Upload
alibayaty1
View
222
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
1/64
Introduction to
Critical appraisals of the
medical literature
Partini Pudjiastuti, Sudigdo Sastroasmoro
Department of Child HealthMedical School University of Indonesia
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
2/64
Evidence based medicine 5 steps
Formulate question
Efficiently track
down bestavailable
evidence
Critically review thevalidity and usefulness
of the evidence
Implement
changes in
clinical practice
Evaluate
performance
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
3/64
>25,000 journals worldwide
>2 million published articles per year
Many published articles have methodological(including statistical) flawseven in mostrespected journals
Not all results can be applied due to many
reasons, a.o. dissimilarities of study subjectswith our patients
Limited time of physicians: focus on articlesrelevant to your clinical practice
Rationale
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
4/64
Errors and inappropriateness may occur
in any part of medical research:
in choosing appropriate design
in choosing population
in selecting study subjects
in the details of the design
in intervention and measurements
in use of statistical methods in analysis
in interpreting statistical analysis
and in writing research report
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
5/64
The effect of dietary habit on
calcium level in pediatric patientswith nephrotic syndrome
J Agric Soc Sci 2006;2
r = - 0.1213, p = 0.015
There was a significant inverse relationshipbetween the age and the total calcium level
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
6/64
IMPORTANT!!!
Statistical significance vs.clinical
importance
Negligible clinical difference may bestatistically very significant if the number of
subjects >>>. e.g., difference in reduction of
cholesterol level of 3 mg/dl, n1=n
2= 10,000; p
= 0.00002
Large clinical difference may be statistically
non- significant if the no of subjects
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
7/64
R
300
mg/dl
300
mg/dl
Standard
treatment
New
treatment
Cholesterol level,mg/dl
t = df = 9998 p = 0.00002
200
197
Clinical
Statistical
Clinical importance vs. statistical significan
n=10000
n=10000
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
8/64
Cured Died
Standard Rx 0 10 (100%)
New Rx 3 7 (70%)
Fischer exact test: p = 0.211
Clinical importance vs. statistical significan
Absolute risk reduction = 30% Clinical
Statistical
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
9/64
Critical appraisal
(Making Reading More Worthwhile)
What is Critical Appraisal?
1. Critical appraisal = quality assessment
2. .process of weighing up evidence to see
how useful it is in decision making
3. .a process of assessing the validity,
reliability and usefulness of evidence4. ..is about considering, evaluating and
interpreting information in a systematic and
objective way
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
10/64
Critically Appraise What You Read.
Separating the wheat from the chaff.
Time is limitedyou should aim to quicklystop reading the dross.
Others contain useful information mixed
with rubbish. Simple checklists enable the useful
information to be identified.
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
11/64
Critical AppraisalCritical Thinking
Appraising the available evidence to
construct clinical reasoning and to make
decisions
Finding strengths and limitations of
written evidence Deciding what evidence to pay attention
to versus what to ignore
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
12/64
Why critically appraise?
Supports sound decision making based
on best available evidence
Helps us determine (three Rs):
How rigorousa piece of research is -
Validity What the resultsare telling us -
Importance
How relevantit is to our patient -A licabilit
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
13/64
Value =
Mortality
Morbidity
QoLPatientSatisfaction HealthStatus
Resources used
Quality
Cost
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
14/64
What is Evidence?
People disagree on what constitutes
evidence
Evidencegenerally = scientific fact
Evidence - a combination of information
obtained from 3 sources: research,clinical experience, and client preferences
(Kitson, Harvey, & McCormack, 1998)
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
15/64
Why do we need evidence?
Resources should be allocated to things
that are EFFECTIVE The only way of judging effectiveness is
EVIDENCE
In God we trust all others needevidence
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
16/64
Sources of Evidence
Primary sources
Based on experiments and published
research Secondary sources
Systematic reviews
Clinical guidelines Journals of secondary publication e.g.
