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P. 1
November 13, 2013
Q3 2013:
• Financial Results
• ICL’s Strategy
Mr. Stefan Borgas
President & CEO
P. 2
Important Legal Notes
The information delivered or to be delivered to you does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to do any transaction in Israel Chemicals Ltd. (ICL) securities. Although our shares may be bought and sold on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE) at any trading time, they do not trade out of Israel - neither in the United States, nor EU ,nor elsewhere and this presentation does not constitute an offer or investment advice to any US or other person at this time. If we ever do so, our offer will only be made by a prospectus or a registration statement conforming with all requirements of U.S., EU or any other applicable law. Certain statements in this presentation and other oral and written statements made by ICL from time to time, are forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, those that discuss strategies, goals, outlook or other non-historical matters; or project revenues, income, returns or other financial measures. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the statements, including, among others, the following: (a) Crisis in financial markets;(b) War or terror operations;(c) Impacts on sales of fertilizers (product prices, government policies and weather); (d) Subjection to legislative and licensing restrictions;(e) Exposure relating to environmental protection and safety;(f) Third party liability and product liability; (g) Volatility in the markets that affects the demand for some of the products; (h) Concessions and permits; (i) Natural disasters; (j) Water level in Pond 150 in Dead Sea;(k) Dependence on seaports, transportation and loading in Israel. We caution you that the above list of important factors is not comprehensive. We refer you to filings that we have made and shall make with the TASE. They may discuss new or different factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from this information. All information included in this document speaks only as of the date on which they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update such information afterwards. Some of the market and industry information is based on independent industry publications or other publicly available information, while other information is based on internal studies. Although we believe that these independent sources and our internal data are reliable as of their respective dates, the information contained in them has not been independently verified and we can not assure you as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Readers and viewers are cautioned to consider these risks and uncertainties and to not place undue reliance on such information.
P. 3
Overview – Challenging Environment Impacted Results
9M 2013 compared to 9M 2012: sales down 6.4% to $4.8bn, operating income down
28.2% to $978M, net income down 36% to $699M
Q3 2013: $1.4bn sales, $222M operating income, $196M adjusted net income*
FERTILIZERS: negatively affected by changes in the potash market and price erosion in
phosphates
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS: ongoing weak flame retardants business, good demand for
other bromine applications. Short term events negatively affected clear brine fluids sales
PERFORMANCE PRODUCTS: broad business portfolio in a stable economic
environment led to improved results
*Net income is adjusted to non-recurring tax expenses of $107 million due to the release of the trapped profits and of $11 million due
to the update of the deferred taxes stemming from an increase of the corporate tax rate to 26.5%.
P. 4
Outlook
FERTILIZERS:
Recovery of potash volume continues
Prices stabilizing at lower levels
Continued pressure on profitability of phosphates
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS:
Continuing weak demand in flame retardants’ end markets
Solid demand for all other applications
Signs of price recovery
PERFORMANCE PRODUCTS:
General business remains stable
Prices continue to be stable
P. 5
Business Environment
&
ICL Strategy
P. 6
“Next Step Forward”: Moving the Company from
Product-Focus to Market-Focus
Our Vision: to be a leading global specialty minerals company, fulfilling
humanity’s essential needs in agriculture, food & engineered materials
▪ Representing ~90% of our activities
▪ Offering multiple attractive profitable
