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INSIGHT DATA SCIENCE MARTIN GASCON

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INSIGHT DATA SCIENCE

MARTIN GASCON

THE PROBLEM

HOW DOES IT WORK?

• retrieve info from the GDELT DB • select events based on location• uses a Kernel Density Estimation

The GDELT Project

Events: kill, arrest, kidnap, etc.NumArts: # of articles x eventNumber: # of people affectedGeo location

The tools

The algorithm

The Data (30 GB)

The Database

Global Database of Events, Language and Tone

EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS#

of V

icti

ms

Sundays

Date (Jul-Aug 2015)

It is better to travel on Sundays

EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS

# of Victims

Worldwide victims(06/2015-01/2016)

2 victims

Number of travelers also matters

About me

Martin GasconPhD Nuclear Physics, USC (Spain)Postdoctoral Fellow, Stanford UniversityPhysics Research Fellow, Berkeley Lab

EXTRA SLIDES

Validation - Violent crime score

Information about population for each

Mexican State

Validation - Homicide score

Information about population for each

Mexican State

Hom

icid

e

Validation - Official Data from Mexico Public Safety office

Information about population for each

Mexican State

Validation - Official Data from Mexico Public Safety office

Information about population for each

Mexican State

Validation - Official Data from Mexico Public Safety office

Information about population for each

Mexican State

• advantages and disadvantages of each implementation

• bandwidth

• six kernel forms available in Scikit-learn

EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS

# of Victims

Worldwide victims reflected in at least 4 news

(06/2015-01/2016)

2 victims

• two is the most frequent number of victims

• multiples of ten are frequent too

# of

Vic

tim

s

Sundays

It is better to travel on Sundays