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Embraer July 2012 Book New
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This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
1
Investor RelationsPhone: +55 12 3927 [email protected]
www.embraer.com
2Q12
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
2
Corporate and Business Strategy
• Product strategy.
• Diversification and expansion of customer base.
• Excellence in Customer Experience (ECE).
• Product strategy.
• Diversification and expansion of customer base.
• Excellence in Customer Experience (ECE).
• Market share growth.
• Margins improvement.
• Product strategy and customer support focus.
• Market share growth.
• Margins improvement.
• Product strategy and customer support focus.
• Organic growth.
• Margins enhancement through the P3E.
• Business and revenues diversification.
• Establish Embraer as the defense house of Brazil.
• Organic growth and acquisitions.
• Establish Embraer as the defense house of Brazil.
• Organic growth and acquisitions.
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
3
36 3721
1
126
83
1619
98
2
12
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1Q2012
133
165
125101
21
105
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1Q2012
Aircraft Deliveries
Large Jets - Legacy & LineageLarge Jets - Legacy & Lineage
Light Jets - PhenomLight Jets - Phenom
Commercial JetsCommercial Jets Executive JetsExecutive Jets
2012 deliveries estimates • 105 - 110 commercial jets• 15 - 20 executive large jets• 75 - 85 executive light jets
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
4
5,2456,335
5,498 5,364 5,803
1,156
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1Q2012
Revenues
2012 Outlook: US$ 5.8 – 6.2 billion2007-2008: USGAAP2009-2012: IFRS2007-2008: USGAAP2009-2012: IFRS
US$ Million
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
5
69%61% 64%
17%23% 19%
12% 15% 15%2% 1% 2%
2009 2010 2011
22%13% 20%
33%33% 25%
7%15% 11%
11% 13% 17%
21% 22% 23%
6% 4% 4%
2009 2010 2011
Revenues Breakdown
Revenues by Segment Revenues by Region
Commercial aviationCommercial aviationExecutive aviationExecutive aviation OthersOthers
Defense and securityDefense and security North AmericaNorth AmericaBrazilBrazil
EuropeEuropeAsia PacificAsia Pacific
Latin AmericaLatin AmericaOthersOthers
Revenues US$ Billion 5.805.805.495.49 5.365.365.805.805.495.49 5.365.36
Revenues US$ Billion
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
6
Firm Order Backlog
US$ Billion
14.818.8
20.916.6 15.6 15.4 14.7
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1Q2012
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
7
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
8
Embraer Commercial Aviation
83 AIRLINES IN 51 COUNTRIES
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
9
Product Portfolio
capacity: 70 to 80 seatsrange: 2,100 nm (3,900 Km)
capacity: 78 to 88 seatsrange: 2,000 nm (3,700 Km)
capacity: 98 to 114 seatsrange: 2,400 nm (4,500 Km)
capacity: 108 to 122 seatsrange: 2,200 nm (4,100 Km)
