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day and
The Fundraising Series (Part One) –“Building Your Story”“Building Your Story”
April 8, 2014
Featuring:• Niko Bonatsos, General Catalyst Partners• Noah Lichtenstein, Cowboy Ventures• Glenn McCrae, Early Growth Financial Services• Stephanie Palmeri, SoftTech VC
Agenda
8:00 am – 8:05 am
Chad Lynch - Introduction
8:05 am – 8:40 am
Glenn McCrae – Creating Your 3-Year Financial Plan with Q&A
8:45 am – 9:15 am
Noah Lichtenstein – Constructing Your Value Proposition with Q&ANoah Lichtenstein – Constructing Your Value Proposition with Q&A
9:20 am – 9:55 am
Stephanie Palmeri – Understanding Your Competitive Landscape / Market Sizing / Q&A
10:00 am – 10:35 am
Niko Bonatsos – Go-To-Market Strategy / Q&A
Building Your Financials:Creating Your 3-Year Financial Plan
1
Creating Your 3-Year Financial Plan
Glenn McCraePartner and Chief Strategy OfficerEarly Growth Financial Services
About Early Growth Financial Services
• Outsourced financial services firm that provides small to mid-sized companies with an integrated financial solutionsized companies with an integrated financial solution
• 4 platforms of services and support: transactional accounting,CFO, tax, and valuation
• Services include: AP/AR, financial forecasts, cash management,financial statements, monthly close, 409a valuations, corporatetaxes, investor relations, fundraising support
• 300+ successfully funded clients nationwide
• #5 Silicon Valley Business Journal Fastest Growing PrivateCompany Award 2013
2
Building Your Story with Numbers
“The point of financial projections is totell a story with numbers—a story aboutopportunity, resource requirements,market forces, growth, milestoneachievements, and profits.achievements, and profits.
Your job is to create a numericalframework that complements andreinforces the vision you’ve painted withwords.” – Guy Kawasaki
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com 3
Presentation OverviewThe essentials of startup financial management
• What are investors looking for in yourfinances?
• What is a financial model?
• Setting financial goals and objectives
• Milestone funding• Milestone funding
• Bottom-up financial projections
• Spend
• Budgeting
• Top-down projections
• Cost assumptions
• Reforecasting
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com4
Why a 3-Year Financial Model?A comprehensive financial pictures serves as the road-mapfor your business
• Helps you understand your cash burn
• Forces you to evaluate keyperformance drivers
• Validates your assumptions
Puts challenges into perspective• Puts challenges into perspective
• Iterative process continuouslyimproves your assumptions
• Insight into your business model
• Clarifies decision-making process(short-term and long-term)
• Gives you leverage of accuratebaseline valuation
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com5
What Goes Into a 3-Year Financial Model?Essential components to your model
Majorobjectives
MilestonesTimeline
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com3
Keyassumptions
Trendinganalysis
Key variables
Identify Major Objectives for YourCompanyAssess where you are and what you want to achieve
Venture funding andnegative cash burn
Positive cash burn andno venture funding
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com
What do you want to accomplishwith next raise?
What are the goals you want to achieveduring this time period?
Process for Creating Your Financial ModelHow to approach the process and get buy-in
1. Go to stakeholders and members ofexecutive team – what do they need toachieve objectives (revenue, product,market, strategic, etc.)?
2. What is needed from a2. What is needed from aprogrammatic perspective?
3. Compile information and discusswith CEO (maybe executive team):
total amount requested relative tomilestone
4. Dialogue about wants and tradeoffs
5. Use dialogue to create bottom-upforecasting budget
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com8
Bottom-Up Financial ProjectionForecast for realistic revenue potential
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com9
Spend for Bottom-Up ProjectionsConsider relevant operational costs
• Customer/Cost details
• Human resource costs
• Consultant and professional services• Consultant and professional services
• Research and development
• Office and admin
• Sales and marketing
• Capital spending
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com10
BudgetingUse your budget to plan your actions
• Budgeting created on accrual basis: budgetingversus actual results
• Difference between cash and accrual isaround capital expenditures
• Report budget by department and major costdrivers (expense categories and revenue
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com11
drivers (expense categories and revenuecategories)
• Plan actions: how quickly will this impactrevenue and what will you be able to achievebased on spending
• Identify key variables• Identify key revenue assumptions• Run different scenarios
Budgeting ExerciseStart from a milestone perspective
• If company has been around fora while, look at historical costs
• What do you need toaccomplish before you run outaccomplish before you run outof money, or in a specific timeperiod
• Ask budget owners what theyneed to accomplish goals
• Tradeoffs
• Trending analysis
• Trending initiative
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com12
Top-Down Projection?Not particularly useful, but necessary for investors to showmarket potential
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com13
ReforecastingYour financial plan is always evolving
• Don’t do a 5-year plan, atmost 3-year
• Update your budget on aquarterly basis (at least)quarterly basis (at least)
• For investors budget on aquarterly basis for first yearand then annually
• What’s realistic in terms oftimeline and reforecastingon monthly or quarterlybasis?
