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Guest lecture on business modelling by Serge LeVert-Chiasson from Sarona Asset Management http://www.socialentrepreneurship.ca/indev308
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Assessing Business Potential
110 -1B Frobisher Drive, Waterloo ON N2V 2G7, Canada | 1.519.883.7557 | [email protected]
By Serge LeVert-Chiasson, CFA, MSc, IMBA
For the INDEV 308 Class
Presented on May 30, 2011
This is not a purchase offer, nor the solicitation of a purchase offer. Any such offer or solicitation will be made only by means of a final offering memorandum
and only in those jurisdictions where permitted by law.
AGENDA
Assessing Business Potential
INDEV 308 – Monday, May 30th, 2011
1. Introduction to Sarona Asset Management
2. A bit about my role at Sarona
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
2 Confidential
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
4. Main takeaways for budding entrepreneurs
5. Two case studies:
a) Agro Capital Management of Ukraine
b) Mobile Transactions Zambia of Zambia
Answer the questions at the bottom of the deck and you can win a prize!
SARONAASSETMANAGEMENT
In all we do, we strive for
Excellence – Honesty – Integrity – Creativity
Sarona has a 58 year history of investing in frontier markets around the world.
Sarona is a private equity investor, seeking market rate returns.
3 Confidential
Sarona is an impact investor, believing our personal life values inform our
business decisions. We believe that private equity firms that enact progressive
business strategies in their portfolio companies will outperform their peers.
Sarona invests in businesses that:
• treat their suppliers, employees, and customers like their own families;
• are environmental champions in their communities; and
• are known as outstanding ethical leaders in their community and industry.
Where does Sarona invest?
1953
1968
1995
1997
1999
Access to top-tier managers and
investing alongside
international partners
First Impact Investment in Sarona Dairies
Leading to nearly 60 years’ experience
First Microfinance Investment
Strong presence in global industry associations
Launched MEDA Access Fund
Building upon values of Excellence and Integrity
Launched Latin America Challenge Investment Fund
Strong third party supplier relations ensuring accountability
Launched Sarona Global Investment Fund
Adhere to ILPA
principles
SARONAASSETMANAGEMENT
Key signatory
Investors’ Council
Affiliated with:
1999
2004
2007
2008
2010
2010 First Global Impact Fund of Funds – SFMF I LP
SFMF I LP performing well since vintage year 2010
Launched MicroVest Short Duration Fund – MV SDF I LP
Partners have solid PE, investment and frontier market experience
Launched MicroVest II LP
All Funds under management outperforming targets in all markets
Launched Sarona Risk Capital Fund I LP
Known for strong governance and ethics within industry
Co-founded and Launched MicroVest I LP
Expanding upon values of Honesty and Creativity
Launched Sarona Global Investment Fund
Established brand as presenter to frontier PE and impact conferences
4 ConfidentialWhat is impact investing?
SARONA FRONTIERMARKETS FUNDDIVERSIFICATION
27%
11%
11%11%
10%
10%
7%5%
4%
2%
1%
Portfolio Exposure by SectorAgribusiness
ICT
FMCG
Clean Energy
Financial Services
Light Manufacturing
Health
Education
Affordable Housing
Professional Services
Sustainable Forestry
22%
28%24%
12%
14%
Portfolio Exposure by Region
LAC
Africa
South Asia
East Asia
Eastern Europe & CIS
5 Confidential
Sustainable Forestry
Water
23%
44%
33%
Portfolio Fund's Avg Transaction Size
Less than US$5M
US$5 to US$12.5M
US$12.5 to US$20M
23%
13%
10%
9%6%
4%
3%
3%3%
26%
Portfolio Exposure by Country
India
Turkey
Kenya
Peru
Mexico
Thailand
Indonesia
Morocco
Philippines
Other (27 Countries)
What are the advantages of diversification?
AGENDA
Assessing Business Potential
INDEV 308 – Monday, May 30th, 2011
1. Introduction to Sarona Asset Management
2. A bit about my role at Sarona
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
6 Confidential
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
4. Main takeaways for budding entrepreneurs
5. Two case studies:
a) Agro Capital Management of Ukraine
b) Mobile Transactions Zambia of Zambia
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER
Serge LeVert-Chiasson, CFA, MSc, IMBA
Background:
• CFA Charterholder, Masters of Science in Accounting / Finance
from LSE, International MBA from Schulich Business School
• Experience in private banking, international business, private
equity, international lending and international a/r insurance
• Travelled to over 50 countries / French, English, Spanish
7 Confidential
• Travelled to over 50 countries / French, English, Spanish
My role at Sarona:
• Conduct due diligence and present investment proposals to board for funds
under management
• Monitor, add value and exit investments in portfolio
• Create new funds and assist in capital raising
• Participate in general office management as well as employee supervision,
motivation and training
• Develop processes, policies and procedures for improved productivity
What does CFA and LSE stand for?
