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Presentation given at the Publishers Association International Conference 2011, in London, at the Fishmongers Hall, on December 15, 2011. It gives an overview of the Brazilian publishing market, both for physical and digital books, and enlightens the opportunities for British publishers.
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PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
What is next for publishing in Brazil
Is Brazil the land of thepublishing future?
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
In 1941, Stefan Zweig...
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
“Brazil is the country of the future…
Since then, Brazilians believe:
…and will always be.”
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
“In the favelas, in the senateDirt is everywhereNobody respects the ConstitutionBut everyone believes in the future of the nationWhat kind of country is this?”
The idea is supported by artists...
Renato Russo,Brazilian musician,Legião Urbana,1987
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
“Le Brésil n'est pas un pays sérieux.”
...and by the other side of the Channel:
General Charles De Gaulle,French military and politician,
in 1963.
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
“Your country deserves more than ‘potential’. Brazil is a country of the future and you must resolve that the ‘future’ is tomorrow not somewhere in the middle.”
But this lady believed in us:
Margaret Thatcher,Britain’s fighting lady,in a 1994 speech
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
“For so long, you were called a country of the future, told to wait for a better day. That day has finally come. And this is a country of the future no more. For the people of Brazil, the
future has arrived. And it’s time to seize it.”
And this bloke also gave some support:
Barack Obama,president of a former British colony, in a 2011 speech in Rio.
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
So, did Mr. Obama get things right this time?
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
We are growing fine...
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Brazilian GNP Growth Rate*
Perc
enta
ual G
row
th
GNP in 2010:1.4 trillion GBP
Forecasted Growth for 2011: 4.0 %*Source: IBGE
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
10
20
30
40
50
60
The Social Classes's Mobility*
E-classD-classC-classAB-class
Perc
enta
ge o
f the
Pop
ulati
onWe are distributing better...
E-class: £0 to £282D-class: £282 to £451C-class: £451 to £1945AB-class: £1945 up
* Family monthly income
*Source: Centro de Políticas Sociais | FGV
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
And the C-class is booming...
15.36%
11.58%
55.80%
17.26%
The Brazilian Social Classes in 2011*
E-classD-classC-classAB-class
*Source: Centro de Políticas Sociais | FGV
E-class: £0 to £282D-class: £282 to £451C-class: £451 to £1945AB-class: £1945 up
* Family monthly income
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The number of colleges grew...The Brazilian Social Classes in 2011*
Source: Censo da Educação Superior 2009 | Inep, MEC
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
173 186 195 207 224 231 248 249 236 245
10041208
14421652
17891934 2022 2032 2016 2039
Colleges Institutions in Brazil
Public Institutions Private Institutions
Num
ber o
f Ins
tituti
ons
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The number of students grew...The Brazilian Social Classes in 2011*
Source: Censo da Educação Superior 2009 | Inep, MEC
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
College Students in Brazil
Private Students Public Students
Num
ber o
f Enr
ollm
ents
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
So suddenly we are on the news...
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
We are on the movies...
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
And our flip-flops are trendy and cool
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
We will host the Olympics in 2016
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
We will host the World Cup in 2014
Possible 2014 World Cup Final Match
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
We will host the World Cup in 2014
Impossible 2014 World Cup Final Match
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
So, does the land of the futurehave a publishing present?
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Readers
There are 95.6 million readers in Brazil (55% of the population above 5 years of age).
47.4 million (50%) of these readers are students who read textbooks and school recommended titles.
6.9 million (7%) read the Bible
Brazilians read 4.7 books per capita per year. From which 3.4 are school-related.
Source: Retratos da Leitura | 2008
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Readers
Source: Retratos da Leitura | 2008
2.6; 3%
15.5; 16%
41; 43%
36.5; 38%
Millions of Readers by Economic Class
A B C D/E
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Readers
Millions of readers by economic class
Source: Retratos da Leitura | 2008
A B C D/E0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
86%
74%
61%
44%
Readership Penetration by Economic Class
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Readers
Millions of readers by economic class
Source: Retratos da Leitura | 2008
Readership Penetration by Economic Class
English Spanish French Italian Other0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
98.3
4.9
0.8 0.6 0.9
Readership in Foreign LanguagesM
illio
ns o
f Rea
ders
5,1%8,7% 0.7%0.8% 1.0%
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Non-Readers
The Illiteracy is 9,7% according to official stats.*
The functional illiteracy is 20,3% according to official stats.* (Four or less years of formal education)
Classes D and E, 27% of the population, virtually can’t buy books
* Source: Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios | 2009 | IBGE.
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Non-Readers
Source: Relatório INAF 2009 | Instituto Paulo Montenegro
2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2007 20090%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Brazilian Literacy
Illiterate Rudimentary Basic Full
Perc
enta
ge o
f the
Pop
ulati
on
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Buyers
36.3 million People in Brazil bought at least one book during the last 12 months (21% of the population above 5 years of age).
Brazilians buy 1.2 books per capita per year.
Source: Retratos da Leitura | 2008
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Buyers
Millions of readers by economic class
Source: Retratos da Leitura | 2008
1.8; 5%
8.8; 24%
17; 47%
8.8; 24%
Millions of Book Buyers by Economic Class
A B C D/E
Book buyer is a person who bought at least one book during the preceding year.
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Booksellers
1,000 “proper” bookstores in the country. Around 5,000 book points of sales.