capacity: 37 seatsrange: 1,750 nm (3,250 Km)
capacity: 50 seatsrange: 1,550 nm (2,900 Km)
capacity: 50 seatsrange: 2,000 nm (3,700 Km)
capacity: 44 seatsrange: 1,650 nm (3,050 Km)
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
10
E-Jets Customer Base Evolution
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
E-Jets Family Order Book – 1Q12
E-JETS Firm orders Deliveries Firm Backlog
EMBRAER 170 189 182 7
EMBRAER 175 189 145 44
EMBRAER 190 552 402 150
EMBRAER 195 133 94 39
Total 1,063 823 240
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
12
Worldwide Distribution
E-Jets Customer Base by Business Model
(% of E-Jets Fleet+Backlog)
Firm Orders
Commercial Jets Market Share Evolution Worldwide
Considering Accumulated Net Orders
60-120 Seats Jets
27%
32%
41%
12%9%
27%17%
35%
16%8%
30%13%
33%
Backlog
Europe & CISMiddle East & AfricaLatin America
North AmericaAsia Pacific & China
North AmericaAsia Pacific & China
43%43%
30%30%
3%3%
7%7%5%5%
Low Cost CarriersRegional AirlinesNetwork Airlines
Low Cost CarriersRegional AirlinesNetwork Airlines
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13
E-Jets Deployment
World
Right-sizing New Markets Replacement of old Jets
NaturalGrowth
helping airlines to be more efficienthelping airlines to be more efficienthelping airlines to be more efficienthelping airlines to be more efficient
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
14
Embraer Market Forecast (2011-2030)
North
America
84032%
NorthAmerica
2,35033%
Latin
America
31512%
LatinAmerica
6709%
Europe
58022%
Europe
1,67523%
Russia / CIS
1556%
Russia / CIS
4356%
Africa
803%
Africa
1953%
Middle East
1054%
Middle East
3104% Asia
Pacific
2108%
Asia Pacific
6159%
China
34013%
China
97513%
Projected Deliveries - Jets
Market Segment
(Seats)
2010 – 2019
Deliveries
30-60 60
61-90 1,015
91-120 1,550
30-120 2,625
Market Segment
(Seats)
2011 – 2030
Deliveries
30-60 430
61-90 2,670
91-120 4,125
30-120 7,225
• Scope Clauses relaxation allowing 80-seater aircraft as a natural growth of RJ50s in the US
• Right-sizing of narrow-body operations
• Regional aviation development in Emerging Markets
• Acceleration of replacement of old & inefficient jets
Around 7,225 jet deliveries (30-120 seats) in the next 20 years (US$ 320 bi)
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15
110 Seats110 Seats
Competitive Landscape
70-90 Seats70-90 Seats
100 Seats100 SeatsCRJ 1000
MRJ70
MRJ90ARJ21
E195
E190
E175
E170
SSJ100/95
CS100
CRJ900
CRJ700
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000
Range Nominal
Cap
acit
y 32
'' p
itch
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
17
Embraer Executive Jets
MORE THAN 500 AIRCRAFT DELIVERED IN OVER 40 COUNTRIES
Embraer Executive Jet Delivered in Brazil
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
18
Product Portfolio
Large
Aircraft Model
Phenom 100
Phenom 300
Legacy 450
Legacy 500
Legacy 600
Lineage 1000
Seats / Range
up to 8 occupants/ 1,178 nm
up to 11 occupants/ 1,971 nm
7 to 9 passengers/ 2,300 nm
8 to 12 passengers/ 3,000 nm
13 to 14 passengers/ 3,400 nm
