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http://www.flickr.com/photos/basheertome/5557362895 on design in a time of disruption Letting go... http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0

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Page 1: Letting go

http://www.flickr.com/photos/basheertome/5557362895

on design in a time of disruption

Letting go...

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0

Page 2: Letting go

http://www.flickr.com/photos/ghewgill/5046616680

been on a quest for perfection + control...for much of human history, we have

napoleon bonaparte

Page 3: Letting go

started with this...much of it

http://www.flickr.com/photos/purdman1/2875431305

movable lead type

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/jmwk/3517373312

might be a finite thing...led us to believe that knowledge itself

store, and constrain knowledge,our ability to capture,

gutenberg bible

gutenberg parenthesis

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/smithsonian/4127624763

"the truth" about all sorts of things...long enough, we could discover

...that if we experimented

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/bigbirdz/4507266406

to do just about everything......and "the best way"

iso certified

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http://www.google.com/patents

claimed them as our own...we protected ideas, and

google patents

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/siliconbeachtraining/3925458997

duplicate what we'd learned...we created processes, enabling us to

six sigma

design thinking

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/fungleo/4771589650

globalisation further amplified this...industrialisation, automation and

chongqing china

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/scobleizer/3009516045

something you can scale it...once you can duplicate

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/daverugby83/4478007023

you can make money...and if you can scale it,

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/chadmagiera/265752353

much of this is starting to unravel...thanks to the Internet,

bruce mau massive change

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important than that of any the network are now more

but the knowledge + power in...scale is still important,

one group or individual...

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spreading messages and ideas...social networks act as "amplifiers"

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/ricardoalvarez/229045487

and it's likely to grow...let a product, or idea loose online,

crazy frog

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they self-replicate and evolve...but ideas don't just grow,

the annoying thing

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/eneas/3479302322

is normally associated with viruses...often at a pace and intensity that

swine flu mexico

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the network sets in... once the power of

it's impossible to contain ideasand while viruses can be contained,

this is actually bacteria...

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device has only amplified this the portable, always on, always connected

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you have the perfect storm...combine all these things and

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feedback loop...an endless, often over-connected

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/yghelloworld/4965465016

ideas to greatness...propelling unexpected

angry birds

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7IcVyvg2Qlo

enabling new voices...

it gets better

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...accelerating change

egyptian revolution

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on a global scale...or causing chaos

market crash 2011

economic crisis 2008

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create entirely new situations..."converging and influencing each other toat us faster or with less predictability; they are"events, threats and opportunities aren't just coming

require unprecedented degrees of creativity""...these first-of-their-kind developments

Capitalising on Complexity - 2010 IBM CEO Study

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and...

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/z_wenjie/5602616401

with some decidedly unique challenges...designers, (or anyone who makes products)

this new environment presents engineers,

nathan road hong kong

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the balance of power is shifting...

always connectedalways on

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to interact with our creations we can no longer expect customers

in a linear, exclusive, orpredictable manner...

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to create experiences for them...users no longer have to wait for us

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if something doesn't suit them...

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...they can change it

kindle teleprompter

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/johanl/4818276266

...improve it

flipboard

readability

instapaper

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...enhance it

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http://twitter.com/#!/joindiaspora

...even compete with it.

open source social network

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be able to go even further...very soon, they will

3D printing

makerbot thing-o-matic

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necessarily a bad thing...this is not

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people don't necessarily want the perfect product..."counterintuitive but there is growing evidence thatincomplete, and possibly even substandard seems"Issuing your customers with something that is rough,

Page 41: Letting go

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around the edges that they can adapt or improve.""...they prefer to deal with something ragged

Loose, Martin Thomas

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behave in a generally homogenous way... we've also tended to presume users

in our quest to create perfection,

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far from the truth...but this is increasingly

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so...

