Upload
others
View
2
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
What’s New: Central Government Debt (As of March 31, 2020) p.2 On May 8, the Ministry of Finance released the update on central government debt.
Outstanding government bonds and borrowings increased to 1,114.5 trillion yen fromthe end of December (1,110.8 trillion yen) by 3.8 trillion yen.
Q&A: Average Maturity of JGBs p.3 Kokusai Sensei explains the average maturity of JGBs.
Monthly Topics: GDP and Foreign Investors’ Bond Holdings by Region p.4-5 The second preliminary GDP estimate (Jan.-Mar. 2020) was released on June 8. Real
GDP contracted by 0.6% (annual rate -2.2%) from the previous quarter. The Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Japan released a region-by-region breakdown
of JGBs and other Japanese bonds held overseas in the international balance ofpayments statistics. According to the statistics, JGB and other Japanese bond holdingsby foreign investors at the end of 2019 totaled (1) 90.1 trillion yen in Europe, (2) 34.9trillion yen in Asia, (3) 32.4 trillion yen in North America, (4) 12.1 trillion yen in Centraland South America, (5) 3.2 trillion yen in the Middle East.
IR Office: Summary of our IR activity in FY2019 p.6 Meetings with overseas investors
- 4 overseas Investor Relations missions covering 11 cities over 8 countries in NorthAmerica, Europe and Asia.
Meetings with foreign investors visiting Japan- 60 meetings with foreign investors visiting Japan.
Presentation in seminars for foreign investorsStatistics
JGB Primary Market … p. 7 Liquidity Enhancement Auctions and JGB Buy-Back … p. 8JGB Secondary Market … p. 9 Investor Trends and JGB Outstanding … p. 11
Economic and Financial Trends … p. 15 Information … p. 16
-1-
Monthly Newsletter of the Ministry of Finance, Japan JAPANESE GOVERNMENT BONDS
SUMMARY
The Ministry of Financewww.mof.go.jp
Our fundamental goal of debt management policy is to achieve stable and smooth financing for our national accounts and to minimize medium-to-long term financing costs. June 2020
Central Government Debt (As of March 31, 2020)
On May 8, the Ministry of Finance released the update on central government debt. Debt outstanding and composition as of the end of March 2020 are as follows:
The end of March 2020
(Actual)
Increase or Decrease(-) from
the End of the Previous Quarter
1) Outstanding Government Bonds and Borrowings General Bonds 886.7 -1.2 Fiscal Investment and Loan Program Bonds (FILP Bonds) 91.1 1.8 Borrowings, Subsidy Bonds, etc. 62.3 -0.2 Financing Bills (FBs) 74.4 3.3
Total 1,114.5 3.8 2) Outstanding Government-Guaranteed Debts Government-Guaranteed Debts 36.2 -0.7
The end of Mar. 2020 (Actual)
Increase or Decrease(-) from the End of the Previous Quarter
The end of FY2019
(Estimate)
① General Bonds 886.7 -1.2 Approx. 898 ② Fiscal Investment and Loan Program Bonds Not included Not included Not included ③ Borrowings, Subsidy Bonds, etc. (Note 1) 26.8 -0.4 Approx. 27 ④ Financing Bills Not included Not included Not included Long-term debt outstanding of central governments 913.5 -1.5 Approx. 925 ⑤ Long-term debt outstanding of local governments (Note 2) Approx. 192 Long-term debt outstanding of central and local governments (Note 2) Approx. 1,117
-2-
(trillion yen)
Notes: 1. Figures may not sum up to the total because of rounding. 2. Above "Outstanding Government Bonds and Borrowings" includes government bonds and borrowings held by government. 3. Figures are total of the general account and all special accounts, and the coverage is different from the central government defined in SNA. 4. The data as of June 30, 2020 will be released on August 7, 2020. Details: https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/reference/gbb/e202003.html
Outstanding government bonds and borrowings increased to 1,114.5 trillion yen from the end of December (1,110.8 trillion yen) by 3.8 trillion yen. The total amount for FBs increased by 3.3 trillion yen and FILP bonds increased by 1.8 trillion yen, while general bonds decreased by 1.2 trillion yen.
Long-term outstanding central government debt, which does not include FILP bonds, FBs and some of the borrowings related to local governments, decreased to 913.5 trillion yen from the end of December (915.0 trillion yen).
<Main Points>
Note 1: The borrowings of the Special Account for Allotment of Local Allocation Tax and Local Transfer Tax (end of FY2019:approx.¥31trillion) are included in “⑤Long-term debt outstanding of local governments” because the burden of redemption funds falls on local governments. Note 2: The actual figure of “⑤Long-term debt outstanding of local governments” is blank, because quarterly data has not been created.
Central Government Debt
(Reference) Long-term debt outstanding of central and local governments The MOF has announced the “Long-term debt outstanding of central and local governments” whose interest payments and redemption funds are mainly
to be covered by tax revenues, from the viewpoint of transparency of fiscal management. The statistics are derived by adding the long-term debt outstanding of local governments to the above mentioned Central Government Debt, while excluding Fiscal Investment and Loan Program Bonds and Financing Bills.
(trillion yen)
What’s New
Q. Is there any intention to extend the average maturity of JGBs by making use of the
current low interest rate environment? A. In formulating the annual JGB Issuance Plan, the Ministry of Finance (MOF) had tried to
lengthen the average maturity of JGBs in view of low interest rates. What should be given priority from the viewpoint of the Debt Management Policy to address
interest rate hike risks is the average maturity of the outstanding balance of JGBs (stock-basis). In the past, however, the MOF paid attention to the average maturity of the calendar-based JGB issuance (flow-basis). One of the reasons was that the flow-basis average maturity was easy to be grasped as statistics. If the MOF continues to draft the annual JGB Issuance Plan for the purpose of lengthening the
flow-basis average maturity, however, they may not be able to make flexible responses to temporary demand trends, leading fundraising costs to increase. If market environment changes force the average maturity to be shortened rapidly, market participants may lose confidence in the Debt Management Policy. As the outstanding balance of JGBs had increased, the influence that a change in the annual
flow-basis maturity distribution exerts on the stock-basis average maturity had declined. Therefore, the MOF currently formulates the JGB Issuance Plan while paying attention to the market needs that it has been made aware of through various meetings, the structure of the JGB investor base and major investors’ debt mix, assessing a proper level for the stock-basis average maturity without necessarily sticking to lengthening the flow-basis average maturity.