Evidence Based Medicine
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
17/64
Levels of evidence
1. Syst reviews of RCTs and high quality
RCTs
2. Syst reviews of cohort studies, lower
quality RCTs, outcomes research
3. Syst reviews of case controls, case
control studies
4. Case Series
5. Expert opinion
www.cebm.net
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
18/64
Types of EvidenceQuestion Types
Type of Question Best Evidence
Health care interventions:
treatment, prevention
Quantitative: Systematic Review of
RCTs or RCT
Harm or Etiology Quantitative: Observational Study -Cohort or Case Control
Prognosis Quantitative: Observational Study -
Cohort, Case Control
Diagnosis or Assessment Quantitative: Comparison to Gold
StandardEconomics Quantitative: Cost-effectiveness Study
Meaning Qualitative: case study, ethnography,
grounded theory, phenomenologic
approach
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
19/64
Key quality parameters
Validity
Reliability
Importance
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
20/64
Validity
Internal
Is the study designed in such a way that I
Can trust the findings?
External
Is the study designed in such a way that I
Can generalize the findings?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
21/64
Reliability
If the study was conducted again,
would the results be the same?
Usually interpreted as the accuracy
of measurement.
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
22/64
Importance
What was the effect size
or magnitude of effect?
Clinical vs. statistical significance.
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
23/64
Tools for Critical Appraisal
Are the results valid?
What are the results?
Will the results help me in patient care?
EBM simplified approach:
V
I
A
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
24/64
Format of research reports
Title
Authors and Institutions
Abstract & keywords
IMRAD
Introduction - why did I start?
Methods - what did I do?
Results - what did I find?
Discussion - what does it mean?
References
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
25/64
Check list for medical literature
1. Title2. Authors & Institutions
3. Abstract: Structured? Informative? Abbreviation?
4. Introduction: Length? Relevant ref? Objective?
5. Methods: Design, time and place
Inclusion criteria
Exclusion criteria
Sample size, sampling method
Randomization technique Intervention: masking?
Outcome measurement: blinding?
Primary outcome: type of variable
Secondary outcome: type of variable
Analysis: Clinical, statistical
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
26/64
6. Results Baseline characteristics
Main outcome
Secondary outcome
7. Discussion General Strength and weakness
Conclusions
8. References
Vancouver style Constant
9. Acknowledgments
10. Ethics approval
11. Conflict of interest
Check list for medical literature
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
27/64
What to assess?
(in study of cause-effect relationship)
A. General description
Type of design
Target population, source population,sample
Sampling method
Dependent and independent variables Main results?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
28/64
B. Internal validity, non-causal relationship
Influence of bias
Influence of chance
Influence of confounders
What to assess?
(in study of cause-effect relationship)
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
29/64
Bias
What is a bias?A process that tends to produceresults that depart systematically from the true valuesexisting in the study population
Types of bias1. Sample (subject selection) biases, which may result
in the subjects in the sample being unrepresentativeof the population which you are interested in
2. Measurement (detection) biases, which includeissues related to how the outcome of interest wasmeasured
3. Intervention (performance) biases, which involve how
the treatment itself was carried out.
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
30/64
C. Internal validity, causal relationship Temporality (cause precedes effect)
Strength of association (large difference, RR, OR, etc) orsmall p value or narrow confidence interval
Biological gradient (dose dependence)
Consistency among studies (diff. populations or designs)
Specificity (certain factor results in certain effect) Coherence (does not conflict with current knowledge)
Biological plausibility: can be explained with current
knowledge (at least in part)
What to assess?
(in study of cause-effect relationship)
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
31/64
D. External validity
Applicable to study subjects
Applicable to source population
Applicable to target population
What to assess?
(in study of cause-effect relationship)
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
32/64
11 items, each with 3 sections
1. Can you find this information in thepaper?
2. Is the way this was done a problem?
3. Does this problem threaten the validity of
the study?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
33/64
11 items
1. What is the research question?
2. What is the study type?3. What are the outcome factors and how are they measured?
4. What are the study factors and how are they measured?
5. What important confounders are considered?
6. What are the sampling frame and sampling method?7. In an experimental study, how were the subjects assigned to
groups? In a longitudinal study, how many reached final
follow-up? In a case control study, are the controls
appropriate? (Etc)8. Are statistical tests considered?
