4
Radius InsIght 205 E. CaRRillo, suitE 100 | santa BaRBaRa, Ca 93101 | phonE: 805.965.5500 | fax: 805.965.5300 | www.RadiusgRoup.Com YOUR GUIDE TO SOUTH COAST COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE | q2 2015 SUMMARY CommERCial salEs multifamily salEs While 2015 got off to a slow start with only 15 sales completed during the first quarter, the market, as expected, began to pick up steam with 23 sales in Q2, which is well above the 16 sales-per- quarter average. Despite the fact that both quarters paced behind a record-setting 2014, the market remains frothy for well priced properties in Santa Barbara. Driving factors continue to be an improving economy, attractive interest rates and low inventory coupled with a strong buyer pool that includes 1031 Exchange Buyers leading the charge. These fundamentals remain strong so look for momentum to continue into the third quarter. Not much changed in Q2 as the numbers reflect an extreme lack of Multifamily inventory in the South Coast. Many cash and exchange buyers are waiting in the wings as Multi-family continues to be a pre- ferred investment category with low interest rates and the popularity of owning on the Central Coast. We will continue to see multiple bid situations and higher prices. Apartment rents continue to rise in Santa Barbara County with a typical 1 BR renting at $1750/mo. and a 2 BR/1BA $2500/mo. The vacancy rate is still at an astonishing low of .99%. As many are shiſting from home ownership to renting, the demand for apartments is out growing availa- bile rentals. We are seeing many younger people forming their house- holds later as jobs become more and more mobile. According to the Wall Street Journal more millennials are renting more now than five years ago. Q2 Notable Sales By far, the largest sale recorded in the South Coast was the three- property “Tropicana” portfolio in Isla Vista, which sold to UCSB for a combined $156 Million for about 208 units. It is expected the com- plexes may convert to solely housing for UCSB students, which may continue to tighten vacancy in the market as City College students look for other options. See Sales Graph on P.4 South Coast Leasing 2015 Quarterly Vacancy Comparison Q1 ’15 Q2 ’15 Office/R&D Santa Barbara 3.5% 3.3% Goleta 8.9% 7.6% Carpinteria 26.7% 23.5 % * Industrial Santa Barbara 0.3% 0.1% Goleta 4.0% 4.5% Carpinteria 2.7% 3.8% Retail Santa Barbara 1.5% 1.4% Figures above represented in percentage points. *See Page 2 for details on Carpinteria Office Vacancy. Year-to-Date South Coast Commercial Sales Transactions (Through Q2 2015. Excluding Apartments.) 0 20 40 60 80 100 1998 69 9 1999 63 2000 49 9 2001 77 7 7 2002 83 2003 73 2004 62 2 2005 85 2012 85 5 5 2013 83 38 2006 67 7 2007 76 2008 47 2009 35 5 5 2010 49 2012 9 9 9 2011 71 2013 3 3 2014 103 While the first two quarters saw fewer sales than the 52 recorded during the same time last year, the South Coast is still pacing ahead of the 16-per-quarter average. south Coast salEs summaRy Commercial Sales Summary Continued on P.3 Leasing Summary on P.2

ˆ - Radius Commercial Real Estate · of owning on the Central Coast. We will continue to see multiple bid ... Q1 2015 ˚˙ 2006 ˛˜˜ 2007 ... Goleta’s Office sector experienced

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Page 1: ˆ - Radius Commercial Real Estate · of owning on the Central Coast. We will continue to see multiple bid ... Q1 2015 ˚˙ 2006 ˛˜˜ 2007 ... Goleta’s Office sector experienced

R a d i u sI n s I g h t

205 E. CaRRillo, suitE 100 | santa BaRBaRa, Ca 93101 | phonE: 805.965.5500 | fax: 805.965.5300 | www.RadiusgRoup.Com

YOUR GUIDE TO SOUTH COA ST COMMERC I AL RE AL E STATE | q 2 2 0 1 5 SUMMARY

C o m m E R C i a l s a l E s

m u lt i fa m i ly s a l E s

While 2015 got off to a slow start with only 15 sales completed during the first quarter, the market, as expected, began to pick up steam with 23 sales in Q2, which is well above the 16 sales-per-quarter average. Despite the fact that both quarters paced behind a record-setting 2014, the market remains frothy for well priced properties in Santa Barbara.

