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Labour Market Information Jasmina Behan Skills and Labour Market Research Unit SOLAS and Expert Group on Future Skills Needs December 2014

Presenation to LCETB from SMLRU

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Page 1: Presenation to LCETB from SMLRU

Labour Market Information

Jasmina BehanSkills and Labour Market Research Unit

SOLAS and Expert Group on Future Skills NeedsDecember 2014

Page 2: Presenation to LCETB from SMLRU

SOLAS

Outline

• Identification of skill needs in Ireland

• Current labour market situation at national level

• Mid West

• Future demand for skills

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Labour market: current situation

Source: Central Statistics Office

2007 Q2 2012 Q2 2014

Employment2.16m 1.84m 1. 90m

Unemployment105,000 323,000 255,000

Unemployment rate5% 15% 12%

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Employment by occupation (quarter 2 2013, 000s)

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Unemployment (q4 2013) Unemployment rate

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Unemployment rate by age and education (quarter 4 2013)

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PES Job seekers by region and county Nov 2014

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• Sales, marketing and customer service

• Science and engineering professionals and technicians (ICT, engineering, etc.)

• Business professionals (accounting, finance, risk, sales accounts etc.)

• Administrative occupations (book-keepers, payroll clerks, financial clerks)

• Craft (tool making, welding)

• Caring personal services (care workers, nursing assistants)

• Catering occupations (chefs, waiters, kitchen/catering assistants)

• Corporate managers and directors (manufacturing, warehousing, HR etc.)

Current demand: vacancies

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• ICT (software developers, databases/big data, specific product knowledge, IT security, technical support, networking and infrastructure)

• Engineering (production and process engineering; quality and validation; product

development and design • Science (R&D, science & business; science & sales)

• Business & finance (accountants, quantitative analysts (e.g. financial analysts, statisticians, economists, actuaries, risk analysts); management consultants

• Health (doctors (GPs and non-consultant hospital doctors), nurses (intensive care, theatre, oncology, paediatrics, geriatric care), radiographers (CT, MRI), sonographers

• Sales (technical sales (B2B and B2C), multilingual customer support, online sales and marketing)

• Craft (tool making, welding (TIG, MIG))

• Transport (multilingual supply chain and logistics managers, HGV and forklift drivers)

• Clerical (multilingual credit control/debt collection, supply chain & logistics)

Current demand: difficult to fill vacancies

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Regional classification: CSO NUTS3

Border Dublin Mid-East Midland Mid-West West South-East South-West Cavan Dublin City Kildare Laois Clare Galway City Carlow Cork CityDonegal Dublin County Meath Longford Limerick City Galway County Kilkenny Cork CountyLeitrim Wicklow Offaly Limerick County Mayo South Tipperary KerryLouth Westmeath North Tipperary Roscommon Waterford CityMonaghan Waterford CountySligo Wexford

In the CSO classification, Meath is classified in the Mid-East region which also includes Dublin, Kildare and Wicklow – a grouping often referred to as the Greater Dublin Area (GDA); in the VEC grouping, it is grouped with Louth, which the CSO classifies as a Border county.

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Mid-West

Population : 378,000

Working age (15-64): 247,000

Labour force: 174,000

Employment: 151,000

Unemployment: 18,200

Employment rate: 60.2%

Unemployment rate: 10.7%

Participation rate: 57.2%

GVA per person (€) 25,982

GVA P.P. INDEX (State = 100) 81.0

Source: CSO QNHS Q4 2013

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Mid-West– Employment by broad economic sector, Q4 2013

Source: Analysis by FÁS (SLMRU) based on CSO data

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Employment distribution by sector

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Mid-West – enterprises (non-public sector, non-farming)

• Just under 15,000 active enterprises

– 92% employ fewer than 10 persons; <1% employ 250+

– Almost 30% of active enterprises were in Wholesale and Retail

– The largest number of active enterprises are in

Wholesale/Retail followed by Construction

– The largest enterprises are in manufacturing

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Mid-West – Industry (manufacturing, energy and utilities)

Industrial units Gross output in industrial units (€ billion)

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Mid-West – manufacturing employment (q4 2013)

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Mid-West – manufacturing (food and beverages)

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Mid-West – Manufacturing High-tech manufacturing

Medium-high-tech manufacturing

Bijur Lubricating Ireland Ltd

Rettig Ireland Ltd

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Mid-West – other sectors Accommodation

Finance and Insurance

Wholesale and Retail

Architectural & Engineering Scientific Research & Development

Personnel Services

Admin & Support

Sykes

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Mid-West – employment by occupation (q4 2013)

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Employment distribution by sector

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Mid-West – estimated replacement demand

Occupational group Employment q4 2013Replacement rate

Replacement demand

Managers 12000 2% 200Professionals 26000 2% 500Assoc. prof. 15000 2% 300Clerks 16000 2% 300Skilled trades 29000 2% 600Care, leisure etc. 12000 2% 200Sales/customer care 12000 2% 200Operatives 14000 2% 300Elementary 16000 2% 300Total 152000 2% 3000

Source: SLMRU analysis of the CSO data

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Mid-West – job announcements

ManufactruingMedical DevicesEthicon

Biosurgery Regeneration

Pharmaceuticals

Vistakon

ConstructionRe-generation

UL

ICT/ServicesWipro

Financial Services

Pepper Asset Servicing

University of Limerick – UL

Capital Developmen

t Plan

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Mid-West – unemployment (q1 2013)

Unemployment by age Unemployment by education

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PES Vacancies and Job Seekers by Occupation

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PES job seekers by education

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Sectoral employment projections (ESRI MTR 2013)

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Employment growth by occupational family 2012-2020 (Recovery)

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Labour Market Transitions

Employment

 

 

 

 

Unemployment

134,500

97,700

Inactivity

Inter-occupatio

nal 51,500 

Intra-occupatio

nal 139,000

133,500 

 

155,000

 

 

20

7,6

00

  19

3,8

00

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Labour market transitions: key points

• Large volume of movement in and out of employment

• Indication of flexibility of the Irish labour market

• Entries to employment exceed exits to unemployment and inactivity• Challenge in securing continuity of employment (teachers, doctors, carers,

clerks, sales, food operatives, taxi drivers and many elementary occupations (e.g. hospitality, cleaning, construction etc.)

• Up-skilling as a strategy to improve employment quality– Exits to education (sales, elementary)– Inter-occupational movements: net gainers and net losers

Labour Market Transitions

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Concluding remarks on future demand for skills

• Skills – key resource for growth (flexibility, productivity, innovation)

• From quantity to quality of jobs (knowledge intensive

occupations)

• From investment to knowledge driven economy

• From employee to employer

• From ‘job for life’ to ‘work for life’

• Life long learning

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Relevant reports

SOLAS

National Skills Bulletin 2014

Monitoring Ireland’s Skills Supply 2014

Regional Labour Markets Bulletin 2014

www.skillsireland.ie

Occupational Employment Projections 2020

www.solas.ie

Vacancy Overview 2013

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SOLAS

Contact details

[email protected]. 01 5332459

www.solas.iewww.skillsireland.ie