Q&A: Average maturity of JGBs Today, I would like to touch on the average maturity of JGBs, as we have received questions on this topic from various investors so far.
Kokusai Sensei
If you have any questions regarding the contents of this newsletter, please do not hesitate to contact us at: [email protected]
[Average maturity of JGBs]
-3-
Market issuance (flow-basis)Outstanding amount (stock-basis)
Note 1: Outstanding amount of general bonds
Note 2: Up to FY2019: Actual figures
FY2020: Estimate by adding calendar base issuance amount of the JGB Issuance
Plan for FY2020 (Initial), including 43 trillion yen of front-loading refunding bonds
Note: Up to FY2019: Actual figures
FY2020: Estimate by adding calendar base issuance amount of the JGB Issuance
Plan for FY2020 (Initial)
9 years and 0 months
8 years and 10 months
8 years and 7 month
8 years and 5 months
8 years and 0 months
7 years and 7 months
7 years and 3 months
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
9 years and 2 months
9 years and 4 months (estimate)
(at the end of FY)
9 years and 3 months (estimate)
9 years and 0 months
8 years and 11 months
9 years and 0 months
8 years and 10 months
8 years and 9 months
8 years and 2 months
7 years and 9 months
7 years and 9 months
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012(FY)
11.920.2
28.1 30.5 25.7 20.8 22.730.0 31.1 32.6 34.98.7
9.2
11.6 9.711.9 17.6
22.5
27.034.2 35.7 32.4
30.827.0
36.0 36.8 40.550.2
59.6
60.2
69.9
83.0 90.1
3.66.1
5.1 6.1 7.4
8.3
9.1
8.7
4.7
3.53.2
10.69.4
10.913.9 15.4
19.0
19.7
17.9
17.0
20.1
25.7
65.571.9
91.696.9
100.9
115.9
133.6
143.7
156.9
174.9
186.4
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
(trillion yen)
Others
Middle East
Europe
North America
Asia
(CY)
1. Quarterly Estimates of GDP Jan.–Mar. 2020
The second preliminary GDP estimate (Jan.-Mar. 2020) was released on June 8. Real GDP contracted by 0.6% (annual rate -2.2%) from the previous quarter. This was mainly due to the decline in Private Consumption that contributed minus 0.4% points. On the other hand, there was a support from private non-residential investment that contributed 0.3% points.
By demand item, Private Residential Investment declined by 4.2% and private demand overall declined by 0.5% from the previous quarter.
2. Foreign Investors’ Bond Holdings by Region
The Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Japan released a region-by-region breakdown of JGBs and other Japanese bonds held overseas in the international balance of payments statistics.
According to the statistics, JGB and other Japanese bond holdings by foreign investors at the end of 2019 totaled (1) 90.1 trillion yen in Europe, (2) 34.9 trillion yen in Asia, (3) 32.4 trillion yen in North America, (4) 12.1 trillion yen in Central and South America, (5) 3.2 trillion yen in the Middle East.
A country-by-country breakdown of Japanese bonds held overseas indicates that the five largest holders of these bonds were (1) the U.S with 31.3 trillion yen, (2) Belgium with 28.5 trillion yen, (3) Luxembourg with 26.0 trillion yen, (4) China with 16.1 trillion yen, and (5) the U.K. with 12.2 trillion yen.
(%)2020
1~3 4~6 7~9 10~12 1~30.6 0.5 0.0 -1.9 -0.6 *** -2.20.1 0.8 0.2 -2.4 -0.4 *** -1.4
(0.1) (0.8) (0.2) (-2.4) *** (-0.4) ***0.1 0.6 0.1 -3.3 -0.5 (-0.3) -1.90.1 0.5 0.4 -2.9 -0.8 (-0.4) -3.0
-0.0 0.5 0.4 -3.0 -0.8 (-0.4) -3.3Excluding Imputed Rent -0.1 0.5 0.4 -3.7 -1.1 (-0.5) -4.2
1.4 -0.2 1.2 -2.3 -4.2 (-0.1) -15.7-0.5 0.9 0.2 -4.8 1.9 (0.3) 8.0(0.1) (0.0) (-0.3) (0.0) *** (-0.1) ***
0.3 1.6 0.8 0.3 -0.0 (-0.0) -0.2-0.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 (0.0) 0.22.4 1.7 1.0 0.5 -0.6 (-0.0) -2.2
(-0.0) (0.0) (-0.0) (0.0) *** (0.0) ***(0.5) (-0.3) (-0.2) (0.5) *** (-0.2) ***
Private ConsumptionPrivate Demand
Domestic Demand
Gross Domestic Product
1~32019 2020
Net Exports of Goods & ServicesChange in Public Inventories Public InvestmentGovernment Consumption
Public DemandChange in Private InventoriesPrivate Non-Resi. InvestmentPrivate Residential Investment
Consumption of Households
Development of Real GDP (Quarterly, seasonally adjusted series)
Monthly Topics
Note1: Change from the previous quarter (seasonally adjusted) Note2: Annual rate Note3: The Figures in () indicate contributions to Changes in GDP. (Source) Cabinet Office
(Source) Cabinet Office
Note1 Note2
Note1: Figures include JGB, other bonds and bills.
Note2: The breakdown does not necessarily give a region-by-region breakdown of final investors.
