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© Imperial College LondonPage 3 GERB and SEVIRI data ARCH data (3x3 SEV pix) Instantaneous clear- sky for all times (days with at least 1 obs.) Monthly time-step mean (times with obs on at least 1 day) Daily mean clear-sky fluxes Instantaneous clear-sky ARCH Threshold choice BARG data Instantaneous clear-sky BARG (missing data) ARCH scale cloud mask Cloud cover data (MPEF, RMIB, other) BARG scale cloud mask Threshold choice Spatial Average and integrate Process clear pix Monthly mean clear-sky fluxes Monthly mean diurnal cycle interpolate Collect into time bins Average ? Interpolate through individual days average ?
Citation preview
© Imperial College LondonPage 1
Deriving clear-sky fluxes for GERB
Jo FutyanGist 21, CERES-GERB meeting02/04/04 Boulder, Colorado
© Imperial College LondonPage 2
Why do we want clear sky flux data?
• Calculation of radiative forcing (e.g. clouds/ aerosol) – reference state
• Study of clear sky processes • Model comparison – separate out
uncertainties due to cloud representation• Consistency with existing ERB datasets
– ERBE/ CERES
© Imperial College LondonPage 3
GERB and SEVIRI data
ARCH data (3x3 SEV pix)
Instantaneous clear-sky for all times
(days with at least 1 obs.) Monthly time-step
mean (times with obs on at least 1 day)
Daily mean clear-sky fluxes
Instantaneous clear-sky ARCH
Threshold choice
BARG data Instantaneous
clear-sky BARG (missing data)
ARCH scale cloud mask
Cloud cover data(MPEF, RMIB, other)
BARG scale cloud mask
Threshold choice
Spatial Average
and integrate
Process clear pix
Monthly mean clear-sky fluxes
Monthly mean diurnal cycle
interpolate
Collect into time bins
Average ?
Interpolate through individual days
average ?
© Imperial College LondonPage 4
Choice of cloud flag…• RMIB – SW only flag, used for ADM selection• MPEF - LW only flag, produced by
EUMETSAT (CLM product)• Need 24h cloud flag - ? Use MPEF?
RMIB MPEF
11:45 3rd Dec 2003
© Imperial College LondonPage 5
Cloud flags and fluxes
© Imperial College LondonPage 6
Cloud flag comparison
• RMIB:– Sun-glint – fixed for new data– Desert, due to vegetation
changes - fix in progress
• MPEF :– misses some cloud – Problem over Sahara at night
• Compare overall performance with ISCCP– no concurrent SEVIRI/ ISCCP
data
© Imperial College LondonPage 7
Comparison with ISCCP cloud fraction
1 2 3 4 5
6 7
20
-40-40
0 60
40
0
sunglint desert • RMIB finds more cloud than ISCCP vis
• MPEF – low fraction at 1200 UTC
© Imperial College LondonPage 8
ISCCP comparison continued…
• MPEF lies mostly within ISCCP range at 0000 & 0600 UTC
• Flags look reasonable– MPEF fraction
only low in middle of day?
© Imperial College LondonPage 9
Impact on clear-sky flux/ albedo
• Look for biases due to cloud contamination• Choose flag → clear sky fluxes/ albedo• Form time-step mean at each pixel
RMIB 0%MPEF 0%
24/12/03 – 13/01/04 (15 days with data)
© Imperial College LondonPage 10
Impact on clear-sky flux/ albedo
• RMIB/ combined flag for SW, MPEF for LW?– Differences in sampling between channels– Small amount of cloud contamination in LW-clear fluxes at all times
• Combined flag for day, MPEF only at night?– Best possible at all times– Introduces small diurnal bias in LW clear-sky fluxes
• significant bias in albedo using MPEF – not suitable in SW
© Imperial College LondonPage 11
Data Quantities• Limited data if require 0% cloud esp for RMIB
• Relax threshold at BARG scale or use ARCH data• How much data do we gain?• how big are the errors?
– Cloud contamination– Spatial variability
© Imperial College LondonPage 12
Example – MPEF flag
Using ARCH – relax number of clear pixels required
Relaxing % cloud threshold
ARCH 25 clear pix
© Imperial College LondonPage 13
Using ARCH – relax number of clear pixels required
Relaxing % cloud threshold
© Imperial College LondonPage 14
Using ARCH – relax number of clear pixels required
Relaxing % cloud threshold
© Imperial College LondonPage 15
Using ARCH – relax number of clear pixels required
Relaxing % cloud threshold
© Imperial College LondonPage 16
Using ARCH – relax number of clear pixels required
Relaxing % cloud threshold
© Imperial College LondonPage 17
Errors in using ARCH data?
• Use average over clear ARCH pix to estimate GERB scale flux/ albedo
• Estimate error by sub-sampling clear footprints
1 GERB footprint
1 ARCH pixel
• Select n pixels at random + compare mean flux with the true value when all 25 pixels used
• Use albedo – convert to flux using true ISW• Consider scene types separately
© Imperial College LondonPage 18
Errors in using ARCH data cont…• Read off 95% (2 sd) spread at
each footprint• Find value including 95% of
footprints of given surf type
1200 UTC – other times similar/ smaller errors
© Imperial College LondonPage 19
Errors…• Errors in LW small - <10Wm-2 for 4 pix
– Good - fewer alternatives in LW
• Large errors in SW for land (desert/coast)– 10% error achieved at ~9 pix (except for coast)
• In average products these errors will cancel!• Does benefit (more data) outweigh loss of accuracy?
• Temporally sub-sample
• Estimate error if only have n days of data– Problem – lack of clear
data to sub-sample – Use 14 day period
• This is error in mean
© Imperial College LondonPage 20
Errors…• Estimate error in time-step mean at each footprint
with at least 1 day of data– Combine these estimates + knowledge of gain in number of days
with data• In LW always best to use few ARCH pix – for SW…
ocean dark veg dark des
• Errors small – doesn’t matter!• For instantaneous data reduce npix until error ~ that from filling data
– eg with time-step mean or via knowledge of diurnal cycle…
© Imperial College LondonPage 21
Effect on time-step mean fluxes – 1200 UTC
© Imperial College LondonPage 22
Effect on time-step mean fluxes 2.
• Estimate ‘error’ in monthly time-step mean
• See shift/ tail to lower LW (higher SW) flux– Expect symmetrical distribn from spatial variability– Don’t expect to introduce clouds…
© Imperial College LondonPage 23
Effect on time-step mean fluxes 3.
• Larger differences often where have little data– Initial estimate may not represent mean well
• Regions with large error not same for SW/LW– SW - cloud contamination? – LW effect in part due to humidity? – Less of a dry bias?
© Imperial College LondonPage 24
To do…• Investigate errors in using CERES ADMs to fill
missing data in SW – Effects on average & instantaneous data
• Possible interpolation in LW - sinusoids?– Associated errors?
• Compare monthly mean clear sky flux and cloud forcing products with CERES– ERBE like & Geo-enhanced
• Study of radiative forcing of tropical convection over Africa!