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Roadmap for Healthcare Robotics 1 4 th March, 2014 Management Consulting Practice

Strategic Roadmapping for healthcare robotics

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Page 1: Strategic Roadmapping for healthcare robotics

Roadmap for Healthcare Robotics

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4th March, 2014 Management Consulting Practice

Page 2: Strategic Roadmapping for healthcare robotics

Table of ContentsWhat is healthcare robotics?Who are the stakeholders?Industry roadmap– Next 5 years– Next 10 years– Next 30 years…

Recommendations

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Page 3: Strategic Roadmapping for healthcare robotics

What is Healthcare RoboticsFP7 (European Commission) Definition – Robotics for Medicine and Healthcare is considered the

domain of systems able to perform coordinated mechatronic actions (force or movement exertions) on the basis of processing of information acquired through sensor technology, with the aim to support the functioning of impaired individuals, medical interventions, care and rehabilitation of patients and also to support individuals in prevention programs

Innovation areas – Monitoring/therapy robots– Medical capsules– Intelligent prosthetics – Robotised surgery 3

Our focus

Page 4: Strategic Roadmapping for healthcare robotics

Existing Medical Robots & TechnologyVasteras Giraff

iRobot’s AVA Tele-presence Tech.

Hector Eldercare RobotTokyo Partner Robot

InTouch Health’s RP-VITA Mobile Robot

Hocoma AG’s Lokomat

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Who are the StakeholdersManufacturers/Suppliers

– : big market opportunity– : regarded as high risk/cost

Research organizations– : research area getting importance– : not clear who should take initiative, researcher or company?

Healthcare providers/institutions– : possibility for more qualitative and more effective care with less man power– : lack of personnel dealing with new technologies

Professional users– : increase efficiency– : personal contacts with patient is still an important part of professional ethic

Patients– : provided more choices for care and lifestyle– : emotional barrier against robotics healthcare

Informal caregivers– : more choices– : reliability and usability concern

Government– : reducing healthcare expenses, solution for lack of care personnel– : requires lot of regulation changes and promoting actions 5

Our focus

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Roadmap for Healthcare Robotics

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2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030DriverBarrier

ProductsServices

TechnologyCapability

Aging in developed countries/Lack of

medical professionals

People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance

Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of

robots & human

MonitoringIndividual

Monitoring + TherapyInteractive

Diagnosis + Care planProactive

• Aging society• Lack of doctors/nurses• Increased expense for

healthcare

• More people live alone• Depopulation of rural area• People care quality of life

more• Get used to IT

• WW Aging society• Acceptance for robotics

increase• Limited landscape

• Cost/Regulation• Reliability/acceptance

• Advanced technology• Usability

• Quality• Resistance

Market needs

Challenges

• Security cameras for nursing

• Wearable monitoring

• Therapy robots (pets, partners)

• Tele-medicine• Tele-diagnosis

• Proactive Diagnosis robots (doctors, nurses)

• Autonomous devices

• Sensors (wearable)• Actuators• Monitoring camera• Pattern recognition• High speed network

• Sensor feedback• Soft Actuators• Intention recognition• Advanced Human

machine interface

• Natural language processing

• Autonomous navigation system

• Machine learning & statistical analysis

Page 8: Strategic Roadmapping for healthcare robotics

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2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030DriverBarrier

Aging in developed countries/Lack of

medical professionals

People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance

Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of

robots & human

• In 2011, 6% of less developed total 15% by 2050

• By 2050, 15b or 16% of global total • Projected 115m worldwide living with

AD/ dementia in 2050

1. Aging society & increasing burden of Dementia

• In 2011, 16% of developed total 26% by 2050

• Recent estimate 27-36m living with AD/dementia

• Worldwide cost of dementia exceeded US$600b in 2010

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2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030DriverBarrier

Aging in developed countries/Lack of

medical professionals

People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance

Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of

robots & human

2. Increased healthcare spending & workers shortage

Global increase in healthcare spending (2001-2011):• In USA, 26%• In Costa Rica, 156%• In China, 266%• In Japan, 50%• In Singapore, 234%

• In UK, 66%• In Poland, 122%• In Russia, 215%• In Iran, 162%• In S Africa, 59% • Global shortage of 12.9m

healthcare workers by 2035

• Global home healthcare: US$306b by 2020

• Global medical device: US$228b by 2015

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2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030DriverBarrier

Aging in developed countries/Lack of

medical professionals

People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance

Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of

robots & human

• In Europe, more than 40% of women elderly live alone

• In Japan, elderly living alone increased from 28% to 32% from 2001 to 2011

3. Changing family structure

• “Beanpole family” in more developed countries

• Fewer children & smaller generations

• Number of elderly living alone is rising in most countries

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2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030DriverBarrier