(Sources) Ministry of Finance, Bank of Japan
-4-
1.2
-0.7-0.4
0.3
1.20.8
0.8
0
1
-1.9
0.1
0.5
1.4
0.1-0.1
-0.4
0.5
0.10.2
0.3
1.2
0.4 0.60.5
-0.5
0.4
-0.8
0.6 0.6 0.5
0
-1.9
-0.6
-3.5
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
(%)
Private Demand Public Demand
Foreign Demand Real GDP
Contributions to change from the previous quarter (Seasonally adjusted)
The two charts below indicate the breakdown of the statistics by bond maturity. According to
the statistics, long-term bond (more than one year) holdings by foreign investors at the end of 2019 totaled (1) 59.4 trillion yen in Europe, (2) 26.0 trillion yen in North America, (3) 20.0 trillion yen in Asia, (4) 6.6 trillion yen in Central and South America, and (5) 2.6 trillion yen in the Middle East. Short-term (one year or less) bond holdings by foreign investors at the end of 2019 totaled (1) 30.7 trillion yen in Europe, (2) 15.0 trillion yen in Asia, (3) 6.5 trillion yen in North America, (4) 5.5 trillion yen in Central and South America, and (5) 2.3 trillion yen in Oceania.
<Short-term bonds (one year or less)>
<Long-term bonds (more than one year)>
-5-
MOF International Investment Position (Regional Portfolio Investment and Financial Derivatives Position (Liabilities))
URL: https://www.mof.go.jp/international_policy/reference/iip/rdip2019.xls
BOJ Time-Series Data Search (historical data, etc.)
URL: http://www.stat-search.boj.or.jp/index_en.html
3.7
10.8 17.1 18.1
15.1
6.8 8.7 11.5 10.1
14.4 15.0 1.6
2.0
4.0 1.5 1.8
1.5
5.2
9.1 12.0
11.4 6.5
11.0
8.5
16.8 17.1 19.9
28.5
30.5
26.0 29.5
33.9
30.7
0.1
1.9
1.2 2.4
3.6 4.1
5.0 4.2
2.0
1.1
0.6
7.0
5.8
6.8 8.3 8.9 10.6
11.5 8.7 9.2
11.6
15.3
23.3
29.0
45.9 47.4
49.4 51.5
61.0 59.6
62.7
72.3
68.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Others Middle East Europe North America Asia
(trillion yen)
(CY)
8.2 9.4 11.0 12.4 10.5 13.9 14.0 18.5 21.0 18.2 20.0 7.1 7.2 7.5 8.1 10.1
16.1 17.4 17.8
22.2 24.3 26.0
19.8 18.5 19.2
19.7 20.6
21.7 29.0
34.2
40.4 49.1
59.4
3.5 4.2 3.9
3.7 3.8
4.2
4.1
4.4
2.7
2.4
2.6
3.6 3.6 4.1
5.6 6.5
8.5
8.1
9.2
7.9
8.5
10.4
42.2 42.9 45.7
49.5 51.5
64.4
72.6
84.1
94.2
102.5
118.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Others Middle East Europe North America Asia
(trillion yen)
(CY)Note1: Figures include JGB, other bonds and bills.
Note2: The breakdown does not necessarily give a region-by-region breakdown of final investors.
(Sources) Ministry of Finance, Bank of Japan
Note1: Figures include T-Bill, other bonds and bills.
Note2: The breakdown does not necessarily give a region-by-region breakdown of final investors
(Sources) Ministry of Finance, Bank of Japan
1.
Summary of our IR activity in FY2019
The Ministry of Finance (MOF) has made efforts to enhance relations with foreign investors in JGBs since 2005. Our main activities in FY2019 are as follows: ① Meetings with overseas investors
We sent a total of 4 overseas Investor Relations missions covering 11 cities over 8 countries in North America, Europe and Asia.
② Meetings with foreign investors visiting Japan We had 60 meetings with foreign investors visiting Japan.
③ Presentation in seminars for foreign investors Furthermore, we have engaged in cooperation with foreign debt management authorities and international organizations. In June 2019, the MOF and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) co-hosted an IMF Public Debt Management Forum in Tokyo.
We will continue to build close relations with foreign investors through gathering and providing information meeting their needs in a fine-tuned manner.
IR Office
If you have any questions regarding the contents of this newsletter, please do not hesitate to contact us at: [email protected]
-6-
Auction Results (Bonds)
Auction Date Type of Security Issue
Number Maturity Date
Nominal Coupon
Amounts of Competitive
Bids (billion yen)
Amounts of Bids
Accepted (billion yen)
Yield at the Lowest
Accepted Price
Yield at the Average
Price
Amounts of Non-Competitive Bids Tendered
/Accepted (billion yen)
Amounts of Bids Accepted at the
Non-price- competitive Auction Ⅰ (billion yen)
Amounts of Bids Accepted at the
Non-price- competitive Auction Ⅱ (billion yen)
3/3/2020 10-year 357 12/20/2029 0.1% 5,471.8 1,709.7 ▲0.086% ▲0.100% 0.280 389.7 209.0 3/5/2020 30-year 65 12/20/2049 0.4% 2,070.9 567.4 0.339% 0.335% - 131.5 21.6 3/10/2020 5-year 142 12/20/2024 0.1% 4,308.9 1,575.9 ▲0.184% ▲0.220% - 324.0 0.0 3/12/2020 20-year 171 12/20/2039 0.3% 2,718.2 736.2 0.252% 0.248% - 163.3 64.0 3/26/2020 40-year 12 3/20/2059 0.5% 1,062.1 399.6 0.450% - - - 15.5 3/31/2020 2-year 411 4/1/2022 0.1% 6,949.8 1,622.4 ▲0.112% ▲0.125% - 377.1 117.1 4/2/2020 10-year 358 3/20/2030 0.1% 7,101.0 1,693.7 0.024% 0.023% 1.005 404.7 206.4 4/7/2020 30-year 66 3/20/2050 0.4% 2,018.0 572.2 0.441% 0.426% - 127.5 0.0 4/9/2020 5-year 143 3/20/2025 0.1% 7,669.8 1,541.1 ▲0.093% ▲0.095% - 358.4 189.1 4/21/2020 20-year 172 3/20/2040 0.4% 2,615.0 730.1 0.340% 0.335% - 169.3 0.0 4/23/2020 2-year 412 5/1/2022 0.1% 8,808.9 1,622.5 ▲0.136% ▲0.140% - 377.1 163.2 5/8/2020 10-year Inflation-Indexed Bonds 25 3/10/2030 0.2% 768.6 200.0 0.117% - - - - 5/12/2020 10-year 358 3/20/2030 0.1% 6,936.0 1,696.1 0.000% ▲0.001% 0.265 403.1 208.9 5/14/2020 30-year 66 3/20/2050 0.4% 2,085.7 565.5 0.453% 0.449% - 133.5 20.4 5/18/2020 5-year 143 3/20/2025 0.1% 6,919.0 1,540.3 ▲0.119% ▲0.122% - 358.9 87.1 5/20/2020 20-year 172 3/20/2040 0.4% 3,108.9 732.1 0.335% 0.332% - 167.0 58.2 5/26/2020 40-year 13 3/20/2060 0.5% 1,527.3 499.5 0.505% - - - 10.4 5/28/2020 2-year 413 6/1/2022 0.1% 8,550.6 1,620.5 ▲0.169% ▲0.172% 1.000 378.0 29.2