13 to 19 passengers/ 4,500 nm
Entry
Light
Mid-light
Mid-size
Ultra-large
Super Mid-Size
Certified: 2008
Certified: 2009
Under development
Certified: 2001
Certified: 2008
Ultra-Long Range
Competitors
• Cessna - Mustang CJ1+/M2• HondaJet
• Cessna - CJ2+/CJ3/CJ4• Hawker - PremierIA/400XP• Bombardier - Learjet 40XR• SyberJet - SJ30
• Bombardier - Learjet 45XR• Cessna - XLS+/Latitude• Hawker 750
• Bombardier - Learjet 60XR/85• Cessna - Sovereign• Hawker - H900XP• Gulfstream – G150
• Bombardier - CL605/GL5000• Dassault - Falcon 2000/900LX• Gulfstream - G350/G450
• Airbus - ACJ 318/319/320• Boeing – BBJ/BBJ2/BBJ3• SSJ VIP/ ARJ21B / An-148VIP
Legacy 650 13 to 14 passengers/ 3,900 nmCertified: 2010
• Bombardier - GL XRS• Gulfstream – G500/G550/G650• Dassault – Falcon 7X
• Bombardier - CL300/CL850• Cessna - X/Ten• Dassault - Falcon 2000S• Gulfstream - G200/G280• Hawker - H4000
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19
26%24% 22% 21% 20%
26%35% 37% 40%33%
9%7% 7% 6%
9%
15%13% 13% 14%11%
14%3% 3% 3% 14%
7%16% 16% 14% 11%
2%3% 2% 1% 2%
20112006 2007 2008 2009%
OEM
Sha
re –
Tot
al u
nits
703 885 1,040 1,154 870
Market Share
OthersHawker-BeechEmbraer Gulfstream
DassaultCessnaBombardier
Deliveries share (units)Revenues share (US$ - based on B&CA list prices)
33%29% 28% 29% 28%
9%16% 17% 18% 12%
15%11% 12% 12% 18%
27%23% 23% 24% 21%
4% 5% 4% 6%
4%9% 8% 8% 8%
7%8% 6% 5% 6%
20112006 2007 2008 2009
% O
EM S
hare
– T
otal
Rev
enue
s U
S$
$18.1Bi$16.6Bi $19.3Bi $22.2Bi $17.2Bi
2010
763
7%
2010
$18.2Bi
19%
27%
7%
22%
21%
6%10%
20%
23%
12%
13%
10%3%
6%
Market Revenues 2011: US$18.1 billion
Embraer Revenues: US$1.0 billion
Market Deliveries 2011: 703 units
Embraer Deliveries: 99 units
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20
2012-21 Market Forecast World Deliveries
8,660 ~ 11,275 jets US$ 205 ~ 260 billion over the next 10 years
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21
North AmericaEMB: 219 a/c4,200 to 5,300 a/c (47%) US$ 90 to 110 Bi (42%)
EMEAEMB: 164 a/c2,400 to 3,400 a/c (30%)US$ 62 to 88 Bi (34%)
Asia PacificEMB: 35 a/c
1,400 to 1,700 a/c (15%)US$ 40 to 48 Bi (18%)
Latin AmericaEMB: 123 a/c700 to 900 a/c (8%)US$ 12 to 16 Bi (6%)
ChinaEMB 4 a/c520 to 640 a/c (6%)US$ 17 to 21 Bi (8%)
Embraer Actual Fleet Distribution and 2012-21 Market Forecast
BrazilEMB: 111 a/c550 a/c (5%)US$ 8 Bi (3%)
June, 2012June, 2012
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22
Pre-owned Inventory: Recovering
Business Jets For Sale
13.3%2,470 jets
8.2%662 jets
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23
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
24
OVER 50 ARMED FORCES IN 48 COUNTRIES
Embraer Defense and Security
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
25
Embraer Defense and Security
Embraer Defense and Security, partners and affiliated companies
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
26
Embraer Defense and Security Results
Não contabiliza as receitas provenientes da OGMA nos anos de 2006 a 2010.Não contabiliza as receitas provenientes da OGMA nos anos de 2006 a 2010.