Aging in developed countries/Lack of

medical professionals

People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance

Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of

robots & human

4. Increased acceptance of technology & QOL

Global mature consumer study in 2011:• 3,000 interviews in 23 countries including BRIC,

USA, Britain• Technology use is extensive • 69% have both fixed-line and mobile phones; 50%

use the internet

• Socio-demographics, education, experience with technology will differ

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Products/Services (2010-2014)

12http://wirelesswire.jp/Watching_World/201208101922.html

Wearable monitoring systemSecurity cameras for nursing

MonitoringIndividual

Network Camera NetworkWi-Fi

SmartphoneApps

Tremor and MovementInertial Sensors

Positioning, localization and pattern recognition

ElectronicActuator

Haptic Sensors

Adaptive auditoryCueing system

User friendlyInterfacing

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Products/Services (2015-2020)Monitoring + Therapy

Interactive

Tele-consultation, tele-diagnosisTherapeutic Interactive Robot

Paro

Tactile, Light, Audition, Posture and temperature Sensors

http://www.parorobots.com/index.asp

Speech and Vision Pattern recognition

Advanced Human machine Interface

Better understanding of the effectiveness of therapies

AmbientIntelligence

New materials, Artificial skins and Soft actuatorsSensory feedback

http://teledoctors.wordpress.com/2012/10/02/telemedicine/

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Products/Services (2020-2030) Diagnosis + Care planProactive

14Access to EMR and PHR Natural language

processing

autonomous navigationtechnology

Detection of vital data• patient's blood pressure and pulse

Conversation capability• Live conversation with doctors in hospitals• Extracting the meaning from human or natural

language input Autonomous navigation system Access to Personal health record (PHR) Suggest an appropriate diagnosis and a care plan to

patients/doctors by referring to previous cases (Machine Learning & Big data)

Statistical analysis

AI : Machine Learning

Intelligent Robot Platform ED-7270

Proactive diagnosis robot

Page 15: Strategic Roadmapping for healthcare robotics

RecommendationsHealthcare Robotics industry has the three steps

to the future growth– Monitoring– Monitoring + Therapy– Diagnosis + Care plan

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ProductsServices

MonitoringIndividual

Monitoring + TherapyInteractive

Diagnosis + Care planProactive

• Security cameras for nursing

• Wearable monitoring

• Therapy robots (pets, partners)

• Tele-medicine

• Proactive Diagnosis robots (doctors, nurses)

• Autonomous devices

Page 16: Strategic Roadmapping for healthcare robotics

RecommendationsRecommendations to manufacturers for

monitoring as a first step

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MonitoringIndividual

• Manufacturers have to focus on these technologies• Sensors, Actuators and network• Monitoring camera• Pattern recognition

• Collaborative research with in-company institutions and independent research firms such as IT startups in Silicon Valley must be the best choice for a quick attempt to get dynamic information

• A collaboration can be the solution to improve current technology for aging society and lack of medical professionals in the developed countries

Aging in developed countries/Lack of

medical professionals

Solution

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RecommendationsSecond step is to add the improvement of

interactive functions to monitoring system

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Monitoring + TherapyInteractive

• Manufacturers have to focus on these technologies• Therapy robots (pets, partners)• Self learning system

• Research and development has to focus on soft technology such as how to heal and improve the comfort to patients, that is, communication skills

• Knowledge from psychological counselors should be implemented to robots in this stage

• Robots will not be robots gradually, more partners

Solution

People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance

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RecommendationsFinally Robots can make the decision

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Diagnosis + Care planProactive

• Manufacturers have to focus on these technologies• Diagnosis robots (doctors, nurses)• Autonomous devices

• AI technology will be getting more important• Also doctors can still play an important role as

final decision makers for caring plan, therefore manufacturers can provide devices, which can show how to understand and interpret information from robots to real cares

• Technology transfer could be another issue in order to apply advanced technology to developing countries

Solution

Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of

robots & human

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For the healthy society achieved with the coexistence of human and robots

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Q&A

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Appendices

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Speed of Population Aging

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References http://www.prb.org/Publications/Articles/2011/agingpopulationclocks.aspx http://www.emergogroup.com/resources/worldwide-health-expenditures http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/814221 http://www.nia.nih.gov/sites/default/files/nia-who_report_booklet_oct-2011_a4__1-12-12_5.pdf http://www.atkearney.at/consumer-products-retail/maturing-consumer/report http://wirelesswire.jp/Watching_World/201208101922.html http://www.parorobots.com/index.asp http://teledoctors.wordpress.com/2012/10/02/telemedicine/

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