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Presentation on the 2008 NMC Horizon Report that I did for Camosun College's Distributed Ed days
Citation preview
http://www.flickr.com/photos/alaw168/324768577/
What’s On Your Horizon?
A conversation about the 2008 NMC Horizon Report
with Scott Leslie, BCcampus
About The Horizon Report
Horizon Reports 2004-2007
The Advisory Board
research dialog
The Process (http://horizon.nmc.org/wiki/Main_Page)
hz08 tag
Perils of Predicting the Future
http://www.flickr.com/photos/kk/4983299/
Forecasting versus Predicting
Predicting is about certainty, and forecasting is about appreciating uncertainty. Forecasting gives a context for decision makers to act in the face of uncertainty. In the business world, uncertainty is our friend, because uncertainty is opportunity.
-- Paul Saffo
Not About Being “Right”
creative commons licensed flickr photo by dogfaceboy
Time to Adoption != Time To Viable
creative commons licensed flickr photo by dogfaceboy
Not Determinism, but Technology Does Transform
http://www.flickr.com/photos/rutty/503238148/
Trendshttp://www.flickr.com/photos/banlon1964/11647398/
• The growing use of Web 2.0 and social networking—combined with collective intelligence and mass amateurization—is gradually but inexorably changing the practice of scholarship.
• The way we work, collaborate, and communicate is evolving as boundaries become more fluid and globalization increases.
• Access to—and portability of—content is increasing as smaller, more powerful devices are introduced.
• The gap between students’ perception of technology and that of faculty continues to widen. Students and faculty continue to view and experience technology very differently.
Challenges
http://www.flickr.com/photos/nessman/2795762/
• Significant shifts in scholarship, research,creative expression, and learning have createda need for innovation and leadership at alllevels of the academy.
• Higher education is facing a growingexpectation to deliver services, content andmedia to mobile and personal devices.
• The renewed emphasis on collaborativelearning is pushing the educational communityto develop new forms of interaction andassessment.
•The academy is faced with a need to provideformal instruction in information, visual, andtechnological literacy as well as in how to createmeaningful content with today’s tools.
The Three Horizonshttp://www.flickr.com/photos/fristle/1538513687/
Horizon 1- One Year or Less
“What would you list among the established technologies that learning-focused institutions should all be using broadly today to support or enhance teaching, learning or creative expression?”
http://www.flickr.com/photos/splat/729854812/
Horizon 2 - Two to Three Years
“What technologies that have a solid user base in consumer, entertainment, or other industries should learning-focused institutions be actively looking for ways to apply?”
http://www.flickr.com/photos/mobilhomme/2181653996/
Horizon 3 - Three to Five Years
“What are the key emerging technologies you see developing to the point that learning-focused institutions should begin to take notice during the next 3-5 years?”
http://www.flickr.com/photos/stevenwbohm/1285931512/
Play the Horizon Game – The Camosun Version!
“What would you list among the established technologies that learning-focused institutions should all be using broadly today to support or enhance teaching, learning or creative expression?”
“What technologies that have a solid user bas in consumer, entertainment, or other industries should learning-focused institutions be actively looking for ways to apply?”
“What are the key emerging technologies you see developing to the point that learning-focused institutions should begin to take notice during the next 3-5 years?”
The 2008 Short List
The 2008 Finalists
http://www.flickr.com/photos/the-o/2144485591/
Horizon 1 – Grassroots Video
http://www.flickr.com/photos/ezalis/77430740/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/shapeshift/125590964/
Horizon 1 – Collaboration Webs
Horizon 2 – Mobile Broadband
http://www.flickr.com/photos/andyi/482006549/
Horizon 2 – Data Mashups
http://weblogs.elearning.ubc.ca/brian/archives/040266.php
Horizon 3 – Collective Intelligence
http://www.flickr.com/photos/mykaul/21095046/
Horizon 3 – Social Operating Systems
After Five Years: The Metatrends
Research Agenda
http://horizon.nmc.org/wiki/Research_Agenda
K-12 Horizon Project
http://horizonproject2008.wikispaces.com/