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Op 14 april 2014 organiseerde NRC Carrière een evenement over Talent. Arbeidsmarktspecialist Kevin Wheeler was uitgenodigd om te vertellen over the Future of Talent.
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
NRC Carriere | The Netherlands April 2014
Presented by Kevin Wheeler
Future of Talent Trends 2014 & Beyond
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute2
38-40 million fewer workers with a college/postgraduate degree than needed. 13% more demand than supply.45 million too few workers with secondary education. 15% fewer than needed.90-95 million low-skill workers (without college or secondary education) than employers will need. 11% oversupply.
State of Global Labour Supply
Source: http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/employment_and_growth/the_world_at_work
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Conflicting Worlds. . .Make all the Difference for HR
Serial ProcessingPlanningMindset: permanenceComplicated worldPast & future similar
Whenever
Real time processing/StreamingIntuitionMindset: all is transitoryChaotic WorldPast & Future different
Now
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Rise of Career Mosaics
Sustainability
Just enoughValues
Spirituality
FunOpenness
Meaning
Entrepreneurial Mindset Dominates
GUIDING PRINCIPLE: Deliberate CHOICE rather than social pressure.
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Yahoo survey shows 60% of
Americans unhappy with
career choice
DEFINE SUCCESSEMBRACE TRAIL & ERROR
DISCOVER YOUR STRENGTHS
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
The Augmented Individual
Internet & software are augmenting the human mind
The “Engine” of the 21st Century
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“Every experience is being mediated and conceived around how it can be captured and augmented by our devices." Mathias Crawford, Stanford University
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Social Power of Automation & Robotics
-McKinsey Global Institute.
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Capital is substituting for Labour
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute7
What’s the Probability YOUR Job will be Automated? H
IGH
LY LIKELYNOT LIKELY
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Beyond WordsVideo, Texting, IM
Shift away from lengthy discourse
wor
ds to
con
text
Changing nature of communication
“People of the Screen”
Video/Images dominates: Netflix, YouTube, Instagram
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
“Employees will work in more decentralized, specialized firms, and employer-employee relationships will become less standardized and more individualized.” -Rand Report, Future Work Trends, 2004
Lower cash investment needed
Smaller, Leaner, networked Firms
Fun, satisfying, meaningful
Lower cost structure
-Collaborative partnerships-Virtual organizations-Co-work
New Ways of Organizing Work
Core Employees
Core Employees
Partners
Consultants
Customers
Suppliers
Temps
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
The industrial age separated people, organized them into functions and silos that actually prohibited sharing and, hence, in many ways inhibited invention and innovation.
New organizational structures are emerging.
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Firms will need people with broad, diverse skills who can learn quickly,
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
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Recruiting Trends
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Agile Recruiting Becomes VitalAbility to meet client needs as
fast as (or faster than)
expectations.
Systems built for flexibility
and quick change.
Proactive sourcing – able to anticipate
market direction.
Capable of quickly assessing
candidates through
automated tools.
Lower costs; remain
profitable.
AGILE RECRUITING
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Market Knowledge Drive Profits
SUPPLY TIMEDEMAND MONEY
Economy, Demographics, Workforce, Workplace
Hot Jobs, Hot Sources, Hot Clients
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Social Media is key to candidate awareness and engagement.
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
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Social Media Influence
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Gamification
Seamless User Interfaces
Apps
Candidates & Hiring Managers are Center
MicroXctions
Mobile Grows Exponentially
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
The rise of mobile
“23% of all Google
searches that contain
the word ‘job’ come
from mobile devices.”
http
://ww
w.so
cialta
lent
.co/
reso
urce
s
In a survey from Glassdoor, 89% of employees who admit they’ll look for a new job in the next year say their mobile device is an important tool and resource for their job search.
55% of adults have a smartphone.http://pewinternet.org/~/media//Files/Reports/2014/PIP_E-reading_011614.pdf
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Employers will make decisions about candidates based on everything about them on the web.
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Candidates will Showcase Their Skills
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Assessment will go Automated
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Sourcing will be about drawing information from candidate data
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”The web is your CV and social networks are
your references.”
Search will be composed of a mix of structured and unstructured, aggregated and integrated data, streaming and static data.
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute23
Big Data Sourcing Tools
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
What’s Possible in 3-5 Years?
Aggregation and Intelligent Analysis of multiple, seemingly unrelated datasets.Access to vast amounts of unstructured data.Ranking of quality/trustworthiness/and other factors based on recorded behaviors.Ability to prescribe who would best fit a need based on multiple past searches and probability analysis.Includes video and audio data
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Recruiting becomes a DYNAMIC, all-the-
time, process of scanning, analyzing,
and assessing for. . .
Using…. -Social Networks -Collaborative sourcing -Assessment Games -Job Previews -Analytics -Crowd Assessment
Jobs that are DYNAMIC, evolving, global and highlyvaried.
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Typical Worker 2020-2024• Half of workforce Typical workers is 35. Has
never had a “normal” job or has had one briefly.
Valued by network with strong social influence scores and endorsements.
• Finds work via skills marketplaces, peer networks, collaboration, social media.
• Recruiting is about matching, fit, “now needs,” “now fulfillment.”
• Mobile, wearable tools abound
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Typical Worker 2020-2024
• Cycles between projects & longer term contracts.
• Expects to be guided by process and goals, not a manager.
• Self-learning dominates.
• Measure of success is peer respect, goal achievement (performance), and flexibility.
• Performance measured by social media, web presence, peer comments, analysis of work output.
• Workplace may be anywhere - mobile/fixed/remote/virtual.
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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
www.futureoftalent.org
Kevin WheelerFounder & Chairman
Follow me on Twitter: @kwheeler
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