Auction Results
(Treasury Discount Bills)
Auction Date Type of Security Issue
Number Maturity Date
Amounts of Competitive Bids
(billion yen)
Amounts of Bids Accepted
(billion yen)
Yield at the Lowest
Accepted Price
Yield at the Average
Price
Amounts of Bids Accepted at the
Non-price- competitive Auction Ⅰ (billion yen)
3/6/2020 3-month 892 6/8/2020 11,932.70 3,845.77 ▲0.2505% ▲0.2697% 894.20 3/9/2020 6-month 893 9/10/2020 6,108.10 2,115.56 ▲0.2516% ▲0.2872% 484.40 3/13/2020 3-month 894 6/15/2020 11,346.00 3,856.29 ▲0.1824% ▲0.2385% 883.70 3/17/2020 1-year 895 3/22/2021 7,093.70 1,541.99 ▲0.1981% ▲0.2021% 358.00 3/18/2020 3-month 896 6/22/2020 9,400.80 3,846.28 ▲0.2024% ▲0.2897% 893.70 3/27/2020 3-month 897 6/29/2020 8,159.65 3,855.89 ▲0.1022% ▲0.1884% 884.10 4/3/2020 3-month 898 7/6/2020 15,686.60 4,089.56 ▲0.1022% ▲0.1218% 950.40 4/9/2020 6-month 899 10/12/2020 11,537.80 2,354.98 ▲0.1419% ▲0.1458% 545.00 4/10/2020 3-month 900 7/13/2020 15,499.80 4,090.55 ▲0.1202% ▲0.1431% 949.40 4/16/2020 1-year 901 4/20/2021 7,054.50 1,545.99 ▲0.1477% ▲0.1547% 354.00 4/17/2020 3-month 902 7/20/2020 13,446.00 4,089.55 ▲0.1263% ▲0.1367% 950.40 4/24/2020 3-month 903 7/27/2020 16,322.50 4,657.78 ▲0.1142% ▲0.1283% 1,082.20 5/1/2020 3-month 904 8/3/2020 22,746.85 5,896.47 ▲0.0995% ▲0.1061% 1,343.50 5/7/2020 6-month 905 11/10/2020 12,344.50 2,032.69 ▲0.1435% ▲0.1474% 467.30 5/8/2020 3-month 906 8/11/2020 22,461.77 5,933.43 ▲0.1110% ▲0.1229% 1,306.50 5/15/2020 3-month 907 8/17/2020 21,298.40 5,873.63 ▲0.1102% ▲0.1154% 1,366.30 5/19/2020 1-year 908 5/20/2021 9,297.30 2,029.07 ▲0.1607% ▲0.1657% 470.90 5/22/2020 3-month 909 8/24/2020 21,321.49 6,600.26 ▲0.1102% ▲0.1166% 1,539.70 5/27/2020 6-month 910 11/25/2020 11,486.60 2,027.37 ▲0.1607% ▲0.1627% 472.60 5/29/2020 3-month 911 8/31/2020 18,154.30 6,618.26 ▲0.1002% ▲0.1078% 1,521.70
Auction Calendar for Jun. 2020 – Aug. 2020
Auction Date Issue Auction Date Issue Auction Date Issue Auction Date Issue
6/2(Tue) 10-year 6/26(Fri) T-Bills (3-month) 7/21(Tue) T-Bills (6-month) 8/14(Fri) Liquidity Enhancement Auction (remaining maturities of 5-15.5 years)
6/4(Thu) 30-year 6/30(Tue) 2-year 7/21(Tue) 20-year 8/18(Tue) 30-year 6/5(Fri) T-Bills (3-month) 7/2(Thu) 10-year 7/22(Wed) T-Bills (3-month) 8/19(Wed) T-Bills (1-year)
6/9(Tue) T-Bills (6-month) 7/3(Fri) T-Bills (3-month) 7/28(Tue) 40-year 8/20(Thu) 5-year
6/11(Thu) Liquidity Enhancement Auction (remaining maturities of 15.5-39 years) 7/7(Tue) 30-year 7/30(Thu) 2-year 8/21(Fri) T-Bills (3-month)
6/12(Fri) T-Bills (3-month) 7/9(Thu) T-Bills (6-month) 7/31(Fri) T-Bills (3-month) 8/24(Mon) T-Bills (6-month)
6/15(Mon) T-Bills (6-month) 7/9(Thu) 5-year 8/4(Tue) 10-year 8/25(Tue) 20-year
6/15(Mon) Liquidity Enhancement Auction (remaining maturities of 5-15.5 years) 7/10(Fri) T-Bills (3-month) 8/6(Thu) T-Bills (6-month) 8/27(Thu) 2-year
6/18(Thu) T-Bills (1-year) 7/14(Tue) Liquidity Enhancement Auction (remaining maturities of 5-15.5 years) 8/6(Thu) 10-year Inflation-Indexed Bonds 8/28(Fri) T-Bills (3-month)
6/18(Thu) 5-year 7/16(Thu) T-Bills (1-year) 8/7(Fri) T-Bills (3-month)
6/19(Fri) T-Bills (3-month) 7/16(Thu) Liquidity Enhancement Auction (remaining maturities of 1-5 years) 8/12(Wed) Liquidity Enhancement Auction
(remaining maturities of 15.5-39 years)
6/25(Thu) 20-year 7/17(Fri) T-Bills (3-month) 8/14(Fri) T-Bills (3-month)
Top 10 PDs for Successful Bids in Auctions (Calculated by Duration) (Oct. 2019~Mar. 2020) Top 5 PDs for Successful Bids of Inflation-Indexed Bond (FY2019) 1 Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities Co., Ltd. 6 Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities Co., Ltd. 1 JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd. 2 Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. 7 Deutsche Securities Inc. 2 Mizuho Securities Co., Ltd. 3 Nomura Securities Co., Ltd. 8 SMBC Nikko Securities Inc. 3 Goldman Sachs Japan Co., Ltd. 4 Mizuho Securities Co., Ltd. 9 Goldman Sachs Japan Co., Ltd. 4 Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd. 5 JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd. 10 Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd. 5 Nomura Securities Co., Ltd.
