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MARKETS, SELLING MODELS & PRICING
+ a primer on business models
Agenda
■ Market Sizing ■ Selling Models ■ Pricing ■ Customer Development
Repeat after me…
■ I’m an entrepreneur ■ Half my ideas are amazing ■ Half are crap■ We need to find out which one this is!
MANY OF YOUR ASSUMPTIONS ARE
WRONG – GET OVER IT
Market Sizing
■ TAM – Total addressable market ■ SAM – Service addressable market ■ SOM – Service attainable market – what market
share could you get ■ LAM – Launch addressable market
Total AddressableMarket
Service Addressable Market
Service Obtainable Market
Launch Addressable Market
Off the Record Example
■ TAM – 40M traffic tickets in US X$250 average ticket or $10B x20% fee or $2B (for your service not for tickets) ■ SAM – 5% of people that fight tickets, or $100M
– Plus any you can get to fight for the first time ■ SOM – what sort of market share over three years do
you think you can get? ■ LAM – Washington State?
$212,000,000 WAtickettotal20% TransactionFee
$42,400,0005% Peoplethatfight
$2,120,000 LAM
1000
100
10
1
How do you get your first….
In a scalable way?
Selling Models
■ Web Direct – requires prospects are searching for your product ■ Direct Sales – requires outbound sales effort –
minimum price point of $2k? ■ Indirect/Channel Sales – channels only fulfill demand ■ Non Recurring Engineering (NRE)/Productize a service ■ Retail
PICK ONE
Business Model Primer
■ B2B – 9 business models
■ B2C – 10 business models
■ http://dkparker.com/businessmodels/
PICK ONE
Pricing
■ Pricing is more art than science ■ Use pricing to lower friction (complex is bad)■ Find a “Proxy”■ You will price too low ■ CAC – Customer Acquisition Cost Assumption ■ LTV – Life Time Value Assumption
PICK A NUMBER