AGENDA
Assessing Business Potential
INDEV 308 – Monday, May 30th, 2011
1. Introduction to Sarona Asset Management
2. A bit about my role at Sarona
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
8 Confidential
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
4. Main takeaways for budding entrepreneurs
5. Two case studies:
a) Agro Capital Management of Ukraine
b) Mobile Transactions Zambia of Zambia
OUR INVESTMENT PROCESS
Desk ResearchReview
Investment Thesis
Assess Impact
Strategy
Review Marketing Material
First Conference
Call
Investment criteria
Minimum IRR Target
Minimum Terms and Conditions
Focus on Sector or
Geography
Deal size between $2-
25M
Impact Strategy
Legal and Track Record
Review Legal
Documents
Review Fund Model
Review GP Financials
Review GP Track record
Due Diligence Form
Information Memo
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Risks & Mitigants
Identify Red Flags
On Site Due 2-5 day visit 2-8 pipeline Review of Meeting all Partners, Local IC
Entire process can take four to eight weeks
9 Confidential
On Site Due Diligence
2-5 day visit w/ 2 people
2-8 pipeline visits
Review of Process and Procedures
Meeting all Managers and Staff
Partners, HQ, offices
visited
Local IC members
visited
Third Party References
Call 3-5 committed investors
Call auditors/ lawyers
Reference checks
Call Inter. IC members
Call major service
providers
Call industry / geography
experts
Contact competitors
if possible
Investment Memo
Executive Summary
Terms and Conditions
Review
SWOT Analysis
Country/ Sector
Analysis
Manager Review
Legal Review
Major risks and
Mitigants
Board ApprovalPresent the Investment
Memo
Make the case
Key risks and
mitigants
Motion to approve
NegotiationsImplement
Board motion
Identify LP friendly terms
Side letter if necessary
Legal, Execution & Disbursement
Use legal firm if
necessary
Sign subscription agreement
Wire transfer
funds
Monitoring & Risk Mgmt
Quarterly & Annual reports
Contact with team
Attend annual LP meetings
Visit local offices
Share best-practices
Access Sarona
network
Report back to our LPs
How many major steps are there in the due diligence process?
AGENDA
Assessing Business Potential
INDEV 308 – Monday, May 30th, 2011
1. Introduction to Sarona Asset Management
2. A bit about my role at Sarona
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
10 Confidential
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
4. Main takeaways for budding entrepreneurs
5. Two case studies:
a) Agro Capital Management of Ukraine
b) Mobile Transactions Zambia of Zambia
ASSESSING BUSINESS POTENTIAL
Product, Market, Process, People, Financials
1. Product: Clearly define the need / gap your product or
service seeks to fill. Focus and Consult
2. Market: What market are you after? What competition do
you face? Bowling Pin / Niche
11 Confidential
3. Operating Model: What is your business model? What
partners do you need? Draw it and figure the problems
4. People: Who do you need to successfully execute the
business model? What skills are you missing? Hire
5. Financials: Is the business sustainable? What are your
assumptions? What financing will you need? Count
Which of these categories is most important?
INVESTORS INVEST IN PEOPLE NOT IDEAS
Lessons we’ve learned the hard way
1. Great ideas + bad implementers = failure
2. Poor ideas + great implementers = probable success
3. Numbers do matter… Do the math. Is your business
sustainable? Are your assumptions credible?
4. Consult, consult, consult. Seek feedback from as many
12 Confidential
4. Consult, consult, consult. Seek feedback from as many
different points of view as possible. Listen to your critics.
5. Pilot your idea and seek to learn from your early, lower risk
mistakes. Seek realistic milestones and meet them.
6. Finance yourself with people who will help you succeed
7. Understand your risks and find ways to mitigate them
8. Stop talking. Start doing.
What distinguishes a social business from a regular business?
AGENDA
Assessing Business Potential
INDEV 308 – Monday, May 30th, 2011
1. Introduction to Sarona Asset Management
2. A bit about my role at Sarona
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
13 Confidential
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
4. Main takeaways for budding entrepreneurs
5. Two case studies:
a) Agro Capital Management of Ukraine
b) Mobile Transactions Zambia of Zambia
AGRO CAPITALMANAGEMENT (ACM)
ACM provides asset financing of agricultural packages to Ukrainian smallholder
farmers to improve their farm incomes and works in partnership with technical
assistance providers to ensure success
ACM Sales
leads model
MF CF +
Qualitative
Assessment
of clients
International
board
Greenhouses
(GH)
Table Grape
Packages
(TGP)
14 Confidential
Target
Clients:
Small-holder
farmers and
Agri SME
of clients
Partnering
with local
suppliers
Partnering
with farming
groups
Flexible
Payments
Innovative
use of SMS
technology
Experienced
ACM staff Cold Storage
Units (CSU)
(GH)(TGP)
Agricultural
Equipment &
Machinery
(AME)
Strawberry
Package (SP)
Why did we start a new company in Ukraine?
