenerally = scientific fact

    Evidence - a combination of information

    obtained from 3 sources: research,clinical experience, and client preferences

    (Kitson, Harvey, & McCormack, 1998)

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    Why do we need evidence?

    Resources should be allocated to things

    that are EFFECTIVE The only way of judging effectiveness is

    EVIDENCE

    In God we trust all others needevidence

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    Sources of Evidence

    Primary sources

    Based on experiments and published

    research Secondary sources

    Systematic reviews

    Clinical guidelines Journals of secondary publication e.g.

    Evidence Based Medicine

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    Levels of evidence

    1. Syst reviews of RCTs and high quality

    RCTs

    2. Syst reviews of cohort studies, lower

    quality RCTs, outcomes research

    3. Syst reviews of case controls, case

    control studies

    4. Case Series

    5. Expert opinion

    www.cebm.net

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    Types of EvidenceQuestion Types

    Type of Question Best Evidence

    Health care interventions:

    treatment, prevention

    Quantitative: Systematic Review of

    RCTs or RCT

    Harm or Etiology Quantitative: Observational Study -Cohort or Case Control

    Prognosis Quantitative: Observational Study -

    Cohort, Case Control

    Diagnosis or Assessment Quantitative: Comparison to Gold

    StandardEconomics Quantitative: Cost-effectiveness Study

    Meaning Qualitative: case study, ethnography,

    grounded theory, phenomenologic

    approach

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    Key quality parameters

    Validity

    Reliability

    Importance

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    Validity

    Internal

    Is the study designed in such a way that I

    Can trust the findings?

    External

    Is the study designed in such a way that I

    Can generalize the findings?

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    Reliability

    If the study was conducted again,

    would the results be the same?

    Usually interpreted as the accuracy

    of measurement.

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    Importance

    What was the effect size

    or magnitude of effect?

    Clinical vs. statistical significance.

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    Tools for Critical Appraisal

    Are the results valid?

    What are the results?

    Will the results help me in patient care?

    EBM simplified approach:

    V

    I

    A

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    Format of research reports

    Title

    Authors and Institutions

    Abstract & keywords

    IMRAD

    Introduction - why did I start?

    Methods - what did I do?

    Results - what did I find?

    Discussion - what does it mean?

    References

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    Check list for medical literature

    1. Title2. Authors & Institutions

    3. Abstract: Structured? Informative? Abbreviation?

    4. Introduction: Length? Relevant ref? Objective?

    5. Methods: Design, time and place

    Inclusion criteria

    Exclusion criteria

    Sample size, sampling method

    Randomization technique Intervention: masking?

    Outcome measurement: blinding?

    Primary outcome: type of variable

    Secondary outcome: type of variable

    Analysis: Clinical, statistical

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    6. Results Baseline characteristics

    Main outcome

    Secondary outcome

    7. Discussion General Strength and weakness

    Conclusions

    8. References

    Vancouver style Constant

    9. Acknowledgments

    10. Ethics approval

    11. Conflict of interest

    Check list for medical literature

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    What to assess?

    (in study of cause-effect relationship)

    A. General description

    Type of design

    Target population, source population,sample

    Sampling method

    Dependent and independent variables Main results?

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    B. Internal validity, non-causal relationship

    Influence of bias

    Influence of chance

    Influence of confounders

    What to assess?

    (in study of cause-effect relationship)

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    Bias

    What is a bias?A process that tends to produceresults that depart systematically from the true valuesexisting in the study population

    Types of bias1. Sample (subject selection) biases, which may result

    in the subjects in the sample being unrepresentativeof the population which you are interested in

    2. Measurement (detection) biases, which includeissues related to how the outcome of interest wasmeasured

    3. Intervention (performance) biases, which involve how

    the treatment itself was carried out.

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    C. Internal validity, causal relationship Temporality (cause precedes effect)

    Strength of association (large difference, RR, OR, etc) orsmall p value or narrow confidence interval

    Biological gradient (dose dependence)

    Consistency among studies (diff. populations or designs)

    Specificity (certain factor results in certain effect) Coherence (does not conflict with current knowledge)

    Biological plausibility: can be explained with current

    knowledge (at least in part)

    What to assess?

    (in study of cause-effect relationship)

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    D. External validity

    Applicable to study subjects

    Applicable to source population

    Applicable to target population

    What to assess?

