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M60 Towns – Strategies for Growth Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

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Page 1: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

M60 Towns – Strategies for GrowthDan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

Page 2: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

M60 Towns

How are the M60 Towns making Greater Manchester ‘great’?

Page 3: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

Agenda

• Setting the scene• Connectivity• Last 10 years performance• Opportunities for Growth

Page 4: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore
Page 5: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore
Page 6: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore
Page 7: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore
Page 8: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore
Page 9: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

but……..

Page 10: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore
Page 11: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore
Page 12: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

Total Population – 2001 and 2011

Source: ONS, Census 2001 and 2011

Central M

ancheste

r

Salford

Altrinch

amBolto

n

Rochdale

OldhamWigan

Bury

Ashton-under-L

yne

Leigh

Stockport

Greater Manch

ester

England0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

+0%

+20%

+40%

+60%

+80%

+100%

+120%

+140%+132%

+19% +14% +11% +9% +8% +7% +6% +5% +4% +0%+8% +8%

Change in Total Population - Census 2001 and 2011

2001 2011 % Change

Page 13: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

Population Aged 65+ - 2001 and 2011

Source: ONS, Census 2001 and 2011

Central M

ancheste

r

Altrinch

amLeigh

Ashton-under-L

yne

WiganBury

Stockport

Rochdale

Bolton

Salford

Oldham

Greater Manch

ester

England0

1,0002,0003,0004,000

5,0006,0007,0008,0009,000

-20%-15%-10%-5%+0%+5%+10%+15%+20%+25%+30%

+23%

+14%+11%

+1% -0% -2%-5%

-8%-11% -13% -15%

+5%

+11%

Change in 65+ Population - Census 2001 and 2011

2001 2011 % Change

Page 14: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

Unemployment Rates – 2001 and 2011

Oldham

Rochdale

Bolton

Ashton-under-L

yne

Salford

WiganLeigh

Bury

Stockport

Central M

ancheste

r

Altrinch

am

Greater Manch

ester

England0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

10%9% 9%

6%

8%

6%5% 5%

5%

10%

3%

5% 5%

13% 13%12%

9% 9% 9% 8% 8%7%

5%4%

7%6%

Unemployment - Census 2001 and 2011

2001 2011

Source: ONS, Census 2001 and 2011

Page 15: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

House Prices – 2001 and 2011

Altrinch

am

Central M

ancheste

r

Salford

Stockport

BuryWigan

Ashton-under-L

yne

Rochdale

Leigh

OldhamBolto

n

Greater Manch

ester

England£0k

£50k

£100k

£150k

£200k

£250k

£128k £118k

£36k£56k

£43k £42k £40k £37k £38k £28k £28k

£59k

£92k

£233k

£154k

£113k £110k£97k £90k £90k £81k £75k £74k £70k

£123k

£180k

Median House Prices - Land Registry 2001 and 2011

2001 2011

Source: Land Registry

Page 16: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

Vacant Homes – 2001 and 2011

Salford

Central M

ancheste

r

Ashton-under-L

yne

Bolton

WiganLeigh

Bury

Oldham

Altrinch

am

Stockport

Rochdale

Greater Manch

ester

England0%2%

4%6%8%

10%12%14%

16%18%

6%

16%

6%8%

3%4% 4%

6%

3% 3%5% 5%

3%

7%6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4%

Vacant Homes - Census 2001 and 2011

2001 2011

Source: ONS, Census 2001 and 2011

Page 17: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

Last 10 YearsM60 Towns:• Population growth mirrors GM & UK average (lower

growth in 65+ group)• Unemployment has risen 2001-2011, (albeit improved

slightly since 2011)• House prices increased in line with average• Vacancy rates stagnant

Contrast - Manchester City Centre core:• Focus of economic growth – unemployment has fallen• Significant rise in younger, working age population• City centre living – fall in vacancy rates

Page 18: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore
Page 19: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

M60 Towns Regeneration – Last 10 Years• Public Sector Dominated (largest

employers in each town)• Town centre focused (Wheatsheaf, The

Rock)• Housing Renewal Programmes• Some new Business Parks• Other Initiatives e.g. building schools for

the future

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Regeneration Challenges• Trend and recession based• Competition from out of centre (Ikea, Trafford

centre, superstores)• Competition between M60 towns – seeking

same anchor tenants (stalled schemes)• Significant retail sector shift• Austerity job cuts in the private sector• Budget cuts• Deprivation

Page 24: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

M60 Towns

How are the M60 Towns making Greater Manchester ‘great’?

Page 25: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore
Page 26: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

M60 Towns: Opportunities

Governance:• Greater Manchester Spatial Framework – working

together• Be bold (Green Belt)

Better connectivity:• Public Transport Improvements – Northern Hub Initiative• HS3 (HS2?)• Circle Line connecting M60 towns together – Polycentric

approach• Park and Ride Hubs in M60 Towns

Page 27: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

M60 Towns: Opportunities (2)

M60 Town Centres:• Continue to invest – but be clear what offer is• Accept changing role of High Street

Perception:• M60 Towns – Manchester’s New Neighbourhoods• Family / aspirational housing offer• Great schools• All within easy commute of City Centre

Page 28: M60 Towns: Dan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

M60 Towns – Strategies for GrowthDan Mitchell, Barton Willmore

Questions