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of a product into society...of 50 million to mark the "penetration"

marketers often use an audience

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(which was usually a good thing)historically, market penetration took time,

traffic 1963

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of how a product may fit into our lives...development of social norms and an understanding

with time comes stronger mental models,

traffic 2011

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those embarrassing mistakes...time also enabled us to work out

sinclair c5

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time is now a luxury...for better or worse

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stability

creation of new infrastructural

technology followed by

rapiddisruption

years

S curve - stable over decades

stability

Source: The Big Shift by John Hagel, John Seely Brown and Lang Davison

...the big shift

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stability

creation of new infrastructural

technology followed by

rapiddisruption

years years

S curve - stable over decades the present (and likely future)

many new infrastructural technologies

frequent disruption

smaller periods of stability

stability

Source: The Big Shift by John Hagel, John Seely Brown and Lang Davison

...the big shift

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a market penetration of 50 million...it took radio 40 years to reach

Source: ReWired, Larry D. Rosen

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/sarahreido/4566354684

10 years to 'adapt' to television...by comparison, we had only

Source: ReWired, Larry D. Rosen

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while the iPod took only 5 years...iconic

Source: ReWired, Larry D. Rosen

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPPj6viIBmU

less than 6 months...and YouTube,

Source: ReWired, Larry D. Rosen

star wars kid

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http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2011/06/introducing-google-project-real-life.html

in less than half this time...Google+ may reach that milestone

google+ 25 million

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at a pace that was once unheard of...technology adoption is creating 'generation gaps'

researchers are discovering that our rapid

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/tocaboca/5523598823

Lee Rainie, Pew Research Center, Internet and American Life Project

experiences with technology."are having completely different"People two, three or four years apart

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...but this is different.tastes than our siblings

we've always had different

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She was holding my Kindle e-reader."recently with two words: "Daddy's book."

"My 2-year-old daughter surprised me

The Children of Cyberspace: Old Fogies by Their 20s, NY Times

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limited to our children...these changes are not

and looked for the search box.""I just opened my Moleskine

- @aral

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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blind_men_and_an_elephant

really had it easy...and those blind men with that elephant

add to this the global nature of the Internet,

information deficit

different perspectives

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in a slightly different way...and engaging with products

each of us experiencing, understanding

interpretations

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interdependent systems of experience...designing multi-layered and tightly

while companies such as Apple are successfullystill

apple store

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most touch points and interactions...their ability to control and contain

their success relies in great part on

magic kingdom

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have this luxury...most products will not

android china

rubber ducks lost at sea

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be the first to fail...orchestrated products may in fact

today the most perfectly

OLPC

design by committee

mental models

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in fact...

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of experience...for each layer

nespresso coffee

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actors in the ecosystem...and an increasing reliance on other

there will be trade-offs in complexity

http://www.flickr.com/photos/flavouz/3137171590

recycle nespresso capsules

george clooney nespresso

nespresso vs

cost of aluminium

fair trade ethics

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that have become all too commonto the abrupt changes in environment...reducing a product's ability to react

fuel costs

union UPS handbook

carbon costs

volcano UPS delivery

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in fact be the simplest–or most flexible...the most successful products mayin an increasingly complex world,

bodum

french press

bialetti

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experiences they create for themselves...meaning and enrich their lives, through

enabling pathways for users to find

toca boca

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stop short of fully defining the experience.""the best designs will set the stage, but

Adam Silver, Frog Design

cardboard box play

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http://www.guardian.co.uk/open-platform

they were originally intended for...beyond the device, context or technologythe most valued products will be designed to live

newspaper publishing

print media process

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with no primary context at all...they may even be designed

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should not absolve us of responsibility...but letting go of 'experience' as we once knew it

domino falling

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responsibility than ever before...in fact, as designers we now have more

and developers

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Video Games and the Human Condition, Jonathan Blow

with every product we create."to the number of people we may affect

"A responsibility that is directly proportional

elevator lift design

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to consider the implications of our work...our lives, the more important it will be for us

the more technology weave their way throughand the Internet

segway

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–a design for our collective future.""We are creating a blueprint together

Douglas Rushkoff

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script and API becomes a part of that future...each meme, pattern, metaphor, gesture,

minority report interface

natural ui

twitter URLs

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Marshall McLuhan

thereafter our tools shape us.""We shape our tools and

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wish to create?...what future do we

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we do will have any impact...there's no guarantee the work

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that it may...but there's the very real risk

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we were at when we created them."cannot be solved at the same level of thinking"The significant problems we face,

Albert Einstein

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[email protected] thank you

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many thanks to the amazing photographers on

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