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2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 1
Orange County + Chatham County + Neighbors Orange County Total Value Per Acre
Source: Urban3
Assessed Value Per Acre
Source: Urban3Source 2012-2016 American Community Survey
Orange County Land DistributionChapel Hill 5% Carrboro 2%
Hillsborough 1%
Mebane0.5%
Rest of Orange
92%
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 2
Orange County 56,494 Housing Units Distribution Percentage
Source 2012-2016 American Community Survey
Chapel Hill36%
Carrboro17%
Hillsborough4%
Mebane2%
Rest of Orange
41%
Southern Orange County Planning Jurisdictions
Town of Chapel Hill
Income and Demography
Chapel Hill Second Highest in Nation with BA+Percent of Residents 25+ with Bachelors degree or higher (2012-16)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Cambridge (MA), 74.9%Chapel Hill, 74.6%
Carrboro, 69.1%
Orange County, 57.7%
Charlottesville (VA), 50.0%
Chatham County, 38.8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Cambridge (MA)Chapel Hill (NC)Ann Arbor (MI)
Boulder (CO)Berkeley (CA)Carrboro (NC)Evanston (IL)
Amherst (MA)Sunnyvale (CA)
Corvallis (OR)Orange County (NC)
Santa Clara (CA)Bloomington (IN)Fort Collins (CO)
Burlington (VT)Charlottesville (VA)
Austin (TX)Tallahassee (FL)
Boston (MA)Gainesville (FL)
Athens-Clarke County (GA)San Jose (CA)
Chatham County (NC)Columbus (OH)
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 3
Orange Highest Per Capita Income in State (2016)
Source: 5-Year American Community Survey
#CHCSOTC
Orange$37,103 Chatham
$35,109North Carolina
$26,779
Scotland$16,192
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
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Per Capita Income (Top Ten Counties)
Source: 5-Year American Community Survey
#CHCSOTC
$37,103 $35,752 $35,109 $34,091$31,473 $31,185 $30,375 $29,746 $29,679 $29,349
2016 Median Household Income
$65,299 $63,303$54,255
$46,060
$76,173
$50,595$57,617
OrangeCounty
ChathamCounty
DurhamCounty
AlamanceCounty
Wake County NorthCarolina
United States
Source: U.S. Census Bureau SAIPE
Median Household Income 1998-2016 (Adjusted for Inflation) $2016
$45,000
$50,000
$55,000
$60,000
$65,000
$70,000
$75,000
$80,000
$85,000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Orange County Chatham County Durham CountyWake County North Carolina United States
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 4
Median Household Income 1998-2016 (Adjusted for Inflation) $2016
$65,299$61,796
$54,255
$45,000
$50,000
$55,000
$60,000
$65,000
$70,000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Orange County Durham County
Orange County Shows Growth in Inflation Adjusted Median Family Income (1998-2016)Dollar Change in Median Household Income From 1998 to 2016 (adjusted for inflation) $2016
$3,161
($2,696)
($7,541)
($8,367)
($5,057)
($2,385)
$363
Orange County
Chatham County
Durham County
Alamance County
Wake County
North Carolina
United States
Orange County Shows Growth in Inflation Adjusted Median Family Income (1998-2016)Percent Change in Median Household Income From 1998 to 2016 (adjusted for inflation) Inflation Adjusted
5.1%
-4.1%
-12.2%
-15.4%
-6.2%
-4.5%
0.6%
Orange County
Chatham County
Durham County
Alamance County
Wake County
North Carolina
United States
Orange has #1 Adjusted Gross Income, Chatham #18
Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
CountyAverage AGI on
Itemized ReturnsRank
(of 100 Counties)
Orange County $175,600 1
Mecklenburg County $134,897 2
Wake County $128,756 3
Guilford County $110,738 11
Durham County $106,478 15
Chatham County $101,900 18
Alamance County $92,312 36
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 5
Orange #4 in Value of Itemized Deductions, Chatham #85
County Average Itemized Contributions Reported Rank (of 100 Counties)
Orange County $5,665 4
Mecklenburg County $5,230 19
Guilford County $5,080 32
Durham County $4,678 55
Wake County $4,519 62
Alamance County $4,425 68
Chatham County $4,166 85Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
#CHCSOTC
Orange Ranks 98th in % of Income Donated, Chatham 90th
County Percent of AGI Contributed Rank (of 100 Counties)
Alamance County 4.8% 72
Guilford County 4.6% 79
Durham County 4.4% 82
Chatham County 4.1% 90
Mecklenburg County 3.9% 91
Wake County 3.5% 96
Orange County 3.2% 98Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
#CHCSOTC
Yancey and Macon Counties Lead NC in Contributions
County Average Itemized Contribution
Rank (of 100 Counties) Percent of AGI Contributed
Yancey $7,919 (9.2%) 1
Macon County $8,007 (8.5%) 2
Washington County $5,579 (7.3%) 3
Anson County $5,086 (7.2%) 4
Warren County $4,169 (7.1%) 5
Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
#CHCSOTC
Orange County Population by Race
Source: US Census Bureau; Orange County Planning
80% 76% 71% 69%
16%14%
12% 11%
1%4%
8% 9%3% 4% 7% 8%
2% 3% 3%
1990 2000 2010 2017
White Black Hispanic Asian Other or MultiracialChanges By Decade
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 6
Orange Minority Population by Race
Source: U.S. Census BureauNOTE: Does not include American Indian or Other, as per earlier charts
14,847 16,643
12,336
11,823
3,232
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
1990 2000 2010 2017
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
Chapel Hill Minority Population by Race
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
4,840 5,460
3,638 1,678
6,786
1,282
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
1990 2000 2010
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
Carrboro Minority Population by Race
NOTE: Does not include American Indian or Other, as per earlier chartsSource: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
1,916 1,933
2,706
1,592
430
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
1990 2000 2010
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
Chatham Minority Population by Race
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
8,794 8,666
564
8,228 8,916 68
1,373
-
1,094
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1990 2000 2010 2017
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 7
Hillsborough Minority Population by Race
NOTE: Does not include American Indian or Other, as per earlier chartsSource: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
1,660 1,777
404
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1990 2000 2010
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
Municipal Minority Make Up
10% 10%
29%
14%
6% 7%8%12%
2%2% 2% 2%
Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
NOTE: Does not include American Indian or Other, as per earlier chartsSource: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
State and County Minority Makeup
21%
12% 11%9%
12%
9%
3% 2%
8%
2% 2% 2%
North Carolina Chatham Orange
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
NOTE: Does not include American Indian or Other, as per earlier chartsSource: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
Residential Segregation - Black/WhiteCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
25
4237 40 43
53 5058
3643
63
49
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 8
Population Growth
Population Growth
Jurisdiction 2010 2017 Pop Growth Growth Rate
Orange County 133,688 144,946 11,258 8.4% (1.1% PY)
Hillsborough 6,613 7,231 618 7.9% (1.2% PY)
Carrboro 19,564 21,544 1,980 10.1% (1.3% PY)
Chapel Hill 57,221 59,862 2,641 4.6% (0.6% PY)
North Carolina 9,535,721 10,273,419 737,698 7.7% (1.0% PY)
Note: showing April 1, 2010 Estimates BaseSource U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Population Growth Slowest Since 1960sNumeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010
Source U.S. Census Bureau
1,901
11,363 8,535
14,737
19,348 16,796
24,376
15,574
11,258
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010-2017
9.0%
49.3%
24.8%
34.3% 33.5%
21.8%26.0%
13.2%8.4%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010-2017Source U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Population Percentage Growth Slowest Since 1930sPercent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 9
Chatham County Grew By 7,993 in First 8 Years of this DecadeNumeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2017
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
549 666 1,393
2,769 3,861
5,344
10,570
14,176
7,993
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010-2017
549 666 1,393
2,769 3,861
5,344
10,570
14,176
7,993
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010-2017Source U.S. Census Bureau
2.3% 2.7%5.5%
10.3%13.1%
16.0%
27.3% 28.7%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
2000s Fastest Growth Decade for Chatham CountyPercent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2017
2.3% 2.7%5.5%
10.3%13.1%
16.0%
27.3% 28.7%
12.6%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010-2017
7,993
11,193
11,258
41,656
171,144
Chatham County
Alamance County
Orange County
Durham County
Wake County
Population Gains Since 2010 Smallest in Chatham Numeric Population Growth, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2017
Source U.S. Census Bureau
7%
8%
8%
13%
15%
19%
AlamanceCounty
North Carolina
Orange County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Chatham, Durham and Wake Grew Faster than State AveragePopulation Growth Rate, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2017
Source U.S. Census Bureau
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 10
Share 65+ Increased Statewide and LocallyPopulation proportion 65+, April 1, 2010 vs July 1, 2017
Source U.S. Census Bureau
18%
15%13%
