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5 steps to building an 'information edge' in indian real estate.This piece tells us the criticality of the most important tool– the “data” – where to get it, how to analyse it and howto use it.
Citation preview
eal estate development is an evolutionary
process; so no two developments are exactly
alike. Perhaps, this is what led some developers
to believe that it is better to be “lucky” than to
be “good” when it comes to being successful in the business.
Gone are those days, though. “Strategy” is picking up as
a buzz word in Indian real estate with globally acclaimed
business schools and groups organizing workshops and
crash courses in India on these lines. It is a whole new world
today, especially after the recent global economic crisis.
The world looks forward to opportunities in India as do we
Indians in the rest of the world. That has clear implications on
Indian developers. Real estate is local and local developers,
definitely, have advantages over others. But close your eyes
for a moment and ask yourself: is this advantage perpetual?
If you are a realist, you will see competition knocking at your
door sooner than you would want it to. They will leave you
with two options: wait for your “lucky” moment or become
“better” than the others in the market.
In the development business, today’s successfulness does not
have much bearing on whether you are going to be successful
tomorrow. The business landscape
is changing and you must adapt
to it. Professor Michael Porter of
Harvard Business school said
of developers a long time ago:
“…past modes of behavior
probably will not carry you
through the next decade. The
questions are how you think
about the question of strategy
for your business and how do
you do that in a constructive
way…no matter where you are
operating, you are going to have
to decide exactly how your company is going to compete and
how you are going to position your company to be a superior
performer…” The message is clear: to remain competitive with
increasingly more sophisticated competitors in the market,
Indian developers need to adopt the best practices of real
estate development, an area where India lacks a formal
knowledge system.
R
EDITOR’S BOXThis piece tells us the criticality of the most important tool
– the “data” – where to get it, how to analyse it and how
to use it.
ARE YOU FUTURE-READY?
5 STEPS TO BUILDING AN “INFORMATION-EDGE” IN REAL ESTATE
Any strategic improvements would be contingent upon our
understanding of the current state. So, our research team recently
conducted a pilot study on a sample of small and medium sized
real estate developers across India to understand their business
processes. One of the findings of the study was that Indian
developers need to strengthen their “Information-Edge”.
In other words, one of the critical strategies to remain
competitive in the market is to understand that “Knowledge
is King”. Obviously, it has to be the knowledge that is
exclusive to your own firm. The question is: how to acquire that
knowledge? “Create it” would be our answer if you are serious
about differentiating yourself. One of the biggest sources of
knowledge is information. And anyone can tell: Information is
made of data. Evidently, data remains focal to the remaining
of this article. It is a misconception that dealing with data is an
irrelevant activity for small and medium sized developer firms.
In fact, these are the firms that would benefit the most from this
competency. In the context of Indian real estate developers,
here are the five steps that we recommend:
1. Collect: Secondary data (data collected by others) from
government agencies is available abundantly in India; and at
- Prashant Das - Divyanshu Sharma
C R E D A I I s s u e - O c t o b e r - N o v e m b e r - D e c e m b e r - 2 0 1 038
no cost. You need an explorer’s eye to find them, though. The
publicly available data is actually meant for your use; and they
have great application in real estate (and, for that matter, any
other business) beyond academics and policy makers. Moreover,
the argument that public data is usually “old” and, therefore,
“useless” pertaining to your real estate project is only partially
true, as we remain obsessed with census data. We often fail to
explore the sampled survey data released by numerous central
and state government agencies. Remember, census and survey
usually refer to similar but inherently different methods of collecting
data. In census, the attempt is to collect the complete data of the
population whereas a survey typically attempts to collect the data
of a smaller sample that is carefully chosen to represent the overall
population. Due to this reason, it is far less difficult to collect more
up-to-date data through sampled surveys. Explore some of these
sources and you would be surprised at the availability of recent
and relevant data.
