Russia premium cheese market

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Russia: Premium

Cheese Market

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

September 2012

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

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Market Research Russia: Premium Cheese Market. September 2012 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian premium cheese market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Distribution of the product;

Analysis of the retail market;

Chain of forming the final value of the product.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report contains information on the following commodity groups:

Blue premium cheeses;

Young premium cheeses;

Hard premium cheeses;

Soft premium cheeses.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian premium cheese market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

This report contains 142 pages, 96 tables, 85 figures.




The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




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completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

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verify all secondary information used in the report.

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the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian premium cheese market and

build a forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of and characteristics of cheese

4. Volume of the premium cheese market

4.1. Consumption on the premium cheese market and share of premium cheeses on

the cheese market in Russia

4.2. Forecast for development of the premium cheese market and its share on the

cheese market until 2017

4.3. Consumption on the premium cheese market by segments (young, blue, hard and

soft cheeses)

4.4. Forecast of consumption on the premium cheese market by segments (young,

blue, hard and soft cheeses) until 2017

4.5. Structure of consumption on the premium cheese market by segments (young,

blue, hard and soft cheeses)

4.6. Structure of the imports and domestic production on the premium cheese market

4.7. Structure of the imports and domestic production on the premium cheese market

until 2017

4.8. Dynamics of the imports of premium cheeses by segments (young, blue, hard and

soft)

4.9. Forecast of dynamics of the imports of premium cheese by segments (young,

blue, hard and soft cheeses) until 2017

4.10. Capacity of the cheese market

5. Characteristics of the imports of cheese to the Russian market

5.1. Volume, dynamics and structure of the imports of cheese

5.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imports of cheese to the

territory of the Russian Federation

5.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the cheese, imported to the Russian

Federation

5.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of cheese

5.5. Recipient regions of the imports of cheese to the Russian Federation

6. Characteristics of the imports of blue premium cheeses to the Russian market

6.1. Volume, dynamics and structure of the imports of blue premium cheeses

6.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imports of blue premium

cheeses to the territory of the Russian Federation

6.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the blue premium cheeses, imported to the

Russian Federation

6.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of blue premium cheeses

6.5. Recipient regions of the imports of blue premium cheeses to the Russian

Federation

7. Characteristics of the imports of young premium cheeses to the Russian market

7.1. Volume, dynamics and structure of the imports of young premium cheeses




7.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imports of young premium

cheeses to the territory of the Russian Federation

7.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the young premium cheeses, imported to

the Russian Federation

7.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of young premium cheeses

7.5. Recipient regions of the imports of young premium cheeses to the Russian

Federation

8. Characteristics of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses to the Russian

market

8.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses

8.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imports of hard and soft

premium cheeses to the territory of the Russian Federation

8.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the hard and soft premium cheeses,

imported to the Russian Federation

8.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses

8.5. Recipient regions of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses to the Russian

Federation

9. Distribution of cheese on the Russian market

10. Retail market of premium cheeses

10.1. Characteristics of the retail market of premium cheeses

10.2. Consumption of premium cheese (young, blue, hard and soft) by retail sales

channels

10.3. Main product retail chains in the Russian Federation

10.4. Sales of premium cheese in the main product retail chains

10.5. Average wholesale prices of premium cheese in 2011

10.6. Segmentation of the retail prices on the premium cheese market

10.7. Average retail price of premium cheese in Russia

10.8. Average per capita consumption of cheese

10.9. Average per capita consumption of premium cheese by segments (young, blue,

hard and soft)

10.10. Forecast of the per capita consumption of premium cheese in 2005 - 2017

10.11. Consumption of premium cheese by regions of the Russian Federation in 2011

11. Shares of the main players on the premium cheese market

11.1. Leading players on the young premium cheese market

11.2. Leading players on the blue premium cheese market

11.3. Leading players on the hard and soft premium cheese market

12. Profiles of the leading domestic manufacturers of premium cheese

12.1. Umalat

12.2. Russian Farms

12.3. Mstinskoe Milk

13. Profiles of the leading foreign manufacturers of premium cheese

13.1. Bayernland eG

13.1.1. Company characteristics

13.1.2. Key indicators




13.2. Käserei Champignon Hofmeister GmbH & Co. KG


13.2.2. Brand portfolio


13.3. Lactalis




13.4. Zott GmbH & Co




13.5. Open Country Cheese Company



13.6. Molfino hnos S.A




13.7. Friesland Foods Cheese




13.8. BONGRAIN EXPORT OVERSEAS




13.9. Berglandmilch reg.Gen.m.b.H.




13.10. Alpenhain Käsespezialitäten-Werk Gmbh & Co. Kg



13.11. Fude & Serrahn Milchprodukte GmbH & Co.KG



13.12. Nordmilch AG



13.13. Arla Foods







Appendix 1. Financial and economic indicators of the industry

Appendix 2. Profiles of the leading manufacturers




List of Tables

Table 1. Consumption on the premium cheese market and share of premium cheese on the