10% 10% 8%
24%
17% 16%13% 13%
11%
Chatham Alamance North Carolina Orange Durham Wake
2010 2017
Migration Drove County Population Growth 2010 - 2017Components of Orange County's estimated 11,258 person growth, 2010- 2017
Note: Not shown is the estimated loss of 2 individuals that cannot be attributed to births, deaths, or migration (residual)Source U.S. Census Bureau
11,2588,872
-5,565
2,8025,159
Total Change Births Deaths Domestic MigrationInternational
Migration
Net Migration Drove Population Growth for Orange and Most Neighbors in 2016-17Rate of net migration and natural increase (births-deaths) per 1,000 residents, July 1, 2016 to July 1, 2017
Source U.S. Census Bureau
1.4
-1.1
7.3
2.77.0
17.7
24.4
7.4
12.814.7
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Natural Increase Rate Net Migration Rate
Migration
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 11
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
Age
NC Net Migration by Age, 2000-2010
Source: Winkler et al., 2013
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
Age
Orange
Net Migration by Age, 2000 - 2010
Source: Winkler et al., 2013
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
Age
Orange
Pitt
Watauga
Net Migration by Age, 2000 - 2010
Source: Winkler et al., 2013
-1,400-1,200-1,000
-800-600-400-200
0200400
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
Age
Youth DrainHalifax
Net Migration by Age, 2000-2010
Source: Winkler et al., 2013
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 12
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
Age
Employment CenterWake
Net Migration by Age, 2000-2010
Source: Winkler et al., 2013
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
Age
Family SuburbsJohnston
Net Migration by Age, 2000-2010
Source: Winkler et al., 2013
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
Age
Chatham Moore
Retiree DestinationsChatham & Moore
Net Migration by Age, 2000-2010
Source: Winkler et al., 2013
-10,000-8,000-6,000-4,000-2,000
02,0004,0006,0008,000
10,00012,000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
Age
Orange
Net Migration by Age, 2000-2010
Source: Winkler et al., 2013
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 13
-8,000-6,000-4,000-2,000
02,0004,0006,0008,000
10,000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
Age
WhiteBlackOtherHispanic
Net Migration by Age and Race, 2000-2010
Source: Winkler et al., 2013
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
Age
Black
Other
Hispanic
Net Migration by Age and Race, 2000-2010
Source: Winkler et al., 2013
Population Projecting
Three Population Projection Models – Annual Change20-Year Exponential, 20-Year Linear, 10-Year Linear
GeographyExponential (1990-2010)
Linear (1990-2010)
Linear (2010-2017)
Orange 1.8% 1,553 people 1,999 people
Chatham 2.5% 1,237 people 1,102 people
Carrboro 2.4% 372 people 273 people
Chapel Hill 2.0% 926 people 364 people
Hillsborough 1.8% 91 people 85 people
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 14
How many people in 2050? Orange County3 Population Projection Models
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
271,957
213,701
133,801
195,914
0
75,000
150,000
225,000
300,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Exponential (1990-2010) Linear (1990-2010) Linear (2010-2017)
How many people in 2050? Chapel Hill3 Population Projection Models
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
125,104
94,277 2010-2017
57,233 71,804
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Exponential (1990-2010) Linear (1990-2010) Linear (2010-2017)
How many people in 2050? Carrboro3 Population Projection Models
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
50,999
34,478
19,582 30,506
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Exponential (1990-2010) Linear (1990-2010) Linear (2010-2017)
How many people in 2050? Hillsborough3 Population Projection Models
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
12,410 9,735
6,087
9,497
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Exponential (1990-2010) Linear (1990-2010) Linear (2010-2017)
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 15
How many people in 2050? Chatham County3 Population Projection Models
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
170,482
112,997
107,604
0
75,000
150,000
225,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Exponential (1990-2010) Linear (1990-2010) Linear (2010-2017)
Carrboro Remains One of the Most Densely Populated Communities in NCPeople per square mile by census and using ‘Linear 1990-2010’ projections
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
2,9703,437
3,754
3,1083,586
4,158
1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected
2,9703,437
3,754
3,031
3,6084,184
1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected
Chapel Hill Population Density To Increase
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
2,5832,342 2,330
2,7103,148
3,587
1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected
People per square mile by census and using ‘Linear 1990-2010’ projections
4,246
4,116
4,094
3,948
3,472
3,108
3,037
2,710
3,587
Charlottesville (VA)
Burlington (VT)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Boulder (CO)
Bloomington (IN)
Carrboro (NC)
Madison (WI)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Chapel Hill 2030
Chapel Hill in 2030 is Less Dense than Most Peers People Per Square Mile
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 16
The Economy Commuting
Orange Worker Inflows/Outflows, 201543,036 drive in, 35,818 drive out, and 20,406 live and work in Orange
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC
Chapel Hill/Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 201538,804 drive in, 18,697 drive out, and 11,106 live and work in Chapel Hill/Carrboro
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 17
Chapel Hill Worker Inflows/Outflows, 201538,804 drive in, 18,697 drive out, and 11,106 live and work in Chapel Hill/Carrboro
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC
Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 20153,623 drive in, 8,524 drive out, and 645 live and work in Carrboro
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC
Chatham Worker Inflows/Outflows, 20158,997 drive in, 20,551 drive out, and 5,124 live and Work in Chatham
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC
Few differences in earnings by place of work/residenceCommuters into/out of Orange County by income, 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
17% 17% 16%
31% 29% 33%
52% 54% 51%
Live and Work Drive Out Drive In
Less than $15,000 $15K - $40K $40K or more
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 18
Chatham Out-Commuters Most Likely to Earn <$40KWorkers who live & work in Chatham earn least
25% 17% 22%
47%33%
42%
29%51%
36%
Live and Work Drive Out Drive In
Less than $15,000 $15K - $40K $40K or more
61% of Orange County Households Have 2+ CarsShare of Households by Number of Vehicles Available, 2012-16
Source: 2012-16 American Community Survey
No Vehicles5%
1 Vehicle34%
2 Vehicles38%
3 or More Vehicles
23%
#CHCSOTC
Fewer Orange, Chatham Workers Drive Alone to WorkPercent of commuters who drive alone to work, 2012-16
Source: Vehicle Availability and Commuting, 2012-16 American Community Survey
81%
67%78% 84%
76% 79%
North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
#CHCSOTC
Chapel Hill Transit Ridership DownTotal Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (in millions), FY2004-FY2017
5.27
7.236.94
6.736.33 6.18
4.0
6.0
8.0
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
(mill
ions
)
Source: Chapel Hill Transit
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 19
0.71 0.75 0.82 0.87 0.941.14 1.09
1.29
1.581.77 1.82 1.84 1.78
1.66
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
GoTriangle Ridership Declines 10% from 2015 PeakTotal Triangle Transit Ridership, FY2004-FY2017
Source: Triangle Transit
#CHCSOTC
High Share of Orange, Chatham Workers Work from Home
4.8%
8.2% 7.8%
2.7%
4.8%
7.6%
North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
52,698
63,442
48,702
56,224
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Jobs in Orange Workers in Orange
County Job Growth has not Consistently Translated to More Workers Living in OrangeNumber of jobs in Orange vs. workers in Orange, 2002-2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC
Orange County Workers Driving in for Work Growing Faster than Workers Driving Out
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
32,262
37,915 35,81837,935
40,520 43,036
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Driving Out for Work Driving In for Work
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 20
While Most Orange County Residents Work Elsewhere, Percent Driving Out for Work is Declining from Peak
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC
55%
66%
64%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Share of Orange County resident workers who work outside of Orange County, 2002-2015
Employment by Location
14,22812,088
4,6621909
16351596
13241297
1037683
15,765
Chapel Hill town, NCDurham city, NCRaleigh city, NC
Hillsborough town, NCCarrboro town, NC
Cary town, NCGreensboro city, NC
Charlotte city, NCBurlington city, NC
Mebane city, NCAll Other Locations
Where Do Orange County Residents Work?Location of Primary Job, 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC
Where Orange County Residents Work is ChangingLocation of Primary Job, 2005-2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC
-2,3831,141
1,971259
97609
298228266
14 3,509
