© 2003 H.S. Dent Foundation Immigration Adjusted Birth Index Thousands

© 2003 H.S. Dent Foundation

Immigration Adjusted Birth IndexImmigration Adjusted Birth IndexT

ho

usa

nd

sT

ho

usa

nd

s

Year

5,000

1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990

4,500

4,000

3,500

3,000

2,500


College Enrollments College Enrollments 18-Year Lag on Immigration Adjusted Births18-Year Lag on Immigration Adjusted Births

College Enrollments College Enrollments 18-Year Lag on Immigration Adjusted Births18-Year Lag on Immigration Adjusted Births

3,500,000

3,700,000

3,900,000

4,100,000

4,300,000

4,500,000

4,700,000

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

Imm

igra

tio

n-A

dju

sted

Bir

ths


2,200,000

2,700,000

3,200,000

3,700,000

4,200,000

4,700,000

5,200,000

5,700,000

1956 1963 1970 1977 1984 1991 1998 2005

1,000

10,000

100,000

5,000

30,000

Births Lagged For Peak Spending

Dow Adjusted For Inflation

50,000

Imm

igra

tio

n A

dju

ste

d B

irth

s

Do

w A

dju

sted

Fo

r In

flat

ion

(L

og

Sca

le)

The Spending WaveThe Spending WaveBirths Lagged for Peak in Family SpendingBirths Lagged for Peak in Family Spending

The Spending WaveThe Spending WaveBirths Lagged for Peak in Family SpendingBirths Lagged for Peak in Family Spending


Average Immigrants per Year by AgeAverage Immigrants per Year by Age1945-20001945-2000

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70

Age

Nu

mb

er o

f Im

mig

ran

ts

Source: US Census Bureau


Immigration to the United StatesImmigration to the United States1820-20041820-2004

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,00018

20

1832

1844

1856

1868

1880

1892

1904

1916

1928

1940

1952

1964

1976

1988

2000

Source: U.S. Department of Homeland SecuritySource: U.S. Department of Homeland Security


UK Ethnic Minority GroupsUK Ethnic Minority GroupsAs a % of All UK Ethnic MinoritiesAs a % of All UK Ethnic Minorities

28%

19%

13%

14%

12%

6%

8%

Indian

Pakistani

Other Asian

Caribbean

African

Chinese

Other

Source: UK Office of National Statistics


Ethnic Groups by Low Income in Ethnic Groups by Low Income in the UKthe UK

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70W

hite

Indi

anPak

./Ban

gl.Bla

ck C

arib

b.Bla

ck O

ther

Oth

erSource: UK Office of National Statistics


Foreign Born US PopulationForeign Born US Population

52%

26%

16%

6%

Latin America

Asia

Europe

Other



Movers to Different State: Young vs. OldMovers to Different State: Young vs. Old 1995 to 2000 1995 to 2000

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

20 - 29 60 - 69


11x11x


Migration FlowsMigration Flows


% of Americans Moving Each Year% of Americans Moving Each Year1948-20031948-2003

Source: Source: The EconomistThe Economist, “Degrees of Separation: A Survey of America”, July 16, “Degrees of Separation: A Survey of America”, July 16 ,, 2005. 2005.


Migration by Size of Metro AreaMigration by Size of Metro Area1995 to 20001995 to 2000


Total Total MetroMetro <250k<250k 250-1,000k250-1,000k 1-2mm1-2mm 2-5mm2-5mm >5mm>5mm

Net Domestic Net Domestic MigrationMigration -510k-510k 142k 142k 218k 218k 714k714k 527k527k -2,111k-2,111k

% Change% Change -2.5%-2.5% 8.0%8.0% 5.3%5.3% 21.7%21.7% 14.8%14.8% -27.4%-27.4%

ImmigrationImmigration 6,876k6,876k 318k 318k 881k881k 898k898k 1,438k1,438k 3,342k3,342k


Cities in the Sweet SpotCities in the Sweet Spot1 Million – 2 Million1 Million – 2 Million

Source: Population Division, U.S. Census BureauSource: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau

Metropolitan statistical areas July 1, 2004Salt Lake City, UT 1,018,826Rochester, NY 1,041,499Birmingham-Hoover, AL 1,082,193Oklahoma City, OK 1,144,327Richmond, VA 1,154,317Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY 1,154,378Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT 1,184,564Louisville, KY-IN 1,200,847Jacksonville, FL 1,225,381Camden, NJ 1,237,773Memphis, TN-MS-AR 1,250,293Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN 1,395,879Austin-Round Rock, TX 1,412,271Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC 1,474,734Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI 1,515,738Indianapolis, IN 1,621,613Providence-New Bedford-Fall River, RI-MA 1,628,808Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 1,644,250Las Vegas-Paradise, NV 1,650,671Columbus, OH 1,693,906San Antonio, TX 1,854,050Orlando-Kissimmee, FL 1,861,707Kansas City, MO-KS 1,925,319


Cities Approaching the Sweet SpotCities Approaching the Sweet Spot750,000 – 1 Million750,000 – 1 Million

Source: Population Division, U.S. Census BureauSource: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau

Metropolitan statistical areas July 1, 2004

Raleigh-Cary, NC 914,680

Tucson, AZ 907,059

Honolulu, HI 899,593

Tulsa, OK 881,815

Fresno, CA 866,772

Lake County-Kenosha County, IL-WI 851,330

New Haven-Milford, CT 845,694

Dayton, OH 845,646

Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY 845,269

Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA 803,801

Albuquerque, NM 781,447

Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ 779,816

Worcester, MA 779,488

Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI 767,539


Total In-Migration by RegionTotal In-Migration by Region1995 to 20001995 to 2000

517

4415

2267

2970

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

Northeast Midwest South West

in T

ho

usa

nd

s



In-Migration Breakdown by RegionIn-Migration Breakdown by Region1995 to 20001995 to 2000


RegionRegion Domestic Net Domestic Net MigrationMigration

FromFrom

AbroadAbroadTotalTotal

NortheastNortheast -1,270,658 -1,270,658 1,567,331 1,567,331 296,673 296,673

MidwestMidwest -541,189 -541,189 1,057,870 1,057,870 516,681 516,681

SouthSouth 1,799,799 1,799,799 2,615,279 2,615,279 4,415,078 4,415,078

WestWest 12,048 12,048 2,255,366 2,255,366 2,267,414 2,267,414


Top 12 States in Total In-MigrationTop 12 States in Total In-Migration as a % of Population as a % of Population

1995 to 20001995 to 2000

0.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%

10.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%18.00%

Nev

ada

Ari

zon

a

Flo

rid

a

Geo

rgia

Co

lora

do

No

rth

Car

olin

aS

ou

th C

aro

lina

Ore

go

nD

elaw

are

Idah

oW

ash

ing

ton

Tex

as



By the Texas Transportation Institute's reckoning, the By the Texas Transportation Institute's reckoning, the cities having the worst traffic problems are:cities having the worst traffic problems are:

1. Los Angeles, Long Beach, Santa Ana, Calif. 1. Los Angeles, Long Beach, Santa Ana, Calif.

2. San Francisco, Oakland, Calif. 2. San Francisco, Oakland, Calif.

3. Washington, D.C. 3. Washington, D.C.

4. Atlanta4. Atlanta

5. Houston5. Houston

6. Dallas, Fort Worth, Arlington, Tex. 6. Dallas, Fort Worth, Arlington, Tex.

7. Chicago7. Chicago

8. Detroit 8. Detroit

9. Riverside, San Bernardino, Calif.9. Riverside, San Bernardino, Calif.

10. Orlando, Fla.10. Orlando, Fla.

11. San Jose, Calif. 11. San Jose, Calif.

12. San Diego 12. San Diego


In-Migration Rates in Southeast by StateIn-Migration Rates in Southeast by State1995 to 20001995 to 2000

-2.00%

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%F

lori

da

Geo

rgia

No

rth

Car

olin

aS

ou

th C

aro

lina

Tex

as

Vir

gin

iaT

enn

esse

eA

rkan

sas

Ken

tuck

yM

issi

ssip

pi

Ala

bam

aL

ou

isia

na


Total Movers as a % of PopulationTotal Movers as a % of Population


Migration into Southeastern StatesMigration into Southeastern States1995 to 20001995 to 2000


Domestic Net

Migration From Abroad Total

Total as % of

Population

Florida 607,023 652,606 1,259,629 8.37%

Georgia 340,705 243,421 584,126 7.69%

North Carolina 337,883 196,337 534,220 7.11%

South Carolina 132,205 59,378 191,583 5.11%

Texas 148,240 725,960 874,200 4.54%

Virginia 75,730 205,451 281,181 4.25%

Tennessee 146,314 77,972 224,286 4.22%

Arkansas 42,116 33,657 75,773 3.04%

Kentucky 34,127 45,981 80,108 2.12%

Mississippi 26,930 25,269 52,199 1.98%

Alabama 25,823 48,712 74,535 1.80%

Louisiana -75,759 42,026 -33,733 -0.81%


In-Migration Rates in Southwest by StateIn-Migration Rates in Southwest by State1995 to 20001995 to 2000

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

18.00%

Nevada Arizona Colorado Utah NewMexico


Total Movers as a % of PopulationTotal Movers as a % of Population


Migration into Southwestern StatesMigration into Southwestern States1995 to 20001995 to 2000


Domestic Domestic Net Net

MigrationMigrationFrom From

AbroadAbroad TotalTotal

Total as % Total as % of of

PopulationPopulation

NevadaNevada 233,934 233,934 75,21275,212 309,146309,146 16.68%16.68%

ArizonaArizona 316,148 316,148 182,982182,982 499,130499,130 10.50%10.50%

ColoradoColorado 162,633 162,633 134,715134,715 297,348297,348 7.42%7.42%

UtahUtah 25,296 25,296 64,66364,663 89,95989,959 4.44%4.44%

New MexicoNew Mexico -29,945 -29,945 38,70638,706 8,7618,761 0.52%0.52%

Documents

© 2003 H.S. Dent Foundation Immigration Adjusted Birth Index Thousands