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com14
Thank You and Q&A
Glenn McCrae
415.320.5753
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com15
www.earlygrowthfinancialservices.com
Follow us @EarlyGrowthFS
At a Glance: Cowboy Ventures • Founded in late 2012, $40m seed stage fund • 2 partners, 6 ninjas, focus on community • Our mission: to back the most beloved new
consumer + enterprise companies at seed stage – companies re-imagining “Life 2.0”
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 2
The “Re-Imagination of Everything” Life 2.0, via Web/Mobile
New Content & Commerce
Mobile-first Consumer
New Connected Devices
Consumerization of Enterprise
16 investments to date*
New Gaming
*does not include some of our Stealth and “non-anchor” investments
Cowboy Ventures Current Portfolio
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 3
Brief Bio: Noah Lichtenstein
• Partner, Cowboy Ventures (2013-present) • Founding Team, HomeRun (2009-2012)
– Acquired by Rearden Commerce (Sept. 2011) – Raised from Foundation, First Round, Founder
Collective, Angels • Business Development, Climate Corp
(2008-2010) – Acquired by Monsanto (MON) for ~$1bn (Oct. 2013) – Raised from Index, NEA, Khosla, GV, First Round, etc.
• Other: – Board of Directors, United Way – Advisor, Life360 – Stanford University (B.A. 2004)
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014
@Noah_L [email protected]
4
What We’ll Cover Today
1. Company Value Proposition 2. Investor Value Proposition
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 5
What We’ll Cover Today
1. Company Value Proposition 2. Investor Value Proposition
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 6
Company Value Prop – What is it?
Purpose of the Value Proposition: To help inform the customer so that he or she can make a choice.
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 7
Value Proposition is… A positioning statement that explains WHAT benefit you provide for WHO and HOW you do it uniquely well.
--Michael Skok, North Bridge Venture Partners
Value Proposition is not… A mission statement or company vision
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014
Company Value Prop – What is it?
8
Value Prop – Examples
Uber provides on-demand personal transportation through a simple mobile application that enables users* to request, ride, and pay for transportation at the push of a single button. Unlike with taxis, Uber passengers get reliable pickups, clear pricing, and convenient cashless transactions.
*Because Uber is a marketplace, there is a distinct value proposition for Drivers
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 9
Value Prop – Examples
Dropbox enables users to store and access their photos, docs, and videos anywhere and share them easily. Unlike local storage solutions, it does this by storing digital copies of these files in the Cloud, and automatically synchronizing them across a user’s multiple devices.
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 10
Company Value Prop – The What
The What • What is the specific problem you are solving? • Do consumers view this as a problem?
• How big is the problem?
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 11
Company Value Prop – The Who
The Who • Who will benefit from your product or service? • Why do they care?
• How many are there?
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 12
Company Value Prop – The How
The How • What is your unique solution to the problem • What are other existing solutions to the problem? • Why is this better than existing alternatives?
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 13
Quick Recap: Company Value Prop
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014
The Company Value Proposition is… The What, Who and How of your company that helps inform the customer so that he or she can make a choice.
14
1. Company Value Proposition 2. Investor Value Proposition
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 15
What We’ll Cover Today
Investors: A bit of Background
• What keeps investors up at night? • Needles in a (growing) haystack • It’s not personal • There is no right investor; there is only the right
investor for you
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 16
What do Investors Care About?
The Four Things Investors Care Most About: • Team • Market • Plan • Traction (or some proof you can rock it)
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 17
What do Investors Care About?
The Team • Team make-up • Relevant skills + background • Unfair advantage • The intangibles
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 18
What do Investors Care About?
The Market • Think big – market size >$1bn • Addressable vs. total market size • Growing market • Comparable exits + strong multipliers
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 19
What do Investors Care About?
The Plan • Product roadmap • Metrics and milestones • Financials / projections • Hiring plan
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 20
What do Investors Care About?