Revenues Evolution (US$ Million)
EBIT Evolution (%) Backlog Evolution (US$ Billion)
227346
505 499670
852
6% 7% 8% 9%
13%15%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Rev
enu
e P
arti
cip
atio
n (
%)GAGR 33%
6.3%
12.4% 12.2% 12.0%13.4%
9.6%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
1.1 1.01.5
3.2 3.3 3.3
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
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27
Super Tucano
Firm orders: 182 aircraft
Brazil: 99
Colombia: 25
Dominican Republic: 8
Chile: 12
Ecuador: 18
Indonesia: 8
Greystone (TACAir): 1
Undisclosed: 11
Deliveries: 156 aircraft
Total Market Forecast:
300 aircraft / US$ 3.5 billion
8002,000
700Medium-term
Long-term
Short-term
Addressable Market Forecast 2020
(US$ million)
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28
EMBRAER KC-390
• A new tactical military transport and tanker aircraft
• First flight in 2014
• Six countries
• Letters of intent totalizing 60 aircraft
Brazil (28)
Colombia (12)
Argentina (6)
Chile (6)
Portugal (6)
Czech Rep. (2)
Total Market Forecast 2025:
700 aircraft / US$ 50+ bi
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29
A1-MF-5M A-4
Brazilian Navy A-412 aircraftTwo prototype at GPX-CS
Brazilian Air Force A-1M43 aircraftFive received by Embraer for the modernization
Brazilian Air Force F-5M46 a/c + 11 a/c (2nd batch)44 already delivered
* Considering the market for F-5 and Tucano modernization* Considering the market for F-5 and Tucano modernization
Modernization Programs
Addressable Market Forecast 2025
(US$ million)
Total Market Forecast*:
234 aircraft / US$ 1.6 billion
527
505
567
Medium-term
Long-term
Short-term
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30
New Portfolio
HARPIA
Command and Control Systems
Onboard Systems
Simulation Systems
Electronic Warfare Systems
Intelligence Systems
Air Traffic Management and Control Systems
JV with Elbit/AEL Sistemas where Embraer Defense and
Security has a major participation
UAS, simulators and modernization of avionics systems
Air, ground and sea surveillance radars
Remote sensing
Engine and Component Maintenance
Overhaul and Modernization
Aerostructure Manufacturing and Assembling
SatelliteVISIONA
Security of Critical
Infrastructure
Public Security (sporting events, cities, states)
Airport Management
Systems
SISFRON
SisGAAZ
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31
SISFRONIntegrated Borders Monitoring System
Estimate: US$ 4 Billion
Comprising radars, communication networks, C4I, unmanned air vehicles (UAV) and armored vehicles
Brazilian Army Priorities
Comm9% UAV
12%
SW20%
Sensors59%
SatelliteEstimate: US$ 400 Million
Participation in the first Brazilian Geostationary Satellite
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32
New Business
•Airport Management Systems
•SisGAAz (“Blue Amazon” Integrated Management System)
•Security of Critical Infrastructure
•Public Security (sporting events, cities, states)
Transport4%
Light Attack and Combat
9%
KC-39034%
Radar, C4I, UAV, MRO18%
New Business14%
Sisfron, Satellite10%
Services11%2020
Revenues Breakdown Evolution
2011Services
10%
Modernization25%
Radar, C4I, UAV, MRO27%
Light Attack9%
ISR10%
KC-39019%
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33
2012 Outlook2012 Outlook
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34
Net Revenues US$ 5.8 – 6.2 billion
Commercial aviationCommercial aviation
Executive aviationExecutive aviation
OthersOthers
Defense and securityDefense and security
Expected deliveries: 105 to 110 commercial jets,
75 to 85 light jets and 15 to 20 large jets.
EBIT margin
11.5% – 12.5%EBITDA margin
8.0% – 8.5%
2012 Outlook
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35
2012 Outlook
US$ 350 millionDevelopment
CAPEX US$ 200 million
Research US$ 100 million
CAPEX
R&D
Investment/Revenue
US$ Million
TOTAL
US$ 650 million
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
37
US$
2010 198 374
2011 262 420
Net Revenues / SG&A Expenses
Net Revenues - US$ Million SG&A Expenses - US$ Million
US$
2010 5,364 19.1%
2011 5,803 22.5%
Net RevenuesNet Revenues Gross MarginGross Margin Selling ExpensesSelling ExpensesG&A ExpensesG&A Expenses
1,0561,359 1,364
2,025
1,156
24.3%
22.4%21.2%
22.5% 23.2%
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
94109 103 114
57
64 6972 71
109
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
172172186186
151151
173173 180180
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38
Income from Operations / EBITDA