cheese market in physical terms in 2005 -2011, in thousands of tons

Table 2. Consumption on the premium cheese market and share of premium cheese on the

cheese market in physical terms in 2012 -2017, in thousands of tons

Table 3. Consumption on the premium cheese market by segments in 2005 -2011, in

thousands of tons

Table 4. Consumption on the premium cheese market by segments in 2005 -2011, in

billions of RUR

Table 5. Forecast of consumption of premium cheese by market segments in 2012 -2017, in

thousands of tons

Table 6. Forecast of consumption of premium cheese by market segments in 2012 -2017, in

billions of RUR (forecast in 2011 prices)

Table 7. Structure of consumption of premium cheese by market segments in 2005 -2011

Table 8. Structure of the imports and domestic production on the domestic market in 2005-

2011 in physical terms

Table 9. Structure of the imports and domestic production on the domestic market in 2011-


Table 10. Dynamics of the imports of premium cheese by segments in 2005-2011, in

thousands of tons

Table 11. Dynamics of the imports of premium cheese by segments in 2012-2017, in

thousands of tons

Table 12. Structure of the imports of cheese by countries of origin in 2011, in thousands of

tons

Table 13. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by countries of origin

in 2011, in millions of USD

Table 14. Structure of the imports of cheese by countries of origin in January-May 2012, in

thousands of tons

Table 15. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by countries of origin

in January-May 2012, millions of USD

Table 16. Structure of the imports of cheese by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

thousands of tons

Table 17. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by manufacturing

companies in 2011, in millions of USD

Table 18. Structure of the imports of cheese by manufacturing companies in January-May

2012, in thousands of tons

Table 19. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by manufacturing

companies in January-May 2012, in millions of USD

Table 20. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by recipient

companies in 2011, in thousands of tons

Table 21. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation in 2011 by recipient

companies, in millions of USD




Table 22. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by recipient

companies in January-May 2012, in thousands of tons

Table 23. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by recipient regions

in January-May 2012 to the recipient company, in millions of USD

Table 24. Volume of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by recipient regions in


Table 25. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation in 2011 by recipient

regions, in millions of USD


in January-May 2012., In thousands of tons


in January-May 2012, in millions of USD

Table 28. Structure of the imports of blue premium cheeses by countries of origin in 2011,

in tons

Table 29. Structure of the imports of blue premium cheeses in the Russian Federation by

countries of origin in 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 30. Structure of the imports of blue premium cheeses by countries of origin in

January-May 2012, in tons


countries of origin in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 32. Structure of the imports of blue premium cheeses by manufacturing companies in

2011, in tons


manufacturing companies in 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 34. Structure of the imports of blue premium cheeses by manufacturing companies in



manufacturing companies in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD


recipient companies in 2011, in tons


recipient companies in 2011, in thousands of USD


recipient companies in January-May 2012, in tons


recipient companies in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD


recipient regions in 2011, in tons


recipient companies in 2011, in thousands of USD


recipient regions in January-May 2012, in tons


recipient regions in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD




Table 44. Structure of imports of young premium cheeses by countries of origin in 2011, in

tons

Table 45. Structure of the imports of young premium cheeses in the Russian Federation by

countries of origin in 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 46. Structure of the imports of young premium cheeses by countries of origin in



countries of origin in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 48. Structure of the imports of young premium cheeses by manufacturing companies

in 2011, in tons


manufacturing companies in 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 50. Structure of the imports of young premium cheeses by manufacturing companies

in January-May 2012, in tons


manufacturing companies in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD


recipient companies in 2011, in tons


recipient companies in 2011, in millions of USD


recipient companies in January-May 2012, in tons


recipient companies in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD


recipient regions in 2011, in tons


recipient regions in 2011, in thousands of USD


recipient regions in January-May 2012, in tons


recipient regions in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 60. Structure of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses by countries of origin

in 2011, in tons

Table 61. Structure of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses in the Russian

Federation by countries of origin in 2011, in millions of USD

Table 62. Structure of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses by countries of origin

in January-May 2012, in tons


Federation by countries of origin in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 64. Structure of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses by manufacturing

companies in 2011, in tons


Federation by manufacturing companies in 2011, in thousands of USD




Table 66. Structure of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses by manufacturing

companies in January-May 2012, in tons


Federation by manufacturing companies in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD


Federation by recipient companies in 2011, in tons


Federation by recipient companies in 2011, in millions of USD


Federation by recipient companies in January-May 2012, in tons


Federation by recipient companies in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 72. Volume of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses in the Russian

Federation by recipient regions in 2011, in tons


Federation by recipient regions in 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 74. Volume of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses in the Russian

Federation by recipient regions in January-May 2012, in tons


Federation by recipient regions in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 76. Main distribution companies

Table 77. Consumption of premium cheese by retail sales channels in physical terms in

2011

Table 78. Leading retail chains in Russia in 2008-2011

Table 79. Efficiency rating of the largest Russian food retailers until the first half of 2011

Table 80. Sales of premium cheese in major grocery retailers in value terms in 2011

Table 81. Average wholesale prices of premium cheeses in the Russian Federation in 2011

Table 82. Segmentation of the retail prices of premium cheese in 2011

Table 83. Dynamics of the average retail price of premium cheese in 2005-2011, in RUR per

kilogram

Table 84. Household expenditure on cheese in 2009-2012, in RUR

Table 85. Per capita consumption of premium cheese by segments in 2005-2010, in grams

per person

Table 86. Per capita consumption of premium cheese in 2005-2011, in grams per person

Table 87. Per capita consumption of premium cheese in 2012-2017, in grams per person

Table 88. The leading players on the young cheese market in physical terms in 2011

Table 89. The leading players on the blue cheese market in physical terms in 2011

Table 90. The leading players on the hard and soft cheese market in physical terms in 2011

Table 91. Basic data of the company “Saputo Inc.”

Table 92. Data on the structure of production of the company “Nordmilch”

Table 93. Revenues (net) from sales of goods and services (net of value added tax, excise

duties and similar charges) for the production of cheese on 1 January in the Russian

Federation, in thousands of RUR




Table 94. Commercial and administrative expenses for the production of cheese in the

Russian Federation as of January 1, in thousands of RUR

Table 95. Cost of goods sold for the production of cheese as of January 1, in thousands of

RUR

Table 96. Profit / loss (gross) from sales of cheese as of January 1 by regions of the Russian

Federation, in thousands of RUR




List of Figures

Fig. 1. Per capita consumption of cheese in Russia and in Europe in 2005 - 2011

Fig. 2. Dynamics of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation in January-December


Fig. 3. Dynamics of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation in January-December

2011, in millions of USD

Fig. 4. Dynamics of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation in January-May 2012, in

thousands of tons

Fig. 5. Dynamics of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation in January-May 2012, in

millions of USD

Fig. 6. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by countries of origin in



2011 in value terms


January-May 2012 in physical terms


January-May 2012 in value terms

Fig. 10. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by manufacturing

companies in 2011 in physical terms


companies in 2011 in value terms


companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms


companies in January-May 2012 in value terms

Fig. 14. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by recipient companies

in real terms in 2011


in 2011 in value terms


in January-May 2012 kind


in January-May 2012 in value terms

Fig. 18. Structure of the imports of cheese in the Russian Federation by recipient regions in

physical terms in 2011


in 2011 in value terms


January-May 2012 in physical terms


January-May 2012 in value terms




Fig. 22. Dynamics of the imports of blue premium cheeses in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in tons


January-December 2011, in millions of USD




January-May 2012, in millions of USD

Fig. 26. Structure of the imports of blue premium cheeses in the Russian Federation by

countries of origin in 2011 in physical terms


countries of origin in 2011 in value terms


countries of origin in January-May 2012 in physical terms


countries of origin in January-May 2012 in value terms


manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms


manufacturing companies in 2011 in value terms


manufacturing companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms


manufacturing companies in January-May 2012 in value terms


recipient companies in physical terms in 2011


recipient companies in 2011 in value terms


recipient companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms


recipient companies in January-May 2012 in value terms


recipient regions in physical terms in 2011


recipient regions in 2011 in value terms


recipient regions in January-May 2012 in physical terms


recipient regions in January-May 2012 in value terms

Fig. 42. Dynamics of the imports of young premium cheeses in the Russian Federation in



