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© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 1
Smart Grid
Utility Challenges and Telecomm Opportunities
Rick GeigerExecutive Director, Utilities & Smart Grid
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 2
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 3
Service Providers and Electric Utilities
Business Model: CAPEX vs OPEX
Not an issue for Munis & Co-ops
Business Drivers – Voice & Data vs 120VAC
SLAs
Disaster Recovery
My customers - Who’s your retailer?
Not an issue for Munis & Co-ops
Technology Horizons
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 4
Coverage – Always a Challenge
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 5
Cooperatives
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 6
Cooperatives
Are located in 80% of the nation’s counties
Are the largest electric utility network in the nation
Total more than 930 local systems in 47 states
Have 40 million member-owners
Distribute power over 2.4 million miles of line
Own $112 billion in generation, transmission, and distribution assets
Source: NRECA
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 7
Public Power
Located in 49 of 50 States
2010 Community Owned Electric Utilities
Serving 45 million people
14% of US Electric Power
Source: APPA
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 8
US Electricity Industry Statistics
Number of Electricity Providers% of Total
Publicly Owned Utilities 2,010 61.5%
Investor Owned Utilities 212 6.5%
Cooperatives 883 27.0%
Federal Power Agencies 9 0.3%
Power Marketers 153 4.7%
Source: Energy Information Administration
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 9
Flexible tariffs cause changing demand patterns
More complex to predict
Climate change and energy efficiency goals
Standards and interoperability
Network security and reliability
Stimulus packages
Additional sales volume by electric plug-in vehicles
Economically store electricity
Innovation and regulation drive change in the utility industry
Unpredictable renewable supply sources
Distributed generation sources feeding into unmonitored grid areas
Changing Supply:Renewable Generation
ChangingDemand Patterns
Regulation/Compliance
NewOpportunities
Change Drivers
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 10
Smart Grid:Transformation of an Industry
Distribution(Local Utility)
Network ControlCenter
Power Generation
Transmission(Utility)
Network ControlCenter
Federated Data Centers
Energy Information
Industrial Customer
Commercial Customer
Residential Customer
Distributed Generation Sources
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 11
Utilities are challenged with a more complex operating environment
Intransparent build-up (geography & scale)
Significant increase in offtake
Integration of new applications
Change
Ch
alle
ng
es
Capacity
Commu-nication
Capabi-lities
Timing of feedin Moving load Increased information
requirements
Management of increased stochastic generation
Potential for storage & feedin
Technical specs defined outside utility industry
Competition for ownership of innovative efficiency solutions
Distributed Generation EV & Storage Energy Management
Smart Grid Challenges
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 12
Utilities will respond along three dimensions in building the Smart Grid
Dimensions Requirements RationaleSG Building
BlocksReadiness
CapacityInfrastructure
Layer
Commu-nication
ICTLayer
CapabilitiesApplications
Layer
Adequate capacity Transition from
distribution focused to contribution capable
Today’s consumption supplied though no demand shifts included
Physical infrastruc-ture to accommodate complex load flows Basic system
status Creation of an
information rich and potentially real time operating environment
Current system highly reliable in “look and see” mode
Increased levels of uncertainty around system behavior
Electricity delivery Integration of new
infrastructure elements
Substitution of phy-sical with virtual capacity
Stable environment with limited need for short term action
Increased system stress through erratic offtake / feed-in
( )
( )
Available today Not available today
Smart Grid Building Blocks
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 13
Business and regulatory requirements open new business opportuntities
InfrastructureLayer
ICTLayer
ApplicationsLayer
Supply Side Demand SideGrid Operation
Energy Storage
“Near-Time” Pricing
Self-Healing Grid
Micro Grids
SystemEngineering
Visualization & Prediction
Load Mgt. & Balancing
Advanced Grid Sens. & Contr.
Demand Response
SG Building Blocks
Smart Grid business opportunties for SPs
Smart Grid Opportunities
Substation Automation
V2G
Narrow- / Broadband Enablement
Data Integrity Management
Smart Meter
Building/Home Energy Mgmt
Web Services
Business Energy Mgt.
DG Integration Work Force
Mgt.
Comms for Vehiclesby 2020
Residential smart meters
Comms for new installations
Energy Management
Source: Booz & Company, Newton Energy Research, ABS Energy Research
Comms C&I smart meters
Application hosting
Network of substations
Plan, design, operate
Top Utilities: We can do it better
than SPs
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 14
Strategic and architectural challenges: Will Utility/SP infrastructures converge?
Market Expectation
Utilities rolling-out Smart Metering
Strong regulatory and public pressue to deliver energy efficiency solutions
SP / Challenger under pressure to enable mass market broadband connectivity
Competition
Smart Grid as a hosted service
Utility and SP under pressure by declining retail margins
Renaissance of home automation services fueled by energy efficiency solutions (and renewable integration)
Utility and SP independently fighting for retail customer ownership
How to develop a communication infrastructure meeting the requirements of an integrated though unbundled utility value chain?
Could convergence of utility and SP networks enhance a joint value proposition?
What are the regulatory and legal implications?
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 15
Way Forward: Developing the Vision for the converged infrastructure network
Develop a converged network position
– Outline an end-to-end Smart Grid solution
– Win-win value proposition and business models
Explore utility industry readiness
Consider a cross-industry Smart Grid initiative
© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialT-Systems InternationalSmart Grid 16