Chapel Hill town, NCDurham city, NCRaleigh city, NC
Hillsborough town, NCCarrboro town, NC
Cary town, NCGreensboro city, NC
Charlotte city, NCBurlington city, NC
Mebane city, NCAll Other Locations
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 21
46% of Chatham Workers Driving Alone Travel 30+ MinutesPercent of those who drive alone to work commuting 30+ minutes, 2012-16
Source: Vehicle Availability and Commuting, 2012-16 American Community Survey
31% 29%
46%
31%
24%
33%
North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
#CHCSOTC
Majority of Chatham Residents Work ElsewhereShare of Chatham County resident workers who work outside of Chatham, 2002-2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
65%
81%80%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
#CHCSOTC
Where People Commute From to Fill Chapel Hill JobsPlace of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Chapel Hill in 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
8,9916,815
3,1682,600
2,164652542458394391
19,467
Durham city, NCChapel Hill town, NC
Carrboro town, NCRaleigh city, NC
Cary town, NCApex town, NC
Burlington city, NCMebane city, NC
Charlotte city, NCMorrisville town, NC
All Other Locations
#CHCSOTC
Where Do Chapel Hill Residents Work?Location of Primary Job, 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
6,8154,180
1,791680
575478453
252192190
5,028
Chapel Hill town, NCDurham city, NCRaleigh city, NC
Cary town, NCCharlotte city, NC
Carrboro town, NCGreensboro city, NCMorrisville town, NC
Hillsborough town, NCBurlington city, NCAll Other Locations
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 22
Where People Commute From to Fill Carrboro JobsPlace of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Carrboro in 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
645548
478174
1026456545352
2,042
Carrboro town, NCDurham city, NC
Chapel Hill town, NCRaleigh city, NC
Cary town, NCBurlington city, NC
Greensboro city, NCCharlotte city, NCMebane city, NC
Apex town, NCAll Other Locations
#CHCSOTC
Where Do Carrboro Residents Work?Location of Primary Job, 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
3,1681,464
750645
279176172
127122
942,172
Chapel Hill town, NCDurham city, NCRaleigh city, NC
Carrboro town, NCCary town, NC
Charlotte city, NCGreensboro city, NCMorrisville town, NC
Hillsborough town, NCBurlington city, NCAll Other Locations
#CHCSOTC
3,4992,683
2,4441,3801,3521,324
771669631
44210,480
Chapel Hill town, NCRaleigh city, NC
Durham city, NCSiler City town, NCPittsboro town, NC
Cary town, NCSanford city, NC
Greensboro city, NCCharlotte city, NCAsheboro city, NC
All Other Locations
2015 2005
Top Ten Places Chatham County Workers Work2015 vs. 2005
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC
Top Ten Places Chatham County Workers Work2005 vs. 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC
3,499
2,683
2,444
1,380
1,352
1,324
771
669
631
442
Chapel Hill town, NCRaleigh city, NC
Durham city, NCSiler City town, NCPittsboro town, NC
Cary town, NCSanford city, NC
Greensboro city, NCCharlotte city, NCAsheboro city, NC
2005 2015
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 23
Where People Drive From to Fill Chatham County Jobs2005 vs. 2015 (Top 10)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
775
761
472
425
369
348
262
228
176
172
Durham city, NCSiler City town, NC
Raleigh city, NCCary town, NC
Sanford city, NCPittsboro town, NC
Chapel Hill town, NCCarrboro town, NC
Greensboro city, NCApex town, NC
2005 2015
#CHCSOTC
Total Non-Profit EmploymentNonprofit Employee County by County (2015)
29,808
1,681
42,373
Orange Chatham Durham
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC
47% of Orange County workers employed in NonprofitNonprofit employment as percent of total employment, 2015
47%
12%
23%
Orange Chatham DurhamSource: Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC
Orange County Nonprofits
Orange County Registered Nonprofits 975
Orange County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 437
Annual Revenue of Orange County 501(c)3s $870 million
Assets of Orange county 501(c)3s $3.3 billion
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 24
Orange, Chatham and Durham Boast 871 CharitiesTotal Registered 501c3 Non Profits by County (2015)
303
83
485
Orange Chatham Durham
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC
Chatham County Nonprofits
Chatham County Registered Nonprofits 254
Chatham County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 98
Annual Revenue of Chatham County 501(c)3s $105 million
Assets of Chatham county 501(c)3s $245 million
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC
Employment
Monthly Unemployment Rate (Unadjusted)1/2004 to 4/2018
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
1/20
047/
2004
1/20
057/
2005
1/20
067/
2006
1/20
077/
2007
1/20
087/
2008
1/20
097/
2009
1/20
107/
2010
1/20
117/
2011
1/20
127/
2012
1/20
137/
2013
1/20
147/
2014
1/20
157/
2015
1/20
167/
2016
1/20
177/
2017
1/20
18
North Carolina Orange County Chapel Hill Chatham County
Source: BLS LAUS
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 25
Annual Unemployment Rate (Unadjusted)Unemployment Rate, 1997-2017
Source: NC Department of Commerce
#CHCSOTC
10.9%
6.6%
Orange3.8%
6.6%Chapel Hill,
4.6%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
Une
mpl
oym
ent R
ate
North Carolina Orange County Chapel Hill Chatham County
Source: BLS LAUS
Number of Unemployed Persons, 2017
1,379 1,365
2,921
Chapel Hill Chatham County Orange County
Orange County Employment PatternsOrange Top 5 Specialized Industries, by Employment, 2016 (NACO)
Source: National Association of Counties
#CHCSOTC
41,300 jobs | 44.6%
6,700 jobs | 7.2%
5,400 jobs | 5.8%
2,000 jobs | 2.1%
170 jobs | 0.2%
State & LocalGovernment
Food & Hospitality
Professional &Business Services
EducationalServices
Mining
Orange County Major Employers 2017 Q41. UNC Chapel Hill2. UNC Health Care System3. Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools4. Orange County Schools5. UNC Physicians Network LLC, Education
& Health Services6. Local Government7. Town Of Chapel Hill Inc8. Eurosport9. General Electric Company10. Aramark Food And Support Services G.11. Wal-Mart Associates Inc.12. Harris Teeter
Source: NC Department of Commerce
13. A K G Of America Inc. 14. Food Lion15. The Chapel Hill Residential16. United Parcel Service Inc.17. P H E Inc.18. Summit Consulting-Engineering19. Weaver Street Market20. Performance BMW21. Wellspring Grocery22. Residential Services Inc.23. U S Postal Service24. Carolina Inn25. The Arc Of The Triangle
#CHCSOTC 2018 State of the Community Report
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 26
Top Ten Orange County Industries by EnterpriseBy North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
735647
588571
467376
348346
338333
Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Construction NAICS23
Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Unclassified Establishments NAICS99
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Food Srv & Drinking Places NAICS722
#CHCSOTC
Retail, Wholesale & Health Care Lead Sales in Orange2016 Sales by NAICS Industry Code (Millions)
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
$2,168$2,040
$1,334$806
$685$675
$550$407$399$384
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Wholesale Trade NAICS42
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Manufacturing NAICS31-33
Construction NAICS23
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54
Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Secur/Commodity Contracts NAICS523
#CHCSOTC
4.9K jobs12.6%
3.4K jobs8.6%
1.9K jobs4.7%
1.2K jobs3.1%
130 jobs0.3%
Professional & BusinessServices
Real Estate
Arts & Entertainment
Agriculture
Mining
Chatham County Employment PatternsChatham Top 5 Specialized Industries, by Employment, 2016
Source: National Association of Counties
#CHCSOTC
357312
251176173
153128
124112
106
Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Construction NAICS23
Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Public Administration NAICS92
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72
Admin/Waste Mgmt&Remediatn NAICS56
Chatham County Number of Enterprises by IndustryBy North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 27
Wholesale & Manufacturing Lead in Chatham CountySales By NAICS Industry Code (millions)
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
#CHCSOTC
$1,212$802
$650$277
$259$250$246
$153$126$125
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62Clothing/Accessories NAICS448
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music NAICS451Manufacturing NAICS31-33
Secur/Commodity Contracts NAICS523Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54
Furniture/Home Furnishings NAICS442Electronics/Appliances NAICS443
Transportation/Warehouse NAICS48-49Bldg Matl/Gardn Equip&SupplNAICS444
Chatham County Major Employers 2017 Q11. Chatham County Schools2. County Of Chatham3. Carolina Meadows Inc.4. Galloway Ridge Inc.5. Mountaire Farms Of NC Inc.6. Wal-Mart Associates Inc.7. Arauco Panels Usa LLC8. Chatham Hospital Inc.9. Fitch Creations, Inc.10. Palletone Of North Carolina Inc.11. Boise Cascade Company LLC12. The Laurels Of Chatham
Source: NC Department of Commerce
13. Piedmont Health Services Inc.14. Sunrise Home Care Inc.15. Town Of Siler City16. Harris Teeters17. Lowes Home Centers Inc.18. Food Lion19. Brookwood Farms Inc. 20. Mas Acme USA21. Scotts & Associates Inc. 22. Central Carolina Community College23. Town & Country Hardware Stores24. Governors Club Inc. 25. Triangle Electrical Services Inc.