Driving factors continue to be an improving economy, attractive interest rates and low inventory coupled with a strong buyer pool that includes 1031 Exchange Buyers leading the charge. These fundamentals remain strong so look for momentum to continue into the third quarter.

Not much changed in Q2 as the numbers reflect an extreme lack of Multifamily inventory in the South Coast. Many cash and exchange buyers are waiting in the wings as Multi-family continues to be a pre-ferred investment category with low interest rates and the popularity of owning on the Central Coast. We will continue to see multiple bid situations and higher prices.

Apartment rents continue to rise in Santa Barbara County with a typical 1 BR renting at $1750/mo. and a 2 BR/1BA $2500/mo. The vacancy rate is still at an astonishing low of .99%. As many are shifting from home ownership to renting, the demand for apartments is out growing availa-

bile rentals. We are seeing many younger people forming their house-holds later as jobs become more and more mobile. According to the Wall Street Journal more millennials are renting more now than five years ago.

Q2 Notable SalesBy far, the largest sale recorded in the South Coast was the three-property “Tropicana” portfolio in Isla Vista, which sold to UCSB for a combined $156 Million for about 208 units. It is expected the com-plexes may convert to solely housing for UCSB students, which may continue to tighten vacancy in the market as City College students look for other options. S e e S ale s G r a p h o n P. 4

South Coast Leasing2015 Quarterly Vacancy Comparison

Q1 ’15 Q2 ’15

Office/R&DSanta Barbara 3.5% 3.3%

Goleta 8.9% 7.6%

Carpinteria 26.7% 23.5%*

IndustrialSanta Barbara 0.3% 0.1%

Goleta 4.0% 4.5%

Carpinteria 2.7% 3.8%

RetailSanta Barbara 1.5% 1.4%

Figures above represented in percentage points.

*See Page 2 for details on Carpinteria Office Vacancy.

Year-to-DateSouth Coast Commercial SalesTransactions(Through Q2 2015.Excluding Apartments.)

0

20

40

60

80

100

1998

6999

1999

63

999

200

0

4999

200

1

777777

200

2

83

200

3

73

200

4

6222

200

5

85

2012

855555

2013

83

Q1

2015

38

200

6

6777

200

7

76

200

8

47

200

9

355555 2010

49

2012

9999 2011

71

2013

3333 2014

103

While the first two quarters saw fewer sales than the 52 recorded during the same time last year, the South Coast is still pacing ahead of the 16-per-quarter average.

south Coast salEs summaRy

Co m m e r c i al S ale s Sum m ar y Co nt inu e d o n P. 3

Le asin g Sum m ar y o n P. 2

Page 2: ˆ - Radius Commercial Real Estate · of owning on the Central Coast. We will continue to see multiple bid ... Q1 2015 ˚˙ 2006 ˛˜˜ 2007 ... Goleta’s Office sector experienced

YOUR GUIDE TO SOUTH COA ST COMMERC I AL RE AL E STATE | q 2 2 0 1 5 SUMMARY

205 E. CaRRillo, suitE 100 | santa BaRBaRa, Ca 93101

phonE: 805.965.5500 | fax: 805.965.5300

www.RadiusgRoup.Com

P. 2

l E a s i n g

On the leasing side, commercial vacancy continued to remain quiet/sta-ble throughout the second quarter in the South Coast, with inventory in all three Santa Barbara sectors continuing to tighten slightly. In fact, by the end of the second quarter Santa Barbara’s Industrial sector dipped to its lowest point in years at below .1%, and there remained just one Industrial space for 2,900 SF available in Santa Barbara, located at 120 & 122 Santa Barbara St.

Vacancy in Santa Barbara’s Office sector ticked down to 3.3% in Q2 from 3.5% in Q1 with average gross asking rates increasing slightly from $2.94/SF to $3.00/SF, and Retail similarly fell to 1.4% vacancy in Q2 from 1.5% in Q1 with average gross asking rates increasing from $3.65/SF to $3.82/SF.

Perhaps the most notable—and largest—lease in Santa Barbara was 11,200 SF of prime downtown retail/office space located at 1113 State Street leased by Impact Hub which provides shared office, co-working and event space for entrepreneurs, startups and small businesses. There were no other leases in Santa Barbara above 10,000 SF.