JGB Primary Market
Note.1: The above calendar may be changed or added in light of changes in circumstances. In such cases, it will be announced in advance. Note.2: Each issue amount will be announced about one week prior to each auction date.
(Until 31 May 2020)
(Until 31 May 2020)
-7-
Results of Liquidity Enhancement Auctions
Auction Date
Amounts of Competitive
Bids (billion yen)
Amounts of Bids
Accepted (billion yen)
Average Accepted Spread
Highest Accepted Spread
Issues Re-opened
3/16/2020 1,785.5 599.5 0.017% 0.030% 10-year(339, 340, 345, 356) 20-year(75, 82, 83, 84, 86, 87, 88, 102, 114, 116, 117, 118, 119, 138, 139, 148, 151, 153) 30-year(2)
3/24/2020 1,728.6 399.3 ▲0.029% ▲0.021%
2-year(410) 5-year(132, 133, 134, 135, 136) 10-year(320, 323, 325, 327, 328, 329, 331, 332, 333, 335, 336, 337) 20-year(56, 57, 58, 64, 65, 69, 70, 73)
4/14/2020 1,194.8 499.1 0.016% 0.022% 20-year(155, 156, 157, 159, 160, 166, 167, 168, 169, 170) 30-year(23, 27, 28, 30, 32, 33, 34, 36, 38, 41, 42, 44, 45, 46, 48, 49, 54, 57, 58, 59, 60, 62, 64, 65) 40-year(1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12)
4/16/2020 1,870.1 499.2 ▲0.011% ▲0.009% 10-year(339, 344, 345, 346, 347, 348, 349, 350, 354, 355) 20-year(84, 87, 88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 95, 96, 97, 98, 132, 134, 135, 136, 141, 142, 145, 151)
5/1/2020 1,315.3 399.4 0.014% 0.018%
2-year(404, 405, 407, 410) 5-year(133, 134, 135, 136, 137, 139, 142) 10-year(325, 327, 328, 329, 330, 332, 334, 335, 336, 337, 338) 20-year(54, 55, 56, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 69, 70, 71)
5/22/2020 1,726.8 498.4 ▲0.007% ▲0.005% 10-year(339, 341, 345, 346, 348) 20-year(93, 97, 98, 99, 100, 112, 117, 118, 124, 135, 136, 149, 150, 151, 152, 153, 154) 30-year(15, 16, 17, 18)
Target Zones of Liquidity Enhancement Auctions for the first Quarter of FY 2020
10-year Inflation-Indexed
Auction Date Amounts of
Competitive Bids (billion yen)
Amounts of Bids Accepted
(billion yen)
Average Accepted
Spread (yen)
Highest Accepted
Spread (yen) Issue Numbers
2/17/2020 125.6 20.1 ▲0.132 ▲0.12 17, 20, 21, 24
3/4/2020 88.1 20.1 0.089 0.19 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24
3/25/2020 373.7 300.0 0.279 0.55
4/17/2020 176.2 50.2 ▲0.298 ▲0.20 18, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24
5/13/2020 181.7 50.1 ▲0.218 ▲0.15 17, 18, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
JL1
55
JX21
JL1
56
JX22
JL1
57
JX23
JL1
58
JX24
JL1
59
JX25
JL1
60
JX26
JL1
61
JL1
62
JX27
JL1
63
JL1
64
JX28
JL1
65
JL1
66
JX29
JL1
67
JL1
68
JX30
JL1
69
JL1
70
JX31
JL1
71
JX32
JX33
JX34
JX35
JX36
JX37
JX38
JX39
JX40
JX41
JX42
JX43
JX44
JX45
JX46
JX47
JX48
JX49
JX50
JX51
JX52
JX53
JX54
JX55
JX56
JX57
JX58
JU1
JX59
JX60
JX61
JX62
JU2
JX63
JX64
JX65
JU3
JU4
JU5
JU6
JU7
JU8
JU9
JU10
JU11
JU12
Amount issued by Liquidity Enhancement Auction Outstanding amount in the market (excluding amount issued by Liquidity Enhancement Auction)(billion yen)
(Remaining maturities)15.5 20 39
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,0005,500
339
JL78
JL79
JL80 34
0
JL81
JL82 34
1
JL83
JL84 34
2
JL85
JL86
JL87 34
3
JL88
JL89 34
4
JL90
JL91 34
5
JL92 34
6
JL93
JL94 34
7
JL95
JL96 34
8
JL97
JL98 34
9
JL99 35
0
JL10
0
JL10
1
351
JL10
2
JL10
3
JL10
4
352
JL10
5
JL10
6
353
JL10
7
JL10
8
354
JL10
9
JL11
0
355
JL11
1
JL11
2
356
JL11
3
JX1
357
JL11
4
JL11
5
JX2
JL11
6
JL11
7
JX3
JL11
8
JL11
9
JL12
0
JL12
1
JL12
2
JX4
JL12
3
JL12
4
JL12
5
JL12
6
JL12
7
JX5
JL12
8
JL12
9
JL13
0
JL13
1
JX6
JL13
2
JL13
3
JL13
4
JL13
5
JL13
6
JX7
JL13
7
JL13
8
JL13
9
JL14
0
JX8
JL14
1
JL14
2
JX9
JL14
3
JL14
4
JX10
JL14
5
JX11
JL14
6
JX12
JL14
7
JX13
JL14
8
JX14
JL14
9
JX15
JL15
0
JX16
JL15
1
JX17
JL15
2
JX18
JL15
3
JX19
JL15
4
JX20
Amount issued by Liquidity Enhancement Auction Outstanding amount in the market (excluding amount issued by Liquidity Enhancement Auction)
5 10 15.5
(billion yen)
(Remaining maturities)
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,0005,5006,0006,5007,000
JN40
0
JN40
1
JS12
8
315
316
JL5
1
JN40
2
JN40
3
JN40
4
JS12
9
317
318
JL5
2
JN40
5
JN40
6
JN40
7
JS13
0
319
320
JL5
3
JL5
4
JN40
8
JN40
9
JN41
0
JS13
1
321
322
JL5
5
JS13
2
323
324
JL5
6
JL5
7
JS13
3
325
JL5
8
JS13
4
326
327
JL5
9
JL6
0
JS13
5
328
JL6
1
JS13
6
329
JL6
2
JL6
3
JS13
7
330
331
JL6
4
JS13
8
332
JL6
5
JL6
6
JS13
9
333
JL6
7
JL6
8
JL6
9
JS14
0
334
JL7
0
JL7
1
JS14
1
335
JL7
2
JS14
2
336
337
JL7
3
JL7
4
338
JL7
5
JL7
6
JL7
7
Amount issued by Liquidity Enhancement Auction Outstanding amount in the market (excluding amount issued by Liquidity Enhancement Auction)
1 2 5(Remaining maturities)
(billion yen)
③Remaining maturity : approx.15.5‐~39‐year
Liquidity Enhancement Auctions and JGB Buy-Back
①Remaining maturity : approx.1‐~5‐year
Note1: JN shows 2‐year JGBs. JS shows 5‐year JGBs. JL shows 20‐year JGBs. JX shows 30‐year JGBs. JU shows 40‐year JGBs. Outstanding amount is as of the end of April 2020. Note2: All issues in the graph above will be eligible afterward.
Buy-Back Results
(Until 31 May 2020)
②Remaining maturity : approx.5‐~15.5‐year
(Until 31 May 2020)
-8-
-0.6%
-0.4%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
2019/6/28
2019/9/30
2019/12/30
2020/2/28
2020/3/31
2020/4/30
40353020 25151050 -0.4%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20
Volatility Yield (right scale)
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
2-year bond 5-year bond 10-year bond
20-year bond 30-year bond 40-year bond