Traction (or some proof you can rock it) • Traction • Other “proof”
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 21
Meeting with Investors
What to do and expect… • Before • During • After
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 22
Meeting with Investors
Before • Do your homework • Reaching investors • Arranging a time
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 23
Meeting with Investors
During • The goal of the first meeting à get a second meeting • Start strong • Show > tell • Know and mention potential competitors • Concrete next steps
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 24
Meeting with Investors
After • Send a follow-up note thanking them and
summarizing any next steps or action items • The investor’s process
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 25
Other Thoughts
• Is VC right for you? • Every investor meeting is an opportunity to get
better
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 26
Common Mistakes
• Settling for a cold intro • Asking an investor to sign an NDA
• Thinking too small / not selling the dream • Discussing exits in an early stage pitch • Focusing too much on valuation in the early stage • Not knowing the VC’s investment thesis • Making the investor do all the work • Game-playing • Huge spikes in revenue from year to year
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 27
Some Things I Love
• Be data driven – If you have data already, speak to what it is telling you – If you don’t have data, speak to what data is important and
what metrics you will be tracking • CAC, WoW growth, churn, DAUs/MAUs, etc.
• Run tests – Run a limited test to see if data will help you prove a
hypothesis or help demonstrate product-market fit
• Product roadmap – A well thought-out roadmap for building and executing on
product development
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 28
Closing Thoughts
• A strong company value proposition is a pre-requisite for seeking investment
• Team, Market, Plan, and Traction (or some proof you can rock it) are the four most important things to investors when evaluating an opportunity
Confiden'al -‐ Cowboy Ventures 2014 29
MARKET SIZING& COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE& COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Steph Palmeri, SoftTech VC / @stephpalmeri
TOTAL ACCESS Fundraising Series, Part I
April 8, 2014
Prepared Exclusively for Orrick’s TOTAL ACCESS, Do to redistribute
Our Three Asses RuleThis
Presentation’sFocus
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blackbox.vc
Big-Ass Market
* “Big enough” stress test
– Greater than $1B market opportunity
– Company, not feature
– How does your startup get to $100M in revenue?
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– How does your startup get to $100M in revenue?• 10% of $1B market v. 50% of $200M (unrealistic!)
* By raising capital, you commit to match returnexpectations
Market Types
ExistingMarket
ResegmentedMarket
NewMarket
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better, faster,cheaper
fundamentalshifts, niche
brave newworld
which one is you?
Market Analysis 101
* Problem definition:– What are the underlying needs you solve?
* Identify your customers– What do they look like?– How are you helping them?
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– How are you helping them?– Are your users also your buyers? (who pays?!)
* Addressable Market = # Customers * LTV– What is the relevant market?– Your expected share? (be reasonable, its not 100%!!)– Growth / overall market potential?
Top Down Market Sizing
1. Industry, analysts estimates,market data, etc.
2. Broken down to appropriatesub-segment by:
1. Product Category
Addressable Market≠ Total Market Size
Total ApparelMarket (US)
Total Kid’s Apparel
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1. Product Category
2. Geography
3. Vertical
4. Sales Channel
5. Customer
6. Etc…..
Total Address Market (topdown)
Your revenue if youcaptured 100% of youraddressable market.
Total Kid’s ApparelMarket (US)
Total Online Kid’sApparel Market (US)
Bottom Up Approach
Identify & multiply the following:
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# of potential customers x est. revenue per user per year
Total Addressable Market(bottom up)
Now Compare
Top DownAddressable
Market
Bottom UpAddressable
Market
V.
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Market Market
…. are they reasonably close?
Market Sizing Tips
* Existing: Known customer + understood need– Know entities make it ‘easier’, for you and investors
– Understand market nuances, don’t be careless
* New markets: New customer + new use case
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* New markets: New customer + new use case– Emerging macro trends
– Adoption rate assumptions
– Timing matters
creativity + basic algebra + educated guesses
= bullshit but shows us how you think about your space
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blackbox.vc
Market Attractiveness
Size matters…
(but don’t overlook)
* Competition
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* Competition
* Monetization potential
* Market Growth
* Market Share
* Timing
You’ll probably have a slide thatlooks something like this…Feature list YOU! Giant
IncumbentFledging
CompetitionNot even inyour market
Featureeveryone has
Feature that
✓✓ ✓✓ ✓✓ ✓✓
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Feature thatsome of thecompetition has
Unnecessaryfeature yourcompetition cut
Feature youthink you have
Feature youwish you had
✓✓
✓✓
✓✓
✓✓ ✓✓
✓✓
✓✓
… or this...Fast
Your LogoHere!
