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Encuentro Proyecto Europeo “FIREMAN”http://www.fireman-europe.com/Castelo de Santa Cruz, CEIDA, Oleiros, A Coruña.30 Septiembre-1 OctubreEncuentro de Participantes en la Gestión de Montes y Prevención de Incendios.
Citation preview
CEIDA 30.09.2010
FOREST FIRE IMPACTS
IN GALICIAN FOREST ECONOMY
Juan Picos Martín
2
Galicia in figures
• 2.7 million inhabitants (stagnating, ageing, coastal zone >70% inland <30%)
Total extension: aprox. 3 M ha (approximately the size of Belgium )
Geographical dispersal of the population (76% in municipalities < 2 000 inhabitants)
Own Language (Galician)
Primary sectors relevant to economy(Agriculture, Fishing, Forestry[+FBI],…)
Other important sectors (Energy, car industry, textile …)
Still Convergence Region
“dhas arboledas non son brauas sino que se ponen y plantan y cultivan … dhas arboledas crian en heredades propias limitadas y amojonadas como si fusen huertas o viñas y las benefician curándolas y labrándolas y cortando de ellas de tantos en tantos años muy amenudo porque la tierra es de tal calidad que quantomas se cortare, tanto mas naçe y crece y es tanta la arboleda que produce que tiene necesidad de yrla entresacando todos los años”.
Galicia: Cuna de la Selvicultura
Letter sent in 1574 to King Phillip II (Felipe II) by the regent and
majors of the cities of the Old Kingdom of Galicia
Galicia, Cradle of Silviculture?
Galicia produces:
50-55% Spanish roundwood
40% Spanish Sawnwood,
33% Spanish Panels, (74% Spanish Fibreboards and MDF).
30% Spanish Pulp (Supplying 50% Spanish Wood for pulp production)
6
Forest Based Industries in Galicia, main figures
Annual turnover in Galicia: >2.000 M€ (3-4 % Galician GDP)
Direct Employment: 15.000 persons (1,3% Galician workers)
Induced Employment: 60.000 persons (5,3% Galician workers)
Of which in rural areas: 65 %
Responsible of 5% of Galician trade to EU and overseas
7
Forest Based Industries in Galicia, key for interterritorial balance
Comarca. shp
Entre las 3 primeras
Puesto ocupado por la Industria de la madera entre las actividades industriales por empleo generado
Location of Galician Forest Based Industries
Counties where FBI employment > 25% of total
8
Forest Ownership in Galicia
68%
2%
11%
19%
30%
Private Individual
Public
Private Communal (Public Management)
Private Communal (Private Management)
98% of the forest is PRIVATE FOREST
672.000 individual forest owners (in a 2.7 million population)
less than 2 hectares in 2 or 3 different plots per owner.
80% of the plots is smaller than 0,5 ha.
2.800 private communal forests
average size 250 ha, 36% public management through contracts
9
10
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
tho
usan
d h
ecta
res
Total Burned Area and Dense Forest Burned Area (1961-2010*)
11
y = 215,54e0,1115x
R² = 0,8626
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
Number of registered fires
12
2006 Forest Fires
Regarding Galician Forest Services estimations
96.000 has affected
55.000 has of dense forest burned
More than 4 M m3 affected
7.500 population entities menaced
13
14
15
Direct Impact on Galician Forest Based Industries
16
Direct Impact on Galician FBIs
Losses on Forests Owned or Managed by Companies:
2006 - 15% of Forests Owned by Companies were affected
Losses on stumpage stock:
2006 - 45.000 tons bought on stumpage burned before been harvested
Firefighting effort by FBI
In 2006 more than 200 industry employees equiped with forest machinery were involved in firefighting - RISK
Damages on Industrial sites: (yards, powerlines,…)
17
Medium-Long Term Impact on Galician FBIs
Inminent lack of Local Raw Material
Close-down and relocation Risk
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70+
mil
lio
n m
3 IFN I 1976
IFN I 1976
To
tal
Sta
nd
ing
Vo
lum
e
Diameter class
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70+
mil
lio
n m
3
IFN I 1976
IFN II 1986
To
tal
Sta
nd
ing
Vo
lum
e
Diameter class
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70+
mil
lio
n m
3
IFN I 1976
IFN II 1986
IFN III 1997
To
tal
Sta
nd
ing
Vo
lum
e
Diameter class
18
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70+
mil
lio
n m
3
IFN I 1976
IFN II 1986
IFN III 1997
IFN IV ? 2008
To
tal
Sta
nd
ing
Vo
lum
e
Diameter class
Medium-Long Term Impact on Galician FBIs
19
Medium-Long Term Impact on Galician FBIs
Small forest owner withdrawal
20
45
55
65
75
85
95
105
115
125
135
2003 2004 2005 2006 (p) 2007 (proy)
Mill
on
es d
e €
Prevencion y Defensa contra Incendios
RESTO PROGRAMAS
Medium-Long Term Impact on Galician FBIs
Changes in Policies and Budget Allocation
Short term vs Long term ……. Expenses vs Investments
2010
21
22
23
Vale máis unha terra con
árbores nos montes que un
estado con ouro nos bancos.
Alfonso Daniel Rodriguez Castelao