growth opportunities
▪ Improves ICL’s business balance
▪ Strengthen ICL distinctive
competitive capabilities
▪ Supported by strong underlying
mega-trends (agriculture boost,
continuous increase of the middle
class, quest for scarce mineral
reserves, concern for the
environment)
Rationale
Food Agriculture
Engineered
Materials
Our core end-markets
~55% ICL
~8%
~29%
% of total ICL revenues for 9M 2013 ~x
P. 7
ICL Strategy – Our Path to Success
Efficiency: operational excellence &
efficiency improvements:
ACE Projects: Procurement, Energy, CAPEX, Pricing, R&D
Key Value Drivers: Mineral cost efficiency
Growth: developing the business in the
agriculture, food & engineered materials
markets, potential major external steps
Enablers: One ICL – great people in an
empowering environment
Process & system harmonization (one ERP system)
Internal & external process, products & application
innovation
Public support, advocacy & regulatory excellence
P. 8
Operational Excellence & Efficiency Improvements:
Expected Impact of Few Hundreds of Millions of $ by 2016
▪ Simplification and
interfaces
▪ New ways of working
▪ Best practices
exchange
▪ Skill building
▪ Specific investment
projects (e.g., potash,
phosphate)
Sources of
Improvement Procurement
Energy
CAPEX
R&D
Pricing
Overall
Initiative:
2016 EBITDA impact (run-rate)
USD millions/year
Mineral cost
efficiency
P. 9
Uncertainty Reflected in Fertilizers Prices
Sources: Fertilizer Week and Fertecon (November 2013)
Potash Prices (2011-2013) Phosphate Prices (2011-2013)
TSP N. Africa DAP US Gulf FOB Vancouver
US$/t spot
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
400.00
450.00
500.00
550.00
600.00
650.00
700.00
320.00
370.00
420.00
470.00
520.00
570.00
620.00
670.00
Agriculture
US$/t spot, Standard grade KCI
P. 10
Improving Competitive Position in Potash
400 300
Potash cash cost curve - FOB
Effective capacity
ICL -
ISR*
ICL - UK
Agriculture
*About 2/3 of ICL's effective capacity
Sources: CRU, ICL estimates
ICL - SPAIN
P. 11
Iberpotash (Spain) – single production site based on a high-grade mine
From 2 mines and 2 plants to 1 mine and 1 plant with similar capacity
In addition: 0.75M tons/yr vacuum salt
Phase 2: Increasing MOP annual output to 1.1M tons; increasing
vacuum salt annual capacity to 1.5M tons
Upgrading Cleveland Potash (England):
Improved capacity utilization to double production within a few years.
Already good signs of improvement in 2013
Extend mining area to provide reserves for the next 40 years
First company in the world to produce and market polyhalite
Dead Sea Works – improving potash costs:
Increasing annual production capacity of the potash processing plants
Environmentally friendly power plant
Infrastructure projects: pond no.5 dike solidification, new pumping
station, salt dredging project
Tight supervision over production costs
Transforming ICL’s Potash Operations
A new multinutrient sulphate fertiliser
from Cleveland Potash Ltd
Agriculture
P. 12
Improving Competitive Position in Phosphate
Agriculture
Average price
Phosphate Cost Curve (Model)
•ICL’s phosphate businesses are
located within sectors 2 & 3
The weakness in the phosphate market combined with Rotem’s limited competitiveness
require a significant efficiency plan: COST reduction, SCALE increase, TECHNOLOGY
improvement
Cost reduction: postponement and cancellations of investments, contractors’ costs cuts,
salary and labor reduction
Barir field development – essential for scale increase and technology improvement
P. 13
Agriculture: Main Strategic Actions
Potash – Strategic actions
Continue to leverage synergies across portfolio
& maintain market share
Assess several new competitive reserves globally and
capacity options in Spain and in Israel
Ability to handle industry’s uncertainty
Phosphate – Strategic actions
Growth: pursue additional sources
Restructuring & cost reduction: shape a more flexible and
profitable portfolio
Investigate reserve expansion in Israel – local regulatory
approval essential for future activity
Expand end to end activities in emerging markets
Agriculture
P. 14
Phosphates: At the Core of Our Agriculture,
Food and Engineered Materials Activities
Phosphate
rock
Phosphoric
acid
Fertilizers
Food salts Specialty
Fertilizers
White
Phosphoric
acid
Technical
salts
P4
Phosphorous
Flame
Retardants
Additives
Agriculture
Food
Engineered Materials
Expand the phosphate end-to-end business model across all
relevant geographies thereby maintaining global leadership
