Future S&T Forecasts

Dr. James Canton

CEO & Chairman

GlobalFuturist.com

Institute for Global Futures

Forecast Emerging

Trends

• Think Tank

• Advise Fortune 1000

• Global Risk Analysis

• Analytic Forecasting

• Innovation Strategy

Worldwide Clients

Forecasting Models

•Proprietary Computer and

Network based Analytic engines

•Environmental scanning

•Conduct primary and analyze

secondary research

Welcome to the Extreme Future

Extreme Future: More Risk More

Opportunity

!A highly multidimensional worldof complex trends

Challenge: Navigate Extreme Future

8

World of 2020

Top Global Risk on GDP & Multinational

• Energy

• Population

• Food

• Water

• Health

• Ecology

• GWOT

Global Population

By 2020, 95% of World’s 8 Billion People will

Live in Developing Nations

Total Fertility

Rate by

Country

Fertility Rates Dropping

Fertility in Every Developed Country has

Fallen Beneath the Replacement Rate of 2.1UN 1997

An Older World

Immigration & birthrates

will not keep pace

with GDP demands

Impact on:

•Global Security

•Productivity

•Quality of life

Future Productivity Crisis:

More Jobs then Workers

US Workforce 2020

• More Jobs then Workers• Over 50% Women• One third minority• Large Hispanic population• Knowledge Enabled• Global outsourcing

By 2020: Most mega-cities indeveloping world—EcoFault risk

Global Megacities

The World of 2020 will have 100 Megacities

with more than 10 Million People Each

17

Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast

The clash between the rich agingdeveloped world and the pooryoung ethnic developing world

18

Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast

Wealth gaps between not only thehaves and have not nations butpopulations within nations like Asia &India will drive social unrest

19

Possible Disruption Forecast 2020

Current energy resources will notkeep pace with population growthor GDP—strategic implications?

20

Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast

Over one quarter of gross worldproduct is made by ten cities todayBut this economic power may shiftto Asia in the future—implications?

21

Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast

Cities and planet’s carryingcapacity to feed, clean, cloth, houseand economically sustain 1-2 Billionmore people is questionable.

Innovation: Key Driver of Global GDP

1/3 of US GDP is Innovation Driven

Global Innovation Economy

• Key driver of competitive

advantage, wealth and

prosperity

• Fusion of talent & science

• America leads

NextGen Science Convergence

New Systems Science

Bioinfomatics

Biological Metaphors in Computing

In Silico Biology

Genetic / BioMed Proteomics

NBICQ Modeling

Quantum Modeling

of Nano-Materials

• Quantum Modeling of meta-scale nanostructured catalysts, nano-

crystals, and membranes enables investigation into unique molecular

forms with substantial cost savings over conventional material solutions

Knowledge-Engineering

Genetic Magnification

Key Properties:

Photonic

Electronic

Mechnical

Chemical

Controlled Replication

Living

Systems as

Biofoundry

Materials Harvest /

“Biocomponents”

Dynamic Agent

Material Patterning /

Structural Systems

Synthetic Biology

Synthetic Biology Building Blocks >

Biological Systems Architectures

Neural Futures

Conquering Disease at the

Atomic Scale: Designed Care

• From InSilico Biology, to Molecular Delivery, toIntracellular NanoBiology

• The Evolution of Applied NanoMedicine

Life Extension: Personalized Med

Space Futures

Industrialization of Space – the next Economic Paradigm

Energy Harvesting

Specialized Materials

Space Pharma

Summary

"Science must accelerate socialinnovations

"Key is next gen systems science

"Direct connection to science anddemocracy, security, economic growth,prosperity

"Better private/public coordination

Convergence: Future of Mega Cities