    (in study of cause-effect relationship)

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    11 items, each with 3 sections

    1. Can you find this information in thepaper?

    2. Is the way this was done a problem?

    3. Does this problem threaten the validity of

    the study?

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    11 items

    1. What is the research question?

    2. What is the study type?3. What are the outcome factors and how are they measured?

    4. What are the study factors and how are they measured?

    5. What important confounders are considered?

    6. What are the sampling frame and sampling method?7. In an experimental study, how were the subjects assigned to

    groups? In a longitudinal study, how many reached final

    follow-up? In a case control study, are the controls

    appropriate? (Etc)8. Are statistical tests considered?

    9. Are the results clinically/socially significant?

    10. Is the study ethical?

    11. What conclusions did the authors reach about the question?

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    1. What is the research question?

    (Is the way this was done a problem?)

    Is it concerned with the impact of an

    intervention, causality or determining themagnitude of a health problem?

    (Does this problem threaten the validity of the study?)

    Is it a well stated research

    question/hypothesis?

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    2. What is the study type?

    (Is the way this was done a problem?)

    Is the study type appropriate to the researchquestion?

    (Does this problem threaten the validity of the study?)

    If not, how useful are the results produced by

    this type of study?

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    3. What are the outcome factors and

    how are they measured?

    (Is the way this was done a problem?)

    a) are all relevant outcomes assessed

    b) is there measurement error?

    (Does this problem threaten the validity of

    the study?)

    a) how important are omitted outcomes

    b) is measurement error an important

    source of bias?

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    4. What are the study factors and how

    are the measured?

    (Is the way this was done a problem?)

    Is there measurement error?

    (Does this problem threaten the validity of

    the study?)

    Is measurement error an important

    source of bias?

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    5. What important potential

    confounders are considered?

    (Is the way this was done a problem?)

    Are potential confounders examined andcontrolled for?

    (Does this problem threaten the validity ofthe study?)

    Is confounding an important source of

    bias?

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    6. What are the sampling frame and

    sampling method?

    (Is the way this was done a problem?)

    Is there selection bias?

    (Does this problem threaten the validity

    of the study?) Does this threaten the external

    validity of the study?

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    7. Questions of internal validity

    (Is the way this was done a problem?)

    In an experimental study, how were thesubjects assigned to groups?

    In a longitudinal study, how many reachedfollow-up?

    In a case control study, are the controlsappropriate? of the study?

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    8. Are statistical tests considered?

    (Is the way this was done a problem?)

    Were the tests appropriate for the data?

    Are confidence intervals given?

    Is the power given if a null result?

    In a trial, are results presented as

    absolute risk reduction as well asrelative risk reduction?

    How useful are the results?

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    9. Are the results clinically/socially

    significant?

    (Is the way this was done a problem?)

    Was the sample size adequate to detecta clinically/socially significant result?

    Are the results presented in a way to

    help in health policy decisions? (Does this problem threaten the validity of

    the study?)

    Is the study useful?

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    10. Are ethical issues considered?

    (Is the way this was done a problem?)

    Does the paper indicate ethics

    approval?

    Can you identify potential ethical

    issues?

    (Does this problem threaten the validity of

    the study?)

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    11. What conclusions did the authors

    reach about the study question?

    (Is the way this was done a problem?)

    Do the results apply to the population inwhich you are interested?

    (Does this problem threaten the validity ofthe study?)

    Will you use the results of the study?

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    Appraisal Tools

    Tools from the Critical Appraisal Skills Programme

    (CASP)

    Systematic Reviews

    Randomised Controlled Trials

    Qualitative Research Studies

    Cohort Studies

    Case-Control Studies Diagnostic Test Studies

    Economic Evaluation Studies

    Available

    http://www.phru.nhs.uk/casp/critical_appraisal_tools.htm
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    Study Designs Recap

    Effectiveness of

    Therapy

    Risk Factors /Prognosis

    Diagnosis

    Attitudes & Beliefs

    Randomised Controlled

    Trial

    Cohort Study

    Survey using Gold Standard

    Qualitative (Interviews,

    Observations, etc)