#CHCSOTC
Minority Business Ownership RatesOrange County & Municipalities Fall Below U.S. and Statewide Averages
10.3%11.8%
13.5%13.7%14.0%
14.9%15.2%
20.5%20.8%21.1%
22.8%26.3%
28.8%36.7%
Bloomington (IN)Chatham County (NC)
Madison (WI)Chapel Hill (NC)
Orange County (NC)Ann Arbor (MI)Carrboro (NC)
Johnston County (NC)Alamance County (NC)
Hillsborough (NC)North Carolina
Wake County (NC)United States
Durham County (NC)
#CHCSOTC
Higher share of women-owned firms in unincorporated Orange County
30.2%
31.2%
32.2%
32.4%
34.2%
34.6%
35.4%
35.5%
35.6%
35.6%
35.8%
35.9%
36.3%
41.7%
Bloomington (IN)Hillsborough (NC)
Johnston County (NC)Ann Arbor (MI)
Chapel Hill (NC)Alamance County (NC)
Madison (WI)Chatham County (NC)
North CarolinaWake County (NC)
United StatesCarrboro (NC)
Orange County (NC)Durham County (NC)
Female Business Ownership Rates
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 28
Most Regional Jobs Filled by In-CommutersShare of county jobs filled by individuals who live outside of respective county, 2002-2014
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
64%
68%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Chatham County Orange County
#CHCSOTC
Younger Workers
Young Workers Living and Working in Orange Increasing Number living and working in Orange County, 29 or younger, highest since 2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
4,567
3,625 3,751
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
#CHCSOTC
Fewer Workers Under 29 Commuting Out of OrangeNumber of young workers commuting out of Orange County declining
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
7,889
7,4956,956
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 29
Total People 29 or Younger Working Orange County Increasing (2012 – 2015)
12,199
12,975
11,000
11,500
12,000
12,500
13,000
13,500
14,000
14,500
15,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
New Young Workers Driving Into Orange for Work Increasing2009 through 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
8,966
9,224
8,5008,6008,7008,8008,9009,0009,1009,2009,3009,400
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
#CHCSOTC
More young workers live in Orange but don’t work hereOrange County by place of work, 2010 vs. 2014
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
0.7%
-5.2%
4.2%
0.7%
Total Live in Orange Live and Work inOrange
Drive Out Drive In
#CHCSOTC
Innovation
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 30
• 75 Companies served, 44+ completed survey (59%)• At least 46 remain in business (61%)• 94% remain in business after 1 year, 64% after 2 years• 31 Companies - Student as a primary Founder (41%)
7 remain in business (23%)
Launch 5 Year Data 2012-2015
#CHCSOTC
Launch Chapel HillCalendar 2017 Results (all companies)
• $12.75 million raised (19 companies)• $20.6 million in annual revenues• 1124 employees – 215 f/t and 909 p/t• 202 in Orange County – skews f/t
#CHCSOTC
Launch Chapel Hill Calendar 2017 Results (all companies)
• 25 companies call Orange County home• 12, 150 sq ft of leased space• $184,500 expended on rents
• $99,000 annual spend in Downtown Chapel Hill
#CHCSOTC
Retail Sales and Economy
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 31
Taxable Sales Grows to $1.76 BillionOrange County Taxable Sales (in millions), FY06 - FY18
Source: NC Department of Revenue*Change in reporting
#CHCSOTC
$908 $948 $972 $927 $988 $1,017 $1,058$1,176
$1,422 $1,477$1,568
$1,726 $1,766
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15* 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable SalesChange (in millions) from Taxable Sales of Prior Year FY05-FY18
Source: NC Department of Revenue
#CHCSOTC
$41 $23
-$45
$61$30 $41
$117
$246
$55$91
$158
$40
-$100-$50
$0$50
$100$150$200$250$300
Orange County Percent Change of Taxable Sales of Prior YearFY05-FY18
4%2%
-5%
7%3% 4%
11%
21%
4%6%
10%
2%
Sales Tax Collections Grow to $84 MillionOrange County Gross Sales Tax Collections (in millions), FY06-FY18
Source: NC Department of Revenue
#CHCSOTC
$41 $42 $42 $41
$52$59
$52$56
$68 $70 $75$82 $84
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 32
Distribution of $56 Million in Orange County Sales Tax Distributions Municipality share of Orange County Local Option Sales Tax (LOST) Revenue Distributions, FY 2016-17
Source: NC Department of Revenue
#CHCSOTC
$37 million
$4.5 million
$12.3 million
$6,759 $1.4 million $441,692
Orange CountyTotal
Carrboro Chapel Hill Durham Hillsborough Mebane
Chapel Hill & Carrboro Receive 30% of Orange County Sales Tax Distributions ) Municipality share of Orange County Local Option Sales Tax (LOST) Revenue Distributions, FY 2016-17
Source: NC Department of Revenue
#CHCSOTC
67%
8%
22%
0.01% 3% 1%
Orange CountyTotal
Carrboro Chapel Hill Durham Hillsborough Mebane
2017-18 County Tax Disbursements
Sales Tax Per Capita FY2016 and FY2017
Source: NC Department of Revenue
$175$157
$251
$172$154
$177 $177
$255
$182$156
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2016 2017
#CHCSOTC
Sales Tax Per Capita RankingsRanking of 100 NC Counties (1=highest), 2013-2017
Source: NC Department of Revenue
#CHCSOTC
81
3148
55
90
20
40
60
80
100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Coun
ty R
anki
ng (1
to 1
00)
Orange Chatham Durham
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 33
Total Household Income (billions)2017 Inflation Adjusted Dollars
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
$3.99
$2.75
$9.86
$4.86
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
#CHCSOTC
Average Household Retail Demand2016
$51,358
$32,097
$44,329
$38,192
$48,176
Orange County
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
#CHCSOTC
Number of Households (2016)
64,369
28,568
123,697
50,203
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Orange County
$2.1 $1.3
$4.7$2.6
$18.7
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Retail Demand 2016 in Billions (revised)
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
Values shown in billions
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 34
The Retail Gap
Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016 (revised)Retail Potential vs. Retail Sales (in billions), 2016
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
#CHCSOTC
$2.1
$1.3
$4.7
$2.6
$1.8
$0.6
$4.6
$1.8
Alamance Chatham Durham OrangeTotal Retail Potential Total Sales
Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016Retail Gap– Demand Minus Supply (in Millions), 2016 revised
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
#CHCSOTC
$269
$648
$81
$796
$623
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Retail Leakage occurs when local people spend a larger amount of money on goods than local businesses report in sales, usually due to people traveling to a neighboring town to buy goods.
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 35
Orange County Draws Outside Dollars in 4 Categories2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions)
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
#CHCSOTC
$85.7$49.5
$13.9$0.2
-$28.3-$30.7
-$45.4-$47.1
-$50.9-$52.7
-$87.8-$280.8
-$321.9
Nonstore RetailersSports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Gasoline StationsMiscellaneous Store Retailers
Furniture/Home Furnishing StoresFood Services & Drinking Places
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply StoresHealth and Personal Care Stores
Electronics & Appliance StoresClothing/Accessories Stores
Food and Beverage StoresMotor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
General Merchandise Stores
Chatham County Draws Outside Dollars in 1 Category2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions)
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
#CHCSOTC
$10.7-$9.9
-$20.3-$21.6-$23.0
-$29.5-$40.8-$41.0-$41.3-$41.8
-$73.3-$99.1
-$217.4
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music StoresGasoline Stations
Furniture/Home Furnishing StoresNonstore Retailers
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply StoresHealth and Personal Care Stores
Clothing/Accessories StoresElectronics & Appliance Stores
Food Services & Drinking PlacesMiscellaneous Store Retailers
Food and Beverage StoresGeneral Merchandise Stores
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
2016 Aggregate Household Income (in billions)(in 2017 Inflation-Adjusted Dollars)
Source: American Community Survey
#CHCSOTC
$4.0
$2.8
$9.9
$4.9
$39.9
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Total Household Income (billions)2017 Inflation Adjusted Dollars
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
$3.99
$2.75
$9.86
$4.86
$39.93
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 36
Orange County Taxable Sales (in millions)FY06 – FY18
Source: NC Department of Revenue
#CHCSOTC
$243
$603$908
$1,766
0
500
1000
1500
2000 Chatham Orange
Sales Tax Collection (in millions), FY06-FY18
28.75
84.27
0
20
40
60
80
100 Chatham Orange
$2.1 $1.3
$4.7$2.6
$18.7
$1.8$0.6
$4.6
$1.8
$18.1
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Total Retail PotentialTotal Sales
Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016 (revised)Retail Potential vs. Retail Sales (in billions), 2016
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
Values shown in billions
#CHCSOTC
Orange County Retail Businesses Detail2016 Retail Businesses in Orange County by Category
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
#CHCSOTC
2453
40102
27330
5549
417878
3720
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Gasoline Stations
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
General Merchandise Stores
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 37
Chatham County Retail Businesses Detail2016 Retail Businesses in Chatham County by Category
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
#CHCSOTC
1728
205
3715
1415
10052
4521
28
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Gasoline Stations
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Nonstore Retailers
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Food and Beverage Stores
General Merchandise Stores
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Cost of Living
Chapel Hill93.4
Asheville96.3 Burlington
89.2
Charlotte96.3 Durham
90.8
Raleigh94.7
Wilmington96.1
Winston-Salem92.4
65
100
135
C2ER 2017 Cost of Living Composite Index
Source: C2ER (Council for Community and Economic Research)
#CHCSOTC
C2ER 2017 Cost of Living Grocery Index
Source: C2ER (Council for Community and Economic Research)
#CHCSOTC
Chapel Hill90.9
Asheville99.6 Burlington
93.5
Charlotte98.5 Durham
95.6
Raleigh102.7
Wilmington102.7
Winston-Salem98.3
65
100
135
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 38
C2ER 2017 Cost of Living Housing Index
Source: C2ER (Council for Community and Economic Research)
#CHCSOTC
Chapel Hill98 Asheville
94.3
Burlington73.7
Charlotte86.7 Durham
81.4
Raleigh84
Wilmington82.6
Winston-Salem67.7
65
100
135
C2ER Cost of Living Healthcare Index
Chapel Hill97.1
