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Labour Market Information
Jasmina BehanSkills and Labour Market Research Unit
SOLAS and Expert Group on Future Skills NeedsDecember 2014
SOLAS
Outline
• Identification of skill needs in Ireland
• Current labour market situation at national level
• Mid West
• Future demand for skills
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Labour market: current situation
Source: Central Statistics Office
2007 Q2 2012 Q2 2014
Employment2.16m 1.84m 1. 90m
Unemployment105,000 323,000 255,000
Unemployment rate5% 15% 12%
Employment by occupation (quarter 2 2013, 000s)
SOLAS
Unemployment (q4 2013) Unemployment rate
Unemployment rate by age and education (quarter 4 2013)
PES Job seekers by region and county Nov 2014
• Sales, marketing and customer service
• Science and engineering professionals and technicians (ICT, engineering, etc.)
• Business professionals (accounting, finance, risk, sales accounts etc.)
• Administrative occupations (book-keepers, payroll clerks, financial clerks)
• Craft (tool making, welding)
• Caring personal services (care workers, nursing assistants)
• Catering occupations (chefs, waiters, kitchen/catering assistants)
• Corporate managers and directors (manufacturing, warehousing, HR etc.)
Current demand: vacancies
• ICT (software developers, databases/big data, specific product knowledge, IT security, technical support, networking and infrastructure)
• Engineering (production and process engineering; quality and validation; product
development and design • Science (R&D, science & business; science & sales)
• Business & finance (accountants, quantitative analysts (e.g. financial analysts, statisticians, economists, actuaries, risk analysts); management consultants
• Health (doctors (GPs and non-consultant hospital doctors), nurses (intensive care, theatre, oncology, paediatrics, geriatric care), radiographers (CT, MRI), sonographers
• Sales (technical sales (B2B and B2C), multilingual customer support, online sales and marketing)
• Craft (tool making, welding (TIG, MIG))
• Transport (multilingual supply chain and logistics managers, HGV and forklift drivers)
• Clerical (multilingual credit control/debt collection, supply chain & logistics)
Current demand: difficult to fill vacancies
Regional classification: CSO NUTS3
Border Dublin Mid-East Midland Mid-West West South-East South-West Cavan Dublin City Kildare Laois Clare Galway City Carlow Cork CityDonegal Dublin County Meath Longford Limerick City Galway County Kilkenny Cork CountyLeitrim Wicklow Offaly Limerick County Mayo South Tipperary KerryLouth Westmeath North Tipperary Roscommon Waterford CityMonaghan Waterford CountySligo Wexford
In the CSO classification, Meath is classified in the Mid-East region which also includes Dublin, Kildare and Wicklow – a grouping often referred to as the Greater Dublin Area (GDA); in the VEC grouping, it is grouped with Louth, which the CSO classifies as a Border county.
Mid-West
Population : 378,000
Working age (15-64): 247,000
Labour force: 174,000
Employment: 151,000
Unemployment: 18,200
Employment rate: 60.2%
Unemployment rate: 10.7%
Participation rate: 57.2%
GVA per person (€) 25,982
GVA P.P. INDEX (State = 100) 81.0
Source: CSO QNHS Q4 2013
Mid-West– Employment by broad economic sector, Q4 2013
Source: Analysis by FÁS (SLMRU) based on CSO data
Employment distribution by sector
Mid-West – enterprises (non-public sector, non-farming)
• Just under 15,000 active enterprises
– 92% employ fewer than 10 persons; <1% employ 250+
– Almost 30% of active enterprises were in Wholesale and Retail
– The largest number of active enterprises are in
Wholesale/Retail followed by Construction
– The largest enterprises are in manufacturing
Mid-West – Industry (manufacturing, energy and utilities)
Industrial units Gross output in industrial units (€ billion)
Mid-West – manufacturing employment (q4 2013)
Mid-West – manufacturing (food and beverages)
Mid-West – Manufacturing High-tech manufacturing
Medium-high-tech manufacturing
Bijur Lubricating Ireland Ltd
Rettig Ireland Ltd
Mid-West – other sectors Accommodation
Finance and Insurance
Wholesale and Retail
Architectural & Engineering Scientific Research & Development
Personnel Services
Admin & Support
Sykes
Mid-West – employment by occupation (q4 2013)
Employment distribution by sector
Mid-West – estimated replacement demand
Occupational group Employment q4 2013Replacement rate
Replacement demand
Managers 12000 2% 200Professionals 26000 2% 500Assoc. prof. 15000 2% 300Clerks 16000 2% 300Skilled trades 29000 2% 600Care, leisure etc. 12000 2% 200Sales/customer care 12000 2% 200Operatives 14000 2% 300Elementary 16000 2% 300Total 152000 2% 3000
Source: SLMRU analysis of the CSO data
Mid-West – job announcements
ManufactruingMedical DevicesEthicon
Biosurgery Regeneration
Pharmaceuticals
Vistakon
ConstructionRe-generation
UL
ICT/ServicesWipro
Financial Services
Pepper Asset Servicing
University of Limerick – UL
Capital Developmen
t Plan
Mid-West – unemployment (q1 2013)
Unemployment by age Unemployment by education
SOLAS
PES Vacancies and Job Seekers by Occupation
SOLAS
PES job seekers by education
Sectoral employment projections (ESRI MTR 2013)
Employment growth by occupational family 2012-2020 (Recovery)
Labour Market Transitions
Employment
Unemployment
134,500
97,700
Inactivity
Inter-occupatio
nal 51,500
Intra-occupatio
nal 139,000
133,500
155,000
20
7,6
00
19
3,8
00
Labour market transitions: key points
• Large volume of movement in and out of employment
• Indication of flexibility of the Irish labour market
• Entries to employment exceed exits to unemployment and inactivity• Challenge in securing continuity of employment (teachers, doctors, carers,
clerks, sales, food operatives, taxi drivers and many elementary occupations (e.g. hospitality, cleaning, construction etc.)
• Up-skilling as a strategy to improve employment quality– Exits to education (sales, elementary)– Inter-occupational movements: net gainers and net losers
Labour Market Transitions
Concluding remarks on future demand for skills
• Skills – key resource for growth (flexibility, productivity, innovation)
• From quantity to quality of jobs (knowledge intensive
occupations)
• From investment to knowledge driven economy
• From employee to employer
• From ‘job for life’ to ‘work for life’
• Life long learning
38
39
Relevant reports
SOLAS
National Skills Bulletin 2014
Monitoring Ireland’s Skills Supply 2014
Regional Labour Markets Bulletin 2014
www.skillsireland.ie
Occupational Employment Projections 2020
www.solas.ie
Vacancy Overview 2013