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
Japan United StatesUnited Kingdom Germany
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
BEI (Japan : 10 year)
BEI (U.S.A. : 10 year)
BEI (U.K. : 10 year)
Note: BEI (Japan: 10 year) is calculated based on the compound interest rate of the new Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the 10-Year Bonds Source: Japan: Calculation by the Ministry of Finance based on the information on interest rates offered by NIKKEI QUICK.
U.S.A., U.K.: Bloomberg.
JGB Yield Curves
Source: Japan Bond Trading Co.,Ltd.
Yields of JGB
Long - Term Interest Rates (10Yr)
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
-9-
Yield and Volatility (10Yr)
Break-Even Inflation Rates
Source: Bloomberg, Calculation by the Ministry of Finance
(Until 30 April 2020)
(Until 30 April 2020)
(Until 30 April 2020)
(Until 30 April 2020)
JGB Secondary Market
-0.1%
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
Call Rate (Uncollateralized Overnight)
TIBOR 3-months (Euro-Yen)
Basic Loan Rate
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
Bond-Lending
Bond-Gensaki
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
0100200300400500600700800900
1,0001,1001,2001,3001,4001,5001,6001,7001,8001,9002,0002,100
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
Treasury Discount Bills
Medium Term Bonds
Long Term Bonds
Short-Term Interest Rates
Source: Bank of Japan, Tanshi Association, Bloomberg
JGB Over-the-Counter Trading Volume (TOKYO)
Trading Volume of 10-Year JGB Futures
Repurchase Transactions
-10-
Source: Japan Securities Dealers Association
Source: Tokyo Stock Exchange (until Mar.2014), Osaka Exchange (from Apr. 2014)
(trillion yen)
(trillion yen)
(trillion yen)
(Until 30 April 2020)
Source: Japan Securities Dealers Association
Super long-term
Long-term
Medium-term
T-bills
-9.0
-7.0
-5.0
-3.0
-1.0
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
JanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr
City Banks
Net Purchase
Net Sale
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
-1.0
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
JanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr
Regional banks
Net Purchase
Net Sale
2015 2016 2017 20192018 2020
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
JanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr
Life and non-life insurance companies
Net Purchase
Net Sale
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
24.0
26.0
JanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr Jul OctJanApr
Foreigners
Net Purchase
Net Sale
2015 2016 2017 20192018 2020
(trillion yen) (trillion yen)
(trillion yen) (trillion yen)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
Apr-12 Apr-13 Apr-14 Apr-15 Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19 Apr-20
Total Assets
Monetary Base
JGBs
QQE2QQE(trillion yen)Apr 2013
(Actual)Apr 2020(Actual)
Monetary Base 155 529
JGBs 98 479
CP 1.4 3.3
Corporate Bonds 2.9 3.4
ETFs 1.7 31.2
J-REITs 0.13 0.59
Total Assets 175 619
0
10
20
30
40
50
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
200210220230240250260270280
0
50
100
150
200
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
-11-
Trends in Bank Assets by Types
Trends in JGBs Transactions (by investor type)
BOJ Trends
Regional Banks City Banks
Source: Bank of Japan
(trillion yen) (trillion yen)
Loans
Cash and Deposits
Government Bonds
Municipal Bonds
Corporate Bonds
Equities
Foreign Securities
Source: Bank of Japan
Source: Japan Securities Dealers Association
Investor Trends and JGB Outstanding
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
City Banks Trust Banks Insurance Companies Foreigners
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
Short-term debt securities Long-term debt securities Equity and investment fund shares
Net Purchase
Net
Sales
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
Short-term debt securities Long-term debt securities Equity and investment fund shares
Net Purchase
Net
Sales
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
Short-term debt securities Long-term debt securities Equity and investment fund shares
Net Purchase
Net
Sales
12.8%
38.7%
60.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19
①Market Share of Foreign Investors (JGB Futures Market)
②Market Share of Foreign Investors (JGB Market)
③JGB Holdings by Foreign Investors
-12-
JGBs Holdings by Foreign Investors
Banks(Banking Accounts) Life Insurance Companies
Transactions of Domestic Securities by Non-Residents
Note.1: Quarterly basis. Note.2: “JGB” includes “FILP Bonds” and “T-Bills”. Source: Bank of Japan
Transactions of Foreign Securities by Residents (by Investor types)
Foreign Investors Presence
Note.1: Quarterly basis. Note.2: “JGB” includes T-Bills. The figures of ②excludes dealers’ transactions. Source: Bank of Japan, Japan Securities Dealers Association, Tokyo Stock Exchange,
Osaka Exchange
(trillion yen)
(trillion yen)
Source: Japan Securities Dealers Association
(trillion yen)
Outstanding of Repurchase Agreements (by Investor types)
Source: Ministry of Finance Source: Ministry of Finance
Source: Ministry of Finance
144.7
12.8
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19
Amount of JGB Holdings (RHS)
Proportion of JGB Holdings (LHS)
(trillion yen)(%)
Total 94.9 trillion yen
General Government(ex Public Pensions)
0.0 0.0%
Fiscal Loan Fund0.0
0.0%
BOJ9.4
9.9%Banks,etc.