Asheville101.4
Burlington105.5
Charlotte105.8
Durham93.3
Raleigh100.2
Wilmington121.3
Winston-Salem114.7
65
100
135
Visitor Spending and Economic Impact
Domestic Visitor Expenditures (millions) on Steady IncreaseOrange County Domestic Visitor Expenditures (unadjusted values)
Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
$108$136
$169
$193
$50
$100
$150
$200
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 39
$107.35
$102.12 $101.61 $104.38
$106.49
$113.65
$121.48 $124.43 $126.13
$85
$100
$115
$130
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Hotel Average Daily Rate Continues to IncreaseOrange County Average Daily Rate, 2009-2017
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
#CHCSOTC
Orange County Hotel Average Daily Occupancy Off PeakAverage Daily Hotel Occupancy, 2009-2017
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
#CHCSOTC
58.9% 59.6%
64.1% 65.1% 65.1%
69.9% 70.5% 70.1%
66.8%
48%
56%
64%
72%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
$63.34 $60.87 $65.15 $68.00 $69.60 $79.45
$85.69 $87.18 $84.25
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Revenue per Room Continues to GrowOrange County Average Revenue Per Room, 2009-2017
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
#CHCSOTC
Orange County Revenues from Tourism Rising (Adjusted for Inflation)State and Local Visitor Spending Tax Revenue (millions)
Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
#CHCSOTC
$9.2 $8.9 $9.2 $9.6 $10.1 $10.5
$3.2 $3.5 $3.7 $3.9 $4.0 $4.2
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
State Tax Receipts ($2016) Local Tax Receipts ($2016)
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 40
Domestic Visitor Spending Increases 4.4%Orange County Domestic Visitor Spending (millions)
$184.45$192.63
2015 2016Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
#CHCSOTC
Domestic Visitor Expenditures (millions) on Steady Increase (Adjusted for Inflation $2016)Orange County Domestic Visitor Expenditures
Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
#CHCSOTC
$151
$153
$193
$70
$110
$150
$190
$230
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
191 203 217262
339
261255 254282
355
467
394
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2017 2018
#CHCSOTC
Air B&B Room Nights Increasing Air B&B Annual Revenue Growing in Orange County*2018 projected based on trends
$1,739,404
$4,000,892
$6,645,065
$9,823,136
2015 2016 2017 2018*
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 41
Education Public Schools
Total Per Pupil Expenditure (2016-17)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$8,588
$8,742
$10,180
$10,641
$11,012
$11,601
$12,017
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Wake County Schools
Chatham County Schools
Durham County Schools
Orange County Schools
Asheville City Schools
Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools
#CHCSOTC
Local Per Pupil Expenditure (2016-17)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$1,826
$2,537
$3,463
$3,556
$4,281
$4,880
$6,151
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Wake County Schools
Chatham County Schools
Durham County Schools
Orange County Schools
Asheville City Schools
Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 42
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Per Pupil ExpenditureTrends in CHCCS Per Pupil Expenditure (PPE) by Source, 2004-2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$4,461
$4,619
$4,637
$5,010
$5,195
$5,240
$4,831
$4,768
$4,971
$4,891
$4,883
$5,170
$5,249
$5,343
$464
$460
$446
$427
$477
$507
$840
$1,019
$503
$502
$475
$560
$535
$524
$4,180
$4,092
$4,107
$4,495
$4,907
$5,214
$4,934
$4,779
$5,075
$5,341
$5,514
$5,618
$5,879
$6,151
20042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017
State PPE Federal PPE Local PPE
#CHCSOTC
Local School Dropout Rate Declines2000 through 2017
Source: NC DPI
1.9%
CHCCS0.8%
5.2% Orange2.0%
5.7% NC2.3%
CHCCS Orange NC
#CHCSOTC
Share of 9th Grade Cohort that Graduated in 4 Years, by Graduation YearGraduation Rates in Neighboring Districts Nearly Equal to CHCCS
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
CHCCS
Orange
Chatham NC
Wake
Durham
Alamance-Burlington
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Year of Graduation
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-Burlington
Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts Nearly Equal to CHCCSShare of 9th Grade Cohort that Graduated in 4 Years, by Graduation Year
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
CHCCS90%
90%
Orange67%
89%
Chatham67%
88%NC
68% 87%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Year of Graduation
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 43
Average SAT Evidence Based Reading and Writing (ERW) Score 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
568
573
621
522
539
520
542
Wake County Schools
Orange County Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chatham County Schools
Alamance-Burlington Schools
North Carolina (All Students)
Average SAT Math Score 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
562
559
611
505
524
521
532
Wake County Schools
Orange County Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chatham County Schools
Alamance-Burlington Schools
North Carolina (All Students)
#CHCSOTC
Average SAT Total Scores 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
1,130
1,133 1,231
1,027
1,063
1,041
1,074
Wake County Schools
Orange County Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chatham County Schools
Alamance-Burlington Schools
North Carolina (All Students)
#CHCSOTC
EOG Math Grade 3, 2016-17College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
60%50%
70%
38%
58%
47%52%
Wake County Schools Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-CarrboroCity Schools
Durham PublicSchools
Chatham CountySchools
Alamance-BurlingtonSchools
North Carolina (AllStudents)
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 44
EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
48% 48%
66%
28%
45%38% 40%
Wake CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-CarrboroCity Schools
Durham PublicSchools
Chatham CountySchools
Alamance-BurlingtonSchools
North Carolina (AllStudents)
#CHCSOTC
EOG Reading Grade 8, 2016-17 Grade Level Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
63%55%
72%
41%
57%47%
54%
Wake County Schools Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-CarrboroCity Schools
Durham PublicSchools
Chatham CountySchools
Alamance-BurlingtonSchools
North Carolina (AllStudents)
EOG Reading Grade 3, 2016-17Grade Level Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
67%
56%
74%
45%
60%53%
58%
Wake County Schools Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-CarrboroCity Schools
Durham PublicSchools
Chatham CountySchools
Alamance-BurlingtonSchools
North Carolina (AllStudents)
#CHCSOTC
Grades 3-8 Math EOG "College and Career Ready", 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
28%23% 26% 23%
28% 26% 30%
60% 56%65%
72%66%
83%74%
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake
Black White
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 45
CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient2015-2016 vs. 2016-2017 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
80
4739
92
77
5543
89
Asian Black Hispanic White
2016 2017
#CHCSOTC
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Subgroups Grade 3 Reading EOG "Grade Level Proficient"
4452 49
26
5256 58
36
Black Hispanic EDS SWD
2016 2017
Orange County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient2015-16 vs. 2016-2017 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
4434
71
3529
74
Black Hispanic White
2016 2017
#CHCSOTC
Chatham County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient2015-16 vs. 2016-17 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
39 36
72
3542
78
Black Hispanic White
2016 2017
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 46
CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient"2014-2017
79.1 77.4
34
54.543.6 42.8
91.5 88.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
2014 2015 2016 2017
Asian Black Hispanic White
CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient“ 2014-2017
34
54.5
43.6 42.8
2014 2015 2016 2017
Black Hispanic
Orange County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Student PerformanceGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
27.129.8 27.4
39.1
2014 2015 2016 2017
Chatham County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Student PerformanceGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
37.7
29.233.1
42.8
2014 2015 2016 2017
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 47
CHCCS Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black Student PerformanceGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
57.5
37.444.9
34
2014 2015 2016 2017
EOG Math Grade 3, 2016-17College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
69% 65%76%
49%
71%
57%64%60%
50%
70%
38%
58%47%
52%
Wake County Schools Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-CarrboroCity Schools
Durham PublicSchools
Chatham CountySchools
Alamance-BurlingtonSchools
North Carolina (AllStudents)
% Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
EOG Reading Grade 3, 2016-17College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
67%56%
74%
45%
60%53% 58%57%
46%
67%
35%
49%43% 46%
Wake County Schools Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-CarrboroCity Schools
Durham PublicSchools
Chatham CountySchools
Alamance-BurlingtonSchools
North Carolina (AllStudents)
% Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
#CHCSOTC
EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
53% 55%
72%
33%
52%43% 46%48% 48%
66%
28%
45%38% 40%
Wake County Schools Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-CarrboroCity Schools
Durham PublicSchools
Chatham CountySchools
Alamance-BurlingtonSchools
North Carolina (AllStudents)
% Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 48
EOG Reading Grade 8, 2016-17 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
63%55%
72%
41%
57%47%
54%51%43%
64%
31%43%
37%42%
Wake County Schools Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-CarrboroCity Schools
Durham PublicSchools
Chatham CountySchools
Alamance-BurlingtonSchools
North Carolina (AllStudents)
% Grade-Level Proficient (Level 3+) % College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5)
Graduation Rates IncreasingPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
2%
17%
10%
23%
12%
29%
16%
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-Burlington
#CHCSOTC
Black Student Graduation Rate ImprovementPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
28%34%
13%
34%28%
42%
31%
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-Burlington
#CHCSOTC
Hispanic Student Graduation Rate ImprovementPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
17%
90%
17%
43% 46%
89%76%
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-Burlington