ACM CLIENTS
Mr. Dilyaver Seythalilov purchased greenhouses and refrigeration equipment from ACM to grow his agribusiness. He was able to employ additional workers to work in the cold storage unit over the winter as well as grow his greenhouse space by 3,000 square meters.
Mrs. Marina Kuzmenok is a local accountant in the village council of Saki, Crimea. She heard about ACM from the regional tax administrator and received a 0.1 hectare table grape package supplied by Agro Yukos, one of ACM’s suppliers. She has since convinced four of her neighbours to grow ACM table grapes
15 Confidential
ACM table grapes
Mr. Edem Mamutov is a local Tatar from the Prudovoe village near Simferopol. He was thinking about growing table grapes for a long time but did not have the financing. When he heard about ACM, he jumped at the opportunity. “The technical assistance I received from ACM was great as well as the speed and quality of service.”
Mr. Aleksandr Sinenko lives in Kherson and manages a medium scale agribusiness that employs 80 permanent employees and 100 seasonal workers. With ACM’s financing for cold storage units and greenhouses, he was able to hire 3 more permanent employees and 30 more seasonal employees.
Where in Ukraine is ACM active?
WHAT DIDWE LEARN FROMACM?
► ACM Sales Agent Model – First experience with fraud
► Death of the CEO had major effect on business
► Never underestimate time for greenfields
► The power of aligning interests with clear goals / cash
► Partnerships are built on trust, not contracts
► The importance boards with aligned interests
16 Confidential
► The importance boards with aligned interests
► Focusing on profitability too quickly may reduce your ability to
mitigate certain risks
► Using old technologies in new ways reduces costs and improves
business performance (SMS)
► The importance of excellent customer service in building a business -
Word of mouth works!
How many clients does ACM have today?
AGENDA
Assessing Business Potential
INDEV 308 – Monday, May 30th, 2011
1. Introduction to Sarona Asset Management
2. A bit about my role at Sarona
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
17 Confidential
3. How do we assess investment opportunities?
4. Main takeaways for budding entrepreneurs
5. Two case studies:
a) Agro Capital Management of Ukraine
b) Mobile Transactions Zambia of Zambia
MOBILETRANSACTIONS ZAMBIA (MTZ)
Mobile Transactions Zambia provides low cost, safe, easy and convenient money
transfer services to base of the pyramid clients in Zambia. It also offers innovative
mobile payment solutions to corporations, governments and non profits who deal
with clients in the informal economy.
18 ConfidentialIs Zambia in East, South, West or North Africa?
MTZ – BUSINESSMODEL
Corporations
Government
MFIs
Suppliers
Sources Sinks
BC
Cash Agents
UC
Banks
ChannelsConsumers
19 Confidential
MFIs
Donors
NGOs
Utilities
MFIs
Cash Agents
Electronic
Agents
UC
UU
Value Creation:Mobile TransactionsMobile NetworksBanks
Legend:BC = Banked & ConnectedUC = Unbanked & ConnectedUU = Unbanked & Unconnected
What does MTZ do differently from other mobile payment providers?
MTZ – ISTHIS A SUSTAINABLE B-MODEL?
$-
$5,000,000
$10,000,000
$15,000,000
$20,000,000
$25,000,000
$30,000,000
$35,000,000
Financial Summary
TOTAL REVENUE
TOTAL GROSS PROFIT
TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSES
EBITDA EXCLUDING GRANTS
NET INCOME
20 Confidential
$(15,000,000)
$(10,000,000)
$(5,000,000) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
-10000000
0
10000000
20000000
30000000
40000000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Cash Flow
Total Change in Cash Position
CLOSING CASH BALANCE
In what year will MTZ start generating a positive net income?
WHOWINSTHE PRIZE?
Thanks for your attention!
Question and Answers
21 Confidential
Question and Answers
1.519.883.7557
110 -1B Frobisher Drive, Waterloo, ON, N2V 2G7, Canada
saronafund.com
This is not an offering or the solicitation of an offer to purchase. Any such offer or solicitation will be made only by means of a
final offering memorandum and only in those jurisdictions where permitted by law.