Income from Operations - US$ Million EBITDA - US$ Million
US$
2010 392 7.3%
2011 318 5.5%
EBITEBIT EBIT MarginEBIT Margin US$
2010 611 11.4%
2011 557 9.6%
EBITDAEBITDA EBITDA MarginEBITDA Margin
106124
(6)
8694
7.4%
-0.3%
9.1%7.8%
8.9%
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
156 153188
59
148
14.8%
11.3%
13.8%
2.9%
12.8%
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.Investor Relations
39
Net Income / Free Cash Flow
Net Income - US$ Million Free Cash Flow - US$ Million
Net MarginNet MarginNet IncomeNet IncomeUS$
2010 330 6.2%
2011 112 1.9%
US$
2010 287
2011 1
105 96
2
-92
63
10.0%7.1%
0.1%
-4.5%
5.4%
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
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40
Indebtedness Profile / Net Cash
Indebtedness Maturity Net Cash - US$ Million
Long-termLong-term Short-termShort-term
Loans Average Maturity (Years)Loans Average Maturity (Years)
US$ 2.0 BillionTotal Debt 1Q12 Total Cash 1Q12 US$ 2.3 Billion
505406
193
446
302
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
74%85%
10% 13%
90%87% 74%
26%15%
26%
5.75.0
4.54.8
4.2
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
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41
Investors’ Return
Pay OutPay OutEPADSEPADS
2006-2008: US GAAP2009-2011: IFRS2006-2008: US GAAP2009-2011: IFRS**
EPADS and Pay Out Dividend Yield (%)
1.83
2.572.14
2.642.11
0.62
34%26%
52%
68%53%
115%
2006 2007 2008 2009* 2010* 2011*
35%
1.682.132.01
2.91
4.34
3.28
2.23
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
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42
724,040,044 Voting Shares724,040,044 Voting Shares
Ownership Structure
March, 2012
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43
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44
Sustainability Initiatives
Brazilian Alliance for Bio-fuel
Reforestation Projects
ISO 14001 and OHSAS 18001 Certifications
1st ethanol powered aircraft in the World
IpanemaIpanemaRecycling
Corporate ValuesGreener Technology
Social Activities
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45
Lean Results E-Jets Final Assembly Line Transformation
“Dock” layout - 2008 Assembly Line – 2009 Assembly Line – 2011
0
0
68
8
4
Mar/11 (10ac/month)
00,21,51,510Over time (% of work hours)
001,7732Number of non-conformity per a/c
688995106212Work in process (US$mi)
78101218Cycle time (days)
445612Number of positions
Out/11 (12ac/month)
June/2010 (8ac/month)
Sep/2009 (10ac/month)
July/2009 (10ac/month)
May/2008 (15ac/month)
Performance indicators
0
0
68
8
4
Mar/11 (10ac/month)
00,21,51,510Over time (% of work hours)
001,7732Number of non-conformity per a/c
688995106212Work in process (US$mi)
78101218Cycle time (days)
445612Number of positions
Out/11 (12ac/month)
June/2010 (8ac/month)
Sep/2009 (10ac/month)
July/2009 (10ac/month)
May/2008 (15ac/month)
Performance indicators
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46
Lead Time (E-Jets)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
40% reduction on the production cycle
40%
P3E Results
Kaizen - E-Jets Cycle Reduction Cost of Non Quality Reduction
44% reduction on CNQ 44% reduction on CNQ
Cost of Non Quality
2008 2009 2010
44%
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47
Cost: US$ 18.9 mi
Benefit: US$ 175.5 mi
“Boa Idéia” Program Evolution
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48
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49
Forward Looking Statement
This presentation includes forward-looking statements or statements about events or
circumstances which have not occurred. We have based these forward-looking statements
largely on our current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends
affecting our business and our future financial performance. These forward-looking
statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, among other things:
general economic, political and business conditions, both in Brazil and in our market. The
words “believes,” “may,” “will,” “estimates,” “continues,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “expects” and
similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. We undertake no
obligations to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements because of new
information, future events or other factors. In light of these risks and uncertainties, the
forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this presentation might not occur. Our
actual results could differ substantially from those anticipated in our forward-looking
statements.