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 49
Economically Disadvantaged Student Graduation Rate ImprovementPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
26%33%
8%
38% 40%
57%
30%
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-Burlington
#CHCSOTC
Students with Disabilities Graduation Rate ImprovementPercent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
13%
7%
12%
24%
33%
3%
32%
CHCCS Orange Chatham NC Wake Durham Alamance-Burlington
#CHCSOTC
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”2015-16 Math EOG Grades 3-8 (Levels 4 and 5)
47 4854
68
State of NorthCarolina
Chatham CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”2016-17 EOG Math Grades 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
48%42%
52%
35%
53%
69%57%
33% 29% 34%22%
33% 28% 29%
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake
All Students EDS
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 50
Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"2016-17 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
43%33% 35% 38% 41% 41% 43%
76%67%
75% 81% 82%91%
83%
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake
Black White
Black vs. White Students Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready” by County2016-17 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 or 5)
43%33% 35% 38% 41% 41% 43%
76%67%
75% 81% 82%91%
83%
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS Wake
Black White
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2015-16 EOG Math Grade 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
76
60
7381
2721
2825
3833
4138
596265
82
State of North CarolinaChatham CountySchools
Orange CountySchools
Chapel Hill-CarrboroSchools
Asian Black Hispanic White
Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"2015-16 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
82
68
8285
44
3138
4753
30
5352
757176
92
State of North CarolinaChatham CountySchools
Orange County SchoolsChapel Hill-CarrboroSchools
Asian Black Hispanic White
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 51
Orange County Subgroups Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready" 2016 vs. 2017
4452 49
26
5256 58
36
Black Hispanic EDS SWD
2016 2017
Black Students Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"2014 - 2017
59.3
46.5
2014 2015 2016 2017
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
Hispanic Students Grade 8 EOG "College and Career Ready"
60.757.4
0
20
40
60
80
2014 2015 2016 2017
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
EDS Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"Economically Disadvantaged Students 2014-2017
52.2%49.4%
0
20
40
60
80
2014 2015 2016 2017
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 52
SWD Grade 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"2014-2017
25.635.6
39.4 39.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
2014 2015 2016 2017
NC Alamance Chatham Durham Orange CHCCS
Orange County EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient" 2014-2017
4635
37 29
73 74
2014 2015 2016 2017
Black Hispanic White
Chatham County EOG Reading Grade 3 "Grade Level Proficient"2014-2017
38.3 35.2
43.8 41.8
76 78
0
20
40
60
80
100
2014 2015 2016 2017
Black Hispanic White
Orange County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black StudentGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
57.5
37.444.9
3427.1 29.8 27.4
39.1 37.729.2
33.1
42.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 53
Chatham County Schools Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black StudentsGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
57.5
37.444.9
3427.1 29.8 27.4
39.1 37.729.2 33.1
42.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
CHCCS Percentage Point "Gap" between White and Black StudentsGrade 3 EOG Reading "Grade Level Proficiency" Scores
57.5
37.444.9
3427.1 29.8 27.4
39.1 37.729.2
33.1
42.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
Durham Tech
Durham Tech Licensure Pass Rates and Transfer Performance2017
Source: Durham Tech
84.50%97%
76%
95% 100% 94%
TransferPerformance(2015-2016)
PracticalNursing
RegisteredNursing
EMT EMT-P Esthetician
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 54
49%of CHCCS or OCS graduatesreceived financial aid fromDurham Tech (2013-2018)
Source: Durham Tech
#CHCSOTC
Capacity Growing at Durham Tech Orange County CampusTotal Seats Offered and Total Seats Filled at Durham Tech Orange County Campus
Source: Durham Tech
3,2073,466 3,374 3,373 3,412 3406
2,552 2,7312,420 2,360 2,368 2,322
2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018
Total Seats Offered Total Seats Filled
#CHCSOTC
Credit Classes Offered and Total Seats Used At Durham TechOrange County Campus, 2011-12 - 2017-18
Source: Durham Tech
83 150 153 138 140 141 143
1,418
2,582 2,789
2,459 2,401 2,403 2,344
2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018
Classes Offered Total Seats Used
#CHCSOTC
Continuing Education Offered and Total Seats UsedDurham Tech Orange County Campus, 2011-12 through 2017-18
Source: Durham Tech
269 245 215 188 213 204 237
4,063 3,623
3,087 2,686
3,071 3,274 3,686
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018
Classes Offered Total Seats Used
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 55
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
State Appropriations to UNC Chapel Hill
Source: OIRA
$500 million
$543 millionin 2008
$107,782,727$108 million$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
1980 - 2017
#CHCSOTC
UNC Chapel Hill Revenues Rise, State Appropriations Flat
Source: OIRA
$3.2 billion
$500 million
$0$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000$1,500,000,000$2,000,000,000$2,500,000,000$3,000,000,000$3,500,000,000
Revenues Appropriations
#CHCSOTC
UNC Chapel Hill Campus Grows Past 20 Million square feetGross Square Feet of UNC Chapel Hill Campus
Source: OIRA
20.1 million17.8 million in 2008
7.8 million
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 56
UNC Annual Research Funding nears $900 million
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
$898 million
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
Mill
ions
#CHCSOTC
Value of UNC Chapel Hill Endowment, 1980 - 2017
Source: OIRA
$2.95billion
$0.0$0.5$1.0$1.5$2.0$2.5$3.0$3.5
Billi
ons
#CHCSOTC
UNC Chapel Hill Student Population Nearing 30,000Number of Students Enrolled at UNC, 1980-2017
29,91128,567 in 2008
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2017201520132011200920072005200320011999199719951993199119891987198519831981
#CHCSOTC
UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type
Source: UNC Fact Book, Office of Institutional Research & Assessment (OIRA)
Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Fall 2016 Fall 2017N % N % N % N % N %
Resident Student Housing 8,614 30% 8,520 29% 8,113 28% 8,033 27% 8,076 27%
Married Student Housing 366 1% 321 1% 374 1% 465 2% 485 2%
Off-Campus18,091 62% 18,238 63% 18,541 64% 18,927 64% 19,300 65%
Fraternity & Sorority 841 3% 841 3% 841 3% 841 3% 834 3%Other University Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers) 1,215 4% 1,215 4% 1,215 4% 1,203 4% 1,216 4%
Total 29,127 100% 29,135 100% 209,084 100% 29,469 100% 29,911 100%
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 57
2017 UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type
Source: UNC Fact Book, OIRA
Resident Student Housing,
8,076, 27%
Married Student Housing, 485, 2%
Off-Campus, 19,300, 64%
Fraternity & Sorority, 834, 3%
Other University Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers), 1,216, 4%
46%of UNC’s employeesLive in Orange County
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
#CHCSOTC
Distribution of UNC-CH’s 12,652 Employees (2017)By county of home address
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
5,8062,515
1,6591,142
672593
7473662725
OrangeDurham
WakeAlamance
OtherChatham
PersonLee
GuilfordRandolphGranville
#CHCSOTC
Growing number of UNC employees live in Wake, DurhamChange in number of UNC employees by county of residence, 2013-2017
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
157193
33555
-42-57
-137
217
OrangeDurham
WakeAlamance
OtherChatham
PersonLee
GuilfordRandolphGranville
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 58
More than 12,652 Work for UNC Chapel HillUNC Employees by State Classification, 1980-2017
Source: OIRA
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
2017201520132011200920072005200320011999199719951993199119891987198519831981
SPA Employees EPA Faculty/Non-Faculty
#CHCSOTCSource: UNC Office of Institutional Research
#CHCSOTC
UNC Research Startups
Housing
Homes Sold in 2017 Decline From 2016 PeakNumber of single and multifamily home sales, 2007 through 2017
Source: Triangle MLS
1,7511,815
1782
1,008 1,037
1323
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Orange Chatham
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 59
Homes Sold in 2017 DeclinesNumber of single and multifamily home sales in Orange County, 2007-17
Source: Triangle MLS
1,751
1,2751,143 1,143 1,128
1,277
1,6301,433
1,6501,815 1,782
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Price in Chatham Exceeds All Others2017 Median Residential Closing Price
Source: Triangle MLS
$230,750
$285,000
$369,000
$316,245$360,000
Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS District
$260,000$255,000$258,000
$275,000$262,250$265,000
$274,450$267,000
$290,000$300,000
$316,245
20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017
Orange Median Home Prices Rise9% since 2015 and 15% since 2013
Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham Median Home Prices Rise10% since 2015 and 22% since 2013
Source: Triangle MLS
$282,500$270,000
$250,703$263,930
$274,990$277,700
$303,350$317,373
$335,000$352,140
$369,000
20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 60
Home Prices Have Risen Across the RegionChange in median residential sales price, 2017 vs 2013
Source: Triangle MLS
34%
28%
22%
15%
Durham
Wake
Chatham
Orange
Change in Median Home Sale Price 2017 vs 20152017 vs. 2015
20%
14%
10%
9%
6%
Durham
Wake
Chatham
Orange
CHCCS District
New Construction Activity Concentrated in WakeNumber of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2010-2017
Source: Triangle MLS
1,346
2,575
5,514
28,629
Orange
Chatham
Durham
Wake
New Construction as a Percent of Total Sales
11%
40%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Orange Chatham
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 61
2.4%
9.0%
4.6%
7.7%
Orange
Chatham
Durham
Wake
Chatham New Housing Stock Growing the FastestNew construction (2010-2017) as percent of 2010 housing stock
Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham New Construction Sales Outpace OrangeNumber of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2007-2017
Source: Triangle MLS
253 194
313
532
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Orange Chatham