9. Are the results clinically/socially significant?
10. Is the study ethical?
11. What conclusions did the authors reach about the question?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
34/64
1. What is the research question?
(Is the way this was done a problem?)
Is it concerned with the impact of an
intervention, causality or determining themagnitude of a health problem?
(Does this problem threaten the validity of the study?)
Is it a well stated research
question/hypothesis?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
35/64
2. What is the study type?
(Is the way this was done a problem?)
Is the study type appropriate to the researchquestion?
(Does this problem threaten the validity of the study?)
If not, how useful are the results produced by
this type of study?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
36/64
3. What are the outcome factors and
how are they measured?
(Is the way this was done a problem?)
a) are all relevant outcomes assessed
b) is there measurement error?
(Does this problem threaten the validity of
the study?)
a) how important are omitted outcomes
b) is measurement error an important
source of bias?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
37/64
4. What are the study factors and how
are the measured?
(Is the way this was done a problem?)
Is there measurement error?
(Does this problem threaten the validity of
the study?)
Is measurement error an important
source of bias?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
38/64
5. What important potential
confounders are considered?
(Is the way this was done a problem?)
Are potential confounders examined andcontrolled for?
(Does this problem threaten the validity ofthe study?)
Is confounding an important source of
bias?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
39/64
6. What are the sampling frame and
sampling method?
(Is the way this was done a problem?)
Is there selection bias?
(Does this problem threaten the validity
of the study?) Does this threaten the external
validity of the study?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
40/64
7. Questions of internal validity
(Is the way this was done a problem?)
In an experimental study, how were thesubjects assigned to groups?
In a longitudinal study, how many reachedfollow-up?
In a case control study, are the controlsappropriate? of the study?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
41/64
8. Are statistical tests considered?
(Is the way this was done a problem?)
Were the tests appropriate for the data?
Are confidence intervals given?
Is the power given if a null result?
In a trial, are results presented as
absolute risk reduction as well asrelative risk reduction?
How useful are the results?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
42/64
9. Are the results clinically/socially
significant?
(Is the way this was done a problem?)
Was the sample size adequate to detecta clinically/socially significant result?
Are the results presented in a way to
help in health policy decisions? (Does this problem threaten the validity of
the study?)
Is the study useful?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
43/64
10. Are ethical issues considered?
(Is the way this was done a problem?)
Does the paper indicate ethics
approval?
Can you identify potential ethical
issues?
(Does this problem threaten the validity of
the study?)
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
44/64
11. What conclusions did the authors
reach about the study question?
(Is the way this was done a problem?)
Do the results apply to the population inwhich you are interested?
(Does this problem threaten the validity ofthe study?)
Will you use the results of the study?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
45/64
Appraisal Tools
Tools from the Critical Appraisal Skills Programme
(CASP)
Systematic Reviews
Randomised Controlled Trials
Qualitative Research Studies
Cohort Studies
Case-Control Studies Diagnostic Test Studies
Economic Evaluation Studies
Available
http://www.phru.nhs.uk/casp/critical_appraisal_tools.htm8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
46/64
Study Designs Recap
Effectiveness of
Therapy
Risk Factors /Prognosis
Diagnosis
Attitudes & Beliefs
Randomised Controlled
Trial
Cohort Study
Survey using Gold Standard
Qualitative (Interviews,
Observations, etc)
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
47/64
Critical appraisal
- Valid
- Important
- Applicable
MethodsResults
Discussion
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
48/64
50 massa pemuda dan mahasiswa berunjuk
rasa memprotes pelecehan seksual yang makin
marak di depan Mabes PolriMenyadari pentingnya Panduan Pelayanan
Medis (PPM), dibentuklah Panitia Penyusunan
SPM di RSCM
Sekuens dan hubungan
subyek-predikat
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
49/64
Dalam pertemuan ilmiah yang diselenggarakan
setiap tahun yang merupakan ajang untuk
menyajikan perkembangan mutakhir dalam
bidang ilmu penyakit dalam di tanah air tersebutmenyimpulkan bahwa pertemuan tersebut
disamping dilakukan oleh Universitas
selayaknya juga dilakukan oleh cabang-cabang
PAPDI di setiap propinsi, bahkan kalau mungkindisetiap kabupaten
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
50/64
Plagiarisme adalah tindakan yang dapat diartikan
sebagai pencurian ide atau hasil pemikiran dan
tulisan orang lain yang digunakan dalam tulisan
seolah-olah ide atau tulisan orang lain tersebut
adalah ide atau hasil tulisannya sendiri untuk
keuntungannya sendiri sehingga merugikan oranglain baik materiil maupun non-materiil, atau
plagiarisme dapat berupa pencurian sebuah kata,
frase, kalimat, atau alinea, atau bahkan pencuriansuatu bab dari sebuah tulisan atau buku
seseorang, tanpa menyebut sumber yang dicuri.