Others
Others
Others
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blackbox.vc
Slow
Traditional ModernOthers
Others
Others
Others
Others
Others
… or more recently this...
AdjacentMarket Segment
AdjacentMarket Segment
AdjacentMarket Segment
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YourLogoHere
AdjacentMarket Segment
AdjacentMarket Segment
but regardless…
explain your startup in the context
of the environment in which you
operate including those who you
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operate including those who you
partner with and those who you
compete against and those
who keep you awake at night
proprietary &confidential
blackbox.vc
overview
* Competitive Landscape
– Examine the macro business environment
– Review your competition (past, present, future)
– Benchmark yourself
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– Benchmark yourself
* Competitive analysis
– The classic SWOT analysis
* Competitive advantage
Classic completive analysis
* Examine the macro business environment– Economic + political trends– Cultural + social shifts– Technological innovation– Regulations + legislation
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– Regulations + legislation
* Know the industry ecosystem surrounding your startup– Competitors (direct, indirect, potential entrants)– Suppliers/Partners– Substitutes– Customers
Pop Quiz
Q: Is your industry one or more of the following:
a. Considered crowded?
b. Fairly complex?
c. Scary to investors?
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c. Scary to investors?
A: Consider making an
ecosystem slide
Show investorshow much youknow (and they
don’t) about yourspace… OWN IT!
Competitive analysis
* Comparisons you might put in a competitive grid:
– Products / feature set
– Customers
– Market share
You Them
Feature #1
Feature #2
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– Distribution strategy
– Technology
– Pricing
– Resources are they well funded?
Feature #2
Feature #3
Wow, your startuptakes all the boxeson your arbitrary
grid!
SWOT Analysis –Your Competitive Position
Strengths: why you kick ass- Team- Technology- Scalability- Execution- Customer acquisition & retention
Weaknesses: why you don’t kick ass- Team- Lack of Technology- Scalability issues- Inability to execute- Unreliable product/service
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- Customer acquisition & retention- Distribution
Opportunities: why you might kick ass- Early mover- Emerging segments- New technology- New distribution channel- Changing tastes- Etc.
- Unreliable product/service- Poor distribution
Threats: why you might not kick ass- Competitors w/ more $- Emerging segments- New technology- New distribution channel- Changing tastes- Etc.
Competitive advantage
* Barriers to entry
* Create a long-term sustainable advantage
– Continuous learning & innovation
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– Continuous learning & innovation
– Excellence and speed in execution
* Don’t obsess about others
– A little competition is healthy
– Keep an eye on competition but don’t loose focus onwhat’s really important … the customer
VC’s perspectiveWhat VC’s MeanWhat VC’s Say
Who will you compete withtomorrow?
When does Facebook plan to dothis?
How are you different from the 15other dating services I this week?
Who do you compete withtoday?
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tomorrow?
[Insert name here] just raised$50M from these 10 firms, howare you differentiated?
this?
Your competition has deeppockets…will anyone be willing to fundyour next round?
How to reach Steph Palmeri:
w: www.softtechvc.com
b: www.stephpalmeri.com
t: @stephpalmeri
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You always face competition◦ It gets worse over time.
◦ Copying is the best form of flattery.
Why will your company break out?
What is your real advantage? What is your real advantage?◦ Is it a technology advantage?
◦ Unique insights about the market?
◦ Timing re: seizing regulatory changes?
◦ Unique growth model?
@bonatsos
Seek for FREE PR
◦ Techcrunch et al need to report on something
◦ Recruiting
◦ Fundraising
◦ Early Adopters
Facebook Mobile Ads, New channels (e.g. Snapchat) Facebook Mobile Ads, New channels (e.g. Snapchat)
◦ “Golden Time” -> Cheap
NEVER pay for users/customers early on
◦ Spend that $$ improving your product/dating life
@bonatsos
Invest in growth and strategic value◦ Revenue and profit$ will follow in time (we hope)
◦ Leverage your strengths
Don’t focus on breaking even◦ Diminish profits and slow growth◦ Diminish profits and slow growth
Set personal goals (be realistic)◦ Funding requirements
◦ Exit expectations
◦ Time horizon
◦ Social life
@bonatsos
Iterate all the time
Every business is different
Great product is “table-stakes” today
Advisors & experts vs. customers & market
Startup = Growth (Paul Graham) Startup = Growth (Paul Graham)
@bonatsos