January-December 2011, in thousands of USD







January-May 2012, in millions of USD

Fig. 46. Structure of the imports of young premium cheeses in the Russian Federation by

countries of origin in 2011 in physical terms


countries of origin in 2011 in value terms


countries of origin in January-May 2012 in physical terms


countries of origin in January-May 2012 in value terms




manufacturing companies in 2011 in value terms


manufacturing companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms


manufacturing companies in January-May 2012 in value terms


recipient companies in physical terms in 2011


recipient companies in 2011 in value terms


recipient companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms


recipient companies in January-May 2012 in value terms


recipient regions in physical terms in 2011


recipient regions in 2011 in value terms


recipient regions in January-May 2012 in physical terms


recipient regions in January-May 2012 in value terms

Fig. 62. Dynamics of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses in the Russian

Federation in January-December 2011, in tons


Federation in January-December 2011, in thousands of USD


Federation in January-May 2012, in tons


Federation in January-May 2012, in thousands of USD




Fig. 66. Structure of the imports of hard and soft premium cheeses in the Russian

Federation by countries of origin in 2011 in physical terms


Federation by countries of origin in 2011 in value terms


Federation by countries of origin in January-May 2012 in physical terms


Federation by countries of origin in January-May 2012 in value terms


Federation by manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms


Federation by manufacturing companies in 2011 in value terms


Federation by manufacturing companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms


Federation by manufacturing companies in January-May 2012 in value terms


Federation by recipient companies in 2011 in physical terms


Federation by recipient companies in 2011 in value terms


Federation by recipient companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms


Federation by recipient companies in January-May 2012 in value terms


Federation by recipient regions in physical terms in 2011


Federation by recipient companies in 2011 in value terms


Federation by recipient regions in January-May 2012, in physical terms


Federation by recipient regions in January-May 2012 in value terms

Fig. 82. Segmentation of the retail prices of premium cheese in 2011

Fig. 83. Per capita consumption of cheese in 2005-2011, in kilograms

Fig. 84. Structure of consumption of premium cheese by regions of the Russian Federation

in 2011 in physical terms

Fig. 85. Structure of the revenues of the company “Arla Foods” by type of product




Executive Summary*

…

The volume of supply on the Russian premium cheese market in 2012 was almost … tons,

which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume

of imported products on the premium cheese market was …%.

The volume of production of premium cheese in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than

the volume of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all premium cheese manufactured in the Russian Federation in

2012 belongs to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of premium cheese in Russia amounted to … tons in physical

terms and to … thousand USD in value terms.

In 2012, the volume of the Russian exports of premium cheese was … tons, which was

equal to … thousand USD in value terms.

…

*The information provided from this point on in this demo version is for illustrative purposes

only, so that you can get a general overview of how our reports look like. If you need more

information, you can contact us at: [email protected].

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market

mailto:[email protected]




6. Characteristics of the Russian

premium cheese market

...

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian premium cheese

market in 2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian premium cheese market in 2012 was almost … tons,

which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume

of imported products on the premium cheese market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the premium cheese market in 2008 - 2012 and

forecast for 2013 -2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)




6.2. Structure of the premium cheese market in Russia:

production, exports, imports, consumption

The volume of imports of premium cheese in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the

total market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented

below.

Table 6. Volume and dynamics of the premium cheese market in 2008 - 2012

and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of production

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of

exports In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6. Volume and dynamics of the premium cheese market in 2008 - 2012

and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Production Consumption

Exports Imports




7. Characteristics of the domestic

production of premium cheese in

Russia in 2007 - 2012

…

7.1 Volume and dynamics of premium cheese production in

2007 - 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 8 Premium cheese production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 9 Premium cheese production in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons and in %,

to the previous year




7.6 The main manufacturers of premium cheese and their

corresponding market shares

The main manufacturers of premium cheese in Russia in 2011 were Company A, Company

B, and Company C. They produced …, …, and … tons, respectively. They were followed by

Company D (… tons, equal to …% of the total production) and Company E (… tons - …%).

Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010

- 2011, in thousands of tons

Manufacturer Region

Production

of premium

cheese, in

tons

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




8. Characteristics of premium cheese prices 8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of premium cheese

Manufacturers’ prices of premium cheese have been fluctuating a lot in the last 5 years – from … RUR/ton in 2007, through … RUR/ton in

2009 to … RUR/ton in December 2012. In 2012, the prices were lower in …, when they were equal to … RUR/ton. They reached their

highest value in …, when they were … RUR/ton, which was …% more, compared to the analogical period of the previous year.

Table 20. Average manufacturers’ prices1 of premium cheese in Russia in January 2007 – November 2012

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical period of the

previous year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical

period of the previous

year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

January … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

February … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

March … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

April … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

May … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

June … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

July … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

August … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

September … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

October … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

November … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

December … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) 1 Manufacturers’ prices – subject to registration, as a rule, are the actual prices of produced and shipped in the current month production for the domestic market (excluding value added tax, excise duty and other taxes not included in the cost).




