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Enduring Community Value from Mining (ECVM): Tracking & Mapping Mine Expenditure

Principal Research LeaderDr Boyd Blackwell

UNE Business School, Armidale NSWwww.une.edu.au/staff­profiles/business/bblackw2

AcknowledgementPresentation to: DSD, SA Government, Adelaide

27 Oct 2016

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Regional Economies – ECVM

ECVM Project Outputs

• Key Commonwealth Milestone:

• E… C… V… M…• 8 months remaining – ends 30 June 2017

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Output 2.2:

• Data will be produced on the size and flows of costs and benefits generated by mining operations.

• Spatial and economic predictive models of a mine's impacts will be used.

• Case studies and scenario planning tools will be developed for communities to manage risks.

• An input-output model of remote Australia will be produced.

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Sub Projects – All connected through ECVM*

• Most of us have or do cover labour and labour mobility issues• Much has already been produced e.g. http://crc-rep.com/research/regional-

economies/enduring-community-value-mining/project-outputs

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Member (Uni) Position Project/s % complete End date

Dr Boyd Blackwell (UNE)

PRL Mine expenditureMine employmentToolkitI-O ModelS&I

70% (8months remaining)*

Jun 2017

Anne Fordham (UniSA)

PhD/RO CSR 60%* Jun 2017

Stuart Robertson (UNE)

PhD Mine Lifecycle Planning

Complete Submitted

Jim McFarlane PhD/RO RegionalEconomies

Complete* Submitted

Kate Rampellini (Curtin)

PhD Spatial analysis & ABM

30%* > Jun 2017

Paulina Sepúlveda Bravo

PhD Economic ABM 75%* Dec 2016

Supporting Impact

• ECVM Toolkit• To help bring industry, government, and communities together in

negotiating planning and management of the mine and community• Will link research outputs at rear, middle main modules, aide

memoire – check list• Get parties negotiating and planning early

• Tools• Employment impact model• Input-Output model of remote Australia• Etc.

• Examples: Senate Inquiry FIFO, Leigh Creek Transitional Policy, Jabiru authority expiration, Pilbara – multitude of opportunities

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Member (Uni) Position

Project/s Audience Research outputs*

Dr Boyd Blackwell (UNE)

Mr Jim McFarlane

PRL

PhD/RO

Mine expenditureMine employmentToolkitI-O ModelS&IOnline Atlas

ALLALLCommunitiesNinti One LtdALLALL

Model*Model*Guide, webModel*Various*Mapping & Analytical Tool

Anne Fordham (UniSA)

PhD CSR ALL but Industry

New CSRFramework*t

Stuart Robertson (UNE)

PhD Mine Lifecycle Planning

Communities, government, companies

Dependencytesting method*t

Kate Rampellini (Curtin)

PhD Spatial analysis & ABM

Government, Industry

IntegrativeModel*t

Paulina Sepúlveda Bravo

PhD Economic ABM Government, industry

Impact Model*t

• Notes: * = in addition there are articles, papers, lectures / presentations, conferences, etc.• t = PhD theses will be available as well; ALL includes communities, government, companies,

Ninti One Ltd

Sub Projects – Audience Table, Summary

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Social Acceptance and Mineral Development

• How is ECVM delivered? Land, Labour and Capital• ECVM projects provide tools that can deliver an

evidence base for whether ECVM is being delivered• ECVM critical to obtaining social acceptance• Early information to communities: trust, social

acceptance• Governments and Companies make decisions,

communities can only influence them• Ethically, without social acceptance, difficult for mining

to proceed in good faith

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Mapping and Tracking Mining Project: Recent Findings

Employment concentration and vulnerability - SA

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Employment income concentration and vulnerability –NT*

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Employment concentration and vulnerability - WA

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Leigh Creek, employment impact model mine closure

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Roxby Downs, employment impact model mine closure

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0

-1,012

-73 -11-91

-160 -137 -132

-1,200

-1,000

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

Industry

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APY Lands, employment impact model resource dev.

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Industry

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Industry

Ranger, employment impact model mine closure – Likely case

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Ranger, Employment impact model mine closure – Worse case

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Ranger, Employment impact of mine closure – Best Case

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Online Atlas Development

• SA prepared, NT and WA being added• Trialled mine impact employment models

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I-O Model of Remote Australia – Early prelim. results*

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Australia

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I-O Model of Remote Australia – Early prelim. results* cont….

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Remote Australia

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%

Industry

Social Acceptance and Mineral Development

• Range of projects that can provide an evidence base for whether ECVM is being delivered

• ECVM critical to obtaining social acceptance• Providing information to communities early can help

in building trust and gaining social acceptance• Governments and Companies make decisions,

communities can only influence them• Ethically however, without social acceptance, difficult

for mining to proceed in good faith• resulting in a burden placed on society – for which

governments are ultimately accountable and responsible

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ECVM Remote Community Mining Toolkit*

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ECVM Remote Community Mining Toolkit cont...*

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