The Next Web - Keynote Presentation By Albert Lai - For OCE Mind To Market Series - Oct 2007

(cc)by-nc-sa - albert lai - simplyalbert.blogspot.com - 10/2007

The Next WebThe A/B/C of Web 1/2/3

(& Other Interesting Technology Trends)

A Keynote Presentation for OCE Mind to Market Breakfast

By: Albert Laifounder

frogdog, mydesktop, buybuddy, idle.agent, bubbleshare, new.stealth.co.


Topics

• What Might Web 3.0 Be?

• What is Web 2.5?

• What to Do to Get in the Game

• What Canada Needs to Do to Stay Competitive


WTF is “Web3.0”

• I’m not sure (Heck, no one is)

• It’s the Next Web

• Come after Web 2.5 (UGC)

• Comes after Web 2.5 (SNS-OS)

• Collection of Enablers (Mobile)

• Collection of Inflection Points (Tech)


Web 3.0 Enablers

Web 2.0 Web3.0

Hardware PCs w/ 1Ghz + 512Phones w/ 600mhz +

640x480

NetworkBroadband

PCs Broadband Phones

Software IE6/FF, AJAX/CSS/FlashFlash Lite + Real

Browsers


Web 3.0 Drivers

1. Technological

2. Social/Behavioral

3. Economic/Market


Tech DriversYesterday Tommorow

Mobile Network 0.1-0.3mbs 3.0mbs

Wifi Somewhere Everywhere

Flash $1000/GB (2000) $5/GB (2007)

Screen Rez 160x160 / 320x240 640x480+

GPS 60 or more 6 sec or less

Network Paradigm Binary On/Off/Cached

Browsers WAP Full

Phones 2nd Class Citizens 1st Class Always On Citizens

Slogan The network is the computer The network is the phone


Social & Behaviorial Drivers

• Networked Auto-GPS

• Dash / Mesh Networks

• eJewlery/Fashion

• Prada Phone

• eStatus/Pretige

• Vertu


Social and Behavioral Drivers

• Multi-Purpose (TV, Photo, Video, IM, GPS, Email)

• Multi-Device Usage (GSM)

• Portable Id & Payment (NFC / Biometric)


Economic/Market Drivers

• Nokia Buys Navteq: $8.1 Billion

• TomTom Buys TeleAtlas: $2.8 Billion

• Carriers: Flat Rate Cellular Data

• Mobile Development Platforms: Opening Up

• 700Mhz Spectrum: Gphone/YPhone/Etc. ?


What is Web 2.5?

• The Programable Web

• Programable Social Graphs (FaceBook)

• Emerging SNS Platforms (MySpace/Bebo)

• Robust Web Sevices (S3, EC2, AWS)

• RIA: Flex vs. SilverLight & HD Web


Why is Web 2.5 Exciting?

• Rapid Growth: FB 1M / 5M / 12M / 50M+ 4 Yrs

• Windows:1st Mainstream OS-GUI

• Facebook:1st Mainstrem Social OS - now w/ 150k Devs

• Virality: Enables Small Developers Rapid Distribution

• Virality: Function of Social Engineering and Good Design

source: allfacebook.com


Key to Success in Web 2.5

• Social Networks: Will Open (MySpace & Google)

• Virality: Is Critical to Success & Favors the Early

• Virality Channels: are closing quickly

• A/B Testing: Track and Optimize Everything

• Iterate: Fail Faster to Succeed Sooner

• Feed Optimization: The New SEO

• Cost of Capital: Low, but Capital Efficiency is Key


The Future Is HereIts Just Unevenly Distributed

• Hong Kong: Flat Rate/Cheap 3.5G Plans

• Korea: GPS/DVB Devices Mainstream

• Silicon Valley: WiFi+GPS / Dash / Metro WiFi

• Youth: LifeCasting w/ JustinTV / UStream

- William Gibson


Why Should I Care?1. I’m not working yet, I’m a student...

• More opportunities for student startups than ever before -- Facebook, Napster, Google, Yahoo were started by students

2. I’m in enterprise software...

• Email: Last technology driven from the top down;

• Collaboration Software: Since email has been driven by the bottom up (think consumer IM, Blogs, Wiki, etc.)

3. I’m not directly in tech...

• If you don’t know where the puck is going. You’re probably going to get pucked by someone who does.


What’s Wrong with Canada?• Some of the Best Technical Talent in the World

• Competitiveness Rating Sliding Rapidly

• Brain-Drain is Real / Commercialization is Lacking

• Engineering Talent to Startup Ratio is Sad

• Shortage of Exp. B2C Talent Shortage

• Shortage of Angel Capital (esp. in B2C)

• Shortage of Aggressive Follow On Capital (B2C)

• Shortage of Startup Support & Culture in Schools


How Do We Fix This?

• Improve Attitudes Towards Risk & Startup

• Improve Student Support Systems

• Improve Access to Risk Capital

• Improve Policies for Angel Investors

• Improve Dialog Between Policy Makers and Change Makers


Contact

Albert Lai

[email protected]

simplyalbert.blogspot.com

mailto:[email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

Business

The Next Web - Keynote Presentation By Albert Lai - For OCE Mind To Market Series - Oct 2007