9. Characteristics of the imports of

premium cheese to the Russian

market 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian imports of

premium cheese

…

The volume of Russian imports of premium cheese in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount

of premium cheese was imported in …, when were imported … tons.

Table 22. Dynamics of the imports of premium cheese in the Russian


Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)





Fig. 18. Dynamics of the imports of premium cheese in the Russian Federation in


9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported

premium cheese on the territory of the Russian Federation

Country A was the leader in terms of imports of premium cheese (in physical terms) in

2011, with a share of …% of the total. The country imported … tons of premium cheese in

2011. The second place was taken by Country B, which in 2011 imported … tons of premium

cheese (a share of …%, respectively). In the third place was Country C with a share of …%.





Fig. 20. Structure of the imports of premium cheese in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms

Table 24. Volume of the imports of premium cheese in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011, in tons

Country of origin Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the premium cheese,

imported to the Russian Federation

Company A was the leader in terms of imports of premium cheese (in physical terms) in

2011, with a share of …% of the total. The company imported … tons of premium cheese in

2011. The second place was taken by Company B, which in 2011 imported … tons of

premium cheese (a share of …%, respectively). In the third place was Company C with a

share of …%.

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS





Fig. 22. Structure of the imports of premium cheese in the Russian Federation by


Table 26. Volume of the imports of premium cheese in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011, in tons

Manufacturing company Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Company A … …%

Company B … …%

Company C … …%

Company D … …%

Company E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Company A

Company B

Company C

Company D

Company E

OTHERS




10. Characteristics of the Russian

exports of premium cheese 10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of

premium cheese

…

The volume of Russian exports of premium cheese in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount

of premium cheese was exported in …, when were exported … tons.

Table 31. Dynamics of the exports of premium cheese in the Russian


Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …






Fig. 27. Dynamics of the exports of premium cheese in the Russian Federation in


10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of premium

cheese

In 2011, the main recipient country of the Russian exports of premium cheese was Country

A. Its share in physical terms was …%. It was then followed by Country B (…%) and

Country C (…%). To Country D and Country E were exported …% and …%, respectively. The

combined share of the other countries is …%.





Fig. 29. Structure of the Russian exports of premium cheese by recipient countries

in 2011 in physical terms

Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of premium cheese by recipient countries

in 2011, in tons

Recipient country Net weight, in tons Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


…

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS




12. Characteristics of consumption

of premium cheese 12.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of premium

cheese in 2008 - 2012. Forecast for 2013 - 2017

The volume of consumption of premium cheese in 2012 was … tons, which was …% more,

compared to 2011. In 2011 was noted the largest drop in the consumption of premium

cheese in recent years - a decline of …% to … thousand tons. Another decline in recent

years was observed in 2009, when the growth rate was …%, compared to 2008. At the end

of 2012, the consumption of premium cheese almost reached the level in 2010, but the

growth is not yet possible to reach the pre-crisis levels of 2007 - 2008.

According to forecasts, the favorable development of the consuming industries can help

consumption of premium cheese increase in the next few years with rates of …-…%

annually. Thus, by 2017, the consumption can reach … million tons. The demand for

premium cheese in the country will be met, as before, by the Russian manufacturers, who

account for over …% of the market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 40. Dynamics of consumption of premium cheese in the Russian

Federation in 2008 – 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons




12.2. Structure of consumption of premium cheese by

industries

Currently, the largest shares in the consumption of premium cheese are taken by Industry A

(…%) and Industry B (…%). Industry C accounts for about … of the market, while Industry

D consumes about …% of the premium cheese in Russia.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 42. Structure of consumption of premium cheese by industries in 2012

35%

37%

10%

8%

10% Industry A Industry B

Industry C Industry D

Others




12.3. Balance between production and consumption of premium

cheese

In the forecasted balance between production and consumption are used estimates of the

consumption of premium cheese and projections for increase in production.

Throughout the forecast horizon, 2013 – 2017, there is a positive balance, calculated as the

difference between production and consumption. The surplus on the market, as before, will

be exported, mainly to the countries of the Customs Union, where most purchases are in

made in Kazakhstan.

Table 1. Balance between production and consumption on the

premium cheese market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in

thousands of tons

Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Production … … … … … … … … … …

Consumption … … … … … … … … … …

Balance

(Production-

Consumption)

… … … … … … … … … …

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 47. Balance between production and consumption on the premium

cheese market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands

of tons

20082009

20102011

20122013F

2014F2015F

2016F2017F

Consumption

Production




About IndexBox

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