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The Digital Paradox:
World Future 2015 July 26, 2015 San Francisco
Karl Albrecht
Finding the Balance
The “Oh-S***” Future
Whose “Future” Do You Believe?
The “Gee-Whiz” Future
What is the Fate of the Individual In an All-Digital Society?
Is Privacy Dead? (If so, does it matter?)
The Digital Mantra:
Disruption
1: Preposterous; never gonna happen
2: Not in this century
3: Late this century (2075+)
4: Middle of this century (2050-2075)
5: Before mid-century (2050)
Where is Artificial Intelligence Going? By What Year Will Artificially Intelligent Entities (Robots) Displace Humans and Take Over Control of at Least One Modern Society?
Poll:
Is There Anything
That Can’t Be
Robotized?
“Software is eating the world.”
~ Marc Andreessen, Founder, Netscape; High-tech Venture Capitalist
“By the time we get to the 2040s, we'll be able to multiply human intelligence a billionfold. ” “Computers are going to keep getting smaller . . . Ultimately, they will go inside our bodies and brains and make us healthier, smarter. ”
~ Ray Kurzweil, Inventor, Futurist
“The development of artiEicial intelligence could spell the end of the human race.”
~ Stephen Hawking, Theoretical Physicist
Stephen Hawking, Theore2cal Physicist
“With artiEicial intelligence, we are summoning the demon.” “AI is . . . potentially more dangerous than nukes.”
~ Elon Musk, Founder, PayPal,
Tesla Motors, SpaceX
“Within a few decades, AI will be strong enough to be a concern.” “I agree with Elon Musk and some others on this and I don't understand why some people are not concerned. ”
~ Bill Gates, Founder, Microsoft; Philanthropist
“Computers are going to take over from humans. No question.” “If we build these devices to take care of everything for us, eventually they'll think faster than us . . . Will we be their pets?”
~ Steve Wozniak Co-founder, Apple Computer
“. . . ?”
~ Steve Jobs Co-founder, Apple Computer
The Turning Point?
“Civilization is more and more a race between education and catastrophe.”
~ H.G. Wells, Novelist, Futurist
The “Chucky” Effect
Ascribing “agency,” sentience, or intent to an inanimate object
“Technology is revolutionizing society.” “Robots are putting people out of work.” “Drones will change law enforcement forever.”
Robots Do Not Put People Out of Jobs.
Business Owners Do.
Three Scenarios for an All-Digital Future?
Robots Take Over
Cyborg Scenario
Humans Prevail
We’ll get the future we deserve.
Our challenge is to deserve the future we want.