The only increases in vacancy came in both Goleta and Carpinteria In-dustrial sectors, with Goleta rising to 4.5% in Q2 from 4.0% in Q1, and Carpinteria seeing the larges increase to 3.8% from 2.7%. That said, there remain just three Industrial spaces in Carpinteria available for a to-tal of approx. 50,000 SF, so we could see another swing in that vacancy rate should any of those spaces lease in Q3.

south Coast lEasing summaRy

Q2 2015 Largest Leases

Address Type Size (SF) Leased By6144 Calle Real, Goleta Office 14,200 Impulse Properties1113 State St., SB Retail/Office 11,200 Impact Hub111 Castilian Dr., Goleta Office 10,200 Seek Thermal44 Castilian Dr., Goleta Office 9,000 Applied Cavitation Inc.

495 Pine Ave., Goleta Industrial 13,800 Caribbean Coffee Co.460 Ward Dr., Goleta Industrial 9,500 Deployable Space Sys.619 Olive St., SB Industrial 8,200 Goodman Reed Motorcars5780-82 Thornwood, Gol. Industrial 7,500 SB Hackerspace; AM Syst.

1113 State St., SB Retail/Office 11,200 Impact Hub3412 State St., SB Retail 3,600 cielo24 Media Data Sol.800 N. Milpas St., SB Retail 3,300 Pella Doors & Windows1936 State St. Ste A, SB Retail 2,400 7-Eleven

Santa Barbara Office | Avg. Asking Price & Vacancy Rate

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

$2.94/SF

3.5%

Avg. AskingPrice/SF(Gross)

% Vacancy

Santa Barbara Industrial | Avg. Asking Price & Vacancy Rate

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

$2.60/SF

0.1%

Avg. AskingPrice/SF(Gross)

% Vacancy

Santa Barbara Retail | Avg. Asking Price & Vacancy Rate

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

$4.50

$5.00

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

$3.82/SF

1.4%

Avg. AskingPrice/SF(Gross)

% Vacancy

Le asin g Sum m ar y Co nt inu e d o n P. 3

Page 3: ˆ - Radius Commercial Real Estate · of owning on the Central Coast. We will continue to see multiple bid ... Q1 2015 ˚˙ 2006 ˛˜˜ 2007 ... Goleta’s Office sector experienced

YOUR GUIDE TO SOUTH COA ST COMMERC I AL RE AL E STATE | q 2 2 0 1 5 SUMMARY

205 E. CaRRillo, suitE 100 | santa BaRBaRa, Ca 93101

phonE: 805.965.5500 | fax: 805.965.5300

www.RadiusgRoup.Com

P. 3

Goleta’s Office sector experienced the largest real change in vacancy dropping from 8.9% at the end of Q1 to 7.6% in Q2, the sector’s lowest level since late 2007 recorded 3.5%. Still, there were just two leases above 10,000 SF occurring at 6144 Calle Real (14,200 SF) and 111 Cas-tilian Dr. (10,200 SF), and a combined 322,000 SF remained on the mar-ket by the end of Q2.

Carpinteria’s Office sector vacancy rate did drop from 26.7% in the first quarter to 23.5% by the end of the second quarter, though that market remains in a state of flux due to the pending sale of the large office park located at 5464 Carpinteria Ave. When that deal closes it will remove ap-prox. 52,000 SF of office space from the market as the buyer is expected to convert the complex to a senior care facility.

Goleta Office | Avg. Asking Price & Vacancy Rate

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

$1.87/SF

7.6%

Avg. AskingPrice/SF(Gross)% Vacancy

Goleta Industrial | Avg. Asking Price & Vacancy Rate

$0.00

$0.20

$0.40

$0.60

$0.80

$1.00

$1.20

$1.40

$1.60

$1.80

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

$1.56/SF

4.5%

Avg. AskingPrice/SF(Gross)

% Vacancy

south Coast lEasing summaRy

Q2 2015 Largest Available Spaces

Address Type Size (SF) Vacated By5425 Hollister Ave., Goleta Office 56,300 Mentor7406 Hollister Ave., Goleta Office/Ind. 52,900 Moog; Citrix495 S. Fairview A/B, Goleta Office 52,200 Deckers6307 Carpinteria Ave, Carp. Office 46,200 CKE

71 S. Los Carneros, Goleta Industrial 105,300 Allergan7406 Hollister Ave., Goleta Office/Ind. 52,900 Moog; Citrix6385 Cindy Ln., Carpinteria Industrial 28,800 Forms+Surfaces5756 Thornwood, Goleta Industrial 20,800 Flir

