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Nuclear perspective in Nuclear perspective in the EU the EU Nina Commeau-Yannoussis, Nina Commeau-Yannoussis, Adviser to the deputy Director Adviser to the deputy Director General, European Commission General, European Commission Brussels, July 2d, 2008 Brussels, July 2d, 2008

Nina Commeau

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Page 1: Nina Commeau

Nuclear perspective in the EUNuclear perspective in the EU

Nina Commeau-Yannoussis, Nina Commeau-Yannoussis, Adviser to the deputy Director Adviser to the deputy Director

General, European Commission General, European Commission Brussels, July 2d, 2008Brussels, July 2d, 2008

Page 2: Nina Commeau

The new context for nuclear industryThe new context for nuclear industry

Usual energy context Usual energy context

New challenges or opportunities for New challenges or opportunities for nuclear energy nuclear energy

Page 3: Nina Commeau

A. Usual context (1):A. Usual context (1): increase of energy dependency increase of energy dependency

933 946 937896

833770

725 698 690749 730

819

975

1073

1213

13011358 1375

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

mio

to

e

Production

Imports

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A. Usual context (2):A. Usual context (2):Preserve global competitivity of the economyPreserve global competitivity of the economy

Index of Real Crude Oil Import Costs in National Currency

JapJapan

USA

EU

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AA. . Usual contextUsual context (3): (3):Acceptable electricity prices and Acceptable electricity prices and

uncertainties of fuel costsuncertainties of fuel costs2000-20062000-2006

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B. New challenges (1): B. New challenges (1): meet the increasing elecricity demandemeet the increasing elecricity demande

Annual Evolution

2,03

2,492,38

2,22

0,6

0,8

0,6

0,4

2,1

1,7

1,5

1,2

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

1990-2000 2000-2010 2010-2020 2020-2030

GDP

Energy

Electricity

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B. Investments needs in te B. Investments needs in te internal energy market(2) internal energy market(2)

Electricity investments needs up to Electricity investments needs up to 2030 about 900 billions € (65% in 2030 about 900 billions € (65% in generation capacity)generation capacity)Nuclear power has high capital costs Nuclear power has high capital costs

and low variable costs its and low variable costs its commercial viability depends commercial viability depends critically on the cost of critically on the cost of

capital capital and the price of and the price of electricityelectricity

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Results of IEA studyResults of IEA study : costs of new investment in electricity : costs of new investment in electricity generation example of Germany-generation example of Germany-Discount rate 10 %.Discount rate 10 %.

0102030405060708090

100

Hardcoal

Naturalgas

Nuclear Wind

Fuel, USD/MWhe

Operation andmaintenance,USD/MWhe

Investment, USD/MWhe

Page 9: Nina Commeau

B. New challenges (3): B. New challenges (3): climate change preoccupationsclimate change preoccupations

G-8 Energy ministers meeting

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New challenges (4): New challenges (4): nuclear expansion in the rest of the worldnuclear expansion in the rest of the world

China, India, Japan, China, India, Japan, South Korea, Russia South Korea, Russia and USA Middle Est and USA Middle Est countries, North Africa countries, North Africa etc etc

Globally 28 nuclear Globally 28 nuclear power plant under power plant under construction, construction,

35 are planned.35 are planned.

Page 11: Nina Commeau

1957-EURATOM Treaty1957-EURATOM Treaty

50 years after Euratom still in force50 years after Euratom still in force

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The Commission will continue its The Commission will continue its efforts to maintan the option open efforts to maintan the option open

EU technology performance: Research–EU technology performance: Research–Euratom programmeEuratom programmeEnsure high standards for radiation Ensure high standards for radiation protection, Safety and nuclear security protection, Safety and nuclear security (COM May 2008) (COM May 2008) Adequate funding for managment of waste Adequate funding for managment of waste and decommissioning (COM Dec 2007)and decommissioning (COM Dec 2007)Public access to reliable information Public access to reliable information transparancy and participation to décision transparancy and participation to décision making process making process

Page 13: Nina Commeau

Preserve the technological edge : Preserve the technological edge : EURATOM Research Programme EURATOM Research Programme

(FP7: 2007-2011)(FP7: 2007-2011)

DG-Researchindirect actions

Fusion

1947 M€

DG-Researchindirect actions

Fission & Radiation Protection

287 M€

JRCdirect actions

Fission

517 M€

TOTAL EURATOM = 2751 M€

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Ageing of nuclear power plant in Europe- neceesity of dismantling

founds

Page 15: Nina Commeau

Europeans appear to mildly appreciate Europeans appear to mildly appreciate certain features of nuclear energycertain features of nuclear energy