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    Critical appraisal

    - Valid

    - Important

    - Applicable

    MethodsResults

    Discussion

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    50 massa pemuda dan mahasiswa berunjuk

    rasa memprotes pelecehan seksual yang makin

    marak di depan Mabes PolriMenyadari pentingnya Panduan Pelayanan

    Medis (PPM), dibentuklah Panitia Penyusunan

    SPM di RSCM

    Sekuens dan hubungan

    subyek-predikat

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    Dalam pertemuan ilmiah yang diselenggarakan

    setiap tahun yang merupakan ajang untuk

    menyajikan perkembangan mutakhir dalam

    bidang ilmu penyakit dalam di tanah air tersebutmenyimpulkan bahwa pertemuan tersebut

    disamping dilakukan oleh Universitas

    selayaknya juga dilakukan oleh cabang-cabang

    PAPDI di setiap propinsi, bahkan kalau mungkindisetiap kabupaten

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    Plagiarisme adalah tindakan yang dapat diartikan

    sebagai pencurian ide atau hasil pemikiran dan

    tulisan orang lain yang digunakan dalam tulisan

    seolah-olah ide atau tulisan orang lain tersebut

    adalah ide atau hasil tulisannya sendiri untuk

    keuntungannya sendiri sehingga merugikan oranglain baik materiil maupun non-materiil, atau

    plagiarisme dapat berupa pencurian sebuah kata,

    frase, kalimat, atau alinea, atau bahkan pencuriansuatu bab dari sebuah tulisan atau buku

    seseorang, tanpa menyebut sumber yang dicuri.

    (Draft SK Rektor UI)

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    RCT (Pragmatic trials): Validity

    Were the study participants randomized?Was the randomization technique described?

    Was the randomization table concealed?

    Were the characteristics of the subjectssimilar at the start of the intervention?

    Were all participants given equal treatment

    apart from the intervention?

    Were all relevant outcomes considered?

    Were the results analyzed correctly?

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    RCT (Pragmatic trials): Importance

    Calculate: EER, CER, RRR, ARR, NNT

    a b

    c d

    E

    C

    Success Failure

    EER = a/(a+b)

    CER = c/(c+d)

    RRR = (CER-EER)/CER

    ARR = CER-EER

    NNT = 1/ARR

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    RCT: Applicability

    Were the participations similar to your

    patients?

    May be intuitively concluded or use f(factor indicating how much severe your

    patient compared to the study participation

    in terms of prognostic factor)

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    DIAGNOSTIC TEST: Validity

    Was independent and blind comparison

    to gold standard applied?Was the diagnostic test include

    spectrum of disease similar to your real

    practice?Was the gold standard applied

    regardless of the diagnostic result?

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    Diagnostic Test: Importance

    Calculate: Sensitivity, specificity, predicitivevalues, likelihood ratios

    a b

    c d

    +

    -

    + -

    Se = a/(a+c)

    Sp = d/(b+d)

    PPV = a/(a+b)

    NPV = d/(c+d)

    LR+ = se/(1-sp)

    LR - = (1-se) /sp

    Posttest odds = Pretest odds x LR+

    Test

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    Diagnostic Test: Applicability

    Were the participations similar to your

    patients?

    Is the diagnostic test applicable,acceptable, and affordable in your setting?

    Will the result of the test help your

    patient?

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    Cohort Studies: Validity

    Was the inception cohort assembled in usualpoint of course of the disease?

    Was the follow-up sufficient & complete?

    Were outcome criteria applied in blind fashion?

    Was there any validation in other group ofpatients?

    Was subgroup analysis performed afteradjustment for prognostic factors?

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    Cohort studies: Importance

    Calculate: Relative risk (RR) and 95% CI

    a b

    c d

    +

    -

    + -

    Exposure

    RR = a/(a+b) : c/(c+d)RR > 1: risk factor

    RR < 1 : protective factor

    RR = 1 : not a risk factor

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    Case control studies: Importance

    Calculate: Odds ratio (OR) and 95%CI

    a b

    c d

    +

    -

    + -

    Exposure

    OR = a/b : c/dOR > 1 : risk factor

    OR < 1 : protective factor

    OR = 1 : not a risk factor

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    Case-control studies:

    Applicability Were the patients similar to yours?

    Wil the evidence make a clinically

    important impact for overall care

    (diagnosis, treatment, prognosis) of your

    future patients?b

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    From Data to Wisdom

    Dataare what researchers collect

    Informationresults when data is analyzed

    and interpreted (EVIDENCE) Knowledgeresults when information is

    shared, acquired, and used

    Wisdomis the ability to make the right useof knowledge

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    THANKS