222 N. Milpas St., SB Retail 22,000 The Fresh Market32 W. Carrillo St., SB Retail 7,300 Greyhound820 State St. 1st Flr, SB Retail 5,800 Guess1101 Coast Village Rd., Mont. Retail 5,250 Multiple Tenants

Le asin g Sum m ar y Co nt inu e d f r o m P. 2

Harbor Heights Manor 801 Cliff Dr., Santa Barbara, adjacent to Santa Barbara City College 97 Units | Closed for $33.5 Million $345,360/Unit | CAP Rate 4.52% | GRM 13.53

5-Property IV Portfolio Near UCSB Multiple addresses on Trigo Road, Embarcadero Del Mar and Abrego Road in Isla Vista 55 Units | Closed for $18.8 Million $340,909/Unit

San Pascual Apartments 1502 San Pascual St., Santa Barbara 45 Units | Closed for $12.5 Million $277,777/Unit | CAP Rate 4.14% | GRM 14.12

1113 State St., Santa Barbara Office/Retail | 11,200 SF

Leased to Impact Hub

111 Castilian Dr., Goleta Office | 10,200 SF

Leased to Seek Thermal, Inc.

460 Ward Dr., Goleta Industrial/Warehouse | 9,500 SF

Leased to Deployable Space Systems

Q2 2015 Notable Leases

Page 4: ˆ - Radius Commercial Real Estate · of owning on the Central Coast. We will continue to see multiple bid ... Q1 2015 ˚˙ 2006 ˛˜˜ 2007 ... Goleta’s Office sector experienced

YOUR GUIDE TO SOUTH COA ST COMMERC I AL RE AL E STATE | q 2 2 0 1 5 SUMMARY

205 E. CaRRillo, suitE 100 | santa BaRBaRa, Ca 93101

phonE: 805.965.5500 | fax: 805.965.5300

www.RadiusgRoup.Com

P. 4

Carpinteria Office | Avg. Asking Price & Vacancy Rate

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

$1.75/SF

23.5%

Avg. AskingPrice/SF(Gross)

% Vacancy

Carpinteria Industrial | Avg. Asking Price & Vacancy Rate

$0.00

$0.25

$0.50

$0.75

$1.00

$1.25

$1.50

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

$0.94/SF

3.8%

Avg. AskingPrice/SF(Gross)

% Vacancy

Harbor Heights Manor 801 Cliff Dr., Santa Barbara, adjacent to Santa Barbara City College 97 Units | Closed for $33.5 Million $345,360/Unit | CAP Rate 4.52% | GRM 13.53

5-Property IV Portfolio Near UCSB Multiple addresses on Trigo Road, Embarcadero Del Mar and Abrego Road in Isla Vista 55 Units | Closed for $18.8 Million $340,909/Unit

San Pascual Apartments 1502 San Pascual St., Santa Barbara 45 Units | Closed for $12.5 Million $277,777/Unit | CAP Rate 4.14% | GRM 14.12

Tropicana Gardens Portfolio, Isla Vista Multifamily | 208 Units (3 Properties)

Purchased by UCSB for $156 Million

318 State Street, Santa Barbara Retail | 55,500 SF

REI Complex Listed at $21,950,000

3714 State Street, Santa Barbara Hotel | Slated for Condo Development Project

Sold for $22.5 Million

Q2 2015 Notable Sales

Le asin g Sum m a r y Co nt inu e d f r o m P. 3Co m m e r c i al S ale s Sum m ar y Co nt inu e d f r o m P. 1

M ult i family S ale s Sum m ar y Co nt inu e d f r o m P. 1

Q2 Notable SalesThere were three sales in Q2 above the $20 Million mark which is unusual compared to the 0–2 quarterly average sales in this price range over the past two years.

Listed at $21,950,000, the REI retail complex located at 318 State Street received multiple offers with the property closing in April within 4% of asking price. The Sandman Inn located at 3714 State Street also sold in April at $22.5 Million and is slated for a condo development. Finally, the former CKE building (Carl’s Junior Headquarters) located at 6303–6309 Carpinteria Ave. on the bluffs sold in June for $25 Million after 24 months on the market.

Year-to-Date South Coast Multifamily Sales Transactions

(Through Q2 2015. 5+ Units.)

5

10

15

20

25

30

16

2001

14

2002

27

2004

30

2005

18

2006

24

2007

9

2008

14

2009

16

2010 13

2011

19

2012

22

2013

28

2003 2014

30

1111