2. Create: While an awareness of the secondary data sources
will provide you an advantage of a relatively “inefficient” Indian
Some sources of latest survey data:
Ministry of Statistics: http://mospi.nic.in
Economic Survey: http://indiabudget.nic.in/
Redix for multiple cities: http://nhb.org.in/Residex
Andhra Pradesh: http://www.apdes.ap.gov.in/
Maharastra: http://mahades.maharashtra.gov.in
Tamilnadu: http://www.tn.gov.in/deptst/
C R E D A I I s s u e - O c t o b e r - N o v e m b e r - D e c e m b e r - 2 0 1 039
real estate markets, creating your own, “primary” data would
enable you with an unparalleled information-edge. Take it easy,
you can do it in-house with some planning! All you need is some
brain storming. If you can afford, seek a few hours of expert
advice (preferably, from a quantitative researcher who loves
statistical modeling). Review your touch points (opportunities to
interact with your clients/end users) and make a note of how you
interface with your customers. They need not be only the prospects
that you were able to convert. In fact, collecting data about the
ones that you could not convert into your customers would be
more insightful. Now, design a well-laid out questionnaire that
helps you create customer “profiles” with demographic data,
preferences, etc. Collect them through a website or paper-based
survey. Later, add some observations from your own side; for
example, did they really make the purchase, what price was
negotiated upon, and so on. Do not forget to digitize your data
in a spreadsheet.
3. Analyze: Most analysts stop after calculating statistics
(mean, median, etc). However, with the same set of data,
possibly, they would have been able to draw numerous
conclusions critical to your business strategies. As your data
set gets richer with time, you can conduct more sophisticated
analyses with your data. For example, such analyses may
help you ascertain which factor is more critical to a prospect’s
decision to buy from your firm: the difference between quoted
and offered price or the method used by your sales force for
the initial pitch. Knowing this will enable you to optimize your
resources and develop efficient strategies. As a thumb rule,
you would need 30-50 data points (number of prospects
from which you will collect your data) for each such factor
you plan to examine. Also, if you often fail to price your
products appropriately (may be, because you do not find a
close comparable property), such an analysis will become
your crystal ball for putting the prices on the properties which
you develop that truly “work”. Developers across the globe
are known to use “hedonic modeling” in order to optimally
price the properties they develop or acquire. Remember,
these analyses will give you insights that you would not find
in books. Books are aimed at covering “broad” spectrums in
contrast to your own projects that, perhaps, serve a niche.
4. Learn: OK! This is where you need some serious work.
Well designed datasets (primary or secondary) empower
you with unparalleled capacity to optimize your investments,
both in terms of time and money. But analysis methods come
in all colors, sizes and shapes. Moreover, they need some
understanding of statistical methods and software tools. Do
not let these words scare you! If you are a developer, you are
smart enough to learn what it takes to become a developer.
Remember, you always have an option to delegate this task
to someone else in your firm (or simply hire an expert!). Yet,
interpreting the results would, again, require some basic
understanding. Consider taking a crash course in “Business
Analysis” which includes basic regression. SPSS, Minitab, JMP
are some popular, user friendly software for statistical analysis;
and you may learn some basics from Professor Google. Some
free software are available too (visit: http://www.realism.in/
stat); but they may not be as intuitive. In fact, MS Excel has
a wide range of in-built functions, although it is usually not a
top choice for regression-like analyses. In future, as your firm
grows, you may decide to implement Customer Relationship
Management (CRM) packages. With your understanding of
the potentials of data, you will be far better equipped to exploit
your investments in CRM-like solutions.
5. Sell: Achieving the “Information-Edge” means a lot more to
you than developing insights for business strategies. A deeper
understanding of the dynamics of real estate development
business, customers and product strategies set you apart as
“experts”. Your firm can showcase its “knowledge” through
impressive white papers and corporate presentations at
reputed forums. You add weight to your brand image which
may help you build relationships for collaborative projects and
win large-scale partners who might be seeking to leverage on
your capabilities for upcoming projects in the region.
Divyanshu Sharma - Partner, Realism.IN
(a research & education firm focused on Indian real estate)
Prashant Das - Head of Research, Realism.IN & Editor, India
China America Institute, Atlanta