Steady Growth in Regional Home PricesMedian residential closing price, 2007-2017
Orange
Chatham
Chatham
Orange
Source: Triangle MLS
$282,500 $277,700
Chatham$369,000
$260,000 $265,000
Orange$316,245
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Chatham Orange
$123$144 $149 $151
$166
Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS District
Price Per Square FootMedian Price Per Square Foot, 2017
Source: Triangle MLS
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 62
38% of Homes in CHCCS District and 47% of All Orange County Homes Sold for <$300K2016 Orange County home sales by price
25%
21%
28%
22%
17%
26%
18%
19%
14%
21%
25%
14%
13%
18%
18%
Orange County (All)(1,782 Sales)
CHCCS District(1,049 Sales)
Not CHCCS(686 Sales)
<$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999$400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or more
Source: Triangle MLS
2017 Orange County Homes Sales by Price
454
224
230
395
178
217
316
197
119
378
258
120
239
192
147
-200 300 800 1,300 1,800
Orange County (All)(1,782 Sales)
CHCCS District(1,049 Sales)
Not CHCCS(686 Sales)
<$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999$400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or more
Median Age of Home and Median Year of Move In Median Year
Structure BuiltMedian Year Householder Moved into Unit by Ownership Status
All Households Owner Occupied Renter Occupied
Orange County 1986 2008 2003 2012
Carrboro 1986 2011 2005 2012
Chapel Hill 1985 2011 2004 2012
Hillsborough 1980 2007 2003
Chatham County 1991 2005 2003 2011
Durham County 1986 2010 2003 2012
Wake County 1994 2008 2004 2012
Alamance County 1981 2006 2001 2012
North Carolina 1986 2006 2002 20121986
1986
1985
1980
1991
1986
1994
1981
1986
Orange County
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Hillsborough
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Alamance County
North Carolina
Median Year Structure Built
Source: Triangle MLS
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 63
1986median year house built in Orange County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
2003median year Orange Countyhomeowner moved into unit
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
vs. 2012 for renters
59%of Orange 2017 home saleswere in CHCCS District Was 68% in 2016
Renting
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 64
Most People Renting(2012-2016 ACS)
Source: 5-Year American Community Survey
39%
59%52%
37%
23%
Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham
Most People Renting, Though Percentage of Residents Renting Declines
Source: 5-Year American Community Survey
40%
65%
51%45%
20%
39%
59%52%
37%
23%
Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham
2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS
Median Rent2007-2011 vs 2012-2016 American Community Survey
$887 $846$934
$870$824 $872
$970 $945$1,061
$831 $803$921
Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham Durham
2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS
What People are Paying for RentOrange County Gross Rent Paid (2012-2016 ACS)
5%
49%
31%
15%
Less than $500
$500 to $999
$1,000 tp $1,499
$1,500 or more
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 65
Changes in % Paying $1,000 or More in Rent
34%
25%
42%
30% 31% 33%
46%43%
56%
24% 24%
40%
Orange Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham Durham
2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS
46%of county renters spent $1,000 or more on rent in 2017
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
25%
25%
50%
21%
25%
54%
Less than 20%
20-29%
30% or more
2007-2011 ACS 2012-2016 ACS
Households Paying >30% of Gross Income on Rent DeclinesGross Rent as a Percentage of Household Income
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
19%
-1%
-7%
Less than 20%
20-29%
30% or more
Households Paying >30% of Gross Income on Rent DeclinesPercent Change 2007-2010 to 2012-2016
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 66
2018 Fair Market Rent
North Carolina
Durham-Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance County
Raleigh MSA
Zero Bedroom $658 $731 $587 $741
One Bedroom $708 $847 $601 $893
Two Bedroom $850 $990 $754 $1,026
Three Bedroom $1,144 $1,356 $1,029 $1,327
Four Bedroom $1,389 $1,512 $1,142 $1,656 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
Local Housing Wage is $16.29 for a 1 Bedroom AptHousing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018
North Carolina
Durham-Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance County
Raleigh MSA
Zero Bedroom $12.66 $14.06 $11.29 $14.25
One Bedroom $13.61 $16.29 $11.56 $17.17
Two Bedroom $16.35 $19.04 $14.50 $19.73
Three Bedroom $22.01 $26.08 $19.79 $25.52
Four Bedroom $26.72 $29.08 $21.96 $31.85 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
$33,880 Needed for 1 Bedroom Fair Market RentAnnual Salary Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018
North Carolina
Durham-Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance County
Raleigh MSA
Zero Bedroom $26,339 $29,240 $23,480 $29,640
One Bedroom $28,313 $33,880 $24,040 $35,720
Two Bedroom $34,004 $39,600 $30,160 $41,040
Three Bedroom $45,776 $54,240 $41,160 $53,080
Four Bedroom $55,576 $60,480 $45,680 $66,240Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
90 Hours of Work Needed for Minimum Wage Worker to Afford Local 1 Bedroom RentalWeekly Hours of Minimum Wage Work Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2018
North Carolina
Durham-Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance County
Raleigh MSA
Zero Bedroom 70 78 62 79
One Bedroom 75 90 64 95
Two Bedroom 90 105 80 109
Three Bedroom 121 144 109 141
Four Bedroom 147 160 121 176Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 67
Land Value
Orange County Total Value Per Acre
Source: Urban3
Assessed Value Per Acre
Source: Urban3
Orange County 2018 Total Assessed Value
Chapel Hill, $7B (44%)
Carrboro, $2.1B (13%)
Hillsborough, $886 M (5.5%)
Rest of County, $6B
(37.3%)
Total = $16 billion
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 68
2018 Orange County Commercial Assessed Value (millions)
Chapel Hill, $1.3 Billion
(63%)
Carrboro, $229
million (11%)
Hillsborough, $296 million
(14%)
Rest of County, $234 million
(11%)
Total = $2.06 billion
2018 Orange County Residential Assessed Value
Chapel Hill, $5 billion
(39%)
Carrboro, $1.6 billion
(13%)Hillsborough,
$516 million (4%)
Rest of County,
$5.7 billion (44%)
Total = $13 billion
2018 Orange County Apartment Assessed Value (millions)
Chapel Hill, $654 million
(64%)
Carrboro, $260 million
(25%)
Hillsborough, $74 million (7%)
Rest of Orange County, $34 million (3%)
Total = $1 billion
72.1% 77.1%58.2%
95.5%80.7%
18.5% 10.7%33.4%
3.9%12.9%
9.3% 12.2% 8.4%
0.6% 6.4%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Rest of OrangeCounty
Total County
Residential Commercial Apartment
2018 Orange County Assessed Value
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 69
Orange County Assessed Value (millions)
$5,058
$1,650$516
$5,696
$1,300
$229$296
$234
$654
$260
$74
$34
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Rest of OrangeCounty
Residential Commercial Apartment
#CHCSOTC
Crime
Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000By County
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
232.0
158
371.5
173
2001 2006 2011 2016
Chatham Orange
#CHCSOTC
Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000By County
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
397
158
773
173
240
2001 2006 2011 2016
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 70
Property Crime Rate Per 100,000By County, 2001 - 2016
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
3318.6
1,511
4,887
2,051
2001 2006 2011 2016
Chatham Orange
#CHCSOTC
Property Crime Rate Per 100,000By County, 2001 - 2016
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
2,405
1,511
3,7154,887
2,0511,885
2001 2006 2011 2016
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
#CHCSOTC
Violent Crime per 100,000
150
396
174
613
245 210
372231 277 299 264
435363
2017-18 City and Town Property Tax Rates
Source: NC Department of Revenue
Cary, 0.3500Apex, 0.3800
Raleigh, 0.4253
Chapel Hill, 0.508
Durham, 0.5786
Carrboro, 0.5894
Salisbury, 0.7096
HuntersvilleCaryApex
RaleighAshevilleCharlotteConcord
WilmingtonFayettevilleChapel HillGreenvilleGastonia
WilsonHickoryDurhamMonroe
CarrboroBurlington
Winston-SalemKannapolis
GreensboroJacksonvilleHigh PointGoldsboro
Rocky MountSalisbury
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 71
Cary, 0.965
Apex, 0.995Raleigh, 1.0403
Chapel Hill, 1.3457
Durham, 1.3465
Carrboro, 1.4271
CaryAsheville
ApexRaleigh
WilmingtonHuntersville
HickoryBurlington
ConcordGreenville
WilsonCharlotte
FayettevilleGoldsboro
JacksonvilleWinston-Salem
KannapolisRocky Mount
Chapel HillDurham
GreensboroMonroe
SalisburyHigh Point
GastoniaCarrboro
2016 All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rates
Source: NC Department of Revenue
Burlington, $1,246
Raleigh, $2,720
Durham, $2,841
Apex, $3,388
Cary, $3,449
Carrboro, $3,873
Chapel Hill, $4,979
GoldsboroRocky Mount
BurlingtonFayetteville
GreenvilleHickory
High PointJacksonvilleKannapolis
Winston-SalemWilson
SalisburyGreensboro
GastoniaConcordMonroe
WilmingtonAsheville
RaleighCharlotte
DurhamHuntersville
ApexCary
CarrboroChapel Hill
2017-18 Tax Assessed on Median Home Value
Source: NC Department of Revenue, Zillow 5/2018
Health Data
2018 Health Indicators
Health IndicatorOrange County
ChathamCounty Who is #1
Length of Life #1 #9 OrangeQuality of Life #4 #19 Dare
Health Behaviors #2 #3 WakeClinical Care #1 #17 Orange
Social and Economic Factors #2 #13 Union
Physical Environment #33 #19 HydeSource: 2016 County Health Rankings - Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 72
Orange County Children Faring Better
Source: NC Child*2015
2011 2016
Low Birthweight 8.2% 8.9%
3 and 4 year-olds enrolled in school 57.6% 64.9%*
Children living in poor or low income homes 33.0% 28.7%
Teen births age 15-17 (per 1000 girls) 9.2 Too small to measure
Children in foster care (per 1000) 6.7 5
Uninsured Children 9% 5.1%
Children assessed for abuse or neglect (per 1000) 38.4 39.5
#CHCSOTC
Adult Smoking RatesCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
14%
19%15% 16%
14%11%
22%
13%
19%
13%10%
16% 16%
#CHCSOTC
Adult ObesityCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
23%
33%26% 26%
23%
14%
26% 24% 23% 24%21%
29%
#CHCSOTC
Violent Crime Rate per 100,000Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
150
396
174
613
245 210
372
231 277 299 264
435363
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 73
Disconnected YouthCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
4%
13%
20%
13%
8%6% 5% 6% 6%
4%
10%13%
#CHCSOTC
912
69 10
1317 18
11
1715
18
Drug Overdose Deaths per 100,000Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
#CHCSOTC
21%16% 16% 17%
20%24%
17%
29%
21%25%
20% 19%
Excessive DrinkingCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
