Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Future of logistics and supply chain management in Mexico, Latin America, global trends. Future of manufacturing, wholesale, retail trends. Distribution and disruptions in supply chain, managing supply chain risks. Onshoring, offshoring, outsourcing. Future of manufacturing in Mexico and China. Future global economic outlook, GDP growth in Mexico, US, European Union, China and Vietnam. Future of road haulage and trucking, tranportation by rail, air and sea. Future of container ports, shipping and transport hubs. Future of freight management, couriers, Fedex, DHL, packaging. Futurist speaker Patrick Dixon giving keynote to Logistic Summit and Expo 2014 in Mexico. L exposicion mas importante de logistica en Mexico. Enfassis.
Citation preview
Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
Future of Supply Chain Management and Logistics
!!
Complexity and scale create risks
!
Strategies often overtaken by
events !
World can change faster than you can hold a
board meeting
Every sudden event is opportunity and challenge
!
85,000 combinations of door parts alone on a single model
!
Agility also requires
Simplicity
Mexico Retail Growth
!
Manufacturing in Mexico will grow for US market
Nearshoring Boom
11% wage inflaAon in China in 2013 -‐ expect similar in 2014
Bank of America
Impact of stronger Chinese currency and tougher polluAon controls
$3.4 trillion !
$2 trillion
WGP 1980-‐2013 (%,constant prices)
Diversity to seize global markets
US GDP 1980-‐2013 (%,constant prices)
EU GDP 1980-‐2013 (%,constant prices)
Vietnam GDP 1985-‐2011
>40% WDP by 2015
� IMF - adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity
300 million move to cities in China and!475 million to cities in Africa by 2030 !
!!!!!!!!
!
Growth of Middle Class in Africa 250m people - $2 trillion by 2040
!
!
Middle Class !
LaAn America -‐ 50 million more people in last 10 years !
Mexico: 44 million -‐ 39% populaAon !
Brazil: 113 million -‐ 56% populaAon !
!
• Soriana, Cencosud, Casino (CBD, Exito), Carrefour and Wal-Mart
The future is aboutEMOTION
!
Gold standard:10am orders for 3pm Delivery
Anywhere in same country
10am orders for 3pm Delivery
70m people online in Mexico (58%) 88m in Brazil (46%)
28m in ArgenAna (67%) 10m in Chile (59%) 10m in Peru (34%)
Most people in LaAn America are not BUYING online yet, BUT.... Global e-‐commerce $1.5 trillion in 2014 -‐ $100bn in LaAn America $6.2bn in Mexico led by tradiAonal retailers -‐ 40% growth in 2012 12% of all retail is online in UK
!
Online Sales per user !
Latin America: $578 Mexico: $854 Brazil: $717 Argentina $380 !
!Pay-Pal survey
52% of online users in Mexico have bought with Pay-‐Pal
!
Mobile 6m new mobile users in Mexico in 2014 28% populaAon -‐ highest in LaAn America
30m smartphones -‐ up 49% last year 60% of 25-‐34 year olds using smartphones
!
Mobile Retail Mobile influenced $29bn of retail sales in UK in 2013 50% of all UK online sales are using mobile
!
Online / physical worlds become one in
Brazil !
50% research online - buy in store 40% research in store - buy online
89% want digital information in store !
Buy online - deliver to store Buy in store - deliver at home
Over 4000 road hauliers in EU
1.3bn home delivered e-‐com items in UK a year (+12% pa)
53
3000 Parcel Shops in UK in 12 months Chosen by up to 50% customers for
deliveries
Internet of Things
90% all global data generated in last 2 years
!Sales of canned food
in Mexico store = demand for more steel tins in China
Big Data
Global Warming -‐ facts Doing More with Less
150kms by road can cost more than 10,000kms by sea
59
Rail up to 10 times energy efficient than road
$226bn on Mexico rail, road, ports since 2006 SUPER HUBS
>30% energy savings with green tech
63
Tyres – 4.3% Streamlining – 12% 1.5 metres longer – 5% Hybrid engine – 30% Heat power air con ec – 5%
Shocks power – 4% Slow from 65 to 55mph -‐ 20%
SAVE ENERGY ON EVERY TRUCK !
30% EU trucks run empty
“We waste 25 million
miles a year driving empty
trucks” !
US major retailer
!
Future Supply Chains in Mexico !
Uncertainty and complexity will mean shorter supply chains
China / Asia costs will rise fast Huge benefit for Mexico supplying US Future of retail will change in Mexico
E-commerce will impact supply chains Internet of Things and Big Data
Huge opportunities to save energy / cost !
!
Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
Future of Supply Chain Management and Logistics
!
!
Slides and Videos globalchange.com