Agriculture
P. 15
Agriculture: Investigating Options to Strengthen
Specialty Fertilizers
Strategic actions
Focus on improving our core technologies and expand
product portfolio in:
Liquids fertilizers
Advanced coated fertilizers
Soluble specialty fertilizers
Expand into attractive geographies
Strengthen position into specialty agriculture market
Liquid fertilizers Soluble specialty fertilizers Advanced coated fertilizers
Agriculture
P. 16
Bromine: Industrial Demand Partially Offsets
Weakness in Electronics Business Book-to-Bill Ratio for the North American PCB
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
WW Rig Count
Engineered
Materials
Weakness in PC demand expected to
continue:
IDC* expects a 10% decrease in global
PC sales in 2013
Gartner & IDC expect further decline in
2014
Single digit modest growth expected
from 2015, due to growth in emerging
markets
* International Data Corporation Source: Baker Hughes
P. 17
Phosphates & other ingredients for industrial applications
Defend leadership
Leverage innovative technical phosphate application portfolio and
leadership in top applications
Secure access to competitive P4 & improve cost position in phosphates
Engineered Materials: Main Strategic Actions
Bromine
Grow the pie – continue to drive market growth & expansion
Innovation:
New products and applications
Substitutes
Position ICL as a leader in flame retardants across technologies
Open innovation
Advocacy
Collaborate with global regulators to improve green legislation and fire
safety standards mainly in emerging markets
Engineered
Materials
P. 18
Food: Expand from Phosphate Ingredients to
Growth in Texture and Stability Integrated Solutions
Food
Our strengths
Strong technology platform &
know-how provides preferred
solutions for customers
Offer distinctive texture and
stability solutions
Strategic actions
Expand applications development
and commercial footprint in
emerging markets
Enhance technology platform for
texture and stability solutions
Assess M&A options to expand
ingredients portfolio in a targeted
manner
P. 19
Texture & Stability - Example
Made without functional ingredients
No emulsification
Made with sodium phosphate and BEKAPLUS Q3B
(cellulose and guar gums)
Smooth and creamy texture
Secondary
benefits Strategic focus
Appearance
Shelf life
Nutrition
Flavor
Texture
Stability Develops and retains shape and
texture
Mouth feel, succulence,
tenderness
Food
P. 20
Our High-Level Financial Aspirations
Grow faster than the market
Maintain profitability*
CAPEX for infrastructure is expected to be replaced by
CAPEX for growth over time
Maintain implied international investment grade level
Secondary listing on the New York Stock Exchange to build
flexibility for possible transactions and to provide better
access to global capital markets.
Depending on project execution and market conditions:
The dividend policy will remain up to 70%
Share repurchase or one time dividend up to $500M
under review
* Maintaining H1 2013 profitability assuming same market conditions
P. 21
Mr. Avi Doitchman
Executive VP, CFO & Strategy
Financial
Results
P. 22
9M 13 9M 12 $ millions
Gross profit
Gross margin
1,833
38.8%
2,210
42.8%
Operating income
Operating margin
978
20.1%
1,363
26.4%
Sales (CIF) 4,855 5,168
% change
(17.1%)
(28.2%)
(6.4)%
9M 2013 Compared to 9M 2012
Net income
to the Company’s shareholders
699 1,092 (36.0%)
Adjusted Net income
817 1,092 (25.2%)
P. 23
Q3 12 $ millions
Gross profit
Gross margin
772
43.8%
Operating income
Operating margin
483
27.4%
Sales (CIF) 1,762
% change Vs. Q3 12
(34.5)%
(54)%
(18)%
Net income
to the Company’s shareholders
395 (80.3)%
Q3 13
506
35%
222
15.4%
1,445
78
% change VS. Q2 13
(29.5)%
(43.5)%
(18.4)%
(75.3)%
Q2 13
1,770
718
40.6%
393
22.2%
316
Q3 ‘13 Compared to Q3 ‘12 & Q2 ‘13
Adjusted Net income
196 395 (50.4)% 316 (38)%
P. 24
Sales Operating Profit
Q3 2013: Bridge Analysis
1,762 1,445
124 224 31
483
222
119
134 30 22
P. 25
Sheshinski Committee: ICL’s Preliminary Position
International potash-related GT
average - 29%. ICL Dead Sea 2014-
2030 GT - 45%; 55% including
dividends*.
The GT from ICL’s Dead Sea
profit has already surpassed the
appropriate level.
ICL’s agreements with the
government are binding and
prevent the government from
unilaterally increasing GT levels.
Any unilateral move to increase the
GT will also constitute a wrongful
injury to property, violation of
international treaties and a violation
of customary international law.