#CHCSOTC
Access to Exercise OpportunitiesCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
86% 86%65%
92% 92% 97%87% 95%
83%94% 96% 88%
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 74
Orange County Teen Pregnancy Rates DecreasePer 1000 Girls, Age 15-17
Source: NC Health and Human Services
26.1
9.1
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Too few to calculate rates
#CHCSOTC
Health Care CostsCompared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
$7,579$9,125
$8,214$8,572
$8,986$8,554
$7,616$9,338
$8,691$7,816
$9,440$8,614
Orange CountyAlamance CountyChatham CountyDurham County
Wake CountyBoulder County (CO)
Clarke County (GA)Dane County (WI)
Monroe County (IN)Washtenaw County (MI)
Fairfield County (CT)Spokane County (WA)
#CHCSOTC
Leading Causes of Death in 2016Chatham County, NC Orange County, NC
1. Cancer (24.9%) 1. Cancer (23.5%)
2. Heart diseases (18.7%) 2. Heart diseases (20.3%)
3. Cerebrovascular diseases (6.5%) 3. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.8%)
4. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.3%) 4. All other unintentional injuries (4.2%)
5. Alzheimer's disease (3.9%) 5. Alzheimer's disease (3.9%)
6. Diabetes mellitus (3.3%) 6. Cerebrovascular diseases (3.9%)
7. All other unintentional injuries (2.8%) 7. Diabetes mellitus (2.5%)
8. Parkinson's disease (1.9%) 8. Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis (2.4%)
9. Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis (1.8%) 9. Intentional self-harm (suicide) (1.8%)10. Intentional self-harm (suicide) (1.6%) 10. Parkinson's disease (1.6%)
Source: NC Center for Health Statistics
#CHCSOTC
Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,0002006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
154.9167.6
134.2160.9
142.8
178.5
109.4 108.3 96.9 101.884.1
118.3
NORTHCAROLINA
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2007-2011 2012-2016
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 75
Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,0002007-2011 vs. 2012-2016
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
159.2
166.0
181.0
173.0170.6 169.5
157.5
181.2
169.4174.6
177.0
168.0
NORTHCAROLINA
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2007-2011 2012-2016
#CHCSOTC
All Cancers Rate per 100,0002007-2011 vs. 2012-2016
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
505 524497 497 482 497
465495
450 447 447 463
NORTHCAROLINA
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2007-11 2012-2016
#CHCSOTC
Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,0002007-2011 vs. 2012-2016
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
42.0 41.0 41.2 39.834.3 36.436.1 35.6
32.4 31.5 32.2 32.3
NORTH CAROLINA Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2007-2011 2012-2016
#CHCSOTC
Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,0002007-2011 vs. 2012-2016
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
73.9 76.2
58.868.9
60.0 58.766.3 69.3
47.3 51.1 54.1 52.4
NORTHCAROLINA
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2007-2011 2012-2016
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 76
Orange County Infant Mortality RatePer 1,000 live births
Source: NC Health and Human Services
12.0
5.1
8.87.2
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Orange County North Carolina
#CHCSOTC
Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000
72.747.7
135.7
115.1
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
All Ages Ages (0-14)
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
#CHCSOTC
Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000
48 50.9 50
72.7
57.350.3
55.262.8
55.2 51.545.6 47.7
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
#CHCSOTC
NC 2014 Emergency Department Visit with Primary Diagnosis of Asthma by County
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 77
NC 2014 Emergency Department Visits with the Primary Diagnosis of Asthma, Ages 0 -14, By County
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
#CHCSOTC
Poverty
Orange County SNAP Individuals Decline from PeakMonthly Participants Over Time
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
9,898
11,779
6,111
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
Jan-18Jan-17Jan-16Jan-15Jan-14Jan-12Jan-11Jan-10Jan-09Jan-08Jan-07
#CHCSOTC
Number of Children in Poverty Decreasing1998 through 2016
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
2,773
4,822
3,229
1,848
2,952 2,462
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Orange County Chatham County
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 78
Food Insecurity Rate by County (2016)
Source: Feeding America
15.4%13.2%
14.7%
10.9%
17.3%
12.7%
North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
#CHCSOTC
Food Insecure People by County (2016)
Source: Feeding America
#CHCSOTC
18,460 22,930
7,480
50,890
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham
Percent of People in Poverty
2000 2006 2011 2016Orange County 10% 14% 17% 13%
Chatham County 9% 12% 11% 12%Durham County 11% 16% 20% 16%
Wake County 7% 9% 12% 9%North Carolina 12% 15% 18% 15%United States 11% 13% 16% 14%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
#CHCSOTC
Orange County SNAP Households and Individuals Decline from PeakMonthly Household Cases and Recipients Over Time
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
5,054
6,279
2,925
9,89811,779
6,111
Jan-18Jan-17Jan-16Jan-15Jan-14Jan-12Jan-11Jan-10Jan-09Jan-08Jan-07
Orange Cases Orange Participants
#CHCSOTC
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 79
Chatham County SNAP Households and Individuals DeclineMonthly Household Cases and Recipients Over Time
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
2,503
3,221
1,345
5,249
6,632
2,948
Jan-18Jan-17Jan-16Jan-15Jan-14Jan-12Jan-11Jan-10Jan-09Jan-08Jan-07
Chatham Cases Chatham Participants
#CHCSOTC
-2.9%
-2.2%-2.0%
-1.1%-0.9%
-1.7%
North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Percentage Point Change in Food Insecurity Rate2013 to 2016
Source: Feeding America
#CHCSOTC
Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch2016-17 School Year
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
61.5%52.5%
65.6%
47.0%
29.3%34.5%
Alamance Chatham Durham OrangeCounty
CHCCS Wake
#CHCSOTC
Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch2007 through 2017
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
44.0% 52.5%
32.6%
47.0%
21.7%29.3%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%
Chatham Orange County CHCCS
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 80
Growth of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch from 2009-10 to 2015-16
3.8%7.5%
-2.1%
8.7%
15.9%19.4%
-3.2%Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Orange:
OCSOrange:CHCCS
WakeSource: NC Department of Public Instruction
#CHCSOTC
Percent of Children in Poverty1998 through 2016
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
#CHCSOTC
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%Orange County Chatham County Durham County Wake County
Orange County Children in Poverty Lowest Among NC Peers
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
11%
24%17%
24%
12% 9%
30%
10%
18%12% 10%
16% ELI = Extremely Low Income
30% or Less of Area Median Income
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 81
Affordable Units Per 100 ELI HouseholdExtremely Low Income (ELI) Households earn 0-30% Area Median Income
26
39 40 36
49
2834
68
27
62
Orange Durham Chatham Wake Alamance
2005-09 2010-14
Source: Urban Institute
Orange County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreased by More than 1,000 UnitsGap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units
5,891
7,504
5,821
2,251
1,927
1,616
2000
2005-2009
2010-2014
Units ELI households
Source: Urban Institute
Chatham County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreases by Nearly 50%Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units
764
1,443
1,773
453
576
1,197
2000
2005-2009
2010-2014
Units ELI households
Source: Urban Institute
Total Homeless 2010 - 2018
135
136
110
123
108
129
80
127
152
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 82
Orange Chronically Homeless Remains LowNumber of Chronically Homeless Individuals (annual point-in-time count), 2010-18
Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
3850
2928
2325
1614
19
201020112012201320142015201620172018
Percentage of Chronically Homeless as Share of all Homeless
28%37%
26%23%
21%19%
20%11%
13%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
19 Homeless Children in Families in OrangeNumber of Homeless Children in Families (annual point-in-time count), 2010-18
Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
15
17
15
16
17
19
6
18
19
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Percentage of Unsheltered as Share of all Homeless
13%
24%
25%
24%
8%
16%
19%
29%
26%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 83
People Living Unsheltered
17
3328
309
20
1537
39
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Water Sales
Water Sales and Accounts
6.03
21,385
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Customer Accounts
Wat
er S
ales
(Mill
ion
Gal
lons
Pe
r Day
Ave
rage
)
Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts
Reclaimed Water to UNC begins 2009
Source: OWASA
Monthly Water & Sewer Bills
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
Rate Increase
Aver
age
Mon
thly
Bill
Bas
ed o
n 4,
000
gallo
ns p
er m
onth
Average Bill Amount (actual) Average Bill Amount (projected)Rate Increases (actual) Rate Increases (projected)
Source: OWASA
2018 Community Data Book
Digital file: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber/2018-state-of-the-community-report 84
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
4.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.59.0
Customer Accounts
Wat
er S
ales
(Mill
ion
Gal
lons
Per
D
ay A
vera
ge)
Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts
OWASA Water Sales Summary
• We are growing, but slowly, and we are less dense than peer communities.
• Young workers working in Orange, and driving into Orange, is increasing.
• Household income is out-pacing inflation.• Orange has number 1 in per capita income but lags in
per capita sales.• Retail gap remains wide with additional retail
opportunity on the horizon.
Summary
• CHCCS continues to out perform peers.• Minority student reading is improving in CHCCS and
the achievement gap is closing there.• Health Indicators show Orange and Chatham lead
neighbors and peers.• Rent is getting more expensive, but wage growth is
outpacing it.
Summary
• Housing prices are increasing, though rate of growth in Orange is slowest
• Orange and Chatham properties are valuable and have a strong and growing tax bases.
• Poverty, and children in poverty, are declining.• Crime is down.• We remain one the best places in the world to live,
work, shop, play, learn, and raise a family.