(Draft SK Rektor UI)
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
51/64
RCT (Pragmatic trials): Validity
Were the study participants randomized?Was the randomization technique described?
Was the randomization table concealed?
Were the characteristics of the subjectssimilar at the start of the intervention?
Were all participants given equal treatment
apart from the intervention?
Were all relevant outcomes considered?
Were the results analyzed correctly?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
52/64
RCT (Pragmatic trials): Importance
Calculate: EER, CER, RRR, ARR, NNT
a b
c d
E
C
Success Failure
EER = a/(a+b)
CER = c/(c+d)
RRR = (CER-EER)/CER
ARR = CER-EER
NNT = 1/ARR
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
53/64
RCT: Applicability
Were the participations similar to your
patients?
May be intuitively concluded or use f(factor indicating how much severe your
patient compared to the study participation
in terms of prognostic factor)
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
54/64
DIAGNOSTIC TEST: Validity
Was independent and blind comparison
to gold standard applied?Was the diagnostic test include
spectrum of disease similar to your real
practice?Was the gold standard applied
regardless of the diagnostic result?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
55/64
Diagnostic Test: Importance
Calculate: Sensitivity, specificity, predicitivevalues, likelihood ratios
a b
c d
+
-
+ -
Se = a/(a+c)
Sp = d/(b+d)
PPV = a/(a+b)
NPV = d/(c+d)
LR+ = se/(1-sp)
LR - = (1-se) /sp
Posttest odds = Pretest odds x LR+
Test
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
56/64
Diagnostic Test: Applicability
Were the participations similar to your
patients?
Is the diagnostic test applicable,acceptable, and affordable in your setting?
Will the result of the test help your
patient?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
57/64
Cohort Studies: Validity
Was the inception cohort assembled in usualpoint of course of the disease?
Was the follow-up sufficient & complete?
Were outcome criteria applied in blind fashion?
Was there any validation in other group ofpatients?
Was subgroup analysis performed afteradjustment for prognostic factors?
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
58/64
Cohort studies: Importance
Calculate: Relative risk (RR) and 95% CI
a b
c d
+
-
+ -
Exposure
RR = a/(a+b) : c/(c+d)RR > 1: risk factor
RR < 1 : protective factor
RR = 1 : not a risk factor
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
59/64
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
60/64
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
61/64
Case control studies: Importance
Calculate: Odds ratio (OR) and 95%CI
a b
c d
+
-
+ -
Exposure
OR = a/b : c/dOR > 1 : risk factor
OR < 1 : protective factor
OR = 1 : not a risk factor
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
62/64
Case-control studies:
Applicability Were the patients similar to yours?
Wil the evidence make a clinically
important impact for overall care
(diagnosis, treatment, prognosis) of your
future patients?b
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
63/64
From Data to Wisdom
Dataare what researchers collect
Informationresults when data is analyzed
and interpreted (EVIDENCE) Knowledgeresults when information is
shared, acquired, and used
Wisdomis the ability to make the right useof knowledge
8/13/2019 00crit+Appr+Ppt+Ss
64/64
THANKS