2/3 of the Brazilian citys do not have a bookstore.*
Bookstore sales grew nominally 9.6% in. Inflation was 6.4%.*
Only 49% have e-commerce (2010).*
78% of the booksellers intended to invest in the businessin 2011.*
* Source: Levantamento do Setor Livreiro 2010 | ANL
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Booksellers
The main bookstore chains:
1. Saraiva: 101 stores2. Cultura: 13 stores3. Laselva: 88 stores4. Nobel: 200 stores and mini-stores5. Leitura: 29 stores6. Curitiba: 22 stores7. Fnac: 8 stores8. Travessa: 5 stores9. Vila: 4 stores
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Foreigners
Portugal: Leya, Babel
Spain: Santillana, Planeta, SM
UK/Netherlands: Elsevier
UK: Pearson, Penguin, OUP
US: Thomas Nelson, Cengage
France: FNAC
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Rulers The Brazilian government is one of the largest book buyers in the
world. Public schools book purchases are centralized.
The Brazilian government spent 408 million GBP in 2010, a 25% increase from 2009, and worth 25% of all publishers sales.
Books are 100% tax free in Brazil: No VAT or any other taxation.
The Brazilian National Library will spent 4.3 million GBP in tranalstion grants until 2020.
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Rulers
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Government Sales in Brazil
Government Private sector
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Bestsellers1. Ágape | Padre Marcelo | Globo Livros | 502,240
2. The Shack | William Young | Sextante | 95.799
3. Dear John | Nicholas Sparks| Novo Conceito | 80,405
4. A Game for Thrones | George Martin | Leya | 76,651
5. Guia Politicamente Incorreto da Hist. do Brasil | Leonardo Narloch | Leya | 71,015
6. 1822 | Laurentino Gomes | Ediouro | 67,367
7. The Notebook | Nicholas Sparks | Novo Conceito | 66,253
8. Water for Elephants | Sara Gruen | Sextante | 65,935
9. The Little Prince | Saint-Exupéry | Ediouro | 63,198
10. Why Men Love Bitches | Sherry Argov | Sextante | 58,299Source: PublishNews, 2011
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Bestselling Publishers1. Sextante | 69 hits on the list
2. Record | 56 hits on the list
3. Ediouro | 39 hits on the list
4. Intrínseca | 31 hits on the list
5. Santillana | 26 hits on the list
6. Companhia das Letras | 22 hits on the list
7. Saraiva | 22 hits on the list
8. Leya | 20 hits on the list
9. Planeta | 15 hits on the list
10. Elsevier | 14 hits on the listSource: PublishNews, 2011
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
What about digital?
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
October 19, 2009: the first day
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The cat and the submarine First Brazilian e-bookstore
founded in December ’09
It has 8,500 Portuguese titles in the catalogue (Dec. ‘11)
Partnered with Submarino from August ’10 until the end of this year
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
Livraria Cultura followed
Founded in March ’10
It has 5,800 Portuguese titles in the catalogue (Dec. ‘11)
First to offer Positivo Alfa
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
And then Saraiva... Founded in June ’10
It has 6,200 Portuguese titles in the catalogue (Dec. ‘11)
Offers apps for iPhone, iPad, Android, Windows.
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The Brazilian e-bookstores
Gato Sabido Saraiva Cultura0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
Number of Portuguese Titles
June August October December
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
On the distribution front...
Started operations in July ’10
Same owners than Gato Sabido
100% Brazilian technology
150 publishing houses distributed
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
One for all and all for one
DLD Acronym for Distribuidora de Livros Digitais
Started operations in April ’11
Almost 1,000 titles today
Consortium of publishers
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
The educational market
Estácio de Sá University plans to distribute tablets to its 260K students
Pasta do Professor and Xeriph are involved in the process
Minha Biblioteca is a consortium of publishers to offer subscription-based access to textbooks.
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
Some numbers
Fonte: O Globo
One thousand eBook editions of “The Shack” (Sextante) were sold in 6 months, while 200 thousand pBook copies were sold in the period.
Steve Jobs biography, by Walter Isaacson, sold 3,000 e-copies in 10 days.
Livraria Cultura expects its digital sales to be 1% of overall sales in the next semester.
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
eReaders in the Brazilian market
iPad: 588 GBP
Kindle: 160 GBP
Positivo alfa: 285 GBP
Cooler: 213 GBP
iRiver: 427 GBPGalaxy: 356 GBP
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
On the price of eReaders, watch out!
Brazilian senator Acir Gurgacz, from Rondonia State
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
On the price of tablets, watch out!
Foxconn will produce iPads and iPhones in Brazil in 2012.
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
And this lady can change everything
The Brazilian government has announced the purchase of digital content by 2013
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
But gringos seize the future now
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
What about Print On Demand?
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
POD is now an option in Brazil
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
Global Connect
Complements the Lightning Source print & distribution services by establishing alliances with partners around the world.
Sales growth as a result of “always available” titles
Add titles previously not offered
Eliminates shipping costs
Possible front list solution
Talk to David Taylor
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
Singular highlights
Founded in 2010 as the digital distribution division of Ediouro Group.
Operational digital printing plant producing 60,000 books per month.
First Lightning Source books to be printed in Brazil next semester.
It will shorten fullfilment time for English titles from 6 weeks to 5 days.
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
So Brazil has a huge potential for a fruitful publishing future, and, as the Hawaiian
bloke said, “it is time to seize it”.
PA International Conference 201115th December, Fishmongers Hall
Questions?We have Brazilian gifts for the inquirers.
Carlo CarrenhoFounder of PublishNews | CEO of Singular Digital
[email protected]@carrenho
What?!?!? You don’t subscribe to PublishNews Brazil yet?
www.publishnewsbrazil.com