17.4 18.4%
Life and Non-life
Insurance,etc.2.0
2.1%
Foreigners66.1
69.7%
General Government(ex Public Pensions)
2.8 0.2%
Fiscal Loan Fund0.0
0.0%
BOJ494.6 43.7%
Banks,etc.171.6 15.2%
Life and Non-life
Insurance,etc.
220.9 19.5%
Public Pensions
43.0 3.8%
Pension Funds31.8 2.8%
Foreigners144.7 12.8%
Households13.5 1.2%
Others9.4
0.8%
General Government
(ex Public Pensions)2.8
0.3%
BOJ485.2 46.8%
Banks,etc.154.2 14.9%
Life and Non-life
Insurance,etc.
218.9 21.1%
Public Pensions
43.0 4.1%
Pension Funds31.8 3.1%
Foreigners78.6 7.6%
Households13.5 1.3%
Others9.4
0.9%
JGB and T-Bill Holders
Breakdown by JGB and T-Bill Holders (The end of Dec. 2019 QE)
Source: Bank of Japan “Flow of Funds Accounts (Preliminary Figures)” Note1: “JGB” includes “FILP Bonds.” Note2: “Banks, etc.” includes “Japan Post Bank”, “Securities investment trust” and “Securities companies.” Note3: “Life and Non-life insurance, etc.” includes “Japan Post Insurance.”
(trillion yen)
Breakdown of Outstanding Amount of General Bonds by Remaining Years to Maturity
T-Bill Holders JGB Holders
-13-
Total 1,037.4 trillion yen
Total 1,132.2 trillion yen
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
18.3% 18.2% 17.9% 17.3% 16.4% 15.1% 14.3% 13.4% 13.1% 13.4%
12.5% 11.9% 12.4% 12.0% 11.1% 10.6% 10.5% 10.5% 10.8% 9.6%
7.9% 8.6%8.1% 7.8% 7.8% 7.9% 7.7% 8.2% 7.0% 7.5%
9.0%8.6%
8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 7.8% 8.2% 7.1% 7.4% 7.3%
8.4%7.8%
7.8% 7.8% 7.4% 7.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.7% 6.3%4.7%4.9%
4.4%4.2% 5.0% 4.2% 4.4% 5.0% 4.7% 5.0%
5.2%4.6%
4.5%5.0% 4.3% 4.4% 4.8% 4.7% 4.9% 4.6%
4.8%4.8%
5.3%4.5% 4.5% 5.0% 4.8% 5.0% 4.6% 4.8%
5.1%5.6%
4.7%4.8% 5.2% 4.9% 5.1% 4.7% 4.9% 4.8%
5.2%4.4%
4.3%4.6% 4.2% 4.5% 4.1% 4.0% 4.2% 4.1%
14.4%14.9%
15.6%16.5%
17.7%18.4%
19.2% 19.6% 20.2% 20.5%
4.6%
5.8%
6.7%
7.5%
8.3%
9.4%10.1%
11.1%11.6% 12.1%
20 yrs-
10-20 yrs
9-10 yrs
8-9 yrs
7-8 yrs
6-7 yrs
5-6 yrs
4-5 yrs
3-4 yrs
2-3 yrs
1-2 yrs
-1 yr
(Unit: trillion yen)
(at the end of FY)
636.3669.9
705.0
743.9774.1
805.4830.6
853.2874.0
*years to maturity
Average
YTM* 6Y8M 7Y0M 7Y3M 7Y7M 8Y0M 8Y5M 8Y7M 8Y10M 9Y0M 9Y2M
Average YTM*
(excluding savingbonds)
6Y10M 7Y1M 7Y5M 7Y8M 8Y0M 8Y5M 8Y8M 8Y11M 9Y1M 9Y2M
886.7
Types The amount of redemption at maturity Scheduled redemption date
20-Year Bonds 1,094.5 June 22
10-Year Bonds 8,081.1 June 20
5-Year Bonds 8,322.7 June 20
2-Year Bonds 2,114.6 June 1
Treasury Bills 1,800.0 June 22
Total 21,412.9
0100200300400500600700800900
1,0001,1001,2001,3001,4001,5001,6001,7001,8001,9002,0002,1002,200
17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
(billion yen)
(issue number)
Outstanding amount (excl.BOJ holding)
BOJ holding
594.0636.3
669.9705.0
743.9774.1 805.4 830.6
853.2 874.0 897.8 906.0
142.4 143.1
163.1 163.3 153.6
158.0 150.5 148.3
140.0 137.7 142.3 141.5
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Outstanding (RHS)Issuance Amount (LHS)
Source: Ministry of Finance
General Bonds Issuance Amount and Outstanding
Note 1: Issuance Amount: revenue basis, FY2009-2018: Actual, FY2019: Supplementary budget, FY2020: Initial budget Note 2: Outstanding: nominal basis, FY2009-2018: Actual, FY2019: Supplementary budget, FY2020: Initial budget Source: Ministry of Finance
Market-held Balance of the Inflation-Indexed Bonds (as of the end of April, 2020)
(trillion yen)
Scheduled redemption of JGB at maturity in June, 2020
Note.1: The figures are based on the outstanding JGBs at the end of April, 2020 Note.2: The figures are the scheduled redemption at maturity and may be different from the actual redemption due to Buy-back of JGBs. Note.3: The figures do not include "JGB for Retail Investors". Note.4: If the redemption date coincides with bank holiday, the payment of redemption is carried out on the following business day. Note.5: Figures may not sum up to total because of rounding.
