1. TMT Predictions.The Long View
June 14, 2010

2. "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future."
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Niels Bohr

3. 1. All cool technologies dont succeed
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4. 2. Everybody knows that one horse runs faster than another. But which horse?
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5. 3. In other breaking news, the sun will rise in the east
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6. 4. Great technologytoo bad it violates the laws of physics
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7. How were different
Eight predictions
One, five, ten and never time frames
Pairs of:
Something important that most people expect to happenbut wont
Something important that most people dont expect to happenbut will
And two bonus fact checks (no perpetual motion machines)
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8. Deloittes TMT predictions are now released in 58 countries and expected to launch in 50+ cities in 2010. Predictions was first published in 2001.
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9. Smart phones: how to stay clever in a downturn
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10. Disrupting the PC: The Rise of the Netbook
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11. The mobile broadband accident in slow motion: traffic jams on cellular networks
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The Long View from 2010

13. eReaders fill a niche, but eBooks fly off the (virtual) shelves
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15. Smaller than a netbook, and bigger than a smartphone net tablets arrive
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17. $10 per year for printbut $29.95 for the iPad app?
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18. The Goldilocks Device additive or substitute?
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19. 3D TV: objects may be further away than they appear
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20. 3D TV falls flat
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$3,500.00

21. The dangers of too-literal translation
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22. Lexicon plus grammar
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23. Old style text-to-text translation (Babel Fish edition)
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25.

26. Natural tech monopolies?
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27. Naturally fragmented markets
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29. Wrong question. Will there be a de facto standard mobile OS?
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30. Not if these guys have anything to say about it!
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31. Will 4G Solve the Congestion Problem?
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32. Lets talk about innovative disruption
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33. The shift to online advertising: more selective, but the trend continues
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36. Powerful tools
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37. Unless
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38. But childs play with a 1970s calculator
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39. Public key cryptography
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Diffie, Hellman & Merkle
(no idea what happened to Merkle)
Rivest, Shamir & Adleman
(aka RSA)

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41. Ugly beast, aint it?
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43. Not that kind of flux capacitor
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44. Poynting flux vector
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45. Oh well, at least its stylish
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60 microwatts @0.7V

46. The power of piezo
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47. The power of piezo
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48. Harvested energy versus required energy
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Volts x amps = watts
To fully charge the battery at left at 0.7V by 7 microwatts would take
581,428 hours, or
24,226 days, or
66.3 years*

49. The mobile internet
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51. Computing device market
Source: actuals IDC & Gartner, forecast Deloitte Canada
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52. TMT Predictions customized events
Duncan Stewart can deliver a tailored presentation for your office/industry!
Email Duncan: dunstewart@deloitte.ca
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53. Questions