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The Robots Are Coming, Let’s Reimagine the Humans
The end of work?
Automa<on means less work…
… but not less jobs 50% increase in total number of employed people Wage rise 2.23% faster than infla<on
Automa<on = higher produc<vity…
…flaMening out around the end of ‘00s
Source: Wells Fargo
The big slowdown: Not enough automa<on?
Source: Boston Consul<ng Group
Manufacturing costs are on the rise…
The Solow Paradox
You can see the computer age everywhere but in the produc<vity sta<s<cs.
We need more automa<on!
The 4th Industrial Revolu<on: Automa<ng the intellect
Ar<ficial Intelligence: key disrup<on areas
Natural language conversa<ons
Machine Learning
The automa<on of cogni<on
Source: The Future of Employment, by C. Frey and M. Osborne
47% of jobs will be lost to cogni<ve
machines in the next 10 years?
Jobs versus ac<vi<es
Source: McKinsey Interim report on automa<on of jobs, Nov. 2015
45% of job ac<vi<es can
be automated +AI = 58%
of job ac<vi<es can be automated
60% of jobs can have
30% of their
ac<vi<es automated
Hello Jane, you look great today! How can I help you?
A new cyberne<c rela<onship
Second-‐order cyberne<cs in the era of machine intelligence
Humans and machines working together: machines managing complexity, humans providing crea<vity
From knowing what you do not know and searching for it
…to …
…not knowing what you do not know and having “someone” to help you discover it
Possible impacts of 4th Industrial Revolu<on
• Government role enhanced through Universal Income • Collabora<ve Economy creates universal currency • Full-‐<me employees become Free Agents (“CEO of Me”) • Corpora<ons evolve into Value People Networks • Zero Latency Enterprise evolves into the Responsive
Organisa<on
The collabora<ve economy
Collabora<ve virtual communi<es crea<ng value through exchange and sharing of products and
services
Cyber-‐physical Systems & Industry 4.0
From hierarchies to networks
CPS-‐based automa/on Field level
Control (PLC) Level
Process Control Level
Plant management Level
ERP Level
Automa/on hierarchy
Zero Latency Enterprise
Company Organisa<on
Enterprise Systems
Enterprise Applica<ons
Enterprise App Integra<on
Data Store
In a real (me, zero latency enterprise, informa(on is delivered to the right place at the right (me for maximum business value.*
*Defini<on of ZLE by Gartner
The Responsive Organisa<on An agile, client-‐facing, innova(ve organiza(on that con(nuously learns and op(mizes talent and technologies in order to deliver superior products and services.
Machine Intelligence Applica<ons
People Networks
Business Systems
Learning & Conversa<ons
Business Applica<ons
Business App Integra<on
Virtual Data Store
People Networks: reinven<ng business organisa<on
• Self-‐organised ad hoc teams • Build-‐in discovery from design to customer service • Scaling Agile • Cross-‐market & Cross-‐exper<se • Collabora<on plaqorms • AI enabled UI/UX • Predic<ve analy<cs
Getng there: “lead the work” model
Leaders transforming work in their organisa<on
Source: “Lead the Work” by R. Jesuthasan, J. Bourdeau, D. Creelman
Assignment
Organisa<on
Rewards
• Self-‐contained • Unlinked • Exclusive • Stable
• Deconstructed Tasks • Dispersed • Project-‐bound
• Constructed Jobs • Anchored • Employment-‐Bound
• Long-‐Term • Collec<ve and
consistent • Tradi<onal
• Permeable • Interlinked • Collabora<ve • Flexible
• Short-‐term • Individualised and
Differen<ated • Imagina<ve
AI enabled
Getng there: Scaling Agile organisa<on
Apply agile prac<ce across the organisa<on
hMp://crowdmics.com/ hMp://crowdmics.com/
INNOVATE
DELIVER
VALIDATE
UNDERSTAND
Getng there: digital engagement
Apply Next Genera<on Integrated Digital
Engagement Model (IDEM) for the digital
transforma<on of work
Behavioural Modelling
Human-‐machine
conversa<ons AI Interface
Data
Worker experience
Human-‐machine collabora<on
Getng there: machine intelligence for EX
Build the machine intelligence layer of the responsive organisa<on
Thank you
George Zarkadakis, PhD, CEng @zarkadakis