(billion yen)
Source: Ministry of Finance, Bank of Japan
Time-to-Maturity Structure of Outstanding JGB(Mar. 2020)
-14-
(trillion yen)
118.59
84.94
66.2765.08
56.02
44.0240.89
42.7242.92
36.22
16.8516.46
19.5519.18
21.4519.97
18.1918.30
18.12
13.766.71
7.196.37
8.509.60
10.919.31
11.3710.04 7.36
1.96 1.96 2.00 2.17 2.28 2.80 2.801.87 1.99
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58
(trillion yen)
(FY)
Treasury Bills2-yr bondsJGBs for retail investors (3-yr-Fixed-rate)JGBs for retail investors (5-yr-Fixed-rate)5-yr bondsInflation-Indexed bondsJGBs for retail investors (Floating-rate)10-yr bonds15-yr-floating-rate bonds20-yr bonds30-yr bonds40-yr bonds
Average remaining years to maturity: 9 years and 2 months
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
(ratio)
Apr, 20201.32
Apr, 20202.6%
Job openings-to-applicants ratio(RHS)
Unemployment rate(LHS)
Aug, 20090.42
Jul, 20095.5%
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1,000
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
(billion yen)
Monthly Quarter (Mean)
85
95
105
115
125
135
145
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
(2015 average=100・Seasonally Adjusted Index)
Production Shipments
Inventory Inventory Ratio
1.6 2.1
1.7
-1.0 -0.5
0.9
2.0
1.6
4.3
3.9
5.0
3.3
6.1
4.9
6.1
4.3
6.4
4.8
7.3
4.3
6.0
5.0 5.8
2.6
6.1
4.5
5.7
3.7
5.8
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
2013
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2014
Q1
2014
Q2
2014
Q3
2014
Q4
2015
Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2016
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
Q4
2017
Q1
2017
Q2
2017
Q3
2017
Q4
2018
Q1
2018
Q2
2018
Q3
2018
Q4
2019
Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Q3
2019
Q4
2020
Q1
Primary Income Trade Balance
Services Secondary Income
Current Account
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
(trillion yen)
Banknotes in Circulation
Coins in Circulation
Current Account Balances
0.1%
-1
0
1
2
3
4(%)
CPI
CPI excluding food (excluding alcohilicbeverages) and energy
Change from the previous year
Apr.4, 2013
BOJ released QQE
-0.1%
4.9
-2.9-1.5
1.1
5.0
3.1 3.4
-0.2
4.0
-7.5
0.4
2.0
5.6
0.4
-0.2-1.5
2.0
0.60.91.2
4.7
1.4 2.31.9
-1.9
1.8
-3.3
2.3 2.6 2.1
0.0
-7.3
-3.4
-12.0
-10.0
-8.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
(%)
Private Demand Public Demand
Foreign Demand Real GDP
Annualized rate of Change from the previous quarter (Seasonally adjusted)
(CY)
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%(Diffusion index)
Large enterprises/Manufacturing
Large enterprises/Non-Manufacturing
Small enterprises/Manufacturing
Small enterprises/Non-Manufacturing
Real GDP Growth Rate
Employment Conditions
Prices
Changes in Current Account
Monetary Base Indices of Industrial Production
Total Value of Machinery Orders (Private Sector exc. Volatile orders)
TANKAN (Business Conditions)
Source: Cabinet Office Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications
Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare
Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications Source: Ministry of Finance
Source: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
Source: Cabinet Office
(trillion yen)
Economic and Financial Trends
Source: Bank of Japan
Source: Bank of Japan
-15-
English Publications on JGBs Frequency URL
Debt Management
Message from the Financial Bureau As needed https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/debt_management/message.htm
About JGBs As needed https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/debt_management/guide.htm
About the Debt Management Policy As needed https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/debt_management/about.htm
JGB Issuance Plan As needed https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/debt_management/plan/index.htm
Auction Calendar
Auction Calendar Monthly https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/auction/calendar/index.htm
Historical Data of Auction Results Monthly https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/auction/past_auction_results/index.html
Topics
Product Characteristics of the JGB As needed https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/bond/index.html
Treasury Discount Bills (T-Bills) As needed https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/t_bill/index.htm
Japanese Government Guaranteed Bonds Annual https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/gov_guaranteed_bonds/index.htm
Interest Rate Swap Semiannual https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/swap/index.htm
Taxation of Government Bonds As needed https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/taxation2016/index.html
For Individual Investors As needed https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/individual/index.htm
Data
Central Government Debt Quarterly https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/reference/gbb/index.htm
Interest Rate Daily https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm
STRIPS Monthly https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/reference/jgbstat/index.htm
Dialogue with the market
Advisory Councils on Government Debt Management Each Meeting https://www.mof.go.jp/english/about_mof/councils/gov_debt_management/index.html
Meeting of JGB Market Special Participants Each Meeting https://www.mof.go.jp/english/about_mof/councils/jgbsp/index.html
Meeting of JGB Investors Each Meeting https://www.mof.go.jp/english/about_mof/councils/jgb_investor/index.html
Publications
Debt Management Report Annual https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/publication/debt_management_report/index.htm
JGB Newsletter Monthly https://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/publication/newsletter/index.htm
Debt Management Policy Division, Financial Bureau, Ministry of Finance 3-1-1 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8940 Japan
Phone: 81-3-3581-4111 Web: https://www.mof.go.jp/
To subscribe to our Newsletter mailing list,
please email: [email protected]
-16-
Information