* Howard Rosen, CPA, FTI Consulting
ICL’s position confirmed by international and national leading experts
P. 26
Results by Segment
P. 27
Potash48%
Phosphates & Fertilizers
%
ICL Industrial Products
11%
ICL Performance Products
%
Potash23%
Phosphates & Fertilizers
26%ICL Industrial
Products20%
ICL Performance Products
29%
Other2%
Q3 2013 Operating Income
$222 million
Sales and Operating Income by Segment
Q3 2013 Sales*
$1,445 million
* Sales to external customers only
P. 28
Sales Operating Profit
Q3 2013: Fertilizers Bridge Analysis
367
135
114
124 8 14
1063 780
119 204 22 18
P. 29
Sales Operating Profit
Q3 2013: Industrial Products Bridge Analysis
339 301
28
12 2
52 27
14
12 1
P. 30
Sales Operating Profit
Q 201 : Performance Products Bridge Analysis
414 436
8 3 11
60 73
17 6 10
P. 31
Financial Overview
P. 32
10.9% 8.1% 10.4% 10.5%
22.4%31.2%
23.2%
31.4%
94.5%
29.5%
38.0%
53.1%
40.4%
29.4%
5.5% 4.2% 5.5% 5.3%9.6%
14.4% 12.9%19.1%
52.0%
19.4% 21.4%
33.5%25.8%
18.2%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*
Lower Yet Strong Returns
ROIC
ROE
ROE (Return on equity) = net income / shareholders' equity, average
ROIC (Return on invested capital ) = (operating income ×(1-0.20)) / ((trade receivables + inventory – trade payables) + PP&E, net), average
•LTM, after elimination of the tax effect in respect of release of trapped earnings in the amount of about NIS 377 million (about $107 million) and
update of the deferred taxes stemming from increase of the Companies Tax rate.
2000-2006 figures are based on Israeli GAAP, 2007-2013 are based on IFRS
Data for 2012-2013 reflect the application of 2 new IFRS accounting standards
P. 33
$ millions
Q3 Cash Flow Delivery
* 2006 figures are based on Israeli GAAP, 2007-2013 are based on IFRS
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
75 91 206 239 220 142 321 19291 177461 400 521
284376
425119
147
717
242370
499
716394
Q3Q2Q1
1,414
925
1,111
881
1,384
415 285
1,011
P. 34
Release of “trapped” profits in the amount of $1.1B:
To provide better flexibility in future investments.
One-time tax payment of NIS 380M (~$107M)
Successful international debt private placement in the amount of
$275M
Includes notes maturing over a period of 7-12 years paying
interest at LIBOR + 2.3%
Latest Financial Developments
P. 35
• Calculated according to market capitalization based on average share price adjusted for dividends. Dividends attributed to profits of that year.
Year Dividend Yield*
2001 4.0%
2002 4.8%
2003 4.5%
2004 4.5%
2005 3.6%
2006 6.4%
2007 3.5%
2008 5.9%
2009 3.9%
2010 7.0%
2011 5.9%
2012 6.4%
Dividend policy:
Up to 70% of net income in quarterly payments
More than a Decade of High Dividend Yields
2013 Dividend Payments
Q1: $213 million announced on May 13, 2013
Q : $221 million announced on August 7, 2013
Q3: $54.5 million announced on November 13, 2013
P. 36
(average Q3 13 compared to average Q3 12)
Change
-10.2% Appreciation of the NIS against the Dollar
6.1%
Appreciation of the EURO against the Dollar
(average for the period)
LIBOR Dollar interest rate (3 months) 0.3% vs. 0.4% last yr
54.5% Increase in Bulk Dry Freight Index (BDI)
Macroeconomic and Industry Parameters
Which Affected Q 2013 Results
P. 37
(average 1-9 13 compared to average 1-9 12)
Change
-5.8% Appreciation of the NIS against the Dollar
2.9%
Appreciation of the EURO against the Dollar
(average for the period)
LIBOR Dollar interest rate (3 months) 0.3% vs. 0.5% last yr
8.7% Increase in Bulk Dry Freight Index (BDI)
Macroeconomic and Industry Parameters
Which Affected 1- 2013 Results
P. 38
Thank You
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www.icl-group.com