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Fanaticism and Hong Kong Politics
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THE FANATICSThe politics of irrational obsession
Disclaimer: I don’t sell opinion polls. They are “lies, damned lies and statistics”.
Opinion
How far would you go for motherly love?
Fanaticism is religious obsession.
Queen’s Pier, 2007
Times Square, 2008
Manila, 23 August 2010
Tsim Sha Tsui, 2012
The Existential Crisis
–Eric Hoffer
“Mass movements can rise and spread without belief in a God, but never without belief in a devil.”
67 9782 89
The Riot
TVB
67 9782 89
Sino-British negotiation
67 9782 89
Tiananmen
67 9782 89
Handover Asian Financial Crisis
67 179279 02
SARS
Manila Hostage Crisis
TiananmenHandover
& Financial CrisisSino-British Talk
Riot
Post-80
Baby-boomers
Gen SAR
14 - 17
23 - 34
37+
“Hong Kong is the promised land.”
Prophecies of the fall … and the “savior” The
Judgement Day
“The key to all fanatical beliefs is that they are self-confirming.”
THE ORIGINAL SINWho is going to be the Savior of Hong Kong?
BeliefRight vs Wrong True vs False Our Identity Hard to Change
Values
Dislike - Apathetic - Like Shape by our beliefs Can be changed
Subjective domain of Mind Objective domain of Matter
Phenomena !
Perception of Reality
Incoherence
Unknowns
Confirmations
Cognitive Dissonance
Rationalizing
Present the facts
How Not to Win the Debate
Alinsky’s Rules on Power
• Power is not only what you have but what the enemy thinks you have.
• The threat is usually more terrifying than the thing itself.
• The major premise for tactics is the development of operations that will maintain a constant pressure upon the opposition.
• If you push a negative hard and deep enough it will break through into its counter side.
• Pick the target, freeze it, personalize it, and polarize it.
Alinsky’s Rules on People
• A good tactics is one that your people enjoy.
• Never go outside the experience of your people.
• Wherever possible go outside of the experience of the enemy.
• Make the enemy live up to their own book of rules.
• Ridicule is man’s most potent weapon.
The Elusive Public
Enter your company’s name
Employees
Customers
Investors
Traditional Approach
Enter your company’s name
EmployeesCustomers
InvestorsPotential customers,
employees, investors
Purposeful Communication
Embrace your goodness
Communication is Association
• Beliefs and identities
• Seize the moral high ground
• Form new habits
The Battle Fronts
1. Members of your company vs. members of unions
2. Individual consumers vs. consumers with collective identity
3. Genuine investors vs. activist investors